NFL Season 2022

[bones]

Was waiting to post wagers until final decisions are made. Since lines are moving have/moved I will post bets I have made and my leans.

I have read all discussion in here, done most of work I do but am still listening to various podcasts and pondering.

Here is what I have right now:

Jags @ KC :
Wagers on:

UNDER 53 2 Units WIN
Jags +9 1/2 Unit WIN
JuJu Over 54.5 receiving yards -127 1 Unit LOSE

+1.3

Lean Jags +9. A lot of trends re Division playoffs and KC suggest Jags as a play. I probably will play Jags, still no decision. Have faith in Jags coach and qb to keep them in the game and make it a contest to the end.

Lean KC -5.5 1H

Giants @ Eagles:
Wagers on:

Giants TT Over 19.5 -125 1.5 Units LOSE

-1.65

Lean Giants +7.5

Cincinnati @ Bills:
Wager on:

Bills -4.5 1.5 Units (bet placed 1-17 2:02 pm CST) LOSE
Bills -4 -120 2.5 Units (bet placed 1-17 8:00 pm CST) LOSE

Bengals +6 -110 1.5 Units WIN

-2.9

Cowboys @ SF:
Wager on:

Over 45.5 1/2 Unit only (bet placed 1-16 11:00 pm CST) LOST
Boys TT Over 20.5 -125 1/2 Unit LOST
Dak rushing Over 18.5 1/2 Unit WIN

-.6

Lean Cowboys +3.5

Parlays and Teasers:

KC -2.5/Eagles -1.5 -110 2 Unit teaser (bet placed 1-16 1;30 pm) WIN +2

Jags&Chiefs Under 53/ Bills - 230 / Boys&SF Over 44 -150 Parlay pay 3.5:1 LOST -1

Eagles -350/ Bengals +205/ Boys +170 ML Parlay close to 10:1 LOST-1

 

[bones]

Added Jags 1/2 unit wager and JuJu prop above. That's it for that game

Added a ML parlay on Eagles, Cincy, Boys 9.6:1

 

[bones]

I am done betting on Bengals @ Bills. If it comes and I see it, I will probably take some Bengals +6, if not I have Bills -4.5 & -4

 

[KJ]

I am done betting on Bengals @ Bills. If it comes and I see it, I will probably take some Bengals +6, if not I have Bills -4.5 & -4

This season is so strange, don't think I've ever liked all 4 favorites on this weekend but might just parlay the 4 MLs

Really don't think any lose, guess there will be opportunity to buy out on the Bengals Sunday but I just don't see it

GL this weekend

 

[RetroVK]

Good luck this week. I am just begging for the Giants to lose.

 

[B.A.R.]

Went back to see how I did wagering on the Playoff Teams in 2022. Thought it might be interesting (for me).

Do not know what it says except:

I rarely wagered on AFC playoff teams but went 9-2 when doing so and 8 of the wins were Bengals and Jags and both losses were KC and Bills.

Went 15-5 on NFC playoff teams and winning record with 5 of the 7. Perfect records on Eagles and Boys and 75% on SF.

I don't think I am suffering from bias (try not to) on Wild Card wagers on SF, Giants, Bucs and Bills, Jags.

Philly 3-0
SF 3-1
Vikes 1-1
Bucs 1-0
Boys 4-0
Giants 2-1
Seattle 1-2

KC 0-1
Bills 0-1
Bengals 4-0
Jags 4-0
Chargers 0-0
Ravens 0-0
Fins 1-0

Interesting backtracking, I like it.

 

[bones]

Adds:

Giants TT Over 19.5 -125 1.5 Units (only wager on this game)

Bengals +6 -110 1.5 Units (still on Bills -4 -110 for 2.5 Units)

 

[bones]

Added Boys TT Over 20.5 -125 1/2 Unit

I have the active 10:1 parlay if Boys ML win. So, no others for now.

 

[bones]

Add: Dak Over 18.5 rushing yards

 

[bones]

Bengals +1 for some already. Mahomes is hurt, Bengals/Burrow positive history vs KC with a healthy Mahomes. Joe Burrow is good you see.

Not in a hurry to take Philly, will let it marinate and develop this week but they are my lean

 

[bones]

I had 2 preseason Futures on Eagles to win Division and Fins RSW, above.

On October 22 I added KC and S.F. to win their Divisions @ -190 & -130 respectively.

Today I added Bengals to win the Super Bowl @ +1700

Only SB future wager I made was in early December before week #13 game against KC. Not considering hedging this week.

 

[bones]

Bengals +1 for some already. Mahomes is hurt, Bengals/Burrow positive history vs KC with a healthy Mahomes. Joe Burrow is good you see.

Not in a hurry to take Philly, will let it marinate and develop this week but they are my lean

Posted the above just past midnight today.

I just saw where line was moving. So, I guess I need to Post Conference Champ wagers now. Here they are and will update if, as and when in the future:

AFC:

Bengals +1 2.5 Units -110 (bet made 11:37 pm CST 1-22 ) LOSE

Bengals to win SB future +1700 - placed December 4th

NFC:

Eagles -2.5 1 Unit (bet made now) WIN

Super Bowl Futures wagers: SF beats KC +600 SF beats Cincy +600 each for .75 units each LOSE LOSE

Parlays & Teasers:

Bengals +7 / Under 51.5 SF v Eagles teaser 1 Unit (bet made 8:54 a.m. CST 1-23 ) WIN

 

[bones]

Neutralized my Eagles wager. Took Super Bowl Futures wagers: SF beats KC +600 SF beats Cincy +600 each for .75 units

Have a Bengals to win SB future +1700 I placed December 4th

 

[B.A.R.]

Great grab back in December. Sharp..

 

[bones]

Super Bowl - All 1 Unit

KC 1st Qtr TT Over 3.5 -120 WIN
KC TT Over 24.5 -120 WIN
KC TT Over 26.5 +110 WIN

I am looking to get a good number on the OVER Live in the 1st qtr if a slow start, particularly if it gets to 47.

Props - all 1/2 Unit

Mahomes Over 4.5 rush attempts +100 WIN
Chiefs 1st time out -120 LOSE

 

[bones]

We been invited to small Super Bowl get together. Fuck. Wife wants to go and she deserves to get what she wants. Informed everyone we may not show until halftime.

Tease: Chiefs +7.5/Over 45 1 Unit WIN

Could not help myself, all 1/2 unit

Score in 1st 6 minutes +101 WIN

First turnover is Interception -150 LOSE

2 point conversion attempted -106 WIN

Hurts throws int -112 LOSE

Total players with pass attempt, over 2.5 +105 (some Philly Special type play by someone) LOSE

Longest fg Over 47.5 -110 (surely a drive stalls at the 38, right?) LOSE

Chiefs total rush yds Over 95.5 -118 WIN

 

[scarf31]

We been invited to small Super Bowl get together. Fuck. Wife wants to go and she deserves to get what she wants. Informed everyone we may not show until halftime.

Tease: Chiefs +7.5/Over 45 1 Unit

Could not help myself, all 1/2 unit

Score in 1st 6 minutes +101

First turnover is Interception -150

2 point conversion attempted -106

Hurts throws int -112

Total players with pass attempt, over 2.5 +105 (some Philly Special type play by someone)

Longest fg Over 47.5 -110 (surely a drive stalls at the 38, right?)

Chiefs total rush yds Over 95.5 -118

GL @bones. Had the same situation many moons ago with a college GF accepting an invite to a party with about 30 non-football fans. Morning of the game, told her I came down with leprecy…shocked she caught my in a fib. Cheers!

 

[bones]

Hoping Chiefs have a good day and we see coverage of the granddaughter