Monday Discussion Thread

Not A Joke Question...

If you wager on a player to say get "Three Bases"

If he walks that's one. Now if someone gets a base hit, and the player who walks makes it to 3rd, is that 3 bases?!

Honestly. In all my years of gambling, I've always stayed away from these type wagers...

@2daBank
 
Vap'sBack said:
Not A Joke Question...

If you wager on a player to say get "Three Bases"

If he walks that's one. Now if someone gets a base hit, and the player who walks makes it to 3rd, is that 3 bases?!

Honestly. In all my years of gambling, I've always stayed away from these type wagers...

@2daBank
Click to expand...
Walks don't count, only hits and only what the AB produced
 
DK does have Thor o4.5 ks/Trout 2+ bases/Ohtani 2+ bases at +550

In that case Trout and Ohtani both need either two hits or a double
 
Vap'sBack said:
Not A Joke Question...

If you wager on a player to say get "Three Bases"

If he walks that's one. Now if someone gets a base hit, and the player who walks makes it to 3rd, is that 3 bases?!

Honestly. In all my years of gambling, I've always stayed away from these type wagers...

@2daBank
Click to expand...

I’m not super familiar w hitter props so I don’t know all the rules. I know when I bet total bases I don’t think walk gets ya anything. You get a base for single, 2 for double and so on but think that it. That strictly for the total bases prop which usually either .5 or 1.5, that really only one I play.,
 
2daBank said:
I think you judging Mikolas way too harshly. He has been fantastic this year. His metrics never gonna jump off they page but he a walking quality start. You can pretty much chalk him up for 6+ innings and less than 3 runs practically every time out.
Click to expand...
It’s not me, don't shoot the messenger. Scraped pitch fx data. The data is fed into algorithm that spits out how good a pitcher is numerically. The data doesn't really like mikolas.
 
Smokeshow99 said:
Youll find most pitchers like Mikolas are like that. There is more to betting than looking at a number.
Click to expand...

It’s funny as much I use analytics my fav bets have become the guys the numbers hate cause I know I’ll get value from the black and white die hards who always bet the same way.
 
2daBank said:
I’m not super familiar w hitter props so I don’t know all the rules. I know when I bet total bases I don’t think walk gets ya anything. You get a base for single, 2 for double and so on but think that it. That strictly for the total bases prop which usually either .5 or 1.5, that really only one I play.,
Click to expand...

KJ said:
Walks don't count, only hits and only what the AB produced
Click to expand...
So Total Bases Are Single Double Triple HR.

Walks- Hit By Pitch- And Reach By Error Are Not?
 
2daBank said:
It’s funny as much I use analytics my fav bets have become the guys the numbers hate cause I know I’ll get value from the black and white die hards who always bet the same way.
Click to expand...
E.g. the numbers today said take Kluber. I dont like Kluber and i like what ive seen from Faedo. I took the tigers.
 
Chilled at casino long as I could hoping to get some other props but never happened so ended up on rox ml and snakes +.5 Ff
 
Vap'sBack said:
So Total Bases Are Single Double Triple HR.

Walks- Hit By Pitch- And Reach By Error Are Not?
Click to expand...

Correct., I always thought of guy steals a base we should get a base also but don’t think they agree, lol. Like I said I’m not real familiar w hitter props as I’m much better coming up w lines for pitchers than figuring batters out so might wanna read your books rules or ask someone else but that how I understand the total base prop to work. It would be pretty easy to cash those .5 and 1.5 lines if walks counted.
 
Smokeshow99 said:
E.g. the numbers today said take Kluber. I dont like Kluber and i like what ive seen from Faedo. I took the tigers.
Click to expand...

You obviously have some kinda model? I’ve always been jelly of guys who computer savvy enough for that! I’ve always wanted one that would just help me narrow down the games I need to look at since it kinda time consuming for me to go thru card one by one! You mind telling me which numbers you weight the most heavily?
 
I was so torn between rox ml, wood over 3.5 runs allowed at +115, or the crazy high price on Senzatela to pick up the W, guy who has a 68% win percentage and has won over half his starts overall at coors and he was seriously +360 or so (forget exactly)! That pretty nuts! I ended up just rolling w Rox ml +130 but think they were all solid bets.
 
KJ said:
Nice game Thor, couldn't get out of the first
Click to expand...

Books basically saved me by juicing the living fuck out his out total, they woulda had me easy if they woulda just made it something like -140 or less! I didn’t look crazy close since I knew I wouldn’t pay the asking price but my initial thought was he should cruise thru 6 innings against that lineup in that park. I did find it odd they were all over the place on how much rest he getting between starts but didn’t dig too much cause the price tag.
 
Tigers and under baby, little annoyed could have played the ml but I’ll never pass up a chance to parlay the +1.5 w under now that they let me do that!
 
Not like tigers couldn’t have easily lost 3-2. I’ll keep bitch slapping them with the RL/under! Didn’t need the runs tonight but did last time w fish. That 2 for 2 since I remembered I could do this!! Lol
 
I seriously said for years “there no way they would allow the rl/total parlay, correlates too nicely!” , but they went and did it! Next step will be to add some -1.5/over plays, problem w that is I fucking suck picking favs!!
 
Peralta smashed his strikeout number. Can’t believe I bitched out at 7.5 w plus. Only cause it was down to +105 when I got there, I woulda played at the +120 it was at open.
 
Well this is bad. Senzetela got removed from the game prior to start of 3rd. Hurt himself on a fucjing warm up pitch!! That blows, he was dealing, was even striking guys out which not a common thing for him, had the feel of 6-7 innings and 1-2 runs tops. Of course the asshole they brought it gives up a bomb to the 1st batter. If you can live bet giants or the over get on that shit, my rox bet in ths toilet now.
 
Damn. I was right to be so interested in Kikuchi Super low out total at plus money, he cleared that easy. Fuck. As kinda predicted he had 3 walks but seattle couldn’t hit him.
 
Fucjing shit rox. Your pitcher getting hurt has nothing to do with your ability to score runs off wood, let’s fucjing go already! Guy don’t even like pitching here!
 
Great at bat by Iglasius, fouled off a bunch of pitches before getting hit by the 10th. Grichuk should take advantage and smash a bomb right here!
 
2daBank said:
Great at bat by Iglasius, fouled off a bunch of pitches before getting hit by the 10th. Grichuk should take advantage and smash a bomb right here!
Click to expand...

Or strike out on 3 pitches, one being a hanging Fuckinh slider. Glad you not a cardinal anymore! We have enough losers like that!
 
Bout time tigers started winning some games, I thought they were gonna be competitive this season and before the O’s series they were in danger of reds passing them! Lol
 
Hope sone ya’ll were able to get San Fran live after senzetela went down, it was basically a done deal at that point with the offense not hitting wood. Fucking sucks, maybe they lose anyway since they not scoring but the way Senzatela was throwing I think he woulda kept them In it.
 
Damn. Giants had a super quick hook with wood. Guess it a good thing I stayed off his runs allowed over 3.5! SF didn’t give that a chance to cash. Not that it gonna matter, I strongly believe they leading right now if Senzatela wasn’t forced to leave the game after hurting himself warming up for 3rd inning! He was looking like he was gonna have a strong outing! Him leaving so early is putting way too much pressure on the pen.
 
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