Rest of May Discussion Thread

Huge series for this holiday weekend down in Detroit.

First meeting since the playoffs.

Bibee and Flaherty am excellent match to start the series.

Light card today, but once again they space out Thursdays very nicely!
 
Over and Laa in sacramento look good....the over especially. Neither pitcher has looked that good thus far and Severino has very different splits (worse) at home vs away. Some wind looks to be helping.

Biggest pause is severino has bad aplits at home vs lefty batters and Laa has few of them. Might look at a H-R-rbi prop on schnauel. And maybe sodestrom for bases and hits.
 
Anyone know who the Brewers are throwing today? The Pirates haven’t scored more than 4 runs since April 22. Might go under their team total but can’t find a Brewers pitcher.
 
From what i have read...both the Milw and Pit guys are callups. Both had decent aaa numbers, but you never know how the bats will respond.

IT would be undet or nothing for sure... maybe a pit tt 1st 5 under
 
slim5150 said:
From what i have read...both the Milw and Pit guys are callups. Both had decent aaa numbers, but you never know how the bats will respond.

IT would be undet or nothing for sure... maybe a pit tt 1st 5 under
Click to expand...
Was just thinking some call up guys have to pitch against LAD, ATL, NYY, etc

Then some get PIT and MIL. Those guys have to be stoked.
 
The last Milw callup that pitched last week had a great start. I dont think Milw is gonna call up a dud and give away a winnable game.

On the other side, Pit hasnt showed much, outside of IKF and Cruz(sometimes) to try and figure out if they will have any offensive success. I did win with them the other day against Cincy, but looking at the box score they shouldnt have won.
 
Been discussing this with people today like it's prehistoric. Wonder what those cardboard fans would go for on Ebay today.

1748023299165.png
 
Like that laa side myself. I keep thinking alcantara is going to figure things out. He may, bit i dont know if it will be tonight.

Neither pitcher has seen much of either lineups hitters.

Hard to ignore the hotness that are the angels tonight. One i do like is alcantara ov 5.5 hits +115. I played that by itself...then parlayed it with alcantara ov 1.5 walks. That pays 260. Ill stay with that
 
Just a note ..

Tigers and Indians first pitch is 11:35 am tomorrow morning.

WHY?

Apparently this is the ROKU game of the week.

That's cute.

So I look at the next few weeks and the ROKU games are both 1:05 those Sundays.

Three weeks from now the Tigers are back on ROKU. Sure enough, move that first pitch up to 12:10.

That's annoying for families tomorrow on a Sunday morning with services etc part of the day.
 
B.A.R. said:
Just a note ..

Tigers and Indians first pitch is 11:35 am tomorrow morning.

WHY?

Apparently this is the ROKU game of the week.

That's cute.

So I look at the next few weeks and the ROKU games are both 1:05 those Sundays.

Three weeks from now the Tigers are back on ROKU. Sure enough, move that first pitch up to 12:10.

That's annoying for families tomorrow on a Sunday morning with services etc part of the day.
Click to expand...
If I'm not mistaken, I remember them doing this on APPLE + Or Peacock Channel before. So now maybe ROKU bought the rights to it?!
 
Some pitcher props I like today.

Fedde ov 16.5 outs. 1 actually got 15.5 early but I’m fine w 16.5 also since he tends to be terrible or pretty good, could go either way vs o’s but he has pitched well in this park and against these guys last few years when they were actually hitting!

Ryne Nelson ov 14.5 outs. If you can’t go 5 innings vs pirates you shouldn’t be starting.

Crochet ov 6.5 k’s

Gavin Williams ov 6.5 k’s

Palmquist ov 14.5 outs. Little risky but agree with @VirginiaCavs take on him, most the scary hitters on cubs are lefties which should help him, wind blowing in should help, and just the fact they set this total at 7.5 with this kid era and cubs ability to light up scoreboard kinda screams he will be a lot better today.
 
2daBank said:
Some pitcher props I like today.

Fedde ov 16.5 outs. 1 actually got 15.5 early but I’m fine w 16.5 also since he tends to be terrible or pretty good, could go either way vs o’s but he has pitched well in this park and against these guys last few years when they were actually hitting!

Ryne Nelson ov 14.5 outs. If you can’t go 5 innings vs pirates you shouldn’t be starting.

Crochet ov 6.5 k’s

Gavin Williams ov 6.5 k’s

Palmquist ov 14.5 outs. Little risky but agree with @VirginiaCavs take on him, most the scary hitters on cubs are lefties which should help him, wind blowing in should help, and just the fact they set this total at 7.5 with this kid era and cubs ability to light up scoreboard kinda screams he will be a lot better today.
Click to expand...
There he is!
 
Win4L said:
There he is!
Click to expand...

I been around, still been betting more days than not, posting a little in nba cause why not post where I’m clueless! Lol. Just have some days where I feel a redic sadness and don’t feel like talking as much as you know I do bout bases! Lol. Hopefully it get better w time. Good to see ya buddy
 
Love me some davers ov 1.5 h/r/rbi on the hitter front.


I did love Suzuki until @VirginiaCavs pointed out the wind situation and I saw total. Bet to late already bet him ov 1.5 all way up to 3.5 h/r/RBI. Hopefully few guys get on for him.
 
Suzuki the 3rd player in a row I had double w guy on 1st, not get the rbi and not get drove in. The other 2 didn’t do shit else rest of game, hopefully it not same for him. All a damn sudden total bases cashing while I’m playing damn h/r/rbi, fuck
 
Crochet and palmquist both cash, Fedde probably not gonna make it, mostly cause cards d has let him down in a couple big spots. Of course Suzuki did just what I feared, after that asshat on 1st didn’t score on his double and then nobody got him home he hasn’t done jack shit since, that pretty much been the trend on my hitter props lately, or in devers case he has walked multiple times so not much chance to do damage.
 
Hopefully Gavin Williams can punch out a bunch of dodgers and I feel really good about the Nelson out prop, if those 2 cash be a pretty good day. If you only playing 1 mlb play tonight hit that Nelson over 14.5 out total, that should be cake.
 
Damn, without those cardinals errors think Fedde woulda been in good position to cash, as is I doubt he comes out in 6th.
 
I couldn’t imagine what you are/have been going through.

Nothing better than waking up and reading your thoughts on the games.

Glad to hear you are hanging in there. 1 day at a time.

Cheers bro.
 
Win4L said:
I couldn’t imagine what you are/have been going through.

Nothing better than waking up and reading your thoughts on the games.

Glad to hear you are hanging in there. 1 day at a time.

Cheers bro.
Click to expand...

Appreciate it bro. Yea it ain’t been easy, on one hand I’m glad she not suffering anymore but I still miss her a lot. Still not done getting house together and trying to put het stuff up, I start working on it and I come across something that just makes me incredibly sad and I gotta stop. Also I spent the better part the last 2 years taking care of her so now I really dunno wtf to do with myself, just trying to figure things out, I’ve never felt like such a emotional wreck/pussy! Lol
 
2daBank said:
Appreciate it bro. Yea it ain’t been easy, on one hand I’m glad she not suffering anymore but I still miss her a lot. Still not done getting house together and trying to put het stuff up, I start working on it and I come across something that just makes me incredibly sad and I gotta stop. Also I spent the better part the last 2 years taking care of her so now I really dunno wtf to do with myself, just trying to figure things out, I’ve never felt like such a emotional wreck/pussy! Lol
Click to expand...
No doubt that must be hard. I guess you just gotta try to keep busy. Easier said than done obviously.
 
Like just now, I get a miracle where Sox actually get it to devers in 9th with man on amd these cock suckers intentionally walk him for his 3rd stinking walk of game. It hard to cash a hitter prop when they won’t give him anything to hit!
 
Nelson is cruising, 3 outs from a nice easy cash! Thought his total outs was crazy low! I assume it just cause he hasn’t been starting but he got a start under his belt last game, pirates offense awful, and go back and look at his last season as starter, he went 5+ like 90% his starts, hopefully he keeps getting starts and takes them awhile to adjust!!
 
  • Like
Reactions: KJ
2daBank said:
Nelson is cruising, 3 outs from a nice easy cash! Thought his total outs was crazy low! I assume it just cause he hasn’t been starting but he got a start under his belt last game, pirates offense awful, and go back and look at his last season as starter, he went 5+ like 90% his starts, hopefully he keeps getting starts and takes them awhile to adjust!!
Click to expand...
Yeah and he doesn't walk many either. Weird total.
 
KJ said:
Yeah and he doesn't walk many either. Weird total.
Click to expand...

Might been one the easiest out totals I ever hit!

This game going really well, I have Marte and Suarez h/t/rbi both already cashed also. Need Cruz to get one more h/r/or rbi for clean sweep
 
Some more pitcher props as I’m playing lot more props than sides lately w all ths places I can play props at.

Joe Ryan ov 5.5 k’s.. has hit this in 6 of 9, close to 13% swinging strike and playing a rays team w plenty of swing and miss.

Hunter brown ov 6.5 k’s.. how can you not play him? Dude is probably the best pitcher in baseball this year, his swinging strike could be higher but he has went 7 plus k’s in 7 of 10 and did anyone watch what Phillies pitchers did striking out this Oakland lineup, lot of free swingers.

Burnes ov 18.5 outs. Kinda rare I play guys to pitch 6+ innings and on the year he has only went over this a few times, it just so happens he has went 7 vs lad 2x the last 3. Now he gets the light hitting pirates, I expect quicker outs not a lot of deep counts with guys getting out on the cutter. In 130ish at bats pirate collective hit below the Mendoza line vs him. After watching Nelson last night (man that was an easy number to beat!) I wouldn’t be shocked if Burnes went 8-9 innings as he been fantastic as home this year with a 1.48 era. Historically he gets better when we get to this point in the season and that has certainly held true this year as he been dominant his last 4 starts 2 against lad. Think it worth playing him to pitch into the 7th here.
 
2daBank said:
Some more pitcher props as I’m playing lot more props than sides lately w all ths places I can play props at.

Joe Ryan ov 5.5 k’s.. has hit this in 6 of 9, close to 13% swinging strike and playing a rays team w plenty of swing and miss.

Hunter brown ov 6.5 k’s.. how can you not play him? Dude is probably the best pitcher in baseball this year, his swinging strike could be higher but he has went 7 plus k’s in 7 of 10 and did anyone watch what Phillies pitchers did striking out this Oakland lineup, lot of free swingers.

Burnes ov 18.5 outs. Kinda rare I play guys to pitch 6+ innings and on the year he has only went over this a few times, it just so happens he has went 7 vs lad 2x the last 3. Now he gets the light hitting pirates, I expect quicker outs not a lot of deep counts with guys getting out on the cutter. In 130ish at bats pirate collective hit below the Mendoza line vs him. After watching Nelson last night (man that was an easy number to beat!) I wouldn’t be shocked if Burnes went 8-9 innings as he been fantastic as home this year with a 1.48 era. Historically he gets better when we get to this point in the season and that has certainly held true this year as he been dominant his last 4 starts 2 against lad. Think it worth playing him to pitch into the 7th here.
Click to expand...
Good stuff
 
Max Meyer at 4.5 k’s is def worth a look, my only real hesitation is I think there a chance pads get to him and on top of that they a pretty low strikeout team for this era anyways. That said Meyer stuff is certainly good enough to warrant a 5.5 in most starts, he is punching out 10 per 9 innings. He is without a doubt a product of the new age pitching, he only throws 22% fastballs despite being mid 90s but he loves throwing the slider, almost 50% the time! Pads have 4 guys in the lineup that slug close to .500 or better vs sliders this season plus Merrill who hasn’t seen any this year was also in that range when he saw them last year, that a little scary for Max. At same time they also have 4-5 guys with a 30% or higher whiff rate vs them. So you kinda see the dillemma, just a matter of how deep he pitches. If pads don’t get to him early and he is able to go 5+ innings I expect he probably cashes but there certainly a chance he gets run by the 5th.
 
2daBank said:
Some more pitcher props as I’m playing lot more props than sides lately w all ths places I can play props at.

Joe Ryan ov 5.5 k’s.. has hit this in 6 of 9, close to 13% swinging strike and playing a rays team w plenty of swing and miss.

Hunter brown ov 6.5 k’s.. how can you not play him? Dude is probably the best pitcher in baseball this year, his swinging strike could be higher but he has went 7 plus k’s in 7 of 10 and did anyone watch what Phillies pitchers did striking out this Oakland lineup, lot of free swingers.

Burnes ov 18.5 outs. Kinda rare I play guys to pitch 6+ innings and on the year he has only went over this a few times, it just so happens he has went 7 vs lad 2x the last 3. Now he gets the light hitting pirates, I expect quicker outs not a lot of deep counts with guys getting out on the cutter. In 130ish at bats pirate collective hit below the Mendoza line vs him. After watching Nelson last night (man that was an easy number to beat!) I wouldn’t be shocked if Burnes went 8-9 innings as he been fantastic as home this year with a 1.48 era. Historically he gets better when we get to this point in the season and that has certainly held true this year as he been dominant his last 4 starts 2 against lad. Think it worth playing him to pitch into the 7th here.
Click to expand...
We need one more for Brown in Houston.

6 through 3 innings. Let's go!

Played those two you posted and added Jack in Detroit tonight. He bounced back strong.

Ryan just missed!

Take a 2-1 night. Thanks for these write-ups.
 
B.A.R. said:
We need one more for Brown in Houston.

6 through 3 innings. Let's go!

Played those two you posted and added Jack in Detroit tonight. He bounced back strong.

Ryan just missed!

Take a 2-1 night. Thanks for these write-ups.
Click to expand...

Kinda feel like Rocco cheated us w Ryan, 85 pitches , had gotten better as game went on and was at the softest spot in lineup, really no damn reason other than Rocco being a nitwit we didn’t cash that one. Nothing new tho.

I can never figure Flaherty out, that been going on forever, good move.

I don’t have time to do the day games today but maybe a few later.
 
Under Pitt/Az should be good, no? Two studs pitching, coming off an over. Buying up to under 8.5 -150 looks like a good parlay partner.

What early teams avoids the series sweep? Giants, Indians or White Sox? Leaning Indians at + money (blindly, not knowing much about Allard). Don't want any part of fading Detroit or trusting White Sox to do anything vs. Mets.
 
laopadak said:
Under Pitt/Az should be good, no? Two studs pitching, coming off an over. Buying up to under 8.5 -150 looks like a good parlay partner.

What early teams avoids the series sweep? Giants, Indians or White Sox? Leaning Indians at + money (blindly, not knowing much about Allard). Don't want any part of fading Detroit or trusting White Sox to do anything vs. Mets.
Click to expand...

@bulldogs been tracking pirates unders, think they something like 14-2-1 last 17? Hard to argue but I’d prob want to make sure roof closed, I dunno what the temps like in zona these days? Without digging in I’d say If roof was open that number would scare me, roof closed it prob a pretty good play.
 
laopadak said:
Under Pitt/Az should be good, no? Two studs pitching, coming off an over. Buying up to under 8.5 -150 looks like a good parlay partner.

What early teams avoids the series sweep? Giants, Indians or White Sox? Leaning Indians at + money (blindly, not knowing much about Allard). Don't want any part of fading Detroit or trusting White Sox to do anything vs. Mets.
Click to expand...

I might look at cle team total, Kershaw looks like a complete shell of himself these days, I assume this a pen game for cle with allard making 1st start of year he can’t be stretched out to go more than a few innings. I hate openers cause I have no clue who will be following the 1st guy so can’t really cap it.
 
The pen game might work out better vs lad, the last week I’ve seen a few games the starter gets Ohtani the 1st at bat but he sees most their pitches then he takes them yard in his 2nd at bat, dude is so good! I just hate not knowing who will be pitching after allard leaves and while not letting the top dodgers lineup see a pitcher more than 1 at bat could work out well you also gotta worry bout the fact if 5-6 guys pitch what the odds they are all good vs this lineup?
 
Ramirez on a 20 game hit streak I think, he is obviously seeing the ball really well, he 2 for 6 with a bomb off Kershaw and I’m gonna assume those at bats came against a better version of him. Kinda like his over total bases but he has been a much better hitter at night than day games this year. For his career his ops in day is about 40 points worse but he still above .800, this season in day games his ops below .700 while it over 1.000 at night! That kinda makes that a pass I guess, that sucks cause I like riding hitters props who this hot.
 
Shane smith has actually been pretty good for the chisox. 4.5 k’s isn’t a bad number to play him, he has a swinging strike rate above 12% which about my benchmark for considering over 5.5 so some value in over 4.5 imo, his k:bb rate been better in day games where he punching out about 1 per inning, so if he can go 5+ innings good chance he hits. Mets have quite a few left handed bats in lineup, his k% not quite as high vs lefties but he actually holds them to a lower ops, he has a really good change up so makes sense as that about the best weapon a rhp has vs lefties imo.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

VirginiaCavs
Monday Discussion Thread
Replies
41
Views
656
2daBank
2daBank
Wiretowire
MLB Tuesday 4/15
Replies
8
Views
565
2daBank
2daBank
T
Wednesday, 5/14/25
Replies
4
Views
97
TStar
T
B.A.R.
The 2025 Masters Tournament Discussion Thread
3 4 5 6 7
Replies
348
Views
4K
KJ
KJ
B.A.R.
NBA Postseason Discussion...
Replies
2
Views
225
B.A.R.
B.A.R.
Back
Top