NBA Playoff Plays (First Round)...
- Thread starter emkee
- Start date
:shake:
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
Thanks TCM.
Play is based on what we've seen transpire so far and the strong 'numbers', not as sure as I was in previous games backing the Grizz given it's a defining game for the Thunder in their current state. This game basically makes or breaks OKC as heads are sure to roll if they go out in the 1st round. KD could very easily come out and dominate this game if he wanted to (like LBJ did in the 2011/12 ECF's down 3-2 in the series vs Boston, Heat were also a 2-point road fave in that game) but I find that unlikely with Westbrook playing, Russ thinks he's the 'alpha' on this team. Durant is getting hammered by the local media, may drive him or make him wilt further. His in-game mannerisms lead me to believe he'll continue to stay passive but maybe he becomes a man tonight. We'll know after the 1st quarter.
Grizz a relatively 'popular' play across the interwebs too.
Play is based on what we've seen transpire so far and the strong 'numbers', not as sure as I was in previous games backing the Grizz given it's a defining game for the Thunder in their current state. This game basically makes or breaks OKC as heads are sure to roll if they go out in the 1st round. KD could very easily come out and dominate this game if he wanted to (like LBJ did in the 2011/12 ECF's down 3-2 in the series vs Boston, Heat were also a 2-point road fave in that game) but I find that unlikely with Westbrook playing, Russ thinks he's the 'alpha' on this team. Durant is getting hammered by the local media, may drive him or make him wilt further. His in-game mannerisms lead me to believe he'll continue to stay passive but maybe he becomes a man tonight. We'll know after the 1st quarter.
Grizz a relatively 'popular' play across the interwebs too.
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
8-7-1 (+5.59)
Crazy playoffs so far, normally reliable angles have been getting abused. If you escape this 1st round with any sort of profit you've done very well imo. Thought the zig-zag was dead given previous season's results but it's made quite the 'rebirth' this postseason
Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Clippers Game 7
The play...
Clippers -7.5 (2.5 units)
Lobbers in the best 'spot' of all the Game 7 teams playing tonight, have to make a play here.
:shake:
Crazy playoffs so far, normally reliable angles have been getting abused. If you escape this 1st round with any sort of profit you've done very well imo. Thought the zig-zag was dead given previous season's results but it's made quite the 'rebirth' this postseason
Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Clippers Game 7
The play...
Clippers -7.5 (2.5 units)
Lobbers in the best 'spot' of all the Game 7 teams playing tonight, have to make a play here.
:shake:
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
Yeah. Ref play came to fruition, was one of the more telling ensembles put together by the commish in order to add something to a dire East Conference postseason. At least now a Heat v Pacers ECF's is possible. Should have added more.
Building a book on the commish's men to help things going forward.
Refs in the next two games with no glaring home/away leans, slightly 'roadie' though. Head ref Mauer is a company man so should keep the 'Hollywood' market involved tonight.
Building a book on the commish's men to help things going forward.
Refs in the next two games with no glaring home/away leans, slightly 'roadie' though. Head ref Mauer is a company man so should keep the 'Hollywood' market involved tonight.
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
Underdogs so far through the 1st round are...
33-14-1 ATS (27-21 SU)
Last season they were...
21-24 ATS (14-31 SU)
And the season before that they were...
21-20-3 ATS (10-34 SU)
Just crazy, didn't notice this much parity throughout the regular season at all so the massively successful transition into the playoffs is weird to say the least - almost scripted.
33-14-1 ATS (27-21 SU)
Last season they were...
21-24 ATS (14-31 SU)
And the season before that they were...
21-20-3 ATS (10-34 SU)
Just crazy, didn't notice this much parity throughout the regular season at all so the massively successful transition into the playoffs is weird to say the least - almost scripted.
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
9-8-1 (+5.04)
Having a rough time of it right now.
Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs Game 7
The play...
Spurs -6.5 (3 units)
Sticking to my guns again even though previous successful spots are getting shit on in this crazy start to the playoffs. Is a situation I'd play 9 times outta 10 - SA off a close Game 6 road loss and now back home for Game 7 is historically a decent spot, also no 8-seed has won and/or covered a Game-7 ever vs a 1-seed. Manu cost them Game 6 with his awful shooting, so expect him to have a big game today. Just can't see SA dropping another big Game 7, especially against an 8-seeded team they previously dominated and going out like chumps. Square pattern of though but that's how I see it.
Home team in Game 7 of Round 1 is 13-4 SU (12-5 ATS).
Game 7 home teams, seeded 4 or better as faves of more than 4 points are 21-6 ATS.
:shake:
Having a rough time of it right now.
Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs Game 7
The play...
Spurs -6.5 (3 units)
Sticking to my guns again even though previous successful spots are getting shit on in this crazy start to the playoffs. Is a situation I'd play 9 times outta 10 - SA off a close Game 6 road loss and now back home for Game 7 is historically a decent spot, also no 8-seed has won and/or covered a Game-7 ever vs a 1-seed. Manu cost them Game 6 with his awful shooting, so expect him to have a big game today. Just can't see SA dropping another big Game 7, especially against an 8-seeded team they previously dominated and going out like chumps. Square pattern of though but that's how I see it.
Home team in Game 7 of Round 1 is 13-4 SU (12-5 ATS).
Game 7 home teams, seeded 4 or better as faves of more than 4 points are 21-6 ATS.
:shake:
Lexington 125
I cap it all, and I cap it well.
Agree on Spurs...haven't made the ats wager yet but I think its a win/cover or a su loss.
GL em
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
For sure, Ret.
Knew Pops meant business when he rocked up in the light fawn-colored suit, would love to see the results for SA when he wears it.
Finished the 1st round on a decent note given how messed up it was, goal was 10 units - got close enough so can't complain.
2nd round is often the 'money round' in the playoffs. Looking forward to it, some really nice match-ups on deck.
All the Game 7's this round somewhat clouds the water for the upcoming Game 1's but a few nice looking plays at first glance.
10-8-1 (+8.04)
Knew Pops meant business when he rocked up in the light fawn-colored suit, would love to see the results for SA when he wears it.
Finished the 1st round on a decent note given how messed up it was, goal was 10 units - got close enough so can't complain.
2nd round is often the 'money round' in the playoffs. Looking forward to it, some really nice match-ups on deck.
All the Game 7's this round somewhat clouds the water for the upcoming Game 1's but a few nice looking plays at first glance.
10-8-1 (+8.04)
smh212
Awesomeitus Degenerate
Nice hit.....one day, I need you to take some time and explain/share your ref angles/info, and impact on your plays. The ref's in the Spurs game today drove my my Spurs TT play, but it's a part of my capping that is really lacking. Let me know when you have some time to help me out....much appreciated.
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