My Underdogchance Projected NHL Lines

SUNDAY - 6/3/2016

Dallas -103 50.63% Antti Niemi
Ottawa +103 49.32% Andrew Hammond


Pittsburgh -195 66.11% Matthew Murray
New Jersey +195 33.87% Keith Kinkaid


NY Islanders +101 49.71% Jaroslav Halak
NY Rangers -101 50.27% Antti Raanta


Detroit +118 45.97% Petr Mrazek
Chicago -118 54.02% Corey Crawford


Edmonton +142 41.40% Cam Talbot
Winnipeg -142 58.58% Ondrej Pavelec


St Louis +145 40.78% Jake Allen
Minnesota -145 59.20% Devan Dubnyk

Good Luck to all! :cheers3:
 
MONDAY - 7/3/2016

Tampa Bay -101 50.28% Ben Bishop
Philadelphia +101 49.70% Steve Mason


Buffalo +126 44.20% Chad Johnson
Toronto -126 55.78% Garret Sparks


Boston +121 45.30% Tuukka Rask
Florida -121 54.68% Roberto Luongo


Arizona +111 47.35% Louis Domingue
Colorado -111 52.64% Calvin Pickard


San Jose -169 62.81% Martin Jones
Calgary +169 37.13% Jonas Hiller


Washington +137 42.21% Braden Holtby
Anaheim -137 57.75% John Gibson

Vancouver +238 29.58% Ryan Miller
Los Angeles -238 70.38% Jonathan Quick
---------------------------

My math model contain:
*overall & current form
*goalie performance (for this line, goalie must be the same as listed below, if not, line will change)
*Offensive strength (shots, efficiency & team skill, goals)
*Defensive strength (shots against, goals against, blocked shots)

My math model doesn't contain:
*injuries

Good Luck to all!
 
TUESDAY - 8/3/2016

NY Rangers +110 47.69% Antti Raanta
Buffalo -110 52.30% Robin Lehner


Ottawa +164 37.85% Andrew Hammond
Carolina -164 62.09% Cam Ward


Detroit +103 49.36% Jimmy Howard
Columbus -103 50.63% Joonas Korpisalo

Pittsburgh -105 51.19% Marc-Andre Fleury
NY Islanders +105 48.78% Jaroslav Halak


Dallas -106 51.35% Antti Niemi
Montreal +106 48.62% Mike Condon


Boston +171 36.96% Tuukka Rask
Tampa Bay -171 62.97% Ben Bishop


Nashville -103 50.71% Pekka Rinne
Winnipeg +103 49.27% Ondrej Pavelec


San Jose -154 60.63% Martin Jones
Edmonton +154 39.35% Cam Talbot

---------------------------

My math model contain:
*overall & current form
*goalie performance (for this line, goalie must be the same as listed below, if not, line will change)
*Offensive strength (shots, efficiency & team skill, goals)
*Defensive strength (shots against, goals against, blocked shots)

My math model doesn't contain:
*injuries

Good Luck to all!
 
Underdogchance said:
TUESDAY - 8/3/2016

NY Rangers +110 47.69% Antti Raanta
Buffalo -110 52.30% Robin Lehner
Click to expand...
I could be in net for the Rangers tonight and they'd be -150. Buffalo coming off b2b, Rangers one of the best teams in the league. I think this line may be a touch off here.
 
dylanphan said:
I could be in net for the Rangers tonight and they'd be -150. Buffalo coming off b2b, Rangers one of the best teams in the league. I think this line may be a touch off here.
Click to expand...

I put numbers in my math model and it shows me first raw lines, without any emotional thinking - like this is easy bet, or if "I would be in the net."... . And even the game was much more closer. Buffalo came back after 0-3 and they almost tied, they made 36 shots (vs NYR 26). They did it pretty well, especially because it was B2B game. B2B game is important, especially late in the season. But I think it is naive to think, that NYR is easy bet.

NYR is just 15-18 on the road with shots diff -3.3 and Buffalo is playing tough hockey at home and Lehner is on SV% 93.1. Rangers were without Lundqvist and I think easy play on NYR was wrong.

Of course, there are all kind of other factors, which my math model does't contain, but I think the best bet was to stay away from that game yesterday.

Thanks for comment :cheers3: appreciate it.
 
WEDNESDAY - 9/3/2016

NY Islanders -152 60.25% Thomas Greiss
Toronto +152 39.74% Garret Sparks

Chicago +103 49.38% Corey Crawford
St Louis -103 50.60% Jake Allen


Nashville -109 52.13% Pekka Rinne
Calgary +109 47.84% Joni Ortio


Anaheim -210 67.68% John Gibson
Colorado +210 32.26% Semyon Varlamov


Arizona -101 50.17% Louis Domingue
Vancouver +101 49.82% Ryan Miller


Washington +127 43.99% Braden Holtby
Los Angeles -127 55.99% Jonathan Quick

---------------------------

My math model contain:
*overall & current form
*goalie performance (for this line, goalie must be the same as listed below, if not, line will change)
*Offensive strength (shots, efficiency & team skill, goals)
*Defensive strength (shots against, goals against, blocked shots)

My math model doesn't contain:
*injuries

Good Luck to all!
------------
 
Underdogchance said:
I put numbers in my math model and it shows me first raw lines, without any emotional thinking - like this is easy bet, or if "I would be in the net."... . And even the game was much more closer. Buffalo came back after 0-3 and they almost tied, they made 36 shots (vs NYR 26). They did it pretty well, especially because it was B2B game. B2B game is important, especially late in the season. But I think it is naive to think, that NYR is easy bet.

NYR is just 15-18 on the road with shots diff -3.3 and Buffalo is playing tough hockey at home and Lehner is on SV% 93.1. Rangers were without Lundqvist and I think easy play on NYR was wrong.

Of course, there are all kind of other factors, which my math model does't contain, but I think the best bet was to stay away from that game yesterday.

Thanks for comment :cheers3: appreciate it.
Click to expand...
I understand that you are using a math model, I just think you are overlooking a few things.
Like you say that the Rangers are just 15-18 on the road. Well, they were really 15-15-3 which is pretty good.
Conversely Buffalo was just 12-17-5 at home, which honestly isn't very good.
Also, the Rangers had won their last 12 games after a loss coming into last night's game (now 13 in a row).
I just saw you had the Rangers lined as dogs there and thought that was verrrrrrrrrry far off. Good luck going forward, will read your thoughts in the future.
 
THURSDAY - 10/3/2016

Carolina +110 47.73% Cam Ward
Boston -110 52.24% Tuukka Rask


Buffalo +112 47.08% Robin Lehner
Montreal -112 52.90% Mike Condon


Winnipeg +133 42.96% Ondrej Pavelec
Detroit -133 57.03% Jimmy Howard

Ottawa +148 40.37% Andrew Hammond
Florida -148 59.60% Roberto Luongo


Edmonton +163 37.98% Cam Talbot
Minnesota -163 62.00% Devan Dubnyk

New Jersey +254 28.28% Keith Kinkaid
San Jose -254 71.69% Martin Jones

-----------
My math model contain:
*overall & current form
*goalie performance (for this line, goalie must be the same as listed above, if not, line will change)
*Offensive strength (shots, efficiency & team skill, goals)
*Defensive strength (shots against, goals against, blocked shots)

My math model doesn't contain:
*injuries

Good Luck to all!
------------

I also like two plays today:

Buffalo +144 (Pinnacle)
Montreal Canadiens had a good first half of the season. In fact they were good with Price and then couple of first games with Condon. After that, they are struggling and if we take the stats after new year (2016 only), they are #29 team in the league by wins and points. Buffalo is in the same time #20 by wins and #19 by points. I like somehow Buffalo, they are still below average team, but there is something I like. They have good goalie - Lehner has outstanding year with 0.927 SV% and they are playing good defence (on the road even better). My line is around +112 on Buffalo, so if I have to play something without any additional information, i would take Buffalo anyway. But why I like Buffalo even more here is that they will face Montreal team, who is influenced by injuries. Desharnais, Gallagher, Price, Eller, Beaulieu, Petry, Gilbert, Carr, Flynn. Those are all injured players for Montreal and I think they know, that their season is over. With Buffalo +144 i think we have a nice value here. Right now with all those injuries in Montreal, they are simply better team.
Minnesota (-1.5) +166 (Pinnacle)
Wild need points, they are 2 points behind Colorado, who holds last wild card spot, but Wild also have 2 games less. In those two games they have to make some points and today is the last game at home, before they will go on the road. They are much better at home and I believe they will be highly motivated against the last team in NHL and they know, this is the game, where they must win points. Minnesota beat Edmonton on the road by 5-2 (18.2.2016) and I think they are playing better right now. In last 5 games, they are 4-1 with 3.2 goals per game and only 2.2 against.

Good luck to all!
 
Agree with Buffalo. Taking a hard look at them. Despite their season being over, they have not thrown in the towel. I believe anything over +140 offers value.
 
FRIDAY - 11/3/2016

Pittsburgh -169 62.76% Marc-Andre Fleury
Columbus +169 37.18% Sergei Bobrovsky


Philadelphia +131 43.21% Steve Mason
Tampa Bay -131 56.76% Ben Bishop


Anaheim -146 59.29% John Gibson
St Louis +146 40.68% Jake Allen


Chicago +124 44.63% Corey Crawford
Dallas -124 55.33% Antti Niemi


Arizona +120 45.39% Louis Domingue
Calgary -120 54.57% Jonas Hiller

Good Luck to all!
 
SATURDAY - 12/3/2016

NY Islanders -129 56.35% Thomas Greiss
Boston +129 43.59% Tuukka Rask

Carolina +101 49.66% Cam Ward
Buffalo -101 50.32% Robin Lehner

NY Rangers +130 43.39% Henrik Lundqvist
Detroit -130 56.60% Petr Mrazek


Colorado +147 40.43% Semyon Varlamov
Winnipeg -147 59.55% Ondrej Pavelec

Philadelphia +131 43.27% Steve Mason
Florida -131 56.71% Roberto Luongo


Toronto +123 44.85% Garret Sparks
Ottawa -123 55.12% Craig Anderson


Minnesota -113 53.09% Darcy Kuemper
Montreal +113 46.90% Mike Condon


St Louis +137 42.24% Jake Allen
Dallas -137 57.73% Antti Niemi


Arizona +133 42.87% Louis Domingue
Edmonton -133 57.12% Cam Talbot


Nashville -147 59.43% Pekka Rinne
Vancouver +147 40.54% Ryan Miller


New Jersey +252 28.38% Keith Kinkaid
Los Angeles -252 71.59% Jonathan Quick


Washington +128 43.78% Braden Holtby
San Jose -128 56.20% Martin Jones

Good Luck to all!

Couple of good plays today. I will post them later if I will have time, after I made extra research.
 
SUNDAY - 13/3/2016
Pittsburgh -138 57.94% Marc-Andre Fleury
NY Rangers +138 42.04% Henrik Lundqvist


Tampa Bay -124 55.32% Ben Bishop
Columbus +124 44.65% Sergei Bobrovsky


Toronto +203 32.95% Garret Sparks
Detroit -203 67.02% Petr Mrazek

Good Luck to all!
 
MONDAY - 14/3/2016

Florida +127 44.04% Roberto Luongo
NY Islanders -127 55.94% Thomas Greiss


Los Angeles -116 53.66% Jonathan Quick
Chicago +116 46.32% Corey Crawford


St Louis -113 53.11% Jake Allen
Calgary +113 46.85% Jonas Hiller


Nashville -128 56.20% Pekka Rinne
Edmonton +128 43.78% Cam Talbot


Winnipeg -105 51.20% Ondrej Pavelec
Vancouver +105 48.79% Ryan Miller


New Jersey +256 28.12% Keith Kinkaid
Anaheim -256 71.85% John Gibson

Good Luck to all!
 
chancedog said:
I am looking at a CHI/ANH 2TP
Click to expand...

Nice username :-)

According to my numbers, Los Angeles Kings are the best play today (Kelly). Yesterday it was Pittsburgh.
From math side, i would not take CHI.

From "intuitive" side, Chicago play Kings well I think, especially at home. But Blackhawks didn't impress me (3 wins in last 8 games) and the Kings are good.
NJD won in SJ and in LAK, so this is their 3rd game in the west and maybe they sweep all three teams (SJ, ANA, LAK). Take into consideration, that Anaheim lost 3 straight now. Momentum is definitely on NJD side

I would say it is risky parlay, but hey, take what you think is the best and I hope you win.

Good Luck! :cheers3:
 
TUESDAY - 15/3/2016

NY Islanders +148 40.40% Thomas Greiss
Pittsburgh -148 59.57% Marc-Andre Fleury


Carolina +147 40.55% Cam Ward
Washington -147 59.42% Braden Holtby

Detroit +118 45.89% Petr Mrazek
Philadelphia -118 54.10% Steve Mason


Tampa Bay -149 59.88% Ben Bishop
Toronto +149 40.10% Garret Sparks

Florida -112 52.80% Al Montoya
Montreal +112 47.18% Mike Condon


Minnesota -101 50.14% Devan Dubnyk
Ottawa +101 49.84% Craig Anderson


Los Angeles -105 51.09% Jonathan Quick
Dallas +105 48.89% Antti Niemi


Boston +182 35.48% Tuukka Rask
San Jose -182 64.45% James Reimer

-------------
Note: B2B factor included!
Note: Some goalies may change before the start of the game and the lines change if that happens. I usually don't have time later to correct and post new lines here.
----------------
Plays (odds from pinnacle and 5Dimes):
------------
Date Pick (Moneyline)oddsRiskPossible ProfitActual Profit
11.3.2016Pittsburgh
Philadelphia
Anaheim
Dallas
Calgary
12.3.2016NY Islanders +106
Detroit +110
Winnipeg -109
Toronto +153
Dallas -124
San Jose -103
13.3.2016Pittsburgh +120
14.3.2016Los Angeles +107
Calgary +144
Winnipeg +106
15.3.2016Carolina +199
Los Angeles +120
Ottawa +112
Florida +100
San Jose -135

<colgroup><col style="width: 120px"><col width="120"><col width="120"><col width="120"><col width="120"><col width="85"><col width="120"></colgroup><tbody>
[TD="align: right"]1.666[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]66[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]43.956[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]43.956[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 1, align: center"]46.356
[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.52[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]60[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]91.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]91.2[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.02[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]210[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]214.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-210[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.05[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]144[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]151.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]151.2[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]1.751[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]30[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]22.53[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-30[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.06[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]150[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]159[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-150[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 1, align: center"]131.55
[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]170[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]187[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]187[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]1.917[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]150[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]137.55[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]137.55[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.53[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]90[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]137.7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-90[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]1.806[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]40.3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-50[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]1.97[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]100[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]97[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]97[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]200[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]240[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]240[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]240[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.07[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]100[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]107[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]107[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 1, align: center"]304
[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.44[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]100[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]144[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]144[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.06[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]53[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]53[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.99[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]100[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]199[/TD]

[TD="colspan: 1, align: center"]0
[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]100[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]120[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]56[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]1.74[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]160[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]118.4[/TD]

</tbody>



Play of the Day:

San Jose Sharks -135
 
Good call on the Kings last night I was hoping for a look ahead to tonight's game for the Kings and thought Chicago would look to make a strong effort at home. I will be watching the SJ game being a Bruins fan I will have to root against you any worry that line seems low ?
 
WEDNESDAY - 16/3/2016

Montreal +143 41.10% Mike Condon
Buffalo -143 58.88% Robin Lehner


Philadelphia -114 53.22% Steve Mason
Chicago +114 46.74% Scott Darling


St Louis -101 50.29% Jake Allen
Edmonton +101 49.69% Cam Talbot

Winnipeg +106 48.49% Ondrej Pavelec
Calgary -106 51.48% Joni Ortio

Colorado +125 44.47% Semyon Varlamov
Vancouver -125 55.50% Ryan Miller


NY Rangers +182 35.52% Henrik Lundqvist
Anaheim -182 64.44% John Gibson

------------------

Date Pick (Moneyline)oddsRiskPossible ProfitActual Profit
11.3.2016Pittsburgh
Philadelphia
Anaheim
Dallas
Calgary
12.3.2016NY Islanders +106
Detroit +110
Winnipeg -109
Toronto +153
Dallas -124
San Jose -103
13.3.2016Pittsburgh +120
14.3.2016Los Angeles +107
Calgary +144
Winnipeg +106
15.3.2016Carolina +199
Los Angeles +120
Ottawa +112
Florida +100
San Jose -135
16.3.2016Buffalo -126
Philadelphia +175
Edmonton +134
Vancouver +101
Anaheim -150

<colgroup><col style="width: 120px"><col width="120"><col width="120"><col width="120"><col width="120"><col width="85"><col width="120"></colgroup><tbody>
[TD="align: right"]1.666[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]66[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]43.956[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]43.956[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 1, align: center"]46.356
[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.52[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]60[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]91.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]91.2[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.02[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]210[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]214.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-210[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.05[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]144[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]151.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]151.2[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]1.751[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]30[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]22.53[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-30[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.06[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]150[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]159[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-150[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 1, align: center"]131.55
[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]170[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]187[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]187[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]1.917[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]150[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]137.55[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]137.55[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.53[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]90[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]137.7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-90[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]1.806[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]40.3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-50[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]1.97[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]100[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]97[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]97[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]200[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]240[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]240[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]240[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.07[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]100[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]107[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]107[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 1, align: center"]304
[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.44[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]100[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]144[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]144[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.06[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]53[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]53[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.99[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]100[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]199[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-100[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 1, align: center"]244.4
[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]100[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]120[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]120[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]56[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]56[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]1.74[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]160[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]118.4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]118.4[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]1.79[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]60[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]47.4[/TD]

[TD="colspan: 1, align: center"]0
[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.75[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]250[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]437.5[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.34[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]120[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]160.8[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.01[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]100[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]101[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]1.67[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]100[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]67[/TD]

</tbody>


-------
It was pretty good in last 5 games (of course- too short period of time to make final conclusions) since I am testing KC:
Starting Bankroll
Total Profit
Yield
AVG odds
W
L

<colgroup><col style="width: 120px"><col width="120"></colgroup><tbody>
[TD="align: right"]1000[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]966.306[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]45.37%[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.1108[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]14[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]6[/TD]

[TD="align: right"][/TD]

</tbody>

I just hope it can continue.... . Todays plays (in blue above):
Buffalo -126 (60 units)
Philadelphia +175 (250 units)
Edmonton +134 (120 units)
Vancouver +101 (100 units)
Anaheim -150 (100 units)

Good Luck to all! :cheers3:
 
THURSDAY - 17/3/2016

Minnesota -140 58.39% Devan Dubnyk
New Jersey +140 41.60% Keith Kinkaid


Carolina +202 33.08% Cam Ward
Pittsburgh -202 66.87% Marc-Andre Fleury


Detroit -125 55.54% Petr Mrazek
Columbus +125 44.44% Sergei Bobrovsky

Florida -135 57.43% Roberto Luongo
Toronto +135 42.56% Garret Sparks


NY Islanders +106 48.52% Thomas Greiss
Nashville -106 51.47% Pekka Rinne

Tampa Bay +112 47.13% Ben Bishop
Dallas -112 52.85% Antti Niemi


San Jose -158 61.18% Martin Jones
Arizona +158 38.80% Mike Smith


NY Rangers +172 36.74% Henrik Lundqvist
Los Angeles -172 63.24% Jonathan Quick

Good Luck whatever you take!
----------------
PICKS:
Yesterday: 2-3, +338.3 Units

Today I have only one pick:
NY Islanders +125 (70 Units)
 
FRIDAY - 18/3/2016

Ottawa +116 46.22% Craig Anderson
Buffalo -116 53.75% Robin Lehner

Nashville +138 41.94% Pekka Rinne
Washington -138 58.04% Braden Holtby


Chicago +133 42.87% Scott Darling
Winnipeg -133 57.11% Ondrej Pavelec


Colorado +148 40.26% Semyon Varlamov
Calgary -148 59.70% Joni Ortio


Vancouver +131 43.30% Jacob Markstrom
Edmonton -131 56.69% Cam Talbot


Boston +216 31.64% Tuukka Rask
Anaheim -216 68.24% John Gibson
--------------------

Winnipeg +141 (250 units)
Calgary -105 (150 units)
Anaheim -154 (200 units)
 
SATURDAY - 19/3/2016

Pittsburgh +110 47.66% Marc-Andre Fleury
Phildelphia -110 52.30% Steve Mason


Carolina +149 40.24% Cam Ward
Minnesota -149 59.74% Devan Dubnyk


NY Rangers +151 39.89% Henrik Lundqvist
San Jose -151 60.10% Martin Jones


New Jersey +134 42.81% Keith Kinkaid
Columnbus -134 57.17% Sergei Bobrovsky


Detroit +148 40.30% Jimmy Howard
Florida -148 59.67% Roberto Luongo

Montreal +126 44.20% Ben Scrivens
Ottawa -126 55.76% Craig Anderson

Buffalo +113 46.86% Chad Johnson
Toronto -113 53.13% Garret Sparks

NY Islanders +108 48.17% Thomas Greiss
Dallas -108 51.80% Antti Niemi


St Louis -133 57.03% Brian Elliott
Vancouver +133 42.96% Ryan Miller


Tampa Bay -127 55.97% Ben Bishop
Arizona +127 44.01% Mike Smith


Boston +224 30.87% Tuukka Rask
Los Angeles -224 69.07% Jonathan Quick
----------

Philadelphia +110 (90 units)
San Jose -130 (80 Units)
NY Islanders +120 (50 Units)
Vancouver +159 (70 Units)
Arizona +160 (90 Units)
Los Angeles -164 (180 units)
 
Last edited:
SUNDAY - 20/3/2016

Anaheim -150 59.96% John Gibson
Winnipeg +150 40.00% Ondrej Pavelec


Columbus -101 50.31% Sergei Bobrovsky
New Jersey +101 49.67% Keith Kinkaid


Washington +130 43.57% Braden Holtby
Pittsburgh -130 56.40% Marc-Andre Fleury


Calgary -115 53.40% Joni Ortio
Montreal +115 46.56% Mike Condon


Minnesota -104 50.85% Devan Dubnyk
Chicago +104 49.13% Scott Darling


Colorado -119 54.39% Calvin Pickard
Edmonton +119 45.57% Laurent Brossoit


Arizona +229 30.42% Mike Smith
San Jose -229 69.53% James Reimer
-------
Pittsburgh +110 (170 Units)
Calgary -102 (60 Units)
Minnesota +165 (200 Units)
Colorado +120 (160 Units)
 
MONDAY - 21/3/2016

Florida -116 53.63% Roberto Luongo
NY Rangers +116 46.35% Henrik Lundqvist


Philadelphia +110 47.52% Steve Mason
NY Islanders -110 52.46% Thomas Greiss


Calgary +116 46.31% Joni Ortio
Toronto -116 53.67% Jonathan Bernier


Los Angeles -110 52.30% Jonathan Quick
Nashville +110 47.69% Pekka Rinne
---------
Florida +120 (150 Units)
Philadelphia +128 (60 Units)
 
TUESDAY - 22/3/2016

Buffalo +138 41.96% Chad Johnson
Carolina -138 58.02% Cam Ward


Philadelphia -127 55.85% Steve Mason
Columbus +127 44.11% Sergei Bobrovsky


Anaheim -193 65.78% John Gibson
Montreal +193 34.16% Mike Condon


Washington -111 52.51% Braden Holtby
Ottawa +111 47.47% Craig Anderson


Detroit +122 45.09% Jimmy Howard
Tampa Bay -122 54.89% Ben Bishop


Vancouver +139 41.77% Ryan Miller
Winnipeg -139 58.21% Ondrej Pavelec

Los Angeles +102 49.50% Jonathan Quick
Minnesota -102 50.48% Devan Dubnyk


Dallas +106 48.46% Antti Niemi
Chicago -106 51.51% Scott Darling


Edmonton +106 48.66% Cam Talbot
Arizona -106 51.33% Mike Smith


St Louis +162 38.22% Jake Allen
San Jose -162 61.75% Martin Jones
-----------------
Anaheim Ducks (-1.5) +178 (50 Units)
Detroit Red Wings +145 (70 Units)
San Jose Sharks -125 (140 Units)
----
I will not have time to post more picks later. I will not have time correct the lines because of goalie changes... I will give just some comments:

Dallas @ Chicago
I like Chicago here, no matter what my numbers shows. Seguin is out and Chicago will be motivated. Despite my numbers are leaning Dallas, i would stay away.

LAK @ Minnesota
B2B game for LAK and I like Minnesota here. If you get them for +110 or more, then Wild are legitimate play (no matter if Quick or Enroth are in the net)

Washington @ OTT
I would play Ottawa for +135 or more

Good Luck!
 
WEDNESDAY - 23/3/2016

Ottawa +153 39.49% Craig Anderson
NY Islanders -153 60.48% Thomas Greiss


Boston +124 44.65% Tuukka Rask
NY Rangers -124 55.32% Henrik Lundqvist
-------------
No play today.
--------------
There is still no line for Ottawa game and I don't see any value playing Boston or Rangers. My intuitive plays would be NY Islanders and NY Rangers.

Good Luck whatever you take....I will spend extra time today for researching upcoming MLB. I will post my projected lines here on MLB forum.
 
THURSDAY - 24/3/2016

Florida -120 54.50% Roberto Luongo
Boston +120 45.47% Tuukka Rask


New Jersey +257 28.00% AVG
Pittsburgh -257 71.96% Marc-Andre Fleury


Carolina +104 48.92% Cam Ward
Columbus -104 51.05% Sergei Bobrovsky


Anaheim -135 57.37% John Gibson
Toronto +135 42.61% Garret Sparks


Montreal +183 35.40% Ben Scrivens
Detroit -183 64.55% Jimmy Howard


Los Angeles -143 58.80% Jonathan Quick
Winnipeg +143 41.18% Ondrej Pavelec


Calgary +131 43.34% AVG
Minnesota -131 56.64% Devan Dubnyk


Vancouver +211 32.20% Ryan Miller
Nashville -211 67.76% Pekka Rinne


Philadelphia -141 58.48% Steve Mason
Colorado +141 41.48% Semyon Varlamov


Dallas -137 57.80% Antti Niemi
Arizona +137 42.14% Mike Smith


Edmonton +198 33.53% Cam Talbot
San Jose -198 66.44% Martin Jones
--------------
Florida Panthers +115 (150 Units) 5Dimes
Carolina Hurricanes +122 (70 Units) Pinnacle
Toronto Maple Leafs +165 (80 Units) Pinnacle
Calgary Flames +158 (70 Units) Pinnacle
Philadelphia Flyers -104 (150 Units) Pinnacle
 
people asked me for projected totals.
[TABLE="class: forum, width: 799"]
<tbody>[TR="class: even"]
[/TR]
[TR="class: even"]
[TD="class: forumpost-post"]Florida -120 5.55
Boston +120


New Jersey +257 4.95
Pittsburgh -257


Carolina +104 5.51
Columbus -104

Anaheim -135 5.19
Toronto +135


Montreal +183 5.57
Detroit -183


Los Angeles -143 5.15
Winnipeg +143


Calgary +131 5.16
Minnesota -131

Vancouver +211 5.17
Nashville -211


Philadelphia -141 5.51
Colorado +141


Dallas -137 5.82
Arizona +137


Edmonton +198 5.00
San Jose -198
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: even"]
[TD="class: quoterow-left"][/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
Underdogchance said:
--------------
Florida Panthers +115 (150 Units) 5Dimes W
Carolina Hurricanes +122 (70 Units) Pinnacle W
Toronto Maple Leafs +165 (80 Units) Pinnacle W
Calgary Flames +158 (70 Units) Pinnacle L
Philadelphia Flyers -104 (150 Units) Pinnacle W
Click to expand...
Yesterday 4-1, +463.9

FRIDAY - 25/3/2016

Washington -144 59.07% Braden Holtby
New Jersey +144 40.93% AVG


NY Islanders +128 43.92% Thomas Greiss
Tampa Bay -128 56.07% Ben Bishop

Vancouver +243 29.19% Jacob Markstrom
St Louis -243 70.77% Brian Elliott
------
St Louis (-1.5) +113 (50 Units)
 
SATURDAY - 26/3/2016

Winnipeg +119 45.75% Ondrej Pavelec
Buffalo -119 54.22% Chad Johnson


Pittsburgh -112 52.80% Marc-Andre Fleury
Detroit +112 47.18% Petr Mrazek


Minnesota -136 57.54% Devan Dubnyk
Colorado +136 42.43% Semyon Varlamov


Dallas +143 41.10% Antti Niemi
San Jose -143 58.86% Martin Jones


NY Islanders +112 47.06% Thomas Greiss
Carolina -112 52.92% Eddie Lack


St Louis +124 44.61% Jake Allen
Washington -124 55.37% Braden Holtby


Florida -102 50.45% Roberto Luongo
Tampa Bay +102 49.53% Andrei Vasilevskiy


Anaheim -143 58.80% John Gibson
Ottawa +143 41.15% Craig Anderson


NY Rangers -109 52.10% Antti Raanta
Montreal +109 47.88% Mike Condon


Boston +125 44.50% Tuukka Rask
Toronto -125 55.47% Jonathan Bernier


Columbus +159 38.59% Sergei Bobrovsky
Nashville -159 61.36% Pekka Rinne


Chicago +108 48.13% Scott Darling
Calgary -108 51.81% Jonas Hiller


Philadelphia -145 59.21% Steve Mason
Arizona +145 40.75% Mike Smith
-------
Florida Panthers +113 (60 Units)
Montreal Canadiens +130 (80 Units)
Torotno Maple Leafs +141 (240 Units)
Calgary Flames +138 (170 Units)
 
Have Florida circled as well. Not sure I want to play against the Yotes w/ Smith in net.

GL.
 
SUNDAY - 27/3/2016

New Jersey +126 44.25% AVG
Carolina -126 55.75% Cam Ward


Pittsburgh -129 56.35% Marc-Andre Fleury
NY Rangers +129 43.61% Henrik Lundqvist

Chicago -132 56.80% Scott Darling
Vancouver +132 43.18% Ryan Miller
--------
NY Rangers -128 (200 Units)

Comment: I am going against my numbers here, because I like Rangers here. They are playing better and better last couple of games and they are more rested for this game. Pittsburgh will play 3rd game in 4 nights, while Rangers beat Montreal yesterday, but before that game, they had 2 days off.
Pittsburg won yesterday, but Kunitz was injured and is questionable for todays game. With Malkin already out, Rangers must take an advantage. I don't like to go against my numbers, but I will go with my intuition here in this one.

Vancouver Canucks +149 (50 Units)
 
MONDAY - 28/3/2016

Winnipeg +179 35.78% Ondrej Pavelec
Philadelphia -179 64.18% Steve Mason

Columbus +185 35.14% Sergei Bobrovsky
Washington -185 64.83% Braden Holtby

Buffalo +143 41.21% Chad Johnson
Detroit -143 58.77% Petr Mrazek

Toronto +157 38.87% Jonathan Bernier
Tampa Bay -157 61.10% Ben Bishop

Colorado +215 31.79% Semyon Varlamov
Nashville -215 68.13% Pekka Rinne

Anaheim -150 59.94% Frederik Andersen
Edmonton +150 40.03% Cam Talbot

Calgary +117 46.15% Jonas Hiller
Arizona -117 53.80% Mike Smith

Los Angeles +108 48.05% Jonathan Quick
San Jose -108 51.94% Martin Jones
------
Toronto Maple Leafs +218 (100 Units)
 
Last edited:
TUESDAY - 29/3/2016

Boston -104 51.04% Tuukka Rask
New Jersey +104 48.95% AVG


Carolina +144 40.95% Cam Ward
NY Islanders -144 59.03% Thomas Greiss


Buffalo +248 28.75% Chad Johnson
Pittsburgh -248 71.18% Marc-Andre Fleury


Detroit -142 58.71% Petr Mrazek
Montreal +142 41.25% Mike Condon


Toronto +162 38.20% Jonathan Bernier
Florida -162 61.77% Roberto Luongo


Chicago +148 40.31% Scott Darling
Minnesota -148 59.66% Devan Dubnyk


Colorado +236 29.75% Semyon Varlamov
St Louis -236 70.19% Brian Elliott

Nashville +113 46.87% Pekka Rinne
Dallas -113 53.08% Antti Niemi


San Jose -178 63.97% Martin Jones
Vancouver +178 36.01% Ryan Miller
----
New Jersey Devils +139 (120 Units)
Toronto Maple Leafs +218 (100 Units)
Minnesota Wild -115 (130 Units)
Nashville Predators +135 (75 Units)
 
kdog said:
Is that Nashville +135 a typo? I don't see where it was ever close to that.
Click to expand...

I am from Europe and I grab some early odds. I don't sell my picks, it is more information what I play today.
But yes, I agree and I should stick with odds, so people can follow me.

For example, today's odds are already on for some games
Philadelphia +120
Wash -143

(Nordicbet, some local bookies, betting exchange,...)

I agree and from now on I will use only PINNACLESPORTS odds.
 
WEDNESDAY - 30/3/2016

Ottawa +123 44.81% Andrew Hammond
Winnipeg -123 55.16% Ondrej Pavelec


Washington +128 43.82% Braden Holtby
Philadelphia -128 56.17% Steve Mason


Calgary +222 31.09% Jonas Hiller
Anaheim -222 68.79% John Gibson

Totals:OTT/WIN = 5.54
WSH/PHI = 5.06
CGY/ANA = 5.92
-------------
Picks later....
 
Last edited:
THURSDAY - 31/3/2016

Toronto +111 47.40% Jonathan Bernier
Buffalo -111 52.59% Chad Johnson


Columbus +178 36.01% Sergei Bobrovsky
NY Islanders -178 63.95% Thomas Greiss


Nashville +171 36.93% Pekka Rinne
Pittsburgh -171 63.01% Marc-Andre Fleury


NY Rangers +111 47.31% Henrik Lundqvist
Carolina -111 52.67% Cam Ward


New Jersey +190 34.43% AVG
Florida -190 65.55% Roberto Luongo


Montreal +245 28.98% Mike Condon
Tampa Bay -245 70.92% Ben Bishop


Ottawa +175 36.32% Craig Anderson
Minnesota -175 63.63% Devan Dubnyk


Arizona +194 34.00% Mike Smith
Dallas -194 65.92% Kari Lehtonen


Calgary +192 34.28% Joni Ortio
Los Angeles -192 65.68% Jonathan Quick


Vancouver +287 25.82% Ryan Miller
San Jose -287 74.14% Martin Jones
--------
Pittsburgh Penguins -135 (130 Units)
Carolina Hurricanes +122 (140 Units)
Calgary Flames +235 (60 Units)
San Jose Sharks (-1.5) +125 (60 Units)
 
Florida allowed a goal 5 seconds before the games ends. They got 2 minute penalty because of game delay, because fans threw rats on the ice.....and I lost bet :mean4: It was 3-2 at the end, instead of 3-1.
 
FRIDAY - 1/4/2016

Minnesota +101 49.64% Devan Dubnyk (5.33)
Detroit -101 50.34% Jimmy Howard


Boston +182 35.42% Tuukka Rask (5.34)
St Louis -182 64.53% Brian Elliott


Chicago +105 48.88% Scott Darling (5.27)
Winnipeg -105 51.10% Ondrej Pavelec


Washington -139 58.13% Braden Holtby (5.06)
Colorado +139 41.85% Semyon Varlamov


Vancouver +375 21.04% Ryan Miller (5.37)
Anaheim -375 78.85% John Gibson
----------
St Louis Blues -162 (70 Units)
Winnipeg Jets +134 (140 Units)
Anaheim Ducks (-1.5) +102 (160 Units)
 
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