Saturday not pushing again Discussion

GWarner27

Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
Interests from the open:
Angels +116
rays u8
chisox u7.5
orioles o9
cubs +121
braves +138/o8
 
Terrible spot for the Dodgers tomorrow. Day game 2nd day back from an East Coast roadie...

Can we trust Lester? This game screams Boston and Unders to me...
 
System play on PIT. Might be 2 unit. Tim is on 4 days rest which is good for him. The bad news is his team has fallen apart and he is playing at night where he is 4-12
 
Terrible spot for the Dodgers tomorrow. Day game 2nd day back from an East Coast roadie...

Can we trust Lester? This game screams Boston and Unders to me...
Boston has been playing win and then lose. Have to look more but the play has appeal
 
Not sure I have the guts to do it. Did play under 7 plus 5 cents in Dodger game based on Boston tendency to go under as a road dog and monster under ump.
 
Both Boston and LA are great during the day.
Ryu is worse during the day but this might be good enough.
 
Big drops in temp and humidity in Baltimore today. Hard to take an under in this park with this offense, but today's the day....
 
I'm going with 1H Det/NYM UNDER 3. You got arguably the AL and NL's CY young front runners going. And you don't have to worry about bullpens. Takes 4 to beat me.

Now watch them get 4-5 in the first 5 then go scoreless.
 
Peacock on 6 or greater career
[TABLE="class: sortable stats_table"]
<colgroup><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col></colgroup> <thead> [TR]
[TH="class: tooltip sort_default_asc, align: center"]I[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip sort_default_asc, align: left"]Split[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]W[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]L[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip hide_non_quals, align: center"]<nobr>W-L%</nobr>[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip sort_default_asc hide_non_quals, align: center"]ERA[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]G[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]GS[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]GF[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]CG[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]SHO[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]SV[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]IP[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]H[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]R[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]ER[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]HR[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]BB[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]IBB[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]SO[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]HBP[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]BK[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]WP[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]BF[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip sort_default_asc hide_non_quals, align: center"]WHIP[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip hide_non_quals, align: center"]SO/9[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip hide_non_quals, align: center"]SO/BB[/TH]
[/TR]
</thead> <tbody> [TR]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="class: tooltip, align: left"]4 Days,GS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"].500[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.64[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]41[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.920[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="class: tooltip, align: left"]5 Days,GS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"].500[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.71[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]21.0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]20[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]18[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]94[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.429[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.80[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="class: tooltip, align: left"]6+ Days,GS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"].500[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.05[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]22.0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]19[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]86[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.909[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.90[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="class: tooltip, align: left"]2 Days,GR[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]22.50[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.500[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="class: tooltip, align: left"]5 Days,GR[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.70[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]15[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.900[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="class: tooltip, align: left"]6+ Days,GR[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.45[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]16[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.909[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.00[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
MLB Baseball Picks and Betting Trends for Saturday, August 24, 2013
National League
Arizona at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Delgado: D-backs have won second game of a road series four straight times after losing first game
Martin: Phillies 13-3 SU when facing Diamondbacks at home since 2008

Milwaukee at Cincinnati, 7:10 ET
Peralta: Under is 6-1 in Peralta�s last seven road starts
Arroyo: Reds 11-4 SU when Arroyo starts at home

Colorado at Miami, 7:10 ET
Manship: Rockies 7-18 SU on the road after a win in 2013
Fernandez: Marlins 10-2 SU when Fernandez starts at home

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Atlanta at St. Louis, 7:15 ET MLB
Teheran: Under is 5-2 in last seven starts for Teheran
Miller: Cardinals 9-4 SU when Miller starts at home

Chicago Cubs at San Diego, 8:40 ET
Samardzija: Under is 4-2 in last six road night starts for Samardzija
Stults: Padres 14-5 SU when Stults starts at home

Pittsburgh at San Francisco, 9:05 ET
Liriano: Pirates 5-2 in last seven road starts for Liriano
Lincecum: Giants 3-8 SU in last 11 home starts for Lincecum

American League
Oakland at Baltimore, 4:05 ET FOX
Milone: Athletics 3-6 SU when Milone starts a road day game
Tillman: Orioles 7-1 SU in last eight home starts for Tillman

Minnesota at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Hendriks: Twins 13-25 in road night games in 2013
Kazmir: Indians 7-3 SU when Kazmir starts at home

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET
Sabathia: Yankees 3-6 SU in last nine road starts for Sabathia
Price: Under is 9-0 last nine times Rays have faced a southpaw at home

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Toronto at Houston, 7:10 ET
TBA: Blue Jays 9-26 on road after allowing more than 10 runs in previous game
Peacock: Over is 6-2 when Peacock starts for Astros

Texas at Chicago White Sox, 7:10 ET MLB
Darvish: Under is 4-1 in last five Darvish road starts
Santiago: Under is 6-1 in last seven home starts for Santiago

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle, 9:10 ET
Vargas: Over is 4-1 in last five road starts for Vargas
Ramirez: Mariners 5-1 when Ramirez starts a game

Interleague
Detroit at New York Mets, 4:05 ET FOX
Scherzer: Tigers 9-3 SU when Scherzer starts on road in 2013
Harvey: Under is 4-1 when Harvey starts a home day game

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Boston at Los Angeles Dodgers, 4:05 ET FOX
Lester: Over is 7-2 in 2013 when Lester starts on road after team won in his last outing
Ryu: Dodgers 9-2 SU when Ryu starts at home

Washington at Kansas City, 7:10 ET
Zimmermann: Nationals 5-1 SU since start of 2012 in a Zimmermann road start after team lost in his last outing
Davis: Royals 4-7 SU when Davis starts at home
 
Lot of value on the over at Chavez today. Daytime warmer temps, and Ryu's numbers during the day less impressive. I also don't trust moLester at all
 
Hot pitchers
-- Martin is 2-1, 3.31 in his last three starts.
-- Arroyo is 3-0, 1.80 in his last three starts.
-- Fernandez is 4-0, 1.72 in his last seven starts.
-- Teheran is 3-1, 1.80 in his last five starts.
-- Liriano won his last two starts, allowing one run in 16 IP.
-- Scherzer is 5-0, 1.90 in his last six starts. Harvey is 2-2, 2.16 in his last six.
-- Ryu is 4-1, 2.16 in his last five starts. Lester is 1-1, 2.49 in his last three.
-- Davis is 2-0, 3.27 in his last four starts.
-- McAllister is 2-0, 2.19 in his last couple starts.
-- Parker is 3-0, 2.30 in his last four starts.
-- Price is 3-0, 2.03 in his last six starts.

-- Peacock is 1-0, 2.19 in his last two starts.
-- Darvish is 3-0, 2.15 in his last four starts.
-- Mariners won last five Ramirez starts (4-0, 5.22), scoring 27 runs.
Cold pitchers
-- Delgado is 0-1, 6.00 in his last three starts.
-- Peralta is 1-4, 7.24 in his last five starts.
-- Manship is 0-3, 7.80 in three starts for Colorado.
-- Miller is 1-2, 5.32 in his last five starts.
-- Stults is 0-3, 5.77 in his last six starts. Samardzija is 1-1, 6.87 in his last three.
-- Lincecum is 1-4, 5.40 in his last six starts.
-- Zimmerman is 2-4, 6.08 in his last seven starts.
-- Tillman is 1-1, 4.62 in his last four starts.
-- Hendriks is 0-1, 3.94 in three starts this year.
-- Sabathia is 2-3, 9.16 in his last seven starts.
-- Santiago is 1-2, 4.60 in his last five starts.
-- Wang lost his last two starts, allowing 13 runs in 3.1 IP (last start July 2).
-- Vargas is 1-2, 5.40 in his last five starts.
Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Delgado 3-12; Martin 0-4
-- Peralta 4-26 (0 of last 13); Arroyo 4-25
-- Manship 1-3; Fernandez 4-24 (0 of last 7)
-- Teheran 7-24 (0 of last 10); Miller 5-23 (0 of last 10)
-- Samardzija 7-26 (1 of last 7); Stults 9-26 (5 of last 9)
-- Liriano 4-18; Lincecum 9-25 (0 of last 5)
-- Scherzer 4-25 (0 of last 10); Harvey 4-25 (0 of last 6)
-- Lester 8-26; Ryu 7-24 (1 of last 6)
-- Zimmerman 4-25; Davis 9-22 (4 of last 6)
-- Parker 8-25; Tillman 6-25
-- Hendriks 1-3; McAllister 5-17 (0 of last 5)
-- Sabathia 8-26 (3 of last 4); Price 6-19
-- Wang 0-5; Peacock 3-8
-- Darvish 7-23; Santiago 4-17
-- Vargas 2-16; Ramirez 3-6
Totals
-- Under is 10-1-1 in last twelve Philadelphia games.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Colorado games.
-- Six of last seven Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five St Louis games.
-- Four of last five Cub games went over the total.
--
Over is 5-2-1 in last eight San Francisco games.
-- Six of last nine Detroit road games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-3-2 in last fourteen Kansas City games.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Boston games.
-- Under is 12-4-2 in last eighteen Minnesota games.
-- Eight of last eleven Baltimore games went over the total.
-- You're reading armadillosports.com. Have a nice day.
-- Four of last six Tampa Bay games stayed under total.
-- Nine of last twelve Toronto games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight White Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Angel games stayed under the total.
Hot teams
-- Phillies won five of their last six games.
-- Reds won nine of their last thirteen games. Milwaukee won six of its last nine games on foreign soil.
-- St Louis won nine of its last 12 games.
-- Detroit won four of its last six games.
-- Nationals won 10 of their last 14 games.
-- Dodgers are 46-10 in their last 56 games.
-- Indians won six of their last nine games.
-- Bronx Bombers won 10 of their last 13 games. Tampa Bay won seven of its last nine games.
-- Texas won 19 of its last 23 games. White Sox won six of last seven

Cold teams
-- Diamondbacks lost four of their last five games.
-- Miami lost eight of last nine home games. Colorado lost five of its last seven games overall.
-- Braves lost three of their last four games.
-- Cubs lost 14 of their last 20 games. San Diego is 4-5 in its last nine.
-- Pirates lost eight of last thirteen games. Giants are 4-8 in their last twelve.
-- Mets lost four of their last six games.
-- Kansas City lost eight of its last ten games.
-- Red Sox are 5-9 in their last fourteen games.
-- Minnesota lost seven of its last eleven games.
-- Oakland/Baltimore are both 4-6 in their last ten games.
-- Blue Jays lost 11 of their last 15 games. Astros lost four of their last six.
-- Seattle lost seven of its last ten home games. Angels lost four of their last five games, scoring 11 runs.
Umpires
-- Az-Phil-- Home team won last nine Fagan games.
-- Mil-Cin-- Seven of last nine Marquez games stayed under.
-- Col-Mia-- Underdogs are 7-5 in last twelve Fletcher games, with six of last nine staying under the total.
-- Atl-StL-- Nine of last thirteen Eddings games went over the total.
-- Chi-SD-- Six of last seven Cooper games stayed under total.
-- Pitt-SF-- 14 of last 15 Danley games stayed under the total.
-- Det-NY-- Favorites won nine of last eleven Nelson games.
-- Bos-LA--Under is 11-0-2 in last 13 Iassogna games; underdogs are 9-5 in his last 14 games behind the plate.
-- Wsh-KC-- Underdogs won five of last seven TWelke games.
-- A's-Balt-- Underdogs won four of last five Culbreth games.
-- Min-Clev-- Four of last five Wolcott games went over the total.
-- NY-TB-- Under is 7-4-1 in last twelve Meals games.
-- Tor-Hst-- 12 of last 14 Miller games stayed under the total.
-- Tex-Chi-- Underdogs won three of last four Wendelstedt games.
-- LA-Sea-- Five of last six Kulpa games stayed under the total.
 
Small play on Seattle.
Reasoning is very simple.
Seattle wins with the starter. In fact his last start at Texas after Felix got beat he played at Texas and beat Yu as a huge dog. Simple fact 3 of his wins came after Seattle losses. This is a Seattle loss and i think the team gives him again the support it denies Felix.
 
Tonight:
Pirates pretty big. Like them FG, 1st 5 and TT ov 3-1/2.
I am just not impressed with Lincecum. Velocity is down; location is off and confidence is down around the entire clubhouse. Bum pitches great, but just can't hold a late lead. Cain goes on the DL and these guys can't get a clutch hit to save their lives right now. Oh, and they get to face arguably the best lefty in the NL this year (Giants hit 8 points lower vs Lefties this year). Pirates are a confident bunch and I just like the way they are playing. Don't see Timmy holding this bunch down. Buccos don't have great career numbers vs Timmy, but that was against a totally different pitcher and the one time they faced him this year, he only last 4-2/3 giving up 7 hits and 4 runs (2ER).
Giants hitting a collective .167 against Liriano with limited sample size, but this game just feels like a Pirate win.
BOL
J
 
I went under in Seattle. Vargas should be fully up to speed and has good history versus his old team. And Erasmo looked like a G against Texas.
 
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