ScopeY
Pretty much a regular
Ended the buffalo game last week on a high
Was 5-2 on props, 2-0 on sides (lost both small/tiny PIT plays)
I'll try to find something that stands out in every game or provide a short snippet when possible/if I can. Some writeups might suck as I am catching up on time.
1 PM Props
D. Swift Rush&Rec Yds O82.5 -112 (FD)
C. Ridley Rec Yds O87.5 -112 (FD)
D. Slayton Rec Yds O40.5 -118 (DK) (2 Units)
W. Gallman Rush Attempts O11.5 -112 (FD)
Edit:
M. Gaskin Rush Yds O62.5 -110 (FD)
- MIA/BUF - I think an argument could be had for Diggs, as he is trying to maintain season receiving records, and they're technically still fighting for 2nd... but I don't trust a full game out of him, and nobody wants to bet on uncertainty. Who I am stalking is Gaskin, last week they said it would be a near split workload... well he was out there 75% of the time, to Ahmeds 25%, parlaying that into 60% of all carries, as well as 5 targets... he had 33% of all offensive opportunities on this team. Don't see lines out on it yet.
-MIN/DET - I'm loving swift here, he has played for 3 weeks since returning from injury, and his snap share has steadily climbed in each, I'll say he gets 70%+ snaps today. In those 3 games he has been targeted 5 times in each. The game is middle of the pack in terms of pace. Defensively, minnesota has been bottom 4th in the league against the RB, and Detroit is in a plus spot in regards to adjusted offensive line yards. Sign me up. I see this being more of a competitive game, and I love how concentrated Minnesota's offense is, I can see an argument to play Jefferson (as he is the alpha to thielen.... sorry) (DKs has Jefferson O73.5 -159, FD O82.5 -110)
- NYJ/NEP - stalking Ty. Johnson... no gore, no perine.... week 13 same boat (with darnold at the helm too) he had 22 rush attempts, and 2 targets.... his matchup is good today and he shouldn't get scripted out. No props except TD props available for him yet. (don't hate the idea of a flyer on a WR for patriots in DFS - especially if you think stidham comes in - i'd also debate live betting the over if that happens... as they will most likely attempt to air it out more)
- ATL/TBB - Pass on TBB unless its a brady conversation or maybe RoJo if fournette is out. The offense spreads the ball to much with so many weapons.... 12/139/186, I around up, but those are Ridleys targets/yards/air yards in the last 3 games without julio jones. You can't run vs TBB well, and the pace of this game is rated high.... sign me up
- BAL/CIN - lamar or nothing for me again... could debate andrews as well. not chasing any CINCY in a slow paced game and brandon allen... maybeeeeeeee aj green when seeing inactives.
- DAL/NYG - I was going to come to this game and talk about how Zeke's projections are a bit low, but pass for me, and about how this game should be competitive, and the giants last 4 wins the usage of gallman (which i still like), but I see slaytons yardage prop over 40.5/41.5 (depending on site) is pretty damn low vs this secondary. In his last 3 games he quietly has had 8+ targets, and 106+ air yards.... another sign me up. To add, jones has had 0 rush attempts since playing with his injury, forcing him to throw it is better for receivers than him running it.
- PIT/CLV - waiting on more news here on pitt WRs, case can be made for claypool with rudolph revenge game. Also like Chubb, as he is atleast in a 5050 split, but when leading/winning it starts to trend to 67/33, and thats how vegas sees it, so I do too.
Was 5-2 on props, 2-0 on sides (lost both small/tiny PIT plays)
I'll try to find something that stands out in every game or provide a short snippet when possible/if I can. Some writeups might suck as I am catching up on time.
1 PM Props
D. Swift Rush&Rec Yds O82.5 -112 (FD)
C. Ridley Rec Yds O87.5 -112 (FD)
D. Slayton Rec Yds O40.5 -118 (DK) (2 Units)
W. Gallman Rush Attempts O11.5 -112 (FD)
Edit:
M. Gaskin Rush Yds O62.5 -110 (FD)
- MIA/BUF - I think an argument could be had for Diggs, as he is trying to maintain season receiving records, and they're technically still fighting for 2nd... but I don't trust a full game out of him, and nobody wants to bet on uncertainty. Who I am stalking is Gaskin, last week they said it would be a near split workload... well he was out there 75% of the time, to Ahmeds 25%, parlaying that into 60% of all carries, as well as 5 targets... he had 33% of all offensive opportunities on this team. Don't see lines out on it yet.
-MIN/DET - I'm loving swift here, he has played for 3 weeks since returning from injury, and his snap share has steadily climbed in each, I'll say he gets 70%+ snaps today. In those 3 games he has been targeted 5 times in each. The game is middle of the pack in terms of pace. Defensively, minnesota has been bottom 4th in the league against the RB, and Detroit is in a plus spot in regards to adjusted offensive line yards. Sign me up. I see this being more of a competitive game, and I love how concentrated Minnesota's offense is, I can see an argument to play Jefferson (as he is the alpha to thielen.... sorry) (DKs has Jefferson O73.5 -159, FD O82.5 -110)
- NYJ/NEP - stalking Ty. Johnson... no gore, no perine.... week 13 same boat (with darnold at the helm too) he had 22 rush attempts, and 2 targets.... his matchup is good today and he shouldn't get scripted out. No props except TD props available for him yet. (don't hate the idea of a flyer on a WR for patriots in DFS - especially if you think stidham comes in - i'd also debate live betting the over if that happens... as they will most likely attempt to air it out more)
- ATL/TBB - Pass on TBB unless its a brady conversation or maybe RoJo if fournette is out. The offense spreads the ball to much with so many weapons.... 12/139/186, I around up, but those are Ridleys targets/yards/air yards in the last 3 games without julio jones. You can't run vs TBB well, and the pace of this game is rated high.... sign me up
- BAL/CIN - lamar or nothing for me again... could debate andrews as well. not chasing any CINCY in a slow paced game and brandon allen... maybeeeeeeee aj green when seeing inactives.
- DAL/NYG - I was going to come to this game and talk about how Zeke's projections are a bit low, but pass for me, and about how this game should be competitive, and the giants last 4 wins the usage of gallman (which i still like), but I see slaytons yardage prop over 40.5/41.5 (depending on site) is pretty damn low vs this secondary. In his last 3 games he quietly has had 8+ targets, and 106+ air yards.... another sign me up. To add, jones has had 0 rush attempts since playing with his injury, forcing him to throw it is better for receivers than him running it.
- PIT/CLV - waiting on more news here on pitt WRs, case can be made for claypool with rudolph revenge game. Also like Chubb, as he is atleast in a 5050 split, but when leading/winning it starts to trend to 67/33, and thats how vegas sees it, so I do too.
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