Saratoga Race Course Week #7 Discussion.....

What a meet for Tony Dutrow, won The Alabama, great percentage as he has done past few meets but 16 starters and 15 in the money is insane
 
@andyserling
Imagine what the finish would have been if Capriana had been ridden out of the gate to get her position going forward? That was embarrassing
 
I was looking to single #4 in the 5th in the multi's, he looked 4-6 lengths better than the rest
 
R7 I'll see if any 1sters take serious money but looking at the ones that have had a race..#1,5,11
 
Seems like there should be a honest pace in R8 with possible speeds of 2,7,8,9 and 10,11,12 all exit pace less races
 
Saturday @ The Spa 9/5

R1:

#7, Rudy is going good as of late and this one is off the claim, ran vs better in last and 3rd place finisher came back to win

#6 exits two tough trips

#3 is 15-1 ml but has a chance and also exits two tough trips

R2:

#8 goes dirt to turf and stretches out for Donegal Racing (Paddy O Prado and Travers winner Keen Ice) for best stretch out trainer in the game. Turf breeding is there , 2nd dam Possibly Perfect was a six time G1 winner.

#9 big time turf breeding and Clement is 3 for 7 $10.77 ROI L5 years @ Saratoga with 2YO 1sters in turf routes.

#6 stretching out for Motion figures, 2nd place finisher won on Thursday

#2 is a capable 1ster for Weaver
 
R3:

#1 I'm against the likely favorite, exits race vs suspect field and Chad is awful with these types, 1 for 17 last 5 years 2nd time starter, won debut dirt

#2 is live at a price imo, as mentioned Rudy is going good. .turf to dirt and 2nd off layoff, prior two dirt races were respectable finishes in stakes company, tough trip last dirt race (2 back)

#4 figures for Godolphin/McLaughlin

#6 had early trouble and not much pace to run into in last
 
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R4:

#9 Shug coming back on short rest and going turf route debut to 7F dirt likely means he just wanted a distance race for debut and they don't run these longer dirt sprints for 2YO until the end of the meet, Shug is much better 2nd out than he is with his 1sters.

#3 2nd time starter just missed in debut, $575k yearling purchase is half to G1 winner Justin Phillip , half to Keyed Entry, full to G3 Algorithms

#2 $210k 2YO in training purchase debuts for Rice, and should show speed with Jose Ortiz

#7 has three winners of $100k or more in 2nd family

#4 can't count Rudy out, especially at a price
 
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R5:

#6 appears to be the lone speed

#7 is off the claim for Joe Sharp, he's 4 for 15 $3.05 ROI off the claim on turf. Win on Spa turf and 2 for 3 at the distance.

#1 also off the claim, tough trip in last and now adds Lasix. Serpe is just under 30% off the claim on turf last 5 years ($3.42 ROI)
 
R6:

#1 Motion is dangerous 1st NA start with lasix, same connections Main Sequence, Irad rides

#3 live at a price off layoff for Tagg who has had a great meet, stakes race 2 back off maiden win 3 back shows he's high on this 3 yo gelding

#6 the way the turf courses have been playing could be dangerous front end speed, especially adding blinkers

#7 2nd off long layoff, 2nd time Lasix, wide post and trip in last, likely to show improvement today as Beyers have increased in all four career starts

#8 is a possibility based on 1st turf in last
 
R7:

#3 third career start so race experience on others, win early sire, good 2YO trainer, caught chasing wide in last now draws closer to the inside than previous two starts

#10 appears to be a dangerous 1ster for Weaver, training up a storm with very solid workouts, most recent 5F bullet 59.4 from the gate is a sign that could be going to the front and could prove to be dangerous speed

#1 is a 2nd time starter going turf route to dirt sprint for Motion and Irad

#2 is a Godolphin 1ster, dam is a half to Bird Town and Birdstone

#5 can't count Rudy out, 15-1 ml
 
R8:

#3 is a likely short price winner for Chad/Irad/Klaravich

But another Chad/Klaravich #1 is like a trip horse of all trip horses, 7/18 R7 @ Delaware - banged around at the start, widest turn 1, wide rush up move on backside and forced to check, lost more ground, wide whole way, lost tons of ground while racing wide around turn 2, very strong stretch run and just missed by half length vs winner that had a jump on him, considering trip and fact he galloped out way past winner he was tons the best.
 
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