Last nite went well. Naturally I still did I things I didnt like but 13-3-1 is very good...the 2nd H plays were so-so...they lost money but some of it was a hedge and the others were tough losses basically..
Over 197.5 -110 Charlotte {3units}
Basically this is about the defenses..neither has played much D of late. Charlotte gets to the line alot while putting there opponents on the line alot. Both offenses are growing up and that should be clear why I say that. I would have been on Charlotte for sure @ +2 and probably up to -2.5...-3 or -3.5 seems fair which means no play but would be suprised to see Philly win..the last 9 Char games opps broke 100 seven times and 96,97 the others....Philly same boat really at least 95 mostly more then 100...the only factor I hate is off such high scoring games for them...if it goes under it slides under in the low 190's IMO..
I have no idea what to make of the Pistons at this point. There is no excuse for losses to Charlotte and Atl IMO. If they were playing any defense I would say Under since Boston is struggling to get to 85 ..however they came on late yesterday and maybe with DET playing NO D it carries over....at the end of the day thinking about it Boston is struggling to keep it with 10 pts at home(+6 @ home emans at least +12 in Tor) ...if DET had there shit together this would be at least -15....so on 2nd though there is a ton of value in DET but the value is there thanks to crapping the bed twice...do they have heart...tell me BAR..probably lay the gross number cause we need to realize how bad BOS is.... Simple logic if your willing to lay -6 in Boston with Tor you should be more then willing to lay -12 in DET...
Wash @ SA
Looks like a pass to me...Wash losing 3 staright away but was IMO overlooking NO last nite. However SA defense playing well and Arneas now struggling. I wouldnt touch an over with that scenario but not rushing to take an Under....I think +9 is about right...but still see some value in Wash had they not played last nite...I dont like Wash ineffective bench in this spot...I loaded up on Wash in Pho cause they were playing well and felt the spread got fat..not so here really..
Wolves -3.5 -110 {2units}
I have been on the wrong side of many NJ games recently. However they need Chi to go ice cold to win that last game and I would be suprised to see them beat both Chi and Minny twice...Have to lean Under 186 now thats it risen...Really no concrete beliefs other then I dont believe in this NJ team much...the line should be 4 or 4.5 IMO...so soem value after NJ embarrassed Chion national TV in the 2nd H....
Be back with the rest 8:30 and after
Over 197.5 -110 Charlotte {3units}
Basically this is about the defenses..neither has played much D of late. Charlotte gets to the line alot while putting there opponents on the line alot. Both offenses are growing up and that should be clear why I say that. I would have been on Charlotte for sure @ +2 and probably up to -2.5...-3 or -3.5 seems fair which means no play but would be suprised to see Philly win..the last 9 Char games opps broke 100 seven times and 96,97 the others....Philly same boat really at least 95 mostly more then 100...the only factor I hate is off such high scoring games for them...if it goes under it slides under in the low 190's IMO..
I have no idea what to make of the Pistons at this point. There is no excuse for losses to Charlotte and Atl IMO. If they were playing any defense I would say Under since Boston is struggling to get to 85 ..however they came on late yesterday and maybe with DET playing NO D it carries over....at the end of the day thinking about it Boston is struggling to keep it with 10 pts at home(+6 @ home emans at least +12 in Tor) ...if DET had there shit together this would be at least -15....so on 2nd though there is a ton of value in DET but the value is there thanks to crapping the bed twice...do they have heart...tell me BAR..probably lay the gross number cause we need to realize how bad BOS is.... Simple logic if your willing to lay -6 in Boston with Tor you should be more then willing to lay -12 in DET...
Wash @ SA
Looks like a pass to me...Wash losing 3 staright away but was IMO overlooking NO last nite. However SA defense playing well and Arneas now struggling. I wouldnt touch an over with that scenario but not rushing to take an Under....I think +9 is about right...but still see some value in Wash had they not played last nite...I dont like Wash ineffective bench in this spot...I loaded up on Wash in Pho cause they were playing well and felt the spread got fat..not so here really..
Wolves -3.5 -110 {2units}
I have been on the wrong side of many NJ games recently. However they need Chi to go ice cold to win that last game and I would be suprised to see them beat both Chi and Minny twice...Have to lean Under 186 now thats it risen...Really no concrete beliefs other then I dont believe in this NJ team much...the line should be 4 or 4.5 IMO...so soem value after NJ embarrassed Chion national TV in the 2nd H....
Be back with the rest 8:30 and after
