December 16th
UAB -11.0 ($125)
UAB TT Over 28.0 ($225)
Troy +2.5 ($175)
Bahamas Bowl:
This is with the working understanding that McBride is not going to play in this game. UAB is still dominant running the football. If McBride doesn't play then Jermain Brown will get the start and he still ran for 832 yds on 142 carries this year. 5.9 yards per carry. UAB has ran the ball for over 220 yds in every game except for LSU and Rice. Miami's rush defense has struggled down the stretch. In their last three games against Ohio, NIU and Bowling Green they gave up 659 rushing yds on 111 carries. That is 219 yds per game at a 5.93 yd per carry clip. Bottom line is that UAB should be able to run the ball at will which should allow Dylan Hopkins to be in favorable 2nd and 3rd positions. Honestly this is about UAB taken care of the football and finishing drives. If they do that then they should cover the number.
Prediction: UAB 38 Miami 17
CURE Bowl:
Troy's defensive front should be the key to this game. Can they eliminate the run threat from UTSA and make them one dimensional and secondly can they continue to get pressure on Harris. Troy had 39 sacks this year. Including 7 against Marshall and 5 against WKU. The two games in which UTSA was forced to become one dimensional were Houston (only 104 rushing yds) and UTEP (only 76 rushing yds) they lost to Houston by 2 and beat UTEP by 3.
On the other side of the ball, Troy will need to protect the QB better (40 sacks allowed this season) although UTSA averages only 1.5 sacks per game. Gunnar Watson will need to protect the ball. UTSA gives up 405 yards per game including 7 games this year where they gave up 450+ yds. I think Troy is a better version of UAB this year and that was 31-31 at the end of regulation.
Prediction: Troy 28 UTSA 27
Good luck to all.
UAB -11.0 ($125)
UAB TT Over 28.0 ($225)
Troy +2.5 ($175)
Bahamas Bowl:
This is with the working understanding that McBride is not going to play in this game. UAB is still dominant running the football. If McBride doesn't play then Jermain Brown will get the start and he still ran for 832 yds on 142 carries this year. 5.9 yards per carry. UAB has ran the ball for over 220 yds in every game except for LSU and Rice. Miami's rush defense has struggled down the stretch. In their last three games against Ohio, NIU and Bowling Green they gave up 659 rushing yds on 111 carries. That is 219 yds per game at a 5.93 yd per carry clip. Bottom line is that UAB should be able to run the ball at will which should allow Dylan Hopkins to be in favorable 2nd and 3rd positions. Honestly this is about UAB taken care of the football and finishing drives. If they do that then they should cover the number.
Prediction: UAB 38 Miami 17
CURE Bowl:
Troy's defensive front should be the key to this game. Can they eliminate the run threat from UTSA and make them one dimensional and secondly can they continue to get pressure on Harris. Troy had 39 sacks this year. Including 7 against Marshall and 5 against WKU. The two games in which UTSA was forced to become one dimensional were Houston (only 104 rushing yds) and UTEP (only 76 rushing yds) they lost to Houston by 2 and beat UTEP by 3.
On the other side of the ball, Troy will need to protect the QB better (40 sacks allowed this season) although UTSA averages only 1.5 sacks per game. Gunnar Watson will need to protect the ball. UTSA gives up 405 yards per game including 7 games this year where they gave up 450+ yds. I think Troy is a better version of UAB this year and that was 31-31 at the end of regulation.
Prediction: Troy 28 UTSA 27
Good luck to all.
