Saturday Discussion

nbafan88

nbafan88

Pretty much a regular
BIG play lined up on the over in Zona. If anyone can give me a reason not to let me know. The only thing I could see is the pirates have terrible numbers vs Rubby but that's not a big deal for me. Also it's the second game back home off a long RT for Zona so flat spot is possible...

Headed to the yanks game today. Not sure how this Rays pitcher is. Tanaka should pitch a gem. Great day numbers and good numbers vs the Rays.
 
Last edited:
The total in Detroit seem suspiciously low to anyone else? Both teams' recent scores have been low but still seems low at first glance.

Kluber has not pitched well to begin the year. Lean tiger TT over
 
Is it possible to run a query for the 2nd game back home of a 9+ game road trip? Record & avg runs scored?


I got this...


H and p:site streak <= -9

but how do you make it the second game of the series?
 
Last edited:
p:site streak in [-9,-10] and HF and rest=0 and p:W and pp:W and p:rest=0 and 2007<=season

SU:58-67 (-0.26, 46.4%) avg line: -155.8 / 142.9 on / against: -$4,483 / +$3,640 ROI: -23.0% / +29.1%
RL:43-81 (-1.67, 34.7%) avg line: 140.5 / -152.4 on / against: -$2,152 / +$1,709 ROI: -17.0% / +8.9%
OU:56-61-7 (0.00, 47.9%) avg total: 8.3 over / under: -$995 / -$145 ROI: -7.3% / -1.0%

<tbody>
</tbody>
RunsHitsErrorsWalksStrike OutsGround BallsFly BallsTeam LOB
Team4.18.40.63.56.89.66.67.3
Opp4.39.20.72.87.89.46.57.0

<tbody>
</tbody>
 
@nbafan:it doesn't work for -11 away games and it's also around 20% whatever team is vs divisional or not ,DAY or night ,etc..
clearly for the inertia to work against home team when fav , the home team needs to win its last 2 games (last game@away + game1@home)
 
Loading the gun on ARI OTT: Juan Nicasio: 1.60 WHIP on 5 day rest,16 runs allowed last 4 meetings vs ARI but more importantly he is avg 4 runs in avg off a start when he striked out more players than he allowed hits. opponent TT=7.3 runs
 
Why is everyone so excited about the over in Zona? Rubby destroys righties and pit only had Jaso and Polanco as lefties. Also niscasio is clearly a different pitcher now and remember your queries on him will contain a lot of coors games
 
triceratops said:
Why is everyone so excited about the over in Zona? Rubby destroys righties and pit only had Jaso and Polanco as lefties. Also niscasio is clearly a different pitcher now and remember your queries on him will contain a lot of coors games
Click to expand...


Its really quite simple. The weather.
 
Doing well today so far. Hit Detroit over first 5 Hard and parlaid it with Arizona over. I think I am about to win with WS. I have Cards RL. I am playing Reds first 5. Small over first 5 in Colorado. Still thinking but understand this is a Very bad spot for Lackey.
And they score.
 
triceratops said:
Why is everyone so excited about the over in Zona? Rubby destroys righties and pit only had Jaso and Polanco as lefties. Also niscasio is clearly a different pitcher now and remember your queries on him will contain a lot of coors games
Click to expand...

Rubby doesn't destroy anyone.
 
I gulped and played under in Colly. Maeda's still on a mystery tour of the NL. If Chatwood can keep limiting baserunners and keep the ball down ... one more time, please?
 
triceratops said:
Why is everyone so excited about the over in Zona? Rubby destroys righties and pit only had Jaso and Polanco as lefties. Also niscasio is clearly a different pitcher now and remember your queries on him will contain a lot of coors games
Click to expand...

yeah I'm with tip. He's much better Vs righties (.246 baa) but by no means does he destroy them. He's also been god awful at home. The play is strictly on the roof being open/15+ mph winds out and two teams that are hitting the ball very well.
 
tipyerbartender said:
I gulped and played under in Colly. Maeda's still on a mystery tour of the NL. If Chatwood can keep limiting baserunners and keep the ball down ... one more time, please?
Click to expand...

Chatwood on 5 days rest is scary... With that wind, I'd just feel foolish.... GL though
 
Lets just say if I had studied the game I would have never bet it over but do not consider it anything major.
This game had 2 pitchers who had limited but excellent history vs the other team
Nicasio

<tbody>
[TD="width: 3%"]K'S[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%"]TEAM RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%"]O/U[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%"]O/U RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%"]MONEY LINE[/TD]
[TD="width: 15%"]OPP PITCHER[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%"]04/23/2016[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%"]PIT[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 7%"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%"]@ARI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 7%"]7[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 4%"]5[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 4%"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 4%"]4[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 3%"]4[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%"]9[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%"]U[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%"]-102[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 15%"]R De La Rosa[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%"]04/26/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%"]COL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 7%"]6[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%"]@ARI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 7%"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 4%"]5[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 4%"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 4%"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 3%"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%"]9[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%"]P[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%"]-134[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 15%"]B McCarthy[/TD]

</tbody>
Rubby

<tbody>
[TD="width: 100%"]RUBBY DE LA ROSA'S TEAM IS 1-1 SU IN THESE GAMES.[/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 8%"]DATE[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%"]PITCHED FOR[/TD]
[TD="width: 7%"]RUNS[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%"]OPP[/TD]
[TD="width: 7%"]RUNS[/TD]
[TD="width: 4%"]IP[/TD]
[TD="width: 4%"]ER[/TD]
[TD="width: 4%"]BB[/TD]
[TD="width: 3%"]K'S[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%"]TEAM RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%"]O/U[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%"]O/U RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%"]MONEY LINE[/TD]
[TD="width: 15%"]OPP PITCHER[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%"]04/23/2016[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%"]ARI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 7%"]7[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%"]PIT[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 7%"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 4%"]6[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 4%"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 4%"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 3%"]6[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%"]9[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%"]U[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%"]-102[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 15%"]J Nicasio[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%"]04/25/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%"]ARI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 7%"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%"]PIT[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 7%"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 4%"]7[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 4%"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 4%"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 3%"]8[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%"]9[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%"]U[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%"]122[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 15%"]A Burnett[/TD]

</tbody>
Rubby was off 2 bad games and his team had just lost at home
This tends to be a step up spot
Both teams had had a 8-7 game the night before
Fagan when I looked at his record looked tilted to the under
I watched the game. I did not see any lift from the wind
It was a small bet so really no harm done but it does not make a lot of sense to me
You just have a lot of negatives here
 
tipyerbartender said:
I gulped and played under in Colly. Maeda's still on a mystery tour of the NL. If Chatwood can keep limiting baserunners and keep the ball down ... one more time, please?
Click to expand...

I understand where you are coming from but history says that the vast majority of new pitchers at Colorado get blasted and the games go over. I was not sure myself here so I made a small first half bet over and upgraded this guy a lot after watching.
Good call certainly better than mine
 
Didn't see the maeda numbers before but on wikipedia he is 2.60 ERA lifetime when he was in NPB league (hiroshima carps). runs/game is less than in MLB but this guy is a beast

i shouldn't take automatically over in coors when first pitcher career start if guy is an ace. just gonna do it for an average pitcher
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

2daBank
Sunday discussion thread
Replies
23
Views
127
2daBank
2daBank
VirginiaCavs
Sunday Picks Preview Article
Replies
5
Views
56
2daBank
2daBank
VirginiaCavs
Royals vs. Pirates Preview Article
Replies
6
Views
72
2daBank
2daBank
2daBank
Rest of mlb reg season discussion
2 3 4 5
Replies
232
Views
1K
bulldogs
B
Wiretowire
MLB Tuesday 5/18
Replies
7
Views
210
KJ
KJ
Back
Top