NBA Plays (Conference SF's)...
- Thread starter emkee
- Start date
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
Too bad we've got Ken Mauer and Marc Davis in the bay.
Home teams with a 0.33 WP under Mauer and a 0.50 WP under Davis in these playoffs.
Kenny is a cunt but Marc is the 2nd biggest cunt ref in the league behind Scotty Foster.
That being said, Dubs should still roll.
My line for this game is Dubs -11, add 5.5 points to that being a home closeout game and I get -16.5 as my spread.
Home teams with a 0.33 WP under Mauer and a 0.50 WP under Davis in these playoffs.
Kenny is a cunt but Marc is the 2nd biggest cunt ref in the league behind Scotty Foster.
That being said, Dubs should still roll.
My line for this game is Dubs -11, add 5.5 points to that being a home closeout game and I get -16.5 as my spread.
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
Regarding the refs in general this postseason,
if you're on the home team you want to see Mike Callahan and/or Danny Crawford,
if you're on the road team you want to see Monty McCutchen and/or Jason Phillips.
Biggest home/away discrepancies with a minimum of 6+ games officiated during the playoffs.
if you're on the home team you want to see Mike Callahan and/or Danny Crawford,
if you're on the road team you want to see Monty McCutchen and/or Jason Phillips.
Biggest home/away discrepancies with a minimum of 6+ games officiated during the playoffs.
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
More checking to see if the crooked officials I know are working the game.
But do use that site.
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
adding...
San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder (Game 6)
The play...
Spurs ML -105 (3 units)
Gonna take the gritty veteran 'geezers' in their last hurrah vs a team noted for choking.
Based on the opening spread this is a solid play.
Home dogs in a closeout game off a win don't do too well at all.
Home dogs off back to back wins do fucking terrible in the playoffs.
By ratings etc the Spurs are the much better team but OKC has been the 'luckier' team so far in this series via ref and bounce of the ball.
Refs suck but I can't see the Spurs going out like chumps. Trust this team to fight 'til the end.
opcorn:
San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder (Game 6)
The play...
Spurs ML -105 (3 units)
Gonna take the gritty veteran 'geezers' in their last hurrah vs a team noted for choking.
Based on the opening spread this is a solid play.
Home dogs in a closeout game off a win don't do too well at all.
Home dogs off back to back wins do fucking terrible in the playoffs.
By ratings etc the Spurs are the much better team but OKC has been the 'luckier' team so far in this series via ref and bounce of the ball.
Refs suck but I can't see the Spurs going out like chumps. Trust this team to fight 'til the end.
opcorn:
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
Eggers...
:shake2:
Been running like poop of late, need a correction. Still time to save my postseason.
The 1-day in-between games is the Meat's downfall, old gimpy team is getting worn down.
Meat play well in spurts much like the Craps but without the younger legs,
Game 5's comeback and fail seemed like the beginning of their last breath.
All 3 refs tonight are solid if you like the road team given their past playoff performances.
Going back to 'my lines', have this game lined at a flat 3.
:shake2:
Been running like poop of late, need a correction. Still time to save my postseason.
The 1-day in-between games is the Meat's downfall, old gimpy team is getting worn down.
Meat play well in spurts much like the Craps but without the younger legs,
Game 5's comeback and fail seemed like the beginning of their last breath.
All 3 refs tonight are solid if you like the road team given their past playoff performances.
Going back to 'my lines', have this game lined at a flat 3.
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
Spread down to 3 in some spots.
Home faves of 3.0 - 4.0 are 4-20 ATS in the playoffs the last 3 seasons.
johnci
Pretty much a regular
I'll be following and tailing as usual.
Next round bud...game is changing...gotta adapt...it's tough...
At least your avatar game has been on all postseason.
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
Hopefully you get rewarded for your loyalty. Will attempt to lock-in next round and pay more attention to my 'lines' and ELO methods.
Too much reliance on previous solid trends and predictive stats the last few games.
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
Yeah, feel I got a good read for the conference 'ship round.
Needed to apply the KISS strategy more often.
The ever-present Stern's ghost also hasn't helped.
Feel the officiating this postseason has been way worse than before. League trying to force parity given it's so top heavy in 2015/16.
Unfortunately outside of the Stevie Adams avy, the others haven't been treating me well.
divol
The Spurs can suck my manhood
5 - 5 ATS in the past Heat games and 6 - 4 ATS in the last 10 Raps game...
Paulie The Vig
Pretty much a regular
The man says based on the past and you bring up a whopping 10 games wow that will keep me off the Heat.
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
No point messing with the spread at this point. Do think they'll cover though.
Same risk for less reward.
The home team is 36-8 (.818) straight-up in Game 7 of the 2nd Round all-time.
No team in the history of the league has ever won 2 series in the same postseason having trailed 2-3 in both.
Doubt the Meat can make history with no Whiteside on foreign soil.
Raps are undefeated off a loss this postseason.
The numbers are in the Raps favor, only thing that can save Miami is the league.
It is what it is.
Same risk for less reward.
The home team is 36-8 (.818) straight-up in Game 7 of the 2nd Round all-time.
No team in the history of the league has ever won 2 series in the same postseason having trailed 2-3 in both.
Doubt the Meat can make history with no Whiteside on foreign soil.
Raps are undefeated off a loss this postseason.
The numbers are in the Raps favor, only thing that can save Miami is the league.
It is what it is.
divol
The Spurs can suck my manhood
What past? The last 10 games take us back to 13/14 season! I really care more about the recent 10 games, than what was going on in 1970/71 season...
D.Crawford is 39 - 27 ATS in favor of the home team and 29 - 17 ATS if home team is favorite.
I'm betting Heat despite the refs, not because of them...
P-Unit
Beacon of Calmness
any thoughts on this? lol
Campus Dave @Danger_the_Dave <small class="time" style="font-size: 13px; color: rgb(136, 153, 166);"> 2h2 hours ago</small>
@PFTCommenter I broke out a little punnet square action to try to figure out if Lebron has the clutch gene.
Campus Dave @Danger_the_Dave <small class="time" style="font-size: 13px; color: rgb(136, 153, 166);"> 2h2 hours ago</small>
@PFTCommenter I broke out a little punnet square action to try to figure out if Lebron has the clutch gene.
Paulie The Vig
Pretty much a regular
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