Playoffs 2016

Thanks inZane. Been a slow, steady burn back down to the bottom ever since that OT game in Miami at the top of the page (probably should have taken that as a sign of things to come). Good luck to you as well.

:beer4:
 
YTD: 33-27-1, +2.51

Sunday:

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NBA, Basketball
Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder , Sun 22/16 05:00 PM
Total Over 110.5 for 1st Half -120

*2 UNITS*

*I'm nothing if not stubborn: 10 regular season matchups the last 3 years producing an average of 119.0 1H points, and somehow I've gotten shafted with 107 and 106 through the first 2 games of this series. If they actually decide to fly out of the gate for a change (47 and 48 the 1Q, 59 in each 2Q), this should hit with ease; if not, well...

And a bonus pick, as I'm about to head out to the game (be surprised if there's even a goal)...

USA - North American Soccer League, Soccer
Ottawa Fury FC vs Jacksonville Armada , Sun 22/16 11:00 AM
Total Under 2.5 for Match -118


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YTD: 34-27-1, +4.51

Monday:

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NBA, Basketball
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors , Mon 23/16 05:35 PM
Total Under 198.5 for Game -129


*Three decent line judges for the under in this one... Plus, with the novelty of being back home likely to wear off, not expecting the Raptors to come out on fire on offense for a 2nd game in a row (not sure that's even happened all playoffs). Cleveland obviously going to pick up the slack a bit but, at the pace this series is being played at, don't think this lands much higher than the mid-180's.

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Thanks BJ.
 
Going to post some soccer in here as well. Obviously going to need to run the table, but it is what it is...

Sweden - Allsvenskan, Soccer
Gefle vs AIK Solna , Mon 23/16 10:00 AM
Total Over 2.5 for Match -141

Sweden - Allsvenskan, Soccer
Malmo Mon 23/16 10:00 AM
Spread (or run line) -1.75 for Match -132


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Adding:

NBA, Basketball
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors , Mon 23/16 05:35 PM
Toronto Raptors Under 49 for 1st Half -111


*No bueno on the soccer front (1-1-1, -0.91). Thanks for nothing Malmo... Anyways, just looking at the game book from Saturday's game three, hard to expect the same kind of offensive output to start the game from the Raptors. a) DeRozan with 21 1H points - considering that's his average output for the entirety of the playoffs, pretty good chance that was a one off, b) 9/18 from 3 - considering this is a team that's been shooting the 3 at a 30.1% clip during the postseason, and finished the game at 38.7% (3/13 in the 2H), also prepared to write that one off as a one off, c) and this one's the big thing: a grand total of 1 turnover the entire 1H.

Raptors should fall back to the norm...

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Thanks BJ. Sadly, the way things are looking now, I may end up falling asleep before the 1H is done, LOL...

:beer4:
 
YTD: 34-29-1, +2.11

Wednesday:

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NBA, Basketball
Cleveland Cavaliers Wed 25/16 05:35 PM
Spread (or run line) -6.5 for 1st Half -122

NBA, Basketball
Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers , Wed 25/16 05:35 PM
Cleveland Cavaliers Over 54 for 1st Half -114

*Bout time for the Raptors to start regressing and the Cavs to start playing like favourites...

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YTD: 36-29-1, +4.11

Thursday:

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NBA, Basketball
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors , Thu 26/16 06:00 PM
Total Over 111.5 for 1st Half -124


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YTD: 36-30-1, +2.87

Saturday:

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NBA, Basketball
Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder , Sat 28/16 06:00 PM
Oklahoma City Thunder Under 112 for Game -104


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YTD: 37-30-1, +3.87

Monday:

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NBA, Basketball
Golden State Warriors Mon 30/16 06:00 PM
Spread (or run line) -6.5 for Game -115


*Have to head out after work tomorrow night so won't be able to post up pre game (don't expect much movement on the line anyways, so not sure it matters booking early, although I'm sure FraudTime will still manage to find a way to post his usual BS like Warriors -6 2.04 / +104, SMH...) Anyways, this series was decided during those last 5 minutes, so really not expecting this one to be close - collapse under the pressure at home, good luck heading into Oracle. Plus, contrary to what the record shows, this is a Thunder team that's far exceeded expectations to this point (to be honest, I wasn't even sure they'd make it past the Mavs in Round 1). The defensive flaws that plagued them throughout the regular season are still visible under the cracks, and with them likely to be squeezing the ball to start Game 7, should be an excellent opportunity for the Warriors to race out to an insurmountable lead in this one. And now with Iguodala firmly entrenched in Durant's head (and Durant's maddening insistence on continuing to try to be the alpha male despite the harm done to his team), pretty sure this won't be ending well for OKC. At least they'll be able to look back years from now and say "Almost..."

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Thanks BJ.
 
YTD: 38-30-1, +4.87

Thursday:

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NBA, Basketball
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Golden State Warriors , Thu 02/16 06:05 PM
Golden State Warriors Over 108 for Game -120

*Been a while since that shaky Cavaliers defense faced a competent offensive squad, and with complacency almost having gotten the better of the Warriors, expecting them to come out firing tonight.

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YTD: 38-31-1, +3.67

Sunday:

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NBA, Basketball
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Golden State Warriors , Sun 05/16 05:00 PM
Golden State Warriors Over 107.5 for Game -108

*2 UNITS*

*Been alternating wins and losses for a while now, but think this stands a more than reasonable shot (should've hit the total the other night when the Warriors offense stalled between halves, but I digress). In any event, 104 with little to no contribution from Steph Curry and Klay Thompson in game 1 should raise huge warning signs for Cavs backers, not to mention the fact the Warriors only managed to get to the line a grand total of ten times. So now with Tyronn Lue imploring his team to pick up the pace, seems like all the pieces are in place for a better offensive output from Golden State on Sunday night.

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Thanks Metallica.
 
Good thing I double checked the schedule just now, otherwise I would've been flipping through the channels wondering where the game was tonight...
 
Adding:

NBA, Basketball
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Golden State Warriors , Sun 05/16 05:00 PM
Total Over 106.5 for 1st Half -127

*2 UNITS*

*Looks like I'm more or less going all in on tonight's game (that can't be good...), but this seems like the right move for a few reasons:

  • Tyronn Lue wants to push the pace in this one. Of course saying it, implementing it, and executing it with resultant baskets are three entirely different things, but I'll have to take his word for it.
  • 95 1H points in Game 1 with a limited number of FT's and Klay Thompson sitting almost the entirety of the 2Q after getting his third foul of the game.
  • Speaking of Thompson, he and Curry with 10 points between them in the 1H. The likelihood of that number going up exponentially probably pretty good in this one.
  • Three decent over umps in tonight's game.
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Adding:

NBA, Basketball
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Golden State Warriors , Sun 05/16 05:00 PM
Total Over 198.5 for Game -111

*2 UNITS*

*Going down swinging...

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