My Underdogchance Projected NHL Lines

adding the last plays
Game NHL - Toronto @ Vancouver
Bet #6 Vancouver @2.27
Risk 10.00

Game NHL - Winnipeg @ St Louis
Bet #7 Winnipeg @2.44
Risk 10.00

Game NHL - Dallas @ Colorado
Bet #8 Colorado @1.95
Risk 10.00
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 6-2, +101.94
Profit: +56.48
Yield: +1.65%
----------------
4/12/2016
Game NHL - Montreal @ Los Angeles
Bet #1
Montreal @2.1
Risk 31.70

MORE TO COME (waiting for latest info about goalies)...

Projected
MTL -146
LAK 146

TBL 111
CAR -111

DET 152
NYI -152

PHI 107
NSH -107

WPG 178
CHI -178

MIN -129
EDM 129

ANA 138
CGY -138
 
adding
[h=1]adding:
Game NHL - Detroit @ NY Islanders
Bet #2 NY Islanders @1.66
Risk 21.20[/h]My Projected Lines and the odds
I have projected, that NY Islanders should be favourite of around 1.66 if they start with Halak and 1.56 if they play with Greiss. Yes, their backup goalie is much better this season, than Halak and he is getting more and more chance. I wouldn’t be surprised if they start with him again. But anyway, those are projected lines from me and you can get pretty same numbers by bookmakers. You can get even 1.70 if you have more bookmakers account. I give Islanders more than 60% of chance in this game.

Match Up
Detroit lost yesterday against Pittsburgh. Yes, they were leading by 3-1 but it was just matter of time, when they will go down, because Pittsburgh put a lot of pressure on them. The problem with Detroit right now is that they have a lot of injured players. They are without their best goalie Howard and they called up Coreau, who played well yesterday. He is a big guy and y personal opinion is that he is quality goalie, but still he recieved 4 goals and they will probably go with Mrazek again tonight. So, the goalies are their first problem. Then they miss a lot of regular players (Franze, Helm, Bertuzzi, Abdelkader, Smith, Vitale, Marchenko, Athanasiou). So, this is pretty big problem here. They can play one good game, but i don't believe, that they can keep the same level all the time and especially if they play on back to back, which is their situation today. When you don’t have enough talent, you must play harder and you must give more than 120%. But if you played yesterday against strong Pittsburgh, where you gave those 120% it will be hard today. Detroit will be more tired for sure today. Islanders on other side will be fresh for this game and they started playing much better. They won 3 straight games and they even beat strong Washington in last game on the road by 3-0. That was a huge momentum game for them. They also have very good record against Detroit, because they beat them in 9 of last 13 meetings and 5 of last 7 meetings at home.

Reason for pick
Detroit has a lot of injured players and they played yesterday. They lost 13 of last 16 games, when they had 0 days rest. They will be tired in this game and they will have to face Islanders, who are playing much much better right now. Islanders have good record against them and they ar playing much better right now. 3 straight wins and the last huge win in Washington. Detroit on other side has only 3 wins in last 10 games. No matter who will be in the net for Islanders and who will be in the net for Detroit, all combinations are fine for me. Islanders are the right call.
Play Islanders
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 1-1, +13.67
Profit: +70.15
Yield: +2.02%

----------------
5/12/2016
Game NHL - Arizona @ Columbus
Bet #196
Columbus -1.5 @2.26
Risk 32.00

Bonus - Analysis:
My Projected Lines and the odds
I have projected, that Columbus has 76.4% of chance to win this game, with that I have projected, that they should be favoured at 1.31. Bookmakers give me more than 1.40. I also projected, that it could happen more than 6 goals in this one (projected: 6.72).

Match Up
Columbus beat Arizona in the last game by 3-2 on the road. They were all over them. They put 60 shots on a goal. Do you know, that leage average is around 30 shots and they are much better team than Arizona this season. In fact Columbus is one of the best teams this season in NHL. Based on points, they are 5th best and right now, they will play at home, where, they are a 8-4, with 3.7 goals per game and they allow only 2.4 goals per game there. Arizona on other side is 27th team out of 30 teams and they are 3-9 on the road. They play bette at home and especially if they have their best goalie in the net - Mike Smith. The problem is that they will give the chance to second goalie - Domingue, who has SV% of 0.880 on the road and the record 2-5. If Mike Smith saved them from disaster at home against Columbus, when he faced 60 shots, I think they will have tough time here in Columbus. Columbus is flying right now, winning 4 of last 5 games.

Reason for pick
Arizona lost 6 of last 7 visits to Columbus and the home team is 11-5 in last 16 meetings. They will play with their backup goalie, who is struggling on the road and they are below average team. Columbus is very good team and especially at home, they put a lot of pressure on other teams. If they placed 60 shots on the road against Arizona, I can only imagine what will they do here at home. I will take Columbus to win by 2 goals.
Play Columbus -1.5



OTT 147
PIT -147

ARI 324
CBJ -324

BUF 236
WSH -236

FLA 145
BOS -145
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 1-0, +40.32
Profit: +110.47
Yield: +3.15%

----------------
6/12/2016
Game NHL - NY Rangers @ NY Islanders
Bet #197
NY Rangers @1.83
Risk 22.20

Game NHL - Calgary @ Dallas
Bet #198
Calgary @2.18
Risk 33.30

Projected:

EDM -157
BUF 157

FLA 163
PHI -163

NYR -155
NYI 155

VAN 140
NJD -140

MTL 119
STL -119

COL 224
NSH -224

DET 131
WPG -131

CGY -135
DAL 135

ARI 149
CHI -149

Preview for Calgary @ Dallas
My Projected Lines and the odds
Bookmakers opened odds on Calgary at around 2.30 or close to this number and odds dropped on them, despite most of the public will be against Calgary and will back Dallas. My projected numbers put Dallas as underdog, because my model gives Dallas around 42.6% of chance winning this game. Calgary on other side should be based on my model favourite with 57.4% of chance and with that odds of around 1.74. I expect, that bookmakers pay me at least 0.74 of profit if I bet on Calgary and they win. They give me much more, they will pay me around 1.25 if Calgary win, which is around 0.50 more, that I expect and because of that Calgary is value play for me.


Match Up
Calgary just beat Anaheim at home by 8-3. They are already playing better, but with come back of their best offensive player Gaudreau, they are also much better in offence. In last 3 games, they won all three and they outscored other teams by 14-5 in goals. Chad Johnson will start for them and he is their first goalie right now, because Elliott is struggling and yes, is doing really well. SV% of 92.8%. Good both at home and on the road, on the road little bit better (93.8%). Dallas on other side was dealing with couple of injuries during the season and when couple of players came back, here we go again. They are again without Sharp, Hemsky, Janmark and Hudler. They lost 4 of last 5 games and 4 of last 6. Their goalies are not playing well and Niemi is playing better in last games, but they will not start with him, but with Lehtonen, based on my latest information. Lehtonen SV% is 86.7% in last 4 games and his record is 5-9 to the season.


Reason for pick
Calgary lost the last game against Dallas at home, but since then a lot of things changed. They are playing better and it looks like Dallas will have bad season. This is their revenge game and they are coming to this game with good form of three straight wins, especailly the last one, when they beat strong Anaheim by 8-3. I will go with better team for plus money. Note also that road team is 7-2 in last 9 meetings between those two teams.
Play Calgary
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 1-2, -5.11
Profit: +105.36
Yield: +2.94%
----------------
7/12/2016
Game NHL - Ottawa @ San Jose
Bet #200
Ottawa @2.85
Risk 11.00

My Projected Lines and the odds
Ottawa Senators are a huge underdog here against San Jose and my projected odds are pretty same, than those from bookmakers. I have projected that San Jose should be favourite of around 1.50 and this is the price which you will get from bookmakers. This is one of the few picks, where I will go with other information and this is my very rare gut play.

Match Up
San Jose are pretty hot in last couple of games. They won 6 of last 7 games, but they had 3 days off right now. Most people will think, that this is good for a team, but in NHL longer rest than 2 days, usually has different impact. San Jose lost 5 of last 7 games, when they played on 3 days rest and also my historical numbers say that there is no advantage if you have 3 days off. With 4 days off, mot teams will play even worse. So, if they were hot, those three days off didn’t come at the right moment and especially not against Ottawa. Ottawa is even better team than San Jose based on points (8.best team in NHL, San Jose 10. best). Ottawa also has very good numbers against Sharks, they beat them in 4 straight games. Ottawa will start with mike Condon who has been hot lately with SV% of 94.5%. San Jose on other side will probably start with their best goalie Jones (SV% 92.4%), but they also have couple of questionable players for todays game - Wingels, Couture, Schlemko. Even if they play, they had some small injuries last days.

Reason for pick
The odds on Ottawa are pretty high. We can get them for close to 2.90 and even if my numbers and projections have this price as very fair price I think that Ottawa can surprise Sharks tonight. They are better team so far this season based on points, they have very good record against San Jose, after all, they also beat them last time in San Jose and they have very hot goalie right now in the net. As you probably know, their first goalie Anderson leaves the team to be with his wife, who is dealing with cancer. This team is playing also for him and Mike Condon came big in games he played so far.
Play Ottawa

Projected lines

MIN 101
TOR -101

BOS 120
WSH -120

OTT 195
SJS -195

CAR 111
ANA -111
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 1-0, +20.35
Profit: +125.71
Yield: +3.50%

----------------
8/12/2016
Game NHL - St Louis @ NY Islanders
Bet #201
NY Islanders @2.18
Risk 33.80

Game NHL - Colorado @ Boston
Bet #202
Colorado @2.64
Risk 22.50

Game NHL - New Jersey @ Montreal
Bet #203
Montreal @1.64
Risk 45.00

Game NHL - NY Rangers @ Winnipeg
Bet #204
NY Rangers @2.08
Risk 56.30

Game NHL - Nashville @ Dallas
Bet #205
Dallas @2.05
Risk 22.50

COLORADO +164
My Projected Lines and the odds

Bookmakers opened Colorado at around 2.80 and they dropped those odds to around 2.65 and anyone, who played them for the first price has a nice value. I have projected, that Colorado should be the underdog of around 2.90, which doesn’t give the mathematical value, but sometimes I go against my numbers, based on other information. And this is today’s only play where I go against my numbers.

Match Up
Colorado Avalanche will start with Calvin Pickard, who is playing well this season. In fact he is playing better than their first goalie Varlamov, who has bad record and even worse SV% than Pickard. Calvin Pickard is 4-3 to the season and he has been great on the road with the record of 3-0 and SV% of 93.2%. His team Colorado is not playing well this season and they are for me personally big dissapointment. But still, they are good on the road against winning teams. They have 14 wins in last 22 games on the road against winning teams and what they do well is playing against Boston. In last 10 games against Boston, Colorado won 9. So, the story becomes even more interesting, because Boston could play without their best center Patrice Bergeron, who is waiting for suspension. Boston played a tough game yesterday against Washington on the road and they had to travel back home and their legs will be tired for sure, because they played overtime yesterday. And guess what, they lost 5 of last 6 games, when they were on 0 days rest.

Reason for pick
I usually don’t go against my math model, which predicts the outcomes of the games, but sometimes I go with my gut feeling and taking into account some other information. Colorado always play well against Boston, they also play better on the road, especially against winning teams. They will start with goalie, who is 3-0 on the road and they will face tired Boston team, who played yesterday an overtime game versus Washington. Boston is 1-5 in this situation.
Play Colorado
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 1-0, +20.35
Profit: +125.71
Yield: +3.50%

----------------
8/12/2016
Game NHL - St Louis @ NY Islanders
Bet #201
NY Islanders @2.18
Risk 33.80

Game NHL - Colorado @ Boston
Bet #202
Colorado @2.64
Risk 22.50

Game NHL - New Jersey @ Montreal
Bet #203
Montreal @1.64
Risk 45.00

Game NHL - NY Rangers @ Winnipeg
Bet #204
NY Rangers @2.08
Risk 56.30

Game NHL - Nashville @ Dallas
Bet #205
Dallas @2.05
Risk 22.50
5-0, +190 Units
an_wink.gif
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 5-0, +190.01
Profit: +315.72
Yield: +8.37%
----------------
9/12/2016
Game NHL - Washington @ Buffalo
Bet #206
Washington @1.87
Risk 32.90

Game NHL - Columbus @ Detroit
Bet #207
Columbus @1.84
Risk 32.90

Game NHL - NY Rangers @ Chicago
Bet #208
NY Rangers @2.18
Risk 32.90

Projected
WSH -163
BUF 163

STL -109
NJD 109

CBJ -160
DET 160

EDM 184
MIN -184

NYR -123
CHI 123

SJS -106
ANA 106
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 3-0, +95.08
Profit: +410.80
Yield: +10.61%

----------------
10/12/2016
Game NHL - Dallas @ Philadelphia
Bet #209
Philadelphia @1.83
Risk 49.40


more to come....
 
Game NHL - Colorado @ Montreal
Bet #210
Montreal @1.49
Risk 28.20

Game NHL - NY Islanders @ Pittsburgh
Bet #211
NY Islanders @2.38
Risk 28.20

Game NHL - Nashville @ Arizona
Bet #212
Arizona @2.7
Risk 28.20
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 4-1, +97.97
Profit: +508.77
Yield: +12.61%

----------------
11/12/2016
Game NHL - Philadelphia @ Detroit
Bet #214
Detroit @1.79
Risk 30.00

Game NHL - St Louis @ Minnesota
Bet #215
Minnesota @1.76
Risk 30.00

Game NHL - Dallas @ Chicago
Bet #216
Chicago @1.69
Risk 30.00

Game NHL - New Jersey @ NY Rangers
Bet #217
NY Rangers @1.68
Risk 75.00
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 3-1, +64.50
Profit: +573.27
Yield: +13.65%

NO Plays today!

My projected lines (based on my math model):

ARI +237
PIT -237

BOS +169
MTL -169


Good Luck, whatever you take. I
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 3-1, +64.50
Profit: +573.27
Yield: +13.65%

----------------
13/12/2016
Game NHL - Chicago @ NY Rangers
Bet #218
NY Rangers @1.793
Risk 78.00

Game NHL - San Jose @ Toronto
Bet #219
Toronto @1.95
Risk 31.50

Game NHL - St Louis @ Nashville
Bet #220
Nashville @1.71
Risk 31.50

Projected:

WSH -150
NYI +150

CHI +280
NYR -280

VAN +161
CAR -161

LAK -124
BUF +124

SJS +127
TOR -127

ARI +158
DET -158

STL +135
NSH -135

FLA +142
MIN -142

ANA -127
DAL +127

CBJ -127
EDM +127
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 1-2, -87.14
Profit: +486.14
Yield: +11.20%

----------------
14/12/2016
Game NHL - San Jose @ Ottawa
Bet #221
San Jose @1.83
Risk 30.00

Game NHL - Boston @ Pittsburgh
Bet #222
Boston @2.51
Risk 30.00

Game NHL - Philadelphia @ Colorado
Bet #223
Philadelphia @1.86
Risk 30.00

Projected
SJS -161
OTT +161

BOS +151
PIT -151

TBL +118
CGY -118

PHI -153
COL +153
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 2-1, +20.70
Profit: +506.84
Yield: +11.44%
----------------
15/12/2016
Game NHL - Anaheim @ Boston
Bet #224
Anaheim @2.11
Risk 30.00

Game NHL - Chicago @ NY Islanders
Bet #225
NY Islanders @1.99
Risk 15.00

Game NHL - Los Angeles @ Detroit
Bet #226
Detroit @2.11
Risk 30.00

Game NHL - Arizona @ Toronto
Bet #227
Arizona @3.1
Risk 15.00

Game NHL - Minnesota @ Nashville
Bet #228
Minnesota @2.1
Risk 30.00

Game NHL - NY Rangers @ Dallas
Bet #229
NY Rangers @1.92
Risk 52.5

Projected:
ANA 102
BOS -102

CHI 111
NYI -111

ARI 199
TOR -199

LAK 120
DET -120

MIN -116
NSH 116

NJD 143
STL -143

FLA -108
WPG 108

NYR -182
DAL 182
 
[FONT=&quot]Yesterday: 4-2, +101.1


[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]NHL record so far:
[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Total Picks: 229
[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Profit: 607.94
[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Yield: +13.21%
[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Profit per betting day: +12.16
[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]$100 bettor made +$6079.40 in 50 Betting Days on my picks in NHL 2016/2017 so far...
[/FONT]
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 4-2, +101.10
Total Picks: 231
Profit: +607.94
Yield: +13.21%

----------------
16/12/2016
Game NHL - San Jose @ Montreal
Bet #230
Montreal @1.71
Risk 48.00

Game NHL - Los Angeles @ Pittsburgh
Bet #231
Pittsburgh @1.59
Risk 32.00

Projected:

NYI +153
BUF -153

LAK +226
PIT -226

SJS +217
MTL -217

WSH -136
CAR +136

FLA -111
COL +111

CBJ -149
CGY +149

TBL -136
VAN +136
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 5-1, +62.72
Total Picks: 233
Profit: +527.94
Yield: +11.27%
----------------
17/12/2016
Game NHL - Philadelphia @ Dallas
Bet #232
Philadelphia @2.1
Risk 30.00

Game NHL - Arizona @ Minnesota
Bet #233
Arizona @3.1
Risk 45.00

more to come...
 
adding:
Game NHL - New Jersey @ Ottawa
Bet #234
New Jersey @2.14
Risk 30.00

Game NHL - Montreal @ Washington
Bet #235
Montreal @2.21
Risk 30.00

Game NHL - Buffalo @ Carolina
Bet #236
Carolina -1.5 @3.05
Risk 30.00

Game NHL - NY Rangers @ Nashville
Bet #237
NY Rangers @2.11
Risk 53.00

Game NHL - Chicago @ St Louis
Bet #238
Chicago @2.28
Risk 30.00
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 3-4, -1.47
Total Picks: 241
Profit: +526.41
Yield: +10.68%
----------------
18/12/2016
Game NHL - Los Angeles @ Boston
Bet #239
Los Angeles @2.35
Risk 30.00

Game NHL - Columbus @ Vancouver
Bet #240
Columbus @1.61
Risk 30.00

Game NHL - New Jersey @ NY Rangers
Bet #241
NY Rangers @1.57
Risk 75.00
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 2-2, -13.95
Total Picks: 233
Profit: +512.52
Yield: +10.03%
----------------
19/12/2016
Game NHL - Edmonton @ St Louis
Bet #243
Edmonton @2.2
Risk 42.50

Game NHL - Anaheim @ Toronto
Bet #244
Toronto @1.8
Risk 35.00

Game NHL - Calgary @ Arizona
Bet #245
Arizona @2.2
Risk 50.00
 
GL UDC. Thought hard about Arz but I have not had a real good feel for this team.
Thanks my friend. :cheers3:

I just want to stick with the model as much as I can. In last couple of days, I played couple of games and I missed most of them. On other side I played couple of them and sticked with the model and I hit most of them. After all, this brings me to to +500 units and yield (americans like to say ROI, which is wrong, but ok..) of more than 10%. :-)

I will keep going and I hope I will have positive year at the end :tiphat:

MY PROJECTED LINES for Monday 19.12.2016:


NSH +125
PHI -125

DET +119
CAR -119

ANA +170
TOR -170

EDM - 129
STL +129

CGY +138
ARI -138

Good Luck to all, whatever you play today!
 
Well, your chance of improving your "ROI" just went up as I saw Elliott will be in net for Calgary tonight. Believe they are 0-8 in the L8 games in which he appeared. That's enough to add them to my list. GL
 
Well, your chance of improving your "ROI" just went up as I saw Elliott will be in net for Calgary tonight. Believe they are 0-8 in the L8 games in which he appeared. That's enough to add them to my list. GL

All my lines are projected based on information who is in the net. The goalie plays the big part in my analysis. All my projected lines are updated on my personal site during the day depends who is in the net. And when I get the latest information who will be in the net, projected line changes and the value as well.

So, you mention ROI and I will explain, why ROI is not that thing, that most people think that it is. Of course we can make definition on those words as we want, but if we take real definition of ROI: Return on Investment (ROI) is the benefit to an investor resulting from an investment of some resource.

Return on investment = (gain from investment – cost of investment) / cost of investment

So, let's say you have $10.000 and you have 3 options, what will you do with that money:
1. Buy a car
2. Travel
3. Invest in sports betting

So, you decided, that you will invest in sports betting and you have decide, that you will lock your money for one year. This is you investment money. Right?
If we are more precise, there will be some fees with bookmakers and so on, but let's keep the things simple, so that people will se that ROI is totally different than yield, which is shown as ROI.

So, you lock (invest) your $10.000 for one year. Let's say you play 2 games per day and you play whole 365 days on each game by $100. At the end of the year you made +$6000 and your money is now $16.000. Your return on your investment of your $10.000 is +60% or if you like:

Return on investment = (gain from investment – cost of investment) / cost of investment
Return on investment = ($16.000 - $10.000)/$10.000 = 60%

On other side yield is something different.
Yield shows us how much profit you make based on hoch you risk/overturn or whatever you like...

Yield = Profit / Total money risked
Yield = $6000 / (2*100*365) = 8.22%

It tells us, that you will make in average +$8.22 when you risk $100

So, why is this important to show?

First because when you calculate the yield you could have unlimited bankroll, which is unrealistic of course. With ROI (the correct one) you will also show how you set your money management. If your basic unit is high % of you starting bankroll, then your ROI could be very big. But on other side you can be without your bankroll after bad streak if you have big % for your basic unit.
Almost nobody shows both two numbers, because most people don't even understand the difference.


The second thing I want to say right now, because i am writing already :-) is tracking the record on forums.

If you don't show at least those 4 things:
STARTING BANKROLL
PROFIT
YIELD
TOTAL PICKS

you should not even show your record, because showing record in this type (W - L -P) of format, especially in NHL and MLB forums (where most plays are ML) is useless and it doesn't say anything.

Why you should show those info ?
STARTING BANKROLL - With this information we can see how big is your unit and if it si realistic
PROFIT - this is why we bet. Money!
YIELD - shows how good you are
TOTAL PICKS - Yield can vary and jump especially when you have low number of picks. But if you have yield of 10% on more than let's say 300 picks, you are doing very well. More picks ,big yield = very good.

The next question:
Let's say you come to NHL forum and you decided that you will follow someone. You see two guys and their records:
Guy A: 145-130-20
Guy B: 130-135-15

Who is better? Who will you follow?

You don't know. Because they didn't show all the details. Guy A can be very bad handicapper and can have red numbers. On other side Guy B can have very good record and a very good season.
How?

Guy A plays odds of -200
Guy B plays odds of +130 or more

(This is very simple explanation)

So, that's it.

Oh, yes. I wouldn't play Arizona if Calgary would start with Johnson. :tiphat:
 
I am not much of a finance guy, and do not have an opinion one way or another on your methodology or how you track your money, but it is interesting. Don't forget that you could have someone with a 1-10 record and still showing a profit because they played 10 games at 1 unit and 1 game at 20 units. I suppose I agree that the record does not tell the whole story, but neither does the ultimate profit. Maybe that is where the yield comes in...I'm not sure...but GL the rest of the season.
 
I am not much of a finance guy, and do not have an opinion one way or another on your methodology or how you track your money, but it is interesting. Don't forget that you could have someone with a 1-10 record and still showing a profit because they played 10 games at 1 unit and 1 game at 20 units. I suppose I agree that the record does not tell the whole story, but neither does the ultimate profit. Maybe that is where the yield comes in...I'm not sure...but GL the rest of the season.

Yes you are right about 1-10 record and one "big winning play". And I have a plan to write big article about this, because a lot of people manipulate with the numbers. There are couple of things, that we should take into consideration and one of those is that you mention.

But the biggest problem and I think a lot of people do this is that they show W-L-P record. This is really useless information and says nothing.
 
TUESDAY - 20.12.2016

Starting Bankroll
(20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 1-2, -34.00
Max Play: 5%
Profit: +478.52
Yield: +9.14%

----------------
20/12/2016
Game NHL - Los Angeles @ Columbus
Bet #246
Los Angeles @2.15
Risk 30.00

Game NHL - NY Rangers @ Pittsburgh
Bet #247
NY Rangers @2.49
Risk 30.00

Game NHL - Anaheim @ Montreal
Bet #248
Montreal @1.6
Risk 60.00

Game NHL - Colorado @ Minnesota
Bet #249
Minnesota -1.5 @2.25
Risk 30.00

Game NHL - Ottawa @ Chicago
Bet #250
Chicago @1.63
Risk 37.00

Game NHL - Calgary @ San Jose
Bet #251
Calgary @1.86
Risk 15.00
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 2-4, -38.50
Max Play: 5%
Profit: +440.02
Yield: +8.09%
----------------
22/12/2016
Game NHL - St Louis @ Tampa Bay
Bet #252
Tampa Bay @1.95
Risk 43.00

Game NHL - Los Angeles @ Nashville
Bet #253
Los Angeles @2.15
Risk 29.00

Game NHL - Toronto @ Colorado
Bet #254
Toronto @1.71
Risk 42.00

Projected Lines

CAR -115
BUF 115

PIT 107
CBJ -107

PHI -103
NJD 103

BOS -137
FLA 137

STL 160
TBL -160

MIN 160
MTL -160

ANA -132
OTT 132

LAK 110
NSH -110

TOR -212
COL 212

WPG -120
VAN 120
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 3-0, +104.02
Max Play: 5%
Profit: +544.04
Yield: +9.80%
----------------
23/12/2016
Game NHL - Buffalo @ NY Islanders
Bet #255
NY Islanders @1.76
Risk 62.00

Game NHL - Colorado @ Chicago
Bet #256
Colorado @3.6
Risk 15.00

Game NHL - Toronto @ Arizona
Bet #257
Arizona @2.27
Risk 15.00

Game NHL - Los Angeles @ Dallas
Bet #258
Los Angeles @2.21
Risk 46.00

Game NHL - Minnesota @ NY Rangers
Bet #259
NY Rangers @1.69
Risk 77.00

Projected:
MIN 266
NYR -266

NJD 202
PIT -202

BUF 217
NYI -217

MTL 176
CBJ -176

TBL 177
WSH -177

BOS 118
CAR -118

DET 159
FLA -159

COL 268
CHI -268

LAK -132
DAL 132

VAN 148
CGY -148

TOR -135
ARI 135

EDM 122
SJS -122
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 2-3, -51.88
Max Play: 5%
Profit: +492.16
Yield: +8.53%
----------------
27/12/2016
Game NHL - Ottawa @ NY Rangers
Bet #260
NY Rangers @1.64
Risk 75.00

Game NHL - Boston @ Columbus
Bet #261
Boston @2.13
Risk 30.00

Game NHL - Pittsburgh @ New Jersey
Bet #262
New Jersey @2.31
Risk 30.00

Game NHL - Winnipeg @ Chicago
Bet #263
Winnipeg @2.32
Risk 30.00

Game NHL - Dallas @ Arizona
Bet #264
Arizona @2.29
Risk 42.00

Game NHL - Calgary @ Colorado
Bet #265
Colorado @2.25
Risk 30.00

Game NHL - Buffalo @ Detroit
Bet #266
Detroit @1.8
Risk 30.00
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 2-5, -74.40
Max Play: 5%
Profit: +417.76
Yield: +6.92%

----------------
28/12/2016
Game NHL - Toronto @ Florida
Bet #267
Toronto @2.11
Risk 28.50

Game NHL - Montreal @ Tampa Bay
Bet #268
Montreal @1.96
Risk 42.50

Game NHL - Philadelphia @ St Louis
Bet #269
Philadelphia @2.31
Risk 56.70


[FONT=georgia, times, times new roman, serif]MY PROJECTED LINES:
[FONT=georgia, times, times new roman, serif]
[/FONT]
[FONT=georgia, times, times new roman, serif]CAR +162[/FONT]
[FONT=georgia, times, times new roman, serif]PIT -162[/FONT]
[FONT=georgia, times, times new roman, serif] [/FONT]
[FONT=georgia, times, times new roman, serif]TOR -120[/FONT]
[FONT=georgia, times, times new roman, serif]FLA +120[/FONT]
[FONT=georgia, times, times new roman, serif] [/FONT]
[FONT=georgia, times, times new roman, serif]MTL -156[/FONT]
[FONT=georgia, times, times new roman, serif]TBL +156[/FONT]
[FONT=georgia, times, times new roman, serif] [/FONT]
[FONT=georgia, times, times new roman, serif]PHI -148[/FONT]
[FONT=georgia, times, times new roman, serif]STL +148[/FONT]
[FONT=georgia, times, times new roman, serif] [/FONT]
[FONT=georgia, times, times new roman, serif]LAK -160[/FONT]
[FONT=georgia, times, times new roman, serif]VAN +160[/FONT]
[/FONT]
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 1-2, -67.57
Max Play: 5%
Profit: +350.19
Yield: +5.68%
----------------
29/12/2016
Game NHL - Boston @ Buffalo
Bet #270
Boston @1.77
Risk 36.50

Game NHL - Detroit @ Ottawa
Bet #271
Detroit @2.4
Risk 34.00

Game NHL - Columbus @ Winnipeg
Bet #272
Columbus @1.87
Risk 40.00

Game NHL - NY Rangers @ Arizona
Bet #273
NY Rangers @1.7
Risk 27.00
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 4-0, +129.41
Max Play: 5%
Profit: +479.60
Yield: +7.61%
----------------
30/12/2016
Game NHL - Philadelphia @ San Jose
Bet #274
Philadelphia @2.54
Risk 45.00

Projected Lines:
CHI +154
CAR -154

NSH +114
STL -114

PHI -115
SJS +115

ANA -110
VAN +110
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 0-1, -45.00
Max Play: 5%
Profit: +434.60
Yield: +6.85%
----------------
31/12/2016
Game NHL - Buffalo @ Boston
Bet #275
Boston (-1.5) @2.51
Risk 28.50

more to come...
 
Boston won..
Game NHL - Montreal @ Pittsburgh
Bet #276
Montreal @2.5
Risk 58.00

Game NHL - NY Islanders @ Winnipeg
Bet #277
NY Islanders @2.33
Risk 29.00

Game NHL - NY Rangers @ Colorado
Bet #278
NY Rangers @1.63
Risk 43.00

Game NHL - Florida @ Dallas
Bet #279
Florida @2.58
Risk 29.00

Game NHL - Arizona @ Calgary
Bet #280
Calgary (-1.5) @2.62
Risk 15.00

I WISH YOU ALL THE BEST IN 2017!!!
 
SUNDAY - 1.1.2017

Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 5-1, +120.82
Max Play: 5%
Profit: +555.41
Yield: +8.48%
----------------
1/1/2017
Game NHL - Ottawa @ Washington
Bet #281
Washington @1.57
Risk 45.00
 
MONDAY - 2.1.2017

Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 1-0, +25.65
Max Play: 5%
Profit: +581.06
Yield: +8.81%
----------------
2/1/2017
Game NHL - Chicago @ St Louis
Bet #282
Chicago @2.1
Risk 40.00
 
Game NHL - Boston @ New Jersey
Bet #283
Boston @1.69
Risk 55.00

Game NHL - Colorado @ Vancouver
Bet #284
Colorado @2.29
Risk 32.00
 
TUESDAY

Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 0-3, -127
Max Play: 5%
Profit: +454.06
Yield: +6.76%
----------------
3/1/2017
Game NHL - Buffalo @ NY Rangers
Bet #285
NY Rangers (-1.5) @2.55
Risk 72.00

Game NHL - Montreal @ Nashville
Bet #286
Montreal @2.03
Risk 42.00
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 1-1, -28.74
Max Play: 5%
Profit: +425.32
Yield: +6.22%
----------------
4/1/2017
Game NHL - Montreal @ Dallas
Bet #287
Montreal @2.02
Risk 28.50

Game NHL - Arizona @ Vancouver
Bet #288
Arizona @2.25
Risk 28.50

Game NHL - Detroit @ Anaheim
Bet #289
Detroit @2.35
Risk 14.50


Projected:
[FONT=georgia, times, times new roman, serif]WPG +141
FLA -141

MTL -132
DAL +132

NYR -114
PHI +114

COL +187
CGY -187

ARI -111
VAN +111

DET +123
ANA -123
[/FONT]
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 1-1, -13.93
Max Play: 5%
Profit: +411.39
Yield: +5.96%
----------------
5/1/2017
Game NHL - Columbus @ Washington
Bet #290
Washington @1.78
Risk 28.00

Game NHL - Carolina @ St Louis
Bet #291
Carolina @2.29
Risk 28.00

Game NHL - Buffalo @ Chicago
Bet #292
Chicago (-1.5) @2.73
Risk 28.00

Game NHL - Columbus @ Washington
Bet #293
Washington (-1.5) @3.22
Risk 14.00

Game NHL - Nashville @ Tampa Bay
Bet #294
Over 5.5 @2.09
Risk 28.00

My Projected odds:[FONT=&quot]

[FONT=&quot]CBJ +111WSH -111

EDM +147
BOS -147

NSH +110
TBL -110

CAR +101
STL -101

BUF +213
CHI -213

DET +241
LAK -241

MIN 102
SJS -102

[/FONT][/FONT]
 
Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 4-1, +91.56
Max Play: 5%
Profit: +502.95
Yield: +7.15%
----------------
6/1/2017
Game NHL - Nashville @ Florida
Bet #295
Florida @1.87
Risk 45.00

Game NHL - Toronto @ New Jersey
Bet #296
Toronto @1.81
Risk 45.00

Game NHL - NY Islanders @ Colorado
Bet #297
NY Islanders @1.72
Risk 37.00

Game NHL - Arizona @ Anaheim
Bet #298
Arizona @2.92
Risk 15.00

Game NHL - Carolina @ Chicago
Bet #299
Carolina @2.25
Risk 15.00

Projected:


[FONT=georgia, times, times new roman, serif]NSH +179
FLA -179

TOR -190
NJD +190

CAR +110
CHI -110

NYI -186
COL +186

CGY -111
VAN +111

ARI +146
ANA -146
[/FONT]
 
SATURDAY - 7.1.2017

Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 2-3, +8.6
Max Play: 5%
Profit: +511.55
Yield: +7.12%
----------------
7/1/2017
Game NHL - Minnesota @ Los Angeles
Bet #300
Los Angeles @1.85
Risk 41.00

Game NHL - Dallas @ St Louis
Bet #301
Dallas @2.33
Risk 30.00

Game NHL - Tampa Bay @ Philadelphia
Bet #302
Tampa Bay @2.25
Risk 30.00

Game NHL - Montreal @ Toronto
Bet #303
Montreal @1.99
Risk 53.00

Game NHL - Washington @ Ottawa
Bet #304
Washington @1.71
Risk 45.00

Good Luck to all, whatever you play!
 
Back
Top