Saturday - Fondybadger's - Week 5 CFB

Fondybadger

CTG Partner
As I do every week I'll be updating the first post here with all of my plays. Write-ups for most games can be found further down the thread as I finishing them...

2006 College Football 111-89-5 +$2085

Week 1 37-33-1 +$286
Week 2 26-25-2 +$757
Week 3 19-6-2 +$1357
Week 4
25-20 +$13
Week 5
4-5 -$328

Favorites 66-57-7 +$800

1H Faves 25-23 +$106

Faves 41-34-7 +$694

Money Lines 2-3 +$98

Dogs 25-16-1 +$780
1H Dogs 1-2 -$147
2H Dogs 2-0 +$155
Dogs 22-14-1 +$772

Overs 9-8 -$27
1H OVER 4-3 +$54
Over 5-5 -$81

Unders 9-5 +$434
1H Under 2-0 +$100
Under 7-5 +$334

Saturday Plays 25-24-1 -$15.25

1Q Faves 1-0 +$28.75
1H Faves 6-8 -$668
Faves 12-10-1 +$540
1H Dogs 0-1 -$83
Dogs 4-1 +$395
Over 1-1 +$45
1H Over 1-0 +$50
1Q Over 0-1 -$20

Under 0-2 -$303

L $100 Miami -14
L $100 SDST -2.5
L $100 USC -16
L $400 Georgia -17
L $100 Arizona -3
L $75 Fresno State -14
L $100 Va Tech -10
L $125 Michigan State -26
L $175 Rutgers -4
L $75 Ohio -7
P $100 Syracuse -6
W $150 Northern Illinois -6
W $75 UAB -6
W $150 Ohio State -6.5 -105
W
$350 Michigan -7 -103
W $150 Nevada -6.5
W $300 California -10
W $200 Wisconsin -10
W $150 California -8.5
W $75 Tenny -13

W $150 Penn State -16.5
W $175 Florida -14 +100
W $100 Oregon -2

W $200 Nebraska 1H -13
W $200 Ohio State 1H -3 (bought .5)
W $200 Michigan 1H -6
W $100 California 1H -5
w $350 Wisconsin 1H -6
w $125 LSU 1H -18.5
L $200 USC 1H -9.5
L $500 Vandy 1H -20

L $250 Georgia 1H -10
L $300 Michigan State 1H -14
L $100 Rutgers 1H -2.5
L $75 Va Tech 1H -6
L $100 Penn State 1H -10
L $150 Miami 1H -9.5
W $25 Rutgers 1Q -0.5 +115

W $50 Baylor +1

W $175 Oredon +3 (bought .5)
W $150 Texas Tech +3
W $75 Boise State +5
L $75 Purdue 1H +8
L $50 Stanford +24

W $100 Rut/SF OVER 41.5
W $50 Rut/SF 1H OVER 20.5
L $20 Rut/SF 1Q OVER 7.5 +107
L $50 BS/Utah OVER 49

L $50 Idaho/Utah State under 44.5
L $225 Wisconsin/Indiana under 42

GOOD LUCK THIS WEEK...

 
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Early Line Plays
$300 Auburn -10 -120
$350 Michigan -7 (Argh missed the 6.5) -103
$175 Florida -14 (missed the 13) +100
$150 Ohio State -6.5 -105
$150 Nevada -6.5

Leans
TCU -6
Penn State -16.5
Michigan State -23.5
Purdue +17
Idaho/Utah State No Play
Utah -5
USC -15 (want -14)
Texas A&M
Stanford +22.5
Vandy 1H (whatever it's at)
Virginia Tech (if it keeps dropping)
Arizona -3
Oregon -1
 
I am already on 3 of your first 5 early lean plays. Nice to see that! :cheers:
 
$300 Auburn -10 -120
This is as much of a fade on South Carolina as it is a play on Auburn. Auburn is a much better team this year than I thought they would be. I'll be making this a 1H play as well if the line doesn't go up too much and I can get it at -7 or better...

$350 Michigan -7 -103
Michigan impressed me with how they stuck it to Wisky after a few early game bumps. They're one of the top teams in the country, and I completely believe that now. I don't see a let down this week at Minny, as Minny has been overrated so far this season playing cupcakes.

$175 Florida -14 +100
Fading Bama

$150 Ohio State -6.5 -105
Ohio State keeps proving they're the best team in the nation. Yes, this will be the toughest game for them until Michigan, but they know that and I don't see a let down. Getting it under a TD is a G-I-F-T to me...

$150 Nevada -6.5
Fading UNLV and they impressed me with how good they were against Northwestern.

 
TCU -6 yes
Penn State -16.5 yes
Michigan State -23.5 maaaaaybe
Purdue +17 maybe
Idaho/Utah State No Playidaho
Utah -5 no opinion yet
USC -15 (want -14) yes -14
Texas A&M not betting againt tt
Stanford +22.5 no
Vandy 1H (whatever it's at) sure why not
Virginia Tech (if it keeps dropping)stayig away i think
Arizona -3 thinking no but i can be persuaded if you present a valid argument
Oregon -1 definety yes
 
Can I get some information on this UNLV team. Not familiar with them at all, Have watched Nevada this yr though and I feel alright about them. How is the status of QB Rowe? Saw him get up and than stumble back and fall in the last 4min of that game. Mild concussion?
 
Fondy what made you think Auburn wouldnt be this good this year? Not sure about that statement.
 
abcs--thelegend said:
Fondy what made you think Auburn wouldnt be this good this year? Not sure about that statement.

That was one of those they do good when you don't expect them, and when you think they're going to be decent they don't do as well as you thought they will...
 
Games I plan on hitting...
Southern Miss
Nebraska
Wisky -10 or less
Miami
Syracuse
Ohio
Cal under 14
Georgia (total is 35 - and I think Georgia wins by 4 tds+)
I see Tenny being overvalued
UTEP to bounce back
 
How long was Auburn at 10....like 5 minutes?

Already at 14.5.....

Florida down to 13, Michigan up to 9.

K-State +3==============MONEY
 
aplous said:
How long was Auburn at 10....like 5 minutes?

Already at 14.5.....

Florida down to 13, Michigan up to 9.

K-State +3==============MONEY

No clue - didn't know the damn lines were up until I went from the NFL forum to the CFB forum and read rjurewitz sunday morning coffee thread... logged in right away and went to work.

Couple of those lines are moving against me... Nevada went down 2 points too...
 
TroyStacks said:
wow your on that pretty big
RambleOn has been talking them up to me all day - and with Horn on them as well I may go on them a bit more... after what Wake Forest did to them without their starting RB and QB that said all I needed to know what to expect out of them...
 
Don't worry about the chalk this week Fondy. These are some good plays. I think after last week's dogs that Vegas is balancing out with chalk this week. Good luck!
beer.gif
 
SoonerBS said:
Don't worry about the chalk this week Fondy. These are some good plays. I think after last week's dogs that Vegas is balancing out with chalk this week. Good luck!

I tend not to worry about them, just don't like making almost 20 plays and they're all on the favorite. Gonna have to go dog hunting here pretty soon.
 
Hey Fondy. I really like your card again this week.

There are only a few plays there I'm leery of.

1. Michigan - I know this is a revenge game for them, but recent history shows that MICH/MINN play eachother very tough (last 3 games decided by a field goal). Minnesota has the type of offense that can keep Henne and the Wolverine Offense off the field. Of course, I'm also hesitant to play Minnesota because of their extremely suspect defense (where Michigan clearly has an edge).

2. Ohio State - laying almost a TD in Iowa? No way I'm touching this one. Tate is playing, right?

GL this week Fondy. :shake:
 
$150 TCU -5.5
*Looking at both overs on Wednesday night - (46.5 & 37)

Sorry this week I can't do a whole lot of writeups - got me a law school entrance exam on Saturday.
 
GL Nick, I'm definately tailing you this weekend.

Just put in this tasty teaser...

Auburn -1½ (It will take a lot for the Ol'Ball Coach to stay with War Eagle)
Michigan State -13 (Frustration game against Illinois)
Michigan +3 (It'll be another miracle if MN stays within 10)
Georgia -5 (Just got their wakeup call last week)
 
bjorks said:
GL Nick, I'm definately tailing you this weekend.

Just put in this tasty teaser...

Auburn -1½ (It will take a lot for the Ol'Ball Coach to stay with War Eagle)
Michigan State -13 (Frustration game against Illinois)
Michigan +3 (It'll be another miracle if MN stays within 10)
Georgia -5 (Just got their wakeup call last week)

Good Luck Matt - hopefully it's a solid winning weekend.
 
Fondy, good luck with Rutgers tonight! Auburn was tough last night. I had them at -14. I guess I underestimated South Carolina at home. By the way, did you get laid last week? How are the LSAT's coming along? Good luck with both. And of course it goes without saying.. bring in the cash this weekend.
 
Badger.......Tailing yor butt on this one, sir.....Don't know turd about either one....:smiley_acbe:
 
Terpman92 said:
Fondy, good luck with Rutgers tonight! Auburn was tough last night. I had them at -14. I guess I underestimated South Carolina at home. By the way, did you get laid last week? How are the LSAT's coming along? Good luck with both. And of course it goes without saying.. bring in the cash this weekend.

Test is in 15 hours and I could use another week or so. Want to take one more practice exam tonight (about 4 hours) and then go over "hints" they have for writing the essay at the end. I'm pretty sure I'll be alright, just need to get my mind in "test mode" as I haven't done anything scholastically in almost 2 years, and I'll have my mind on CFB. God I'm a true degenerate.

As for last weekend, I didn't know my own name by 3pm Saturday so there was no chance of me doing anything more than drooling on a pillow.
 
Your picks look good! concentrate on the LSAT, best of luck! The Real Estate exam was tough for me. It was the best thing I ever did. As far as getting laid. There's always tomorrow....GO RUTGERS!!!
 
Sometime overnight I'll be adding about 15-20 plays to my card. Have an idea of what I want to go on (mainly 1H), but I need to do some stuff with my LSAT first.

I won't have any time for writeups this week - if there's something you'd like to discuss, don't be afraid to hit me up... I may not be able to answer it because of time, but I'll do my best.
 
A few more Friday night plays...
$100 Rutgers 1H -2.5
$50 Rut/SF 1H OVER 20.5
$100 Rut/SF OVER 41.5
$25 Rutgers 1Q -0.5 +115
$20 Rut/SF 1Q OVER 7.5 +107

I need something to keep me busy tonight seeing I'm not going out at all...
 
ADDING:
$125 Michigan State -26
$100 SDST -2.5
$150 Northern Illinois -6
$100 Va Tech -10
$75 Tenny -13
$200 Nebraska 1H -13
$350 Wisconsin 1H -6 (bought .5)
$300 Michigan State 1H -14
$150 Miami 1H -9.5
$75 Purdue 1H +8
$200 USC 1H -9.5
$125 LSU 1H -18.5
$250 Georgia 1H -10
$500 Vandy 1H -20
$200 Ohio State 1H -3 (bought .5)
$200 Michigan 1H -6
Friday nights game doesn't have me on tilt at all... nope not at all :down:

Thus, don't consider my larger bets meaning I like something better than I have in past weeks. Actually, considering I'm completely stressed out, don't even pay attention to what I have to say.
 
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