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NFLx Plays/Thoughts

My local is only full game - thus the big wagers on Pakers that I'll be sweating into the 2h.

1H on DK - hoping that hangs on.
 
Packers -2.5 -130 4u
Packers ML -175 4u
Close Open Texans -170 with Packers -175 (2u risk)

Packers 1H -185 4u

1H shouldn't have even been close ML but that p6 changed everything. Got some luck back with the late pick and a great drive for the 1h and helps the game...
 
If Packers ATS holds +26.04u. Really dislike the QB room and the lack of WR depth for the Cards. This is a lost franchise... but I respect Colt to possibly do something. Stidham played well last year and if he plays 2 quarters this should be an easy Donks win.

But I'm not going to risk losing 10u on them ML to get 4.

2u Parlay -240 & Open
 
If Packers ATS holds +26.04u. Really dislike the QB room and the lack of WR depth for the Cards. This is a lost franchise... but I respect Colt to possibly do something. Stidham played well last year and if he plays 2 quarters this should be an easy Donks win.

But I'm not going to risk losing 10u on them ML to get 4.

2u Parlay -240 & Open
Starters for Denver gonna end up playing the entire first half
 
Starters for Denver gonna end up playing the entire first half

Didnt even look at this game or realize they were playing tonight but kinda figured Peyton was gonna play 1at teamers until they executed a drive whether they had to wait to play 2nd and 3rd stringers or not! He not gonna play that looking crappy and come out shit!
 
Leaning Colts 1h. They dominated in their pre season game last year before blondie from USC led the Bills back. Richardson will get the start and probably see some solid reps. Then we’ll see Gardner who is solid, too. Both much better than the fake Allen.
 
I’m going to take the Bears -2.5 -140 & ML -170.

Fields should lead a scoring drive. Levis hasn’t been great in camp. Worry about Willis to some degree.

Main reason is I like PJ Walker and think he could do some damage. Nate Peterman is capable of scoring late.
 
I’m going to take the Bears -2.5 -140 & ML -170.

Fields should lead a scoring drive. Levis hasn’t been great in camp. Worry about Willis to some degree.

Main reason is I like PJ Walker and think he could do some damage. Nate Peterman is capable of scoring late.

Missed those lines with my local. Now up to where it is every where else. Back to the drawing board.
 
Malik and Will will play the entire game rotating series. that’s hard to predict and bet against.

I’ll play the colts 1h
 
Well the rookie throws what is essentially a pick 6.... will be hard to overcome that. Hopefully we get Gardner in there and Buffalo O does nothing. Would love a push.
 
Running out... later have to use Ravens ML in some combination. Undefeated for years and years but they cover this # less than half the time in their first pre-season game.

Wasn't impressed by Jets last week and their pre season guy I liked is hurt.
 
Bad day. Titans missing a FG cost the cover. 2nd and 3 from the 6 and then don’t score hurt too. 40 more yards. Yikes
 
Bum Anthony Brown with a p6 late….

Chargers -9.5 -125 (+3.5 2h) 6u

I don’t like the QBs for Rams left…
 
Didn’t really have time for the games yesterday. Probably a good thing cause I’m sure I would have given chargers/rams under a look considering history of both coaches in preseason, then again if I woulda did the work I would have maybe know we were gonna get 2 solid college qb’s that were in playoffs last year battling it out! Hopefully that woulda deterred me but can’t really say, lol. Anyways onward and upward. So far just 2-1 on plays I’ve made and posted in here.

Saints-1.. if memory serves me right Reid has never been big on caring bout winning preseason games. The discrepancy in qb rooms is redic in this one, very much as big a mismatch as Steelers had over bucs. Ala Steelers the Saints have bunch of guys that might not be great QB’s when it matters but they are way better than your typical backups and should be guys with things to prove! Winston should have incentive to show off assuming he doesn’t want rest his career to be holding a clipboard. Saints picked up Jake Heaner in the 4th round the draft, I think he could be a solid nfl qb, def like his chances Vs scrubs. Technically they carrying 4 with Taysom lurking, the kind of runner who eats up the 4th stringers! Not even sure if Hill get snaps, if he does great, if not im perfectly happy with Heaner throwing to a couple interesting young wrs!! I guess my 1 concern would be kc probably needs to work some wrs, the problem is I know it won’t be Mahomes throwing it to them! I assume he doesn’t play at all? So they start with Blaine Gabbert and it then goes to Buechele, he been around a few years without making any impact, he has had decent preseason before but he only 6 foot I think. If I wasn’t scared to death of overs in preseason I would def consider it here but feel much better backing Saints who have the superior qb room (not counting starters of course!) and I’d think a lot more to prove than kc.
 
Didn’t really have time for the games yesterday. Probably a good thing cause I’m sure I would have given chargers/rams under a look considering history of both coaches in preseason, then again if I woulda did the work I would have maybe know we were gonna get 2 solid college qb’s that were in playoffs last year battling it out! Hopefully that woulda deterred me but can’t really say, lol. Anyways onward and upward. So far just 2-1 on plays I’ve made and posted in here.

Saints-1.. if memory serves me right Reid has never been big on caring bout winning preseason games. The discrepancy in qb rooms is redic in this one, very much as big a mismatch as Steelers had over bucs. Ala Steelers the Saints have bunch of guys that might not be great QB’s when it matters but they are way better than your typical backups and should be guys with things to prove! Winston should have incentive to show off assuming he doesn’t want rest his career to be holding a clipboard. Saints picked up Jake Heaner in the 4th round the draft, I think he could be a solid nfl qb, def like his chances Vs scrubs. Technically they carrying 4 with Taysom lurking, the kind of runner who eats up the 4th stringers! Not even sure if Hill get snaps, if he does great, if not im perfectly happy with Heaner throwing to a couple interesting young wrs!! I guess my 1 concern would be kc probably needs to work some wrs, the problem is I know it won’t be Mahomes throwing it to them! I assume he doesn’t play at all? So they start with Blaine Gabbert and it then goes to Buechele, he been around a few years without making any impact, he has had decent preseason before but he only 6 foot I think. If I wasn’t scared to death of overs in preseason I would def consider it here but feel much better backing Saints who have the superior qb room (not counting starters of course!) and I’d think a lot more to prove than kc.

Patty and the starters expected to play a couple of series. Reid always been funny with playing starters at weird times in the pre season. Saints also playing starters.
 
anyone catch the ravens game yesterday? I was kinda thinking fading them ats could be wise this year with everyone and their brothers surely knowing their track record at this point! That said eagles did cover but while scoreboard watching I noticed ravens had a 40ish yard td run called back on their last drive that ended up with them taking a knee and running out the clock to win but not cover. Just curious if there was a clear and obvious penalty or did refs take that td away just to keep within the number!!
 
anyone catch the ravens game yesterday? I was kinda thinking fading them ats could be wise this year with everyone and their brothers surely knowing their track record at this point! That said eagles did cover but while scoreboard watching I noticed ravens had a 40ish yard td run called back on their last drive that ended up with them taking a knee and running out the clock to win but not cover. Just curious if there was a clear and obvious penalty or did refs take that td away just to keep within the number!!

I missed that play. Damn. Pick 6 was the only reason Eagles covered.

They also started Josh Johnson for some reason. Huntley was great. If he plays more and less Brown they’ll roll everyone like they always do.
 
Patty and the starters expected to play a couple of series. Reid always been funny with playing starters at weird times in the pre season. Saints also playing starters.

That surprises me. I assume if they put up a td drive his day be over, if not it won’t be much longer anyways. I’m still ok with saints considering everything else,. Mahomes playing does make me lean even more to the over, leaned that way assuming starters wernt playing, now gotta assume he scores a td that I wouldn’t have counted on to begin with.
 
I missed that play. Damn. Pick 6 was the only reason Eagles covered.

They also started Josh Johnson for some reason. Huntley was great. If he plays more and less Brown they’ll roll everyone like they always do.

Every time brown throws a pass I get nervous, he should just take off every time! I assume he getting cut at some point?
 
I assume Brown threw the pick 6 in 4th? I didn’t catch that but saw Philly scored. Then it was think the next drive ravens ended up kneeling around edge of red zone? It was def the last drive where they popped a 45ish yard td run that got called back. Sounds like That was a painful game if you laid the points.
 
Think ravens punted after the eagles score actually, then with 3 min or so to go eagles turned it over on downs around midfield. Shortly after that when ravens had the long td run called back. So curious if a obvious hold what sprung him or it was some bs phantom flag?
 
Didn’t really have time for the games yesterday. Probably a good thing cause I’m sure I would have given chargers/rams under a look considering history of both coaches in preseason, then again if I woulda did the work I would have maybe know we were gonna get 2 solid college qb’s that were in playoffs last year battling it out! Hopefully that woulda deterred me but can’t really say, lol. Anyways onward and upward. So far just 2-1 on plays I’ve made and posted in here.

Saints-1.. if memory serves me right Reid has never been big on caring bout winning preseason games. The discrepancy in qb rooms is redic in this one, very much as big a mismatch as Steelers had over bucs. Ala Steelers the Saints have bunch of guys that might not be great QB’s when it matters but they are way better than your typical backups and should be guys with things to prove! Winston should have incentive to show off assuming he doesn’t want rest his career to be holding a clipboard. Saints picked up Jake Heaner in the 4th round the draft, I think he could be a solid nfl qb, def like his chances Vs scrubs. Technically they carrying 4 with Taysom lurking, the kind of runner who eats up the 4th stringers! Not even sure if Hill get snaps, if he does great, if not im perfectly happy with Heaner throwing to a couple interesting young wrs!! I guess my 1 concern would be kc probably needs to work some wrs, the problem is I know it won’t be Mahomes throwing it to them! I assume he doesn’t play at all? So they start with Blaine Gabbert and it then goes to Buechele, he been around a few years without making any impact, he has had decent preseason before but he only 6 foot I think. If I wasn’t scared to death of overs in preseason I would def consider it here but feel much better backing Saints who have the superior qb room (not counting starters of course!) and I’d think a lot more to prove than kc.
Jake has been the talk around here. They say he looks pretty good
 
I have no clue if Hill will get any run at qb? He the kind of guy you would think shines vs scrubs but either way I like all the guys saints could put in!
 
49ers ML -200 4u

I really couldn’t figure much out w this one. I sure didn’t want to lay -4 or -200. Didn’t look like there was gonna be much offense for Vegas considering what they starting game with. I’d think Darnold will look good as much as they all been slobbering over him, probably works out better he didn’t start, he should be good against backups and their backups! I was a little nervous that mcdaniels be kinda guy trying to win since he don’t win enough when it matters! (No clue what his preseason record is tho). Hope you cash it.

I’m just gonna finish the weekend 3-1 and be happy, whiffed hard on the packers/bungals under, got kinda lucky to cash saints but that preseason for ya, they were the better team till it got to 3rd sting across the board.
 
9ers live +220 1u

Not looking good but I'll take a stab at Sam being able to score some points

Was hoping this Purdue kid wouldn't still be in the game...
 
9ers live +220 1u

Not looking good but I'll take a stab at Sam being able to score some points

Was hoping this Purdue kid wouldn't still be in the game...

I didn’t watch any of that game but for all the slobbering over Darnold coming out of niners camp you woulda thought that he lead at least one scoring drive!!
 
+4 Saints, -10 ML/live 9ers (posted somewhere on CTG) in game.

-6 Sunday

+20.86u

Leans:

Browns pending Eagles Q situation
Falcons
Colts
Titans
Chiefs 1H & Game
Raiders
 
+4 Saints, -10 ML/live 9ers (posted somewhere on CTG) in game.

-6 Sunday

+20.86u

Leans:

Browns pending Eagles Q situation
Falcons
Colts
Titans
Chiefs 1H & Game
Raiders
Raiders certainly seem inspired in their workouts vs the 9ers & Rams. From a neutral reporter last week it sounded like the Raiders had their way with the 9ers. Sounds like the 1st workout there was a fight between Crosby & Akers. Raiders had some success in their passing game on deep balls. The Rams defense in game 1 got picked apart via the air albeit with key players out. Their run D outside the edges was putrid.
I usually have a good gage on the Rams and if I had to bet on this game Saturday I’d say it’s the Raiders. They look very motivated over a team that is being taught on the fly.
 
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I’ve been on this guys knob since the HOF game so I’ll ride him while he plays. Mariota is playing, likely at least a few series, so I’m not supremely confident in his first start.

DTR Browns +3 1H -110 6u
 
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