19-16-1 +11.95 units
Pretty solid week last week. I'll take it. Pushed on a bad number with West Virginia but will take that backdoor push all day. Penn St dominated defensively and got the cover. ASU played great ball for 3 quarters. LSU was way too easy and they played even better than I thought they could in all honesty. I tried to play a 'disciplined' card and sure enough would have hit almost every one of the plays I layed off. Thats good though. Its still a win when you are capping them rightr and will help out later in the season. This weeks goal. No dumb add-ons(two late night plays hurt) and a winning week.
I am going to give semi small write-ups but will discuss more at length tomorrow.
Ohio State @ Washington
This is a spot I have been thinking about for a few weeks. Washington has started out 2-0 behind Locker. Lets look at the competition though. Syracuse is proving to downright horrible. Boise is not the Boise of past years either. They had good yardage against UW but didn't muster many points. I don't feel like it was a lock-down week for UW. I think this is a very nice school but lets not get too high on them. Meanwhile, Ohio St hasn't played much competiton either but their defense is fuckin mean. I believe Yessir stated 13 straight 3 and outs last week. Akron also amassed under 100 yards of offense. No matter the teams on their schedule this year, the Buckeyes defense can rise to the occasion against all comers. Is the OSU offense not as good? Obviously. I know the line isn't peaking yet but Beanie started to show his stuff later in the game. This I know. The OSU defense will help the offense. I also trust sweatervest to manage thi game perfectly. The last 2 years of OSU football was a anamolly. This is more a Tressel team. The line was at 3.5 and I thought about buying down but never got chance. Ohio St 24-10....
Ohio State -4 -110 1 unit
Texas Tech @ Rice
We lost on the TT first half the other day but that set up a perfect 2nd half bet. Wish I could have taken advantage. Either way, I like this team a lot this year. Last week Utep scored 21 first quarter points. Two of the drives started in TT territory though. The Red Raiders were very solid the rest of the game from letting UTEP finish drives. Rice, on the other hand, is godawful. They got crushed by Baylor. Fuckin Baylor(lol). Their defense will get eaten alive and I don't forsee the offense being able to keep up. Even up from gthe opener I believe this is a soft line. Texas Tech never stops trying to score and this gets ugly...Texas Tech 52-14
Texas Tech -27.5 -110 3 units
BYU @ Tulsa
I will leave this writeup a little shorter. I like the play and discussed it a lot with Yanks last night. BYU has been very impressive in the first two weeks. They stood toe to toe with UCLA team that I keep in high regard. Tulsas first game against ULM had a misleading final with the blown call midway thru third quarter changing all mometum. Tulsa also has a trip to Norman on deck. This BYU team will simply wear out Tulsa. Bigger, faster and stronger...BYU 31-14
BYU -7 -110 1 unit
Pittsburgh @ Michigan St
Michigan State controlled the second half against Bowling Green on Saturday to pick up the win. It was a different type of game than week one as they went to the air more and later used the run game to finish it off. Bowling Green was successful for a half in the spread but Michigan St made some nice adjustments at half and really played excellent defense to seal the win. Previous regimes at MSU would not have done that so well and they may have lost that game in previous years. Pittsburgh hasn't done anything to get excited about so far this year and is not really a threat to do anything this year IMO.
This is a revenge game for Pittsburgh. Lets look at last years game. Michigan St won 38-23 at Pitt. The Spartans had 200 yards in the air and 355 on the ground. It was a dominant performance indeed. Since last year, Pitt has declined quite a bit and MSU has improved in scheme, mindset and defense.
The question becomes..why the hell is this line 8? I was thinking closer to two touchdowns. Michigan St is now more of a running team that can use the pass effectively. Although they haven't played a good squad(UAB) or a running team(BG) they have given up like 59 total rushing yards this year. This defense is much better. Not saying they will be world-beaters but its such a different squad. Hell, TE Kellen Davis is playing both sides of the ball and has recorded a sack in both games.
I think this game could be very ugly. I see tremendous value in this line and cannot believe I got it at this. I didn't forsee any huge plays this wek but thank-you oddsmakers very much. Michigan State 35-10
Michigan State -8 -110 5 units
I have some other games that I am waiting on as far as research/discussion/line movement. I will be hammering away at those for next day or two.
GL, comments and questions always welcomed
Pretty solid week last week. I'll take it. Pushed on a bad number with West Virginia but will take that backdoor push all day. Penn St dominated defensively and got the cover. ASU played great ball for 3 quarters. LSU was way too easy and they played even better than I thought they could in all honesty. I tried to play a 'disciplined' card and sure enough would have hit almost every one of the plays I layed off. Thats good though. Its still a win when you are capping them rightr and will help out later in the season. This weeks goal. No dumb add-ons(two late night plays hurt) and a winning week.
I am going to give semi small write-ups but will discuss more at length tomorrow.
Ohio State @ Washington
This is a spot I have been thinking about for a few weeks. Washington has started out 2-0 behind Locker. Lets look at the competition though. Syracuse is proving to downright horrible. Boise is not the Boise of past years either. They had good yardage against UW but didn't muster many points. I don't feel like it was a lock-down week for UW. I think this is a very nice school but lets not get too high on them. Meanwhile, Ohio St hasn't played much competiton either but their defense is fuckin mean. I believe Yessir stated 13 straight 3 and outs last week. Akron also amassed under 100 yards of offense. No matter the teams on their schedule this year, the Buckeyes defense can rise to the occasion against all comers. Is the OSU offense not as good? Obviously. I know the line isn't peaking yet but Beanie started to show his stuff later in the game. This I know. The OSU defense will help the offense. I also trust sweatervest to manage thi game perfectly. The last 2 years of OSU football was a anamolly. This is more a Tressel team. The line was at 3.5 and I thought about buying down but never got chance. Ohio St 24-10....
Ohio State -4 -110 1 unit
Texas Tech @ Rice
We lost on the TT first half the other day but that set up a perfect 2nd half bet. Wish I could have taken advantage. Either way, I like this team a lot this year. Last week Utep scored 21 first quarter points. Two of the drives started in TT territory though. The Red Raiders were very solid the rest of the game from letting UTEP finish drives. Rice, on the other hand, is godawful. They got crushed by Baylor. Fuckin Baylor(lol). Their defense will get eaten alive and I don't forsee the offense being able to keep up. Even up from gthe opener I believe this is a soft line. Texas Tech never stops trying to score and this gets ugly...Texas Tech 52-14
Texas Tech -27.5 -110 3 units
BYU @ Tulsa
I will leave this writeup a little shorter. I like the play and discussed it a lot with Yanks last night. BYU has been very impressive in the first two weeks. They stood toe to toe with UCLA team that I keep in high regard. Tulsas first game against ULM had a misleading final with the blown call midway thru third quarter changing all mometum. Tulsa also has a trip to Norman on deck. This BYU team will simply wear out Tulsa. Bigger, faster and stronger...BYU 31-14
BYU -7 -110 1 unit
Pittsburgh @ Michigan St
Michigan State controlled the second half against Bowling Green on Saturday to pick up the win. It was a different type of game than week one as they went to the air more and later used the run game to finish it off. Bowling Green was successful for a half in the spread but Michigan St made some nice adjustments at half and really played excellent defense to seal the win. Previous regimes at MSU would not have done that so well and they may have lost that game in previous years. Pittsburgh hasn't done anything to get excited about so far this year and is not really a threat to do anything this year IMO.
This is a revenge game for Pittsburgh. Lets look at last years game. Michigan St won 38-23 at Pitt. The Spartans had 200 yards in the air and 355 on the ground. It was a dominant performance indeed. Since last year, Pitt has declined quite a bit and MSU has improved in scheme, mindset and defense.
The question becomes..why the hell is this line 8? I was thinking closer to two touchdowns. Michigan St is now more of a running team that can use the pass effectively. Although they haven't played a good squad(UAB) or a running team(BG) they have given up like 59 total rushing yards this year. This defense is much better. Not saying they will be world-beaters but its such a different squad. Hell, TE Kellen Davis is playing both sides of the ball and has recorded a sack in both games.
I think this game could be very ugly. I see tremendous value in this line and cannot believe I got it at this. I didn't forsee any huge plays this wek but thank-you oddsmakers very much. Michigan State 35-10
Michigan State -8 -110 5 units
I have some other games that I am waiting on as far as research/discussion/line movement. I will be hammering away at those for next day or two.
GL, comments and questions always welcomed
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