wiseplayer
Pretty much a regular
Here’s 1 to add from 1989 playoffs. Rams at Philly, Rams at Giants, Rams at 9ers. This was after being at Pats last game of the regular season. All playoff games went under the total.
NFC Divisional Round: Cowboys vs 49ers Discussion Thread
- Thread starter VirginiaCavs
- Start date
pressitup
Leader of the Adult Humor Industry
Won 73mm on stros
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
I know he's done well with bases, don't they always correlate with the promotions he runs in the Summer?
Wonder if this one is a hedge...obviously the 70+ milly had a lot more going on that just some promo...never have seen him on something outside of Houston
RetroVK
This claim is disputed
One of the joys of WC weekend was the lack of referee involvement for the most part and the ability of the defensive backs to have some minor contact without the bail out call of defensive holding, illegal contact or PI. It can never be perfect but it was the best officiated weekend of the season that I saw.Ref assignments/trends - probably a handicapping tool we should use more - especially when betting only a few games
From Action Network
Bill Vinovich
Underdogs are 11-5 ATS in Vinovich games this season, making him the most profitable ref for underdogs this year. Since 2018, dogs are 50-32-1 ATS (61%) in his games.
In the last decade, road teams are 83-64-3 ATS (56.5%) in Vinovich games.
Vinovich hasn’t been a good sign for the 49ers. They’ve lost three in a row SU and four of their last five, including the 2020 Super Bowl vs. Tampa Bay.
In the last decade, Vinovich games are 89-62-1 (58.9%) to the under, making a $100 bettor $2,159 (14.2% ROI). The under is 62-37 (62.6%) since 2017 (21.1% ROI).
Vinovich has called the fewest total penalties this season (134; 8.38 per game).
Vinovich has only thrown 175 flags, also the fewest of any official.
The most penalized player in terms of flags in the NFL? Tyron Smith with 14 flags on the OL of the Cowboys (tied with Eagles OL Landon Dickerson).
Most Defensive Penalties Committed This Season
T-1. Dolphins, Broncos — 50
3. Cowboys — 47
4. Bills — 44
T-5. Giants, Saints — 42
Most Called Penalties in 2022 by Bill Vinovich
Offensive Holding: 28 (3rd-fewest)
False Start: 27 (2nd-fewest)
Defensive Offsides: 12 (2nd-most)
Defensive Pass Interference: 8 (T-fewest of 17 units; 13.5 is avg)
Link for penalties/ref
All Referees - 2022
Penalty statistics for all referee crews that officiated in the 2022 season.www.nflpenalties.com
Just came to my mind from reading your good info there.
RetroVK
This claim is disputed
He is just hedging from the free furniture if Dallas wins.
bones
We Must Protect Our Democracy
Excellent marketing man with smart hedging
Colin Wynner
Pretty much a regular
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Inspekdah
My man, Michael Jordan!
Well the side he bets on doesn’t do well.
pressitup
Leader of the Adult Humor Industry
He's not capping. It's local teams,, so the customers have an interest other than free furniture.
Inspekdah
My man, Michael Jordan!
I understand. And he hit with Astros right? So who knows.
Super Bowl Squares 2023 ($50/square, pays on each score change)
Going to run this back. Think last year's went pretty well, which you can see here: Super Bowl Squares. ($50/square, pays on each score change) We will be paying on every score change, including extra points. I'll find someone not in the pool on the board that will run two separate RNGs for...
bookieassassin
Pretty much a regular
He threw out the first pitch in the series - gave money and mattresses IN PHILLY to those in need - makes about 5- 6 million/ week during these promos ..... AND cashed the largest payout in wagering history --- $73 MILLION dollars. Total loser.
skanless13
Fly, Eagles, Fly!
Starting to think this game will fly over the total. Thinking something like 30-28
Clear skies out here expected in Santa Clara only thing that scares me is all the games went Over last week and both unders this weekend so far Saturday
rambler882
Head of the Justin Fields Fan Club
and i think 3 teams all year went over this against the niners. And Cowboys only played I think 1 top 10 defense in Eagles. 1 game they put up a ton of points v. Minsehw, the other they got shut down but that may have been with Rush
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I think it could be a huge impact, not just in the fact that who freaking knows if he can make them? but maybe more importantly does Dak press In scoring range even more than normal not trusting the kicker? That where the turnovers come imo, I think they will have a really tough time driving the entire field and punching in tds with short and intermediate stuff to CD and Shultz, they gonna have to hit a few big ones on the outside to Gallup maybe TY I think, that where niners d most vulnerable. I have no doubt Dak will be able to move ball but I think the turnovers likely to come back if he forced to drive the field w 10-12 play drives against this d.
rambler882
Head of the Justin Fields Fan Club
Exactly, I sort of look at it all and think junk in, junk out. Cowboys and Niners each had bottom 5 strength of schedules. Not sure how much stock to put in that
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I kinda look at them and think how different is niners d from last year squad who pretty much dominated Dallas for 3/4 of that game?
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
I Love ref stats in all sports
Thing to remember is he has a different crew for the playoffs like all refs do and all of those penalties are called by someone else on his normal crew except the occasional holding or false start
Love letting them play this time of season
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Nfl doesn’t keep normal reg season crews together in playoffs right? They piece them together? I dunno if that the right way to go about it or not but so far this year I dont think there been any playoff result drastically effected by officiating, we don’t have any threads bitching bout them, that always a good sign!
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Yeah they all mix 'n match...why holding, false start, offsides and PI can't be compared to his normal regular season crew. Roughing can be though and maybe a hint of holding.
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