2daBank
Voice of Reason
Shane smith has actually been pretty good for the chisox. 4.5 k’s isn’t a bad number to play him, he has a swinging strike rate above 12% which about my benchmark for considering over 5.5 so some value in over 4.5 imo, his k:bb rate been better in day games where he punching out about 1 per inning, so if he can go 5+ innings good chance he hits. Mets have quite a few left handed bats in lineup, his k% not quite as high vs lefties but he actually holds them to a lower ops, he has a really good change up so makes sense as that about the best weapon a rhp has vs lefties imo.
Looks like could be some rain heading to New York, that probably will keep me off this, to bad cause I do think he has a pretty good chance to punch out 5+, he has hit 5 or more in 5 his last 6 starts so I guess maybe just hold off and see what weather looks like before 1st pitch.