CollegeKingRex
CTG Regular
Sup fellas...
Big card today. Eager to get back to it after my first losing Saturday of the season...
Not much time for writeups, but I'll do the best I can...
Not sure where they can get off making UConn the favorite in Piscataway. Even though Edsall has had Schiano's number, this would be the week Rutgers is gonna turn it around if it will happen. I took the ML small and some 1.5 as well.
NOTE - the line is now Rutgers -1 and -1.5... If you can lay 1 small, there is still value. Pass anything else.
OK, so Clemson loses its coach. Does that justify a six-point line move. Hell, some people would tell me that they should be a BIGGER favorite after the Bowden Jr Era mercifully came to an end this week. With GT off the D-IAA scare and the shrewdness of their coach, I don't want to try to beat the Jackets now that both QBs should be healthy. Clemson is the better team and off extra rest, is the right side - if they show up. It was worth a ML stab for me at +115.
Duke got all the smart money this week earlier in the week, but at this point all the value lies with Miami. I waited it out as long as I could and I suspect this line will go up some today. The Canes still have a good deal of athleticism and that will cause the Duke offense serious problems.
The play: Miami -3 even money - I predict a touchdown or less win in a low-scoring game.
Virginia Tech in a revenge spot (take out the ACC title game, which had about 13 people in the stands last year)... the Hokies dominated for 55 minutes last year and now there's no Ryan to bail out the Eagles. VT's much stiffer schedule should pay off today.
The play: Hokies ML and +3 for the total of a medium bet.
Where does Oklahoma get off laying three touchdowns after last week? The Sooners are coming off a disappointing loss and lost their stud MLB for the year. That will make a difference today against a pesky Kansas team capable of trading punches with anyone.
The play: Kansas plus 20 for a big bet.
Not sure where WMU can get off laying points in Mount Pleasant. Even though the Broncos have performed better on the field this season, the Chips are still the league champs until proven otherwise. With WMU winning exactly one time at CMU since 1982 (I think), I don't know how ANYONE can lay points.
THe play: Central Michigan ML.
Ole Miss and Bama in an expected slugfest today in Tuscaloosa. This total is sure to come down. Get some now if you like UNDER like me.
THe play: Miss/Bama UNDER 50 medium.
Jorja outclasses Vandy, which finally saw the well run dry last week in Starkville. Bulldogs need to win out and today starts their secondary run to what might lead to an SEC East title.
The play: Georgia -14 small. Don't lay more than that. If it comes down, bet it. I will bet more if it goes below 14.
Colorado State performing much better than most people thought heading into the season with the new regime. Utah should do just enough to win and stay healthy.
The play: Colly State +23.
Southern Miss is in shambles. Rice has turned it on at this point in the season, and have the best two offensive players on the field.
THe play: Rice -1.5
Every wise guy in the world bet UNDER today in Austin. I just don't see it. Also note all of the money on the Tigers. There is little to no value in betting now and taking 3.5 or 4 points.
The plays: Mizzou +7 medium (no bet at anything less than 4.5) and OVER 64 (a readily available number) small.
Kentucky appears to have more talent than Arkansas right now; it's all mental with the Cats now after coming close in Tuscaloosa and then the stinging loss to USC last week... word out of Lexington is that Cats really want to beat Petrino - he beat Grandpa Richie four times while at U of L and this looks like their next best chance to get it done. At a touchdown, it's worth a shot.
The play: UK -7
Cal looks better than Arizona to me - I might get involved late at anything less than 3 for degenerate fun.
I respect Art Briles and understand that he's done a fabulous job with that stud freshman QB but this is a different beast today. Okie Light is making statements right now and I have them more than three touchdowns better than the Bears on paper. Rout!
The play: OSU -17 for a big bet.
Army did not complete a pass last week in beating EMU. News flash: this ain't EMU... Buffalo is at a point where they are damn near the favorite to win the MAC East and as much as it turns my stomach to lay DDs at home, I made this game 15.5.
The play: UB -10 for a big bet. Anything at less than 11.5 should be a nice sized bet.
South Carolina should beat LSU. The Tigers had yet to face an offense until last week. They're about to face another mediocre one, but Spurrier is working his magic again with two bad QBs. One seems to step in and play well in relief seemingly weekly. The OBC gets it done again.
Can Tulsa really lay 18 or more to wily Mike Price?
The play: UTEP +17.5 (bet it early in week; better number is out there)
San Jose looks far better than New Mexico State, but kudos to Shallow Hal for winning in Reno (road wins in the WAC under his regime hardly ever come).... so pass for now.
Where in the hell can you make Houston a two-touchdown favorite in Dallas? SMU continues to play hard and showed even more progress that they are grasping Jones's concepts last week. There is enough talent to compete there and I expect them to fight for 60 minutes (unlike that shitbag U-ab who figured out how to blow a 20-3 halftime lead and not even bother to cover).... Houston is solid when they get momentum but on the road today, that figures to come much tougher.
The play: SMU plus 14 big. Would take 13 big as well. I made the game 7.
Took Florida Atlantic +2.5 early in the week at Western Kentucky (made FAU 4 favorite)... Would pass it now.
No real opinions on the others. Just talked to Razor about the U-La-La QB in a potential SBC title tilt but he wasn't sure whether Desormeaux was playing or not.
Back later to answer some questions and hopefully have time for halftimes....GL!
:cheers:
Big card today. Eager to get back to it after my first losing Saturday of the season...
Not much time for writeups, but I'll do the best I can...
Not sure where they can get off making UConn the favorite in Piscataway. Even though Edsall has had Schiano's number, this would be the week Rutgers is gonna turn it around if it will happen. I took the ML small and some 1.5 as well.
NOTE - the line is now Rutgers -1 and -1.5... If you can lay 1 small, there is still value. Pass anything else.
OK, so Clemson loses its coach. Does that justify a six-point line move. Hell, some people would tell me that they should be a BIGGER favorite after the Bowden Jr Era mercifully came to an end this week. With GT off the D-IAA scare and the shrewdness of their coach, I don't want to try to beat the Jackets now that both QBs should be healthy. Clemson is the better team and off extra rest, is the right side - if they show up. It was worth a ML stab for me at +115.
Duke got all the smart money this week earlier in the week, but at this point all the value lies with Miami. I waited it out as long as I could and I suspect this line will go up some today. The Canes still have a good deal of athleticism and that will cause the Duke offense serious problems.
The play: Miami -3 even money - I predict a touchdown or less win in a low-scoring game.
Virginia Tech in a revenge spot (take out the ACC title game, which had about 13 people in the stands last year)... the Hokies dominated for 55 minutes last year and now there's no Ryan to bail out the Eagles. VT's much stiffer schedule should pay off today.
The play: Hokies ML and +3 for the total of a medium bet.
Where does Oklahoma get off laying three touchdowns after last week? The Sooners are coming off a disappointing loss and lost their stud MLB for the year. That will make a difference today against a pesky Kansas team capable of trading punches with anyone.
The play: Kansas plus 20 for a big bet.
Not sure where WMU can get off laying points in Mount Pleasant. Even though the Broncos have performed better on the field this season, the Chips are still the league champs until proven otherwise. With WMU winning exactly one time at CMU since 1982 (I think), I don't know how ANYONE can lay points.
THe play: Central Michigan ML.
Ole Miss and Bama in an expected slugfest today in Tuscaloosa. This total is sure to come down. Get some now if you like UNDER like me.
THe play: Miss/Bama UNDER 50 medium.
Jorja outclasses Vandy, which finally saw the well run dry last week in Starkville. Bulldogs need to win out and today starts their secondary run to what might lead to an SEC East title.
The play: Georgia -14 small. Don't lay more than that. If it comes down, bet it. I will bet more if it goes below 14.
Colorado State performing much better than most people thought heading into the season with the new regime. Utah should do just enough to win and stay healthy.
The play: Colly State +23.
Southern Miss is in shambles. Rice has turned it on at this point in the season, and have the best two offensive players on the field.
THe play: Rice -1.5
Every wise guy in the world bet UNDER today in Austin. I just don't see it. Also note all of the money on the Tigers. There is little to no value in betting now and taking 3.5 or 4 points.
The plays: Mizzou +7 medium (no bet at anything less than 4.5) and OVER 64 (a readily available number) small.
Kentucky appears to have more talent than Arkansas right now; it's all mental with the Cats now after coming close in Tuscaloosa and then the stinging loss to USC last week... word out of Lexington is that Cats really want to beat Petrino - he beat Grandpa Richie four times while at U of L and this looks like their next best chance to get it done. At a touchdown, it's worth a shot.
The play: UK -7
Cal looks better than Arizona to me - I might get involved late at anything less than 3 for degenerate fun.
I respect Art Briles and understand that he's done a fabulous job with that stud freshman QB but this is a different beast today. Okie Light is making statements right now and I have them more than three touchdowns better than the Bears on paper. Rout!
The play: OSU -17 for a big bet.
Army did not complete a pass last week in beating EMU. News flash: this ain't EMU... Buffalo is at a point where they are damn near the favorite to win the MAC East and as much as it turns my stomach to lay DDs at home, I made this game 15.5.
The play: UB -10 for a big bet. Anything at less than 11.5 should be a nice sized bet.
South Carolina should beat LSU. The Tigers had yet to face an offense until last week. They're about to face another mediocre one, but Spurrier is working his magic again with two bad QBs. One seems to step in and play well in relief seemingly weekly. The OBC gets it done again.
Can Tulsa really lay 18 or more to wily Mike Price?
The play: UTEP +17.5 (bet it early in week; better number is out there)
San Jose looks far better than New Mexico State, but kudos to Shallow Hal for winning in Reno (road wins in the WAC under his regime hardly ever come).... so pass for now.
Where in the hell can you make Houston a two-touchdown favorite in Dallas? SMU continues to play hard and showed even more progress that they are grasping Jones's concepts last week. There is enough talent to compete there and I expect them to fight for 60 minutes (unlike that shitbag U-ab who figured out how to blow a 20-3 halftime lead and not even bother to cover).... Houston is solid when they get momentum but on the road today, that figures to come much tougher.
The play: SMU plus 14 big. Would take 13 big as well. I made the game 7.
Took Florida Atlantic +2.5 early in the week at Western Kentucky (made FAU 4 favorite)... Would pass it now.
No real opinions on the others. Just talked to Razor about the U-La-La QB in a potential SBC title tilt but he wasn't sure whether Desormeaux was playing or not.
Back later to answer some questions and hopefully have time for halftimes....GL!
:cheers:
