NFL Season 2022

[bones]

WEEK #16
Sides: 1-2
Totals: 1-0
Teasers/Parlays: 1-0

SEASON:
36-27 Sides
11-5 Totals
1-2 Team Totals
5-6 Teasers/Parlay

WEEK #17:
Texans +4.5 LOSE
UNDER 49.5 MNF Bills@Bengals
Jets -1 -120 better defense LOSE
Under 45 Broncos/Chiefs we know Chiefs win. Broncos suck and so does Russ. They have a good D. Final score 34-9 LOSE
Vikings +3.5 LOSE
Miami +3 Teddy can do well. Pats injuries - Marcus & Jack Jones. Marcus Jones has been ruled out with a concussion and Jack Jones is going to miss the game with a knee injury. Jonathan Jones (chest) and Jalen Mills (groin) are both listed as questionable to play after limited practice sessions on Friday.0000 WIN
DC Pick Live LOSE

Parlay: Niners -260/Chargers -280/Steelers+145 pays 3.6:1 WIN

Teaser: Eagles+.5/Bengals +7 LOSE

Bad results in early games. Bad start with Jets

 

[B.A.R.]

I get the Texans bet from a numbers perspective. That number is off.

I was ultra impressed with how they played last week. That was a letdown spot but they keep chugging on.

 

[RetroVK]

Pretty slim chance that jags make playoffs without winning the division which makes that game near meaningless for them other than maintaining momentum.

 

[RetroVK]

Not that the jags are so great anyway

 

[bones]

Pretty slim chance that jags make playoffs without winning the division which makes that game near meaningless for them other than maintaining momentum.

Yes. If I understand it correctly, the only game that matters for them is last game vs Titans

 

[bones]

Not that the jags are so great anyway

I have never been able to understand why I like a team, but this year Jags have been one of my favorite teams. But, so are the Redskins

 

[bones]

Adding:

Jets -1 -120 better defense
Under 45 Broncos/Chiefs we know Chiefs win. Broncos suck and so does Russ. They have a good D. Final score 34-9
Vikings +3.5

 

[bones]

Added a parlay (SF line changed significantly)

Niners -260/Chargers -280/Steelers+145 pays 3.6:1

 

[bones]

add Teaser: Eagles+.5/Bengals +7

 

[HUNT]

Happy new year bones, gl this week

 

[bones]

adding: Miami +3

 

[bones]

DC pick -122 Live

 

[bones]

Will update later....had a poor week, made more tolerable by the 3 team parlay

Tonight Teaser Bengals +8.5 Over 44 only 1/2 unit.

 

[bones]

Will update last week by tomorrow

Week 18 - made these first 3 bets starting 2 days ago and early this a.m. Some lines have changed. I bet different Units in playoffs.

Browns +3 1.5 Units (would not bet it at the now +2)
Rams +6.5 1 Unit
Titans +6.5 2 Units (now it is +6, prefer the 6.5 wud wager less at the +6)

ML Parlay: Packers/Jags even money

 

[rambler882]

Will update last week by tomorrow

Week 18 - made these first 3 bets starting 2 days ago and early this a.m. Some lines have changed. I bet different Units in playoffs.

Browns +3 1.5 Units (would not bet it at the now +2)
Rams +6.5 1 Unit
Titans +6.5 2 Units (now it is +6, prefer the 6.5 wud wager less at the +6)

ML Parlay: Packers/Jags even money

Good luck

 

[bones]

WEEK #16
Sides: 1-2
Totals: 1-0
Teasers/Parlays: 1-0

SEASON:
36-27 Sides
11-5 Totals
1-2 Team Totals
5-6 Teasers/Parlay

WEEK #17:
Texans +4.5 LOSE
UNDER 49.5 MNF Bills@Bengals
Jets -1 -120 better defense LOSE
Under 45 Broncos/Chiefs we know Chiefs win. Broncos suck and so does Russ. They have a good D. Final score 34-9 LOSE
Vikings +3.5 LOSE
Miami +3 Teddy can do well. Pats injuries - Marcus & Jack Jones. Marcus Jones has been ruled out with a concussion and Jack Jones is going to miss the game with a knee injury. Jonathan Jones (chest) and Jalen Mills (groin) are both listed as questionable to play after limited practice sessions on Friday.0000 WIN
DC Pick Live LOSE

Parlay: Niners -260/Chargers -280/Steelers+145 pays 3.6:1 WIN

Teaser: Eagles+.5/Bengals +7 LOSE

Bad results in early games. Bad start with Jets

Week 17 (not a good one, but the parlay @3.6 to 1 cushioned the losses nicely)
Sides: 1-4
Totals: 0-1
Parlays/Teasers: 1-1

SEASON:
37-31 Sides
11-6 Totals
1-2 Team Totals
6-7 Teasers/Parlay

 

[bones]

Will update last week by tomorrow

Week 18 - made these first 3 bets starting 2 days ago and early this a.m. Some lines have changed. I bet different Units in playoffs.

Browns +3 1.5 Units (would not bet it at the now +2)
Rams +6.5 1 Unit
Titans +6.5 2 Units (now it is +6, prefer the 6.5 wud wager less at the +6)

ML Parlay: Packers/Jags even money

Also, I grabbed these numbers and will revaluate throughout the week.

 

[bones]

Added a parlay pays 22:1

Browns +130/ Lions +4.5 -110/ Raiders +10 -130/ Patriots +7.5 -155/ Cards +14.5 -120

 

[bones]

Will update last week by tomorrow

Week 18 - made these first 3 bets starting 2 days ago and early this a.m. Some lines have changed. I bet different Units in playoffs.

Browns +3 1.5 Units (would not bet it at the now +2)
Rams +6.5 1 Unit
Titans +6.5 2 Units (now it is +6, prefer the 6.5 wud wager less at the +6)

ML Parlay: Packers/Jags even money

Added OVER 39 -110 Titans/Jags

 

[bones]

1-1 last nite but had 2 units on Titans

Adding Giants +17 -120 for 3/4 unit.
I understand that Giants will most likely rest players and not have anything to "win" in this game, but if Eagles get a comfy lead they will rest players too. If they do not get a big lead then we get easy win. Had to take 17 points with a playoff team in NFL division game with a good coach

 

[bones]

Add Bengals -6 1H

 

[bones]

All in one place - Week 18

Week 18 - made these first 3 bets starting 2 days ago and early this a.m. Some lines have changed. I bet different Units in playoffs.

Browns +3 1.5 Units (would not bet it at the now +2) LOSE
Rams +6.5 1 Unit WIN
Titans +6.5 2 Units (now it is +6, prefer the 6.5 wud wager less at the +6) WIN

ML Parlay: Packers/Jags even money LOSE
Browns +130/ Lions +4.5 -110/ Raiders +10 -130/ Patriots +7.5 -155/ Cards +14.5 -120 LOSE

Added
OVER 39 -110 Titans/Jags LOSE
Giants +17 -120 for 3/4 unit. WIN
Bengals -6 1H WIN
SF -8 1H for .5 units (1/2) PUSH
Lions +6 -120 for 1/2 Unit WIN

SIDES: 5-1-1
TOTALS: 0-1
Parlays/Teasers: 0-2

 

[bones]

Add;

Take SF -8 1H for .5 units (1/2)

 

[bones]

All in one place - Week 18

Week 18 - made these first 3 bets starting 2 days ago and early this a.m. Some lines have changed. I bet different Units in playoffs.

Browns +3 1.5 Units (would not bet it at the now +2) LOSE
Rams +6.5 1 Unit WIN
Titans +6.5 2 Units (now it is +6, prefer the 6.5 wud wager less at the +6) WIN

ML Parlay: Packers/Jags even money
Browns +130/ Lions +4.5 -110/ Raiders +10 -130/ Patriots +7.5 -155/ Cards +14.5 -120 LOSE

Added
OVER 39 -110 Titans/Jags LOSE
Giants +17 -120 for 3/4 unit. WIN
Bengals -6 1H WIN
SF -8 1H for .5 units (1/2) PUSH

SIDES: 4-1-1
TOTALS: 0-1
Parlays/Teasers: 0-1 with one pending

Going with the Lions +6 -120 for 1/2 Unit

 

[bones]

All in one place - Week 18

Week 18 - made these first 3 bets starting 2 days ago and early this a.m. Some lines have changed. I bet different Units in playoffs.

Browns +3 1.5 Units (would not bet it at the now +2) LOSE
Rams +6.5 1 Unit WIN
Titans +6.5 2 Units (now it is +6, prefer the 6.5 wud wager less at the +6) WIN

ML Parlay: Packers/Jags even money LOSE
Browns +130/ Lions +4.5 -110/ Raiders +10 -130/ Patriots +7.5 -155/ Cards +14.5 -120 LOSE

Added
OVER 39 -110 Titans/Jags LOSE
Giants +17 -120 for 3/4 unit. WIN
Bengals -6 1H WIN
SF -8 1H for .5 units (1/2) PUSH
Lions +6 -120 for 1/2 Unit WIN

SIDES: 5-1-1
TOTALS: 0-1
Parlays/Teasers: 0-2

WEEK #18:

SIDES: 5-1-1
TOTALS: 0-1
Parlays/Teasers: 0-2

SEASON:
42-32-1 Sides 56.7%
11-7 Totals 61%
1-2 Team Totals 33%
6-9 Teasers/Parlay 40% (came out ahead in $)

Wild Card Weekend - I am not historically good at these.

Took some numbers this a.m. Reserve right to buy out/change, just keeping thread up to date.

SF - 10 -120 4 Units. Where does Seattle have any advantage?

Jags - pick -110 1.5 Units ( I tried to bet them at +2.5 3 Units and as entering password it was rejected due to line change). It is a popular view, but coaching advantage goes to Jags. QBs are arguably equivalent. Trevor made some bad throws Saturday. Home field advantage, if there is one and in this case I think there is.

Bengals -6.5 -110 2 Units IMO Burrow can get done what he wants to get done. I wish they had not just played Ravens. But, hard to see a different result imo.

Bills - 10 -120 1 Unit I have nothing against the Bills, but right now I am not as confident as most

Brady +3 -135 2.5 Units I have made the mistake before of not betting on the GOAT. This game on road on grass. I cannot get out of my mind what I saw yesterday. I bought the 3 and let's see what what line does this week. I can see this game at Bucs +1.5 if not for Boys being a fan favorite.

I lean Giants +3.

F it - Giants +3 for 1.5 Units

 

[bones]

F it - Giants +3 for 1.5 Units

 

[bones]

Add:

OVER 47 -120 Chargers/Jags

 

[bones]

All in one place

Wild Card Weekend:
SF - 10 -120 4 Units. Where does Seattle have any advantage?
Jags - pick -110 1.5 Units Coaching advantage Jags. QBs are arguably equivalent. Trevor made some bad throws Saturday. Home field advantage, if there is one and in this case I think there is.
Bills - 10 -120 1 Unit I have nothing against the Bills, but right now I am not as confident as most
Brady +3 -135 2.5 Units I have made the mistake before of not betting on the GOAT. This game on road on grass. I cannot get out of my mind what I saw yesterday. I bought the 3 and let's see what what line does this week. I can see this game at Bucs +1.5 if not for Boys being a fan favorite.
Giants +3 for 1.5 Units

OVER 47 -120 Chargers/Jags

 

[bones]

I read some of the AFC thread and other articles and it convinced me that the game may not be either high scoring by Bengals and that these divisional opponents may well be a close game

Taking OFF the Bengals wager

 

[2daBank]

I read some of the AFC thread and other articles and it convinced me that the game may not be either high scoring by Bengals and that these divisional opponents may well be a close game

Taking OFF the Bengals wager

Think ya gotta like bengals team total under, I don’t see how ravens stay in a game cincy clears 24 points? Ravens havnt topped 17 since Lamar went out, that offense is putrid, they have nobody that scares anyone on the outside, without Lamar the run game isn’t good enough to carry them, I do hate being the divisional matchup but I just don’t see a path for ravens other than totally shutting bengals down and I don’t think any d can do that.

 

[B.A.R.]

Good looking card

 

[bones]

I did an excellent job of getting the worst of the numbers & juice

Wild Card Weekend:

SF - 10 -120 3 Units. (I backed off a unit. took Hawks +10 1 unit) WIN
SF TT Over 13.5 1H WIN
Under 42 1 Unit LOSE

Jags - pick -110 1.5 Units WIN
Jags +2.5 1.5 Units WIN
Jags +2 1/2 Unit WIN
OVER 47 -120 WIN
Etieene anytime td -120 LOSE
Ekeler Over 38.5 receiving yards -135 LOSE

Bills - 10 -120 1 Unit
Bills -7 1H 2 Units

Brady +3 -135 1 Unit (backed off the units, took Boys -2.5 for 1.5 units)

Giants +3 for 1.5 Units

Teasers (all 1 unit)

SF -2.5/Bucs +9.5 (7 point tease)

Bills -7/Giants +9/ Bucs +8.5

Bengals -1/ OVER 41.5 Chargers & Jax / Over 42.5 Giants & Vikes

 

[HUNT]

I did an excellent job of getting the worst of the numbers & juice

Wild Card Weekend:

SF - 10 -120 3 Units. (I backed off a unit)
SF TT Over 13.5 1H

Jags - pick -110 1.5 Units
Jags +2.5 1.5 Units
OVER 47 -120
Etieene anytime td -120
Ekeler Over 38.5 receiving yards -135

Bills - 10 -120 1 Unit
Bills -7 1H 2 Units

Brady +3 -135 1 Unit (backed off the units)

Giants +3 for 1.5 Units

Teasers (all 1 unit)

SF -2.5/Bucs +9.5 (7 point tease)

Bills -7/Giants +9/ Bucs +8.5

Bengals -1/ OVER 41.5 Chargers & Jax / Over 42.5 Giants & Vikes

Duval County let's go.

 

[bones]

forgot to list Under 42 Hawks/9ers

 

[bones]

I had 2 preseason Futures on Eagles to win Division and Fins RSW, above.

On October 22 I added KC and S.F. to win their Divisions @ -190 & -130 respectively.

Today I added Bengals to win the Super Bowl @ +1700

Before Week 16 I added Fins not to make the playoffs +195.

My Futures wagers record 2022:

Eagles to win division +150 - WIN
KC to win division -190 - WIN
SF to win division -130 - WIN
Fins RSW Over 9 - Push
Fins do not make playoffs +195 - Lose

Bengals to win Super Bowl +1700 - Pending

 

[bones]

Went back to see how I did wagering on the Playoff Teams in 2022. Thought it might be interesting (for me).

Do not know what it says except:

I rarely wagered on AFC playoff teams but went 9-2 when doing so and 8 of the wins were Bengals and Jags and both losses were KC and Bills.

Went 15-5 on NFC playoff teams and winning record with 5 of the 7. Perfect records on Eagles and Boys and 75% on SF.

I don't think I am suffering from bias (try not to) on Wild Card wagers on SF, Giants, Bucs and Bills, Jags.

Philly 3-0
SF 3-1
Vikes 1-1
Bucs 1-0
Boys 4-0
Giants 2-1
Seattle 1-2

KC 0-1
Bills 0-1
Bengals 4-0
Jags 4-0
Chargers 0-0
Ravens 0-0
Fins 1-0

 

[bones]

I did an excellent job of getting the worst of the numbers & juice

Wild Card Weekend:

SF - 10 -120 3 Units. (I backed off a unit. took Hawks +10 1 unit, I had bet them 4 units see post #125) WIN
SF TT Over 13.5 1H WIN
Under 42 1 Unit LOSE

Jags - pick -110 1.5 Units
Jags +2.5 1.5 Units
OVER 47 -120
Etieene anytime td -120
Ekeler Over 38.5 receiving yards -135

Bills - 10 -120 1 Unit
Bills -7 1H 2 Units

Brady +3 -135 1 Unit (backed off the units, took Boys -2.5 for 1.5 units, I had bet them 2.5 Units see Post #125)

Giants +3 for 1.5 Units

Teasers (all 1 unit)

SF -2.5/Bucs +9.5 (7 point tease)

Bills -7/Giants +9/ Bucs +8.5

Bengals -1/ OVER 41.5 Chargers & Jax / Over 42.5 Giants & Vikes

Added 1/2 Unit Jags +2 +115

 

[bones]

You can now get Jags +2.5 +115. Bad omen for the Jags wager, Sharps hit the Chargers

 

[bones]

I did an excellent job of getting the worst of the numbers & juice

Wild Card Weekend:

SF - 10 -120 3 Units. (I backed off a unit. took Hawks +10 1 unit) WIN
SF TT Over 13.5 1H WIN
Under 42 1 Unit LOSE

Jags - pick -110 1.5 Units WIN
Jags +2.5 1.5 Units WIN
OVER 47 -120 WIN
Etieene anytime td -120
Ekeler Over 38.5 receiving yards -135

Bills - 10 -120 1 Unit
Bills -7 1H 2 Units

Brady +3 -135 1 Unit (backed off the units, took Boys -2.5 for 1.5 units)

Giants +3 for 1.5 Units

Teasers (all 1 unit)

SF -2.5/Bucs +9.5 (7 point tease)

Bills -7/Giants +9/ Bucs +8.5

Bengals -1/ OVER 41.5 Chargers & Jax / Over 42.5 Giants & Vikes

"You can now get Jags +2.5 +115. Bad omen for the Jags wager, Sharps hit the Chargers" (post #138)

Still 7 minutes left 1H. No need to wait

Jags - pick -110 1.5 Units LOSE whoops WINNER
Jags +2.5 1.5 Units LOSE whoops WINNER
Jags + 2 +115 1/2 Unit LOSE whoops WINNER

 

[bones]

"You can now get Jags +2.5 +115. Bad omen for the Jags wager, Sharps hit the Chargers" (post #138)

Still 7 minutes left 1H. No need to wait

Jags - pick -110 1.5 Units LOSE
Jags +2.5 1.5 Units LOSE
Jags + 2 +115 1/2 Unit LOSE

I turned off the game and literally turned it on as Trevor was stretching arm over for 2. My plan and reverse jinx worked perfectly

 

[Bandits]

"You can now get Jags +2.5 +115. Bad omen for the Jags wager, Sharps hit the Chargers" (post #138)

Still 7 minutes left 1H. No need to wait

Jags - pick -110 1.5 Units LOSE
Jags +2.5 1.5 Units LOSE
Jags + 2 +115 1/2 Unit LOSE

You jinxed it!
It worked!!

 

[bones]

You jinxed it!
It worked!!

Kinda hoped it would. When Jags got ball back...i changed channel and missed the fg too

 

[bones]

Updated:

Wild Card Weekend:

SF - 10 -120 3 Units. WIN
SF TT Over 13.5 1H WIN
Under 42 1 Unit LOSE

Jags - pick -110 1.5 Units WIN
Jags +2.5 1.5 Units WIN
Jags +2 1/2 Unit WIN
OVER 47 -120 WIN
Etieene anytime td -120 LOSE
Ekeler Over 38.5 receiving yards -135 LOSE

Bills - 10 -120 1 Unit LOSE
Bills -7 1H 2 Units LOSE
Josh Allen Over 22.5 completions -122 1/2 Unit WIN
Bills -3.5 1st Qtr 1/2 unit. WIN
Bills -3.5 3rd qtr 1/2 Unit and WIN
Bills -7 2H 1/2 unit LOSE

Brady +3 -135 1 Unit LOSE

Giants +3 for 1.5 Units WIN

Bengals -5 1H 2 Units LOSE
Bengals TT Over 6.5 1st qtr 1/2 Unit LOSE

Teasers (all 1 unit)

SF -2.5/Bucs +9.5 (7 point tease) LOSE

Bills -7/Giants +9/ Bucs +8.5 LOSE

Bengals -1/ OVER 41.5 Chargers & Jax / Over 42.5 Giants & Vikes WIN

 

[bones]

Add; Josh Allen Over 22.5 completions -122 1/2 Unit

 

[bones]

ADD Bills -3.5 1st Qtr 1/2 unit.

This is what happens for me when only one game on - lose discipline. Bills supposed to win and barring a miracle they do. At home vs Skylar Thompson. How about they are up 10-0, 6-0. 7-0. 7-3 after 1st.

 

[Vapster]

ADD Bills -3.5 1st Qtr 1/2 unit.

This is what happens for me when only one game on - lose discipline. Bills supposed to win and barring a miracle they do. At home vs Skylar Thompson. How about they are up 10-0, 6-0. 7-0. 7-3 after 1st.

Was looking at this as well.
1st half now 8.5 to 9.

 

[bones]

Well, the good fortune on the Jags got paid back by the Bills -7 1H. Just pathetic playing

The close game shud be good for Allen completions prop

Add; Bills -3.5 3rd qtr 1/2 Unit and -7 2H 1/2 unit

 

[bones]

Bengals -5 1H 2 Units

 

[bones]

Bengals TT Over 6.5 1st qtr 1/2 Unit

 

[bones]

Updated:

Wild Card Weekend:

SF - 10 -120 3 Units. WIN
SF TT Over 13.5 1H WIN
Under 42 1 Unit LOSE

Jags - pick -110 1.5 Units WIN
Jags +2.5 1.5 Units WIN
Jags +2 1/2 Unit WIN
OVER 47 -120 WIN
Etieene anytime td -120 LOSE
Ekeler Over 38.5 receiving yards -135 LOSE

Bills - 10 -120 1 Unit LOSE
Bills -7 1H 2 Units LOSE
Josh Allen Over 22.5 completions -122 1/2 Unit WIN
Bills -3.5 1st Qtr 1/2 unit. WIN
Bills -3.5 3rd qtr 1/2 Unit and WIN
Bills -7 2H 1/2 unit LOSE

Brady +3 -135 1 Unit LOSE

Giants +3 for 1.5 Units WIN

Bengals -5 1H 2 Units LOSE
Bengals TT Over 6.5 1st qtr 1/2 Unit LOSE

Teasers (all 1 unit)

SF -2.5/Bucs +9.5 (7 point tease) LOSE

Bills -7/Giants +9/ Bucs +8.5 LOSE

Bengals -1/ OVER 41.5 Chargers & Jax / Over 42.5 Giants & Vikes WIN

Won $ on Niners & Jags.
Lost $ on Bills, Bucs and Bengals
(about -1.5 Unit or so)