MLB in July ⚾

mrpickem

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
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SUNDAY
✅3/2.61 Pirates +1½ -115
✅3/3.00 Braves u9 +100
✅4/1.67 PHILLIES -239
✅5/2.93 Brewers -170
⛅5/4.76 Cubs o8 -105
❌3/2.97 Reds -101
✅3/3.66 Giants +122
❌3/2.86 Giants u9 -105
✅3/4.29 Rangers +143
✅3/2.86 Rangers o9 -105
❌2/1.96 JAYS -102
❌2/1.22 JAYS +1½ -164
❌3/2.86 Jays u8 -105
❌6/5.71 Angels -105
✅5/4.55 Twins o7 -110
❌3/1.76 Padres +1½ -170
✅3/2.86 Red Sox u10½ -105
❌3/2.31 Nationals +1½ -130
❌5/4.76 Nationals o8 -105
✅3/3.00 Astros o9 +100
❌3/1.61 White Sox -186
✅5/5.25 Rockies o7½ +105
✅3/5.10 Pirates +170
78/69.5 -112

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Another month in the books, and unfortunately my worse month of 2024. But still, there were some good signs over the last couple of weeks. So maybe I'm poised to blast off in 2H of the season with a stupendous comeback to prominence. Of note, my model selections are still up nicely on the year, with +17.7% ROI on Top Plays.

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MONDAY​

  • 5/5.00 Nationals +100
  • 3/3.00 Nationals u8 +100
  • 3/4.29 Rockies +143
  • 3/2.52 ROCKIES u11½ -119
  • 3/2.55 JAYS u9 -118
17/17.3 +102​

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randoms...
  • STREAKS: NA
  • HOME TEAM ML 58-37 +7.7% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS ML 17-11 +31.5% LAST 7 DAYS
  • MODEL PLAYS: NONE
  • PETERSON 6-1 +42% L7 YEARS VS WAS

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Last edited:
mrpickem said:
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SUNDAY
✅3/2.61 Pirates +1½ -115
✅3/3.00 Braves u9 +100
✅4/1.67 PHILLIES -239
✅5/2.93 Brewers -170
⛅5/4.76 Cubs o8 -105
❌3/2.97 Reds -101
✅3/3.66 Giants +122
❌3/2.86 Giants u9 -105
✅3/4.29 Rangers +143
✅3/2.86 Rangers o9 -105
❌2/1.96 JAYS -102
❌2/1.22 JAYS +1½ -164
❌3/2.86 Jays u8 -105
❌6/5.71 Angels -105
✅5/4.55 Twins o7 -110
❌3/1.76 Padres +1½ -170
✅3/2.86 Red Sox u10½ -105
❌3/2.31 Nationals +1½ -130
❌5/4.76 Nationals o8 -105
✅3/3.00 Astros o9 +100
❌3/1.61 White Sox -186
✅5/5.25 Rockies o7½ +105
✅3/5.10 Pirates +170
78/69.5 -112

View attachment 85354

Another month in the books, and unfortunately my worse month of 2024. But still, there were some good signs over the last couple of weeks. So maybe I'm poised to blast off in 2H of the season with a stupendous comeback to prominence. Of note, my model selections are still up nicely on the year, with +17.7% ROI on Top Plays.

View attachment 85355

MONDAY​

  • 5/5.00 Nationals +100
  • 3/3.00 Nationals u8 +100
  • 3/4.29 Rockies +143
  • 3/2.52 ROCKIES u11½ -119
  • 3/2.55 JAYS u9 -118
17/17.3 +102​

View attachment 85353
randoms...
  • STREAKS: NA
  • HOME TEAM ML 58-37 +7.7% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS ML 17-11 +31.5% LAST 7 DAYS
  • MODEL PLAYS: NONE
  • PETERSON 6-1 +42% L7 YEARS VS WAS

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Click to expand...

you like nats tho despite the peterson numbers? nats really blow vs lefties, actually think line kinda low for mets, i like gore but unlike nats mets been hitting lefties pretty well. either way always enjoy your thread and your charts bro, gl today.
 
2daBank said:
you like nats tho despite the peterson numbers? nats really blow vs lefties, actually think line kinda low for mets, i like gore but unlike nats mets been hitting lefties pretty well. either way always enjoy your thread and your charts bro, gl today.
Click to expand...
Yeah I'm not a huge Peterson fan and the Mets have won most of his starts vs WAS but he's been good, not great.

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Plus WAS hits lefties better and NATS 2nd most profitable team behind only O's over last 365 days. It's mostly a value play.
 
MONDAY
❌5/5.00 Nationals +100
❌3/3.00 Nationals u8 +100
✅3/4.29 Rockies +143
⛅3/2.52 ROCKIES u11½ -119
✅3/2.55 JAYS u9 -118
17/17.3 +102

JUNE [2-2-1 -1.16u]
LAST [2-2-1 -1.16u]️

TUESDAY​

  • 2/2.52 Nationals +126
  • 8/9.20 Phillies +115
  • 2/2.16 Rockies +108
  • 6/3.26 DODGERS -184
  • 2/1.83 Jays -109
  • 3/2.97 Tigers -101
  • 5/4.76 ANGELS -105
  • 8/8.24 MARINERS +103
...back later with totals and RLs

randoms...
  • STREAKS: NA
  • HOME TEAM ML 50-33 +3.1% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS ML 16-12 +24.8% LAST 7 DAYS
  • OVERS 46-38-2 54.8% FOR +4.8% ROI LAST 7 DAYS
  • MODEL PLAYS: *PHI, LAD, LAA, SEA
  • SINGER 4-1 +85.7% ALLTIME VS TB
  • BERRIOS 5-2 +32.6% ALLTIME VS HOU
  • CARRASCO 6-2 +20.1% ALLTIME VS CHW
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rest of my card
  • 2.40/2 Nationals +1½ -120
  • 2/1.82 Giants o8 -110
  • 2/1.48 Rockies +1½ -135
  • 2/3.54 Jays -1½ +177
  • 3/2.73 Jays u8½ -110
  • 3/3.00 Tigers o7½ +100
  • 3/3.00 Orioles o7 +100
  • 3/3.00 Marlins u8 +100
  • 3/3.00 Yankees u8½ +100
  • 5/5.50 Padres o7½ +110
All plays today = 65/64.6 -1.01

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TUESDAY
❌2/2.52 Nationals +126
✅8/9.20 Phillies +115
❌2/2.16 Rockies +108
✅6/3.26 DODGERS -184
✅2/1.83 Jays -109
❌3/2.97 Tigers -101
❌5/4.76 ANGELS -105
❌8/8.24 MARINERS +103
❌2.40/2 Nationals +1½ -120
⛅2/1.82 Giants o8 -110
✅2/1.48 Rockies +1½ -135
❌2/3.54 Jays -1½ +177
❌3/2.73 Jays u8½ -110
✅3/3.00 Tigers o7½ +100
❌3/3.00 Orioles o7 +100
❌3/3.00 Marlins u8 +100
❌3/3.00 Yankees u8½ +100
❌5/5.50 Padres o7½ +110
65/64.6 -1.01

JUNE [7-14 -24.09u]
LAST [5-12-1 -22.93u]️

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WEDNESDAY​

  • 3/2.57 Pirates u8½ -117
  • 8/9.28 Nationals +116
  • 8/4.20 Braves -190
  • 3/2.73 Giants o7½ -110
  • 3/3.45 Cubs +115
  • 3/2.00 Cubs +1½ -150
  • 5/4.76 Cubs u7½ -105
  • 5/3.40 BREWERS -147
  • 3/2.94 Brewers o11½ -102
  • 7/3.32 DODGERS -211
  • 6/9.84 White Sox +164
  • 3/2.61 Guardians u8½ -115
  • 3/2.86 Jays u8½ -105
  • 3/2.22 Tigers +1½ -135
  • 3/2.86 Twins u9 -105
  • 3/2.94 Rays -102
  • 5/3.70 Red Sox -135
  • 3/3.15 Marlins u8 +105
  • 3/2.83 Yankees u8½ -106
  • 6/4.33 RANGERS -138
86/75.8 -113​

randoms...
  • STREAKS: NA
  • ROAD CHALK RL: 16-16 +9.2% ROI LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS ML 12-13 +6.0% LAST 7 DAYS
  • OVERS 45-34-4 57% FOR +9.2% ROI LAST 7 DAYS
  • MODEL PLAYS: *WAS. *ATL, *CHW, LAD, MIL, BOS, TEX

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My model stays hot, especially TOP PLAYS now 43-23 for +23.3% ROI on the year.

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Enjoy your holiday fellow degenerates. :cool:

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​
Series winning Rangers, a different story this year.​
​
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WEDNESDAY
❌3/2.57 Pirates u8½ -117
✅8/9.28 Nationals +116
✅8/4.20 Braves -190
❌3/2.73 Giants o7½ -110
❌3/3.45 Cubs +115
❌3/2.00 Cubs +1½ -150
❌5/4.76 Cubs u7½ -105
✅5/3.40 BREWERS -147
❌3/2.94 Brewers o11½ -102
❌7/3.32 DODGERS -211
✅6/9.84 White Sox +164
❌3/2.61 Guardians u8½ -115
❌3/2.86 Jays u8½ -105
✅3/2.22 Tigers +1½ -135
❌3/2.86 Twins u9 -105
❌3/2.94 Rays -102
✅5/3.70 Red Sox -135
❌3/3.15 Marlins u8 +105
✅3/2.83 Yankees u8½ -106
❌6/4.33 RANGERS -138
86/75.8 -113

JUNE [14-27 -36.62u]
LAST [7-13 -12.53u]️

THURSDAY​

  • 8/8.16 Nationals +102
  • 2/1.98 Pirates -101
  • 2/1.21 PIRATES +1½ -165
  • 5/4.07 PHILLIES -123
  • 3/5.31 Braves -1½ +177
  • 3/2.86 Braves u8 -105
  • 3/2.50 Rockies +1½ -120
  • 6/7.02 DIAMONDBACKS +117
  • 3/3.00 Dodgers u8½ +100
  • 4/1.67 Guardians -239
  • 2/1.74 Guardians -1½ -115
  • 3/3.00 Astros o8½ +100
  • 8/4.47 Twins -179
  • 3/2.50 ATHLETICS u9 -120
  • 2/1.44 ORIOLES -139
  • 2/2.50 Orioles -1½ +125
  • 5/5.00 Mariners u7 +100
  • 2/2.24 Royals +112
  • 2/1.38 Royals +1½ -145
  • 2/1.16 Yankees -173
  • 2/2.20 Yankees -1½ +110
  • 3/2.01 Red Sox -149
  • 3/2.73 Red Sox o8 -110
  • 8/9.84 PADRES +123
  • 5/4.35 Rangers u8 -115
90/83.3 -108​

randoms...
  • STREAKS: NA
  • OVERS 50-33-3 60.2% FOR +15% ROI LAST 7 DAYS
  • ROAD CHALK RL: 16-16 +7.0% ROI LAST 7 DAYS
  • W/ROAD CHALK, OVERS 34-22-1 60.7% L14 DAYS FOR +15.9% ROI
  • MODEL PLAYS: *CLE, *ARI, *MIN, *SD, WAS, PHI
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THURSDAY
✅8/8.16 Nationals +102
❌2/1.98 Pirates -101
✅2/1.21 PIRATES +1½ -165
❌5/4.07 PHILLIES -123
❌3/5.31 Braves -1½ +177
✅3/2.86 Braves u8 -105
✅3/2.50 Rockies +1½ -120
✅6/7.02 DIAMONDBACKS +117
❌3/3.00 Dodgers u8½ +100
✅4/1.67 Guardians -239
✅2/1.74 Guardians -1½ -115
❌3/3.00 Astros o8½ +100
✅8/4.47 Twins -179
✅3/2.50 ATHLETICS u9 -120
❌2/1.44 ORIOLES -139
❌2/2.50 Orioles -1½ +125
❌5/5.00 Mariners u7 +100
❌2/2.24 Royals +112
❌2/1.38 Royals +1½ -145
❌2/1.16 Yankees -173
❌2/2.20 Yankees -1½ +110
✅3/2.01 Red Sox -149
✅3/2.73 Red Sox o8 -110
✅8/9.84 PADRES +123
✅5/4.35 Rangers u8 -115
90/83.3 -108

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FRIDAY​

  • 3/5.10 Pirates -1½ +170
  • 8/4.65 Cardinals -172
  • 2/1.90 Cardinals -1½ -105
  • 8/10.08 Phillies +126
  • 3/3.15 Braves u7½ +105
  • 3/3.00 Diamondbacks o8½ +100
  • 5/2.76 DODGERS -181
  • 3/3.30 Brewers o8 +110
  • 6/7.46 Red Sox +124
  • 3/2.73 Red Sox o8 -110
  • 2/1.94 RAYS -103
  • 2/1.02 Rays +1½ -196
  • 3/3.00 Rangers u8½ +100
  • 8/11.12 Astros +139
  • 3/2.73 Astros o8 -110
  • 6/3.40 Orioles -177
  • 4/3.56 ORIOLES -1½ -112
  • 5/5.00 Athletics u8½ +100
  • 3/3.84 Jays +128
  • 8/14.16 Angels +177
  • 4/4.24 White Sox +106
  • 2.05/1 White Sox +1½ -205
  • 3/2.75 White Sox o8 -109
  • 3/3.03 TIGERS +101
  • 3/3 Reds u9 +100
  • 5/2.98 Royals -168
  • 3/2.73 ROYALS o10 -110
111/113.5 +102​

randoms...
  • STREAKS: NA
  • ROADIES 45-48 SU FOR +9.4% ROI LAST 7 DAYS
  • OVERS 53-37-3 58.9% FOR +12.4% ROI LAST 7 DAYS
  • ROAD CHALK 22-15 SU FOR +7.9% ROI LAST 7 DAYS
  • W/ROAD CHALK, OVERS 22-14-1 61.1% L7 DAYS FOR +18.4% ROI
  • MODEL PLAYS: *CLE, *LAA, *HOU, *LAD, STL, PHI, BOS, KC
  • FRIED 10-6 +62.5% ROI ALLTIME VS PHI WITH 81%(13-3) SAILING OVER THE TOTAL
  • NOLA'S 36 STARTS VS ATL HAVE CASHED OVER THE TOTAL 60% (21-14-1)
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FRIDAY
✅3/5.10 Pirates -1½ +170
✅8/4.65 Cardinals -172
❌2/1.90 Cardinals -1½ -105
✅8/10.08 Phillies +126
✅3/3.15 Braves u7½ +105
✅3/3.00 Diamondbacks o8½ +100
✅5/2.76 DODGERS -181
✅3/3.30 Brewers o8 +110
✅6/7.46 Red Sox +124
⛅3/2.73 Red Sox o8 -110
❌2/1.94 RAYS -103
❌2/1.02 Rays +1½ -196
✅3/3.00 Rangers u8½ +100
✅8/11.12 Astros +139
✅3/2.73 Astros o8 -110
✅6/3.40 Orioles -177
❌4/3.56 ORIOLES -1½ -112
✅5/5.00 Athletics u8½ +100
❌3/3.84 Jays +128
❌8/14.16 Angels +177
✅4/4.24 White Sox +106
✅2.05/1 White Sox +1½ -205
❌3/2.75 White Sox o8 -109
✅3/3.03 TIGERS +101
⛅3/3 Reds u9 +100
❌5/2.98 Royals -168
❌3/2.73 ROYALS o10 -110
111/113.5 +102

JUNE [43-41 +22.46u]
LAST [16-9-2 +41.02u]️ 💥💥

SATURDAY​

  • 7/8.19 Pirates +117
  • 4/2.96 Pirates +1½ -135
  • 8/7.77 Phillies -103
  • 3/2.73 Braves u8½ -110
  • 6/5.25 Padres -114
  • 3/3.30 Diamondbacks o7½ +110
  • 8/13.84 Red Sox +173
  • 3/2.73 Red Sox o9 -110
  • 3/2.86 Rangers u8 -105
  • 2/1.38 Orioles -145
  • 2/2.30 Orioles -1½ +115
  • 3/2.62 Athletics u9 -114
  • 6/5.50 Mariners -109
  • 3/2.61 Mariners u8½ -115
  • 6/7.86 Angels +131
  • 3/2.86 Cubs u8½ -105
  • 2/1.35 White Sox -148
  • 2/2.40 White Sox -1½ +120
  • 3/3.06 WHITE SOX o7 +102
  • 2/1.63 Guardians -123
  • 4/6.40 Guardians -1½ +160
  • 8/5.16 Reds -155
  • 3/2.86 Reds u9 -105
  • 9/5.42 Royals -166
  • 2/1.90 Royals -1½ -105
105/105 +100​

randoms...
  • STREAKS: BOS 5, LAA, MIA -5
  • ROADIES 53-40 SU FOR +20.87% ROI LAST 7 DAYS
  • ROAD CHALK 22-15 SU FOR +6.5% ROI LAST 7 DAYS
  • OVERS 50-33-5 60.2% FOR +15.3% ROI LAST 7 DAYS
  • MODEL PLAYS: *CLE, *LAA, *HOU, *LAD, STL, PHI, BOS, KC
  • HOU KILLING IT AT 13-2 L15 #1 RPG AT 7.0 & STILL EVEN #1 LOB 18.4!
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SATURDAY
❌7/8.19 Pirates +117
❌4/2.96 Pirates +1½ -135
❌8/7.77 Phillies -103
✅3/2.73 Braves u8½ -110
❌6/5.25 Padres -114
✅3/3.30 Diamondbacks o7½ +110
❌8/13.84 Red Sox +173
✅3/2.73 Red Sox o9 -110
✅3/2.86 Rangers u8 -105
❌2/1.38 Orioles -145
❌2/2.30 Orioles -1½ +115
❌3/2.62 Athletics u9 -114
❌6/5.50 Mariners -109
❌3/2.61 Mariners u8½ -115
✅6/7.86 Angels +131
✅3/2.86 Cubs u8½ -105
❌2/1.35 White Sox -148
❌2/2.40 White Sox -1½ +120
⛅3/3.06 WHITE SOX o7 +102
✅2/1.63 Guardians -123
❌4/6.40 Guardians -1½ +160
❌8/5.16 Reds -155
✅3/2.86 Reds u9 -105
❌9/5.42 Royals -166
❌2/1.90 Royals -1½ -105
105/105 +100

JUNE [51-56 -26.71u]
LAST [8-15-1 -49.17u]️

Ouch, one step forward, two steps back. 🤕😮

SUNDAY​

  • 3/2.65 Cardinals -113
  • 8/4.97 BRAVES -161
  • 3/2.70 BRAVES u8½ -111
  • 4/4.56 PIRATES +114
  • 4/2.86 Pirates +1½ -140
  • 3/1.94 Padres -154
  • 3/2.73 Diamondbacks o8 -110
  • 3/2.22 Brewers +1½ -135
  • 3/4.02 Red Sox +134
  • 3/3.51 Astros +117
  • 3/2.97 Twins u9 -101
  • 3/3.60 Rays +120
  • 5/5.00 Rangers u7½ +100
  • 4/2.40 Orioles -167
  • 2/1.83 Orioles -1½ -109
  • 6/6.00 Athletic u8 +100
  • 5/4.54 Mariners u7½ -110
  • 3/2.25 Guardians -133
  • 3/2.22 Reds +1½ -135
  • 5/4.35 Reds u8½ -115
  • 3/3.99 White Sox +133
  • 3/3.00 Cubs u9 +100
  • 3/1.32 Royals -151
  • 2/2.00 Royals -1½ +100
  • 3/3.15 Rockies u10 +105
90/80.8 -111​

randoms...
  • STREAKS: NA
  • DOGS 36-39 SU FOR 11.8% ROI L7 DAYS
  • ROAD DOGS 25-23 SU FOR +23.9% ROI L7 DAYS
  • ROADIES 49-44 SU FOR +8.6% ROI L7 DAYS
  • OVERS 50-38-5 60.2% FOR +9.4% ROI L7 DAYS
  • MODEL PLAYS: *ATL, STL, SD, CLE
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Over the last 22 days, playing the Yankees is like burning money. 5-14 SU for -57.7% ROI. Their pitching has imploded, and they've given up a league worst 6.68 runs per game over that stretch. They are 15-3-1 to the over in that span
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SUNDAY
✅3/2.65 Cardinals -113
✅8/4.97 BRAVES -161
✅3/2.70 BRAVES u8½ -111
❌4/4.56 PIRATES +114
✅4/2.86 Pirates +1½ -140
❌3/1.94 Padres -154
✅3/2.73 Diamondbacks o8 -110
✅3/2.22 Brewers +1½ -135
✅3/4.02 Red Sox +134
❌3/3.51 Astros +117
✅3/2.97 Twins u9 -101
❌3/3.60 Rays +120
❌5/5.00 Rangers u7½ +100
✅4/2.40 Orioles -167
✅2/1.83 Orioles -1½ -109
❌6/6.00 Athletic u8 +100
❌5/4.54 Mariners u7½ -110
✅3/2.25 Guardians -133
❌3/2.22 Reds +1½ -135
✅5/4.35 Reds u8½ -115
❌3/3.99 White Sox +133
✅3/3.00 Cubs u9 +100
✅3/1.32 Royals -151
✅2/2.00 Royals -1½ +100
❌3/3.15 Rockies u10 +105
90/80.8 -111

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Lately the totals have been good. 🤔

MONDAY​

  • 8/7.13 Pirates -112
  • 2/3.50 Pirates -1½ +175
  • 5/2.98 Reds -168
  • 3/2.50 Reds u9½ -120
  • 6/3.43 Braves -175
  • 3/2.86 Braves o8 -105
  • 3/1.73 Twins -173
  • 3/3.00 Angels u8½ +100
33/27.13 -122​

randoms...
  • STREAKS: NA
  • DOGS 35-41 SU FOR 7.0% ROI L7 DAYS
  • ROAD DOGS 25-22 SU FOR +25.4% ROI L7 DAYS
  • ROAD DOGS 32-15 ON RL FOR +12.2% ROI L7 DAYS
  • ROADIES 51-42 SU FOR +12.0% ROI L7 DAYS
  • OVERS 50-38-5 63.4% FOR +8.9% ROI L7 DAYS
  • MODEL PLAYS: *ATL, *PIT, *CIN
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MONDAY
✅8/7.13 Pirates -112
✅2/3.50 Pirates -1½ +175
✅5/2.98 Reds -168
✅3/2.50 Reds u9½ -120
✅6/3.43 Braves -175
✅3/2.86 Braves o8 -105
✅3/1.73 Twins -173
❌3/3.00 Angels u8½ +100
33/27.13 -122

1720531723884.png

TUESDAY​

  • 5/3.69 Phillies -135
  • 5/4.55 Phillies u9 -110
  • 3/2.73 Reds u9 -110
  • 5/6.20 Nationals +124
  • 3/1.89 Brewers -159
  • 2/2.08 DIAMONDBACKS +104
  • 2/1.27 Diamondbacks +1½ -158
  • 2/2.52 TIGERS +126
  • 2/1.54 Tigers +1½ -130
  • 3/2.07 Rays +1½ -145
  • 6/3.37 Red Sox -178
  • 3/2.86 Red Sox u10 -105
  • 3/3.15 Twins -1½ +105
  • 5/5.00 White Sox u8 +100
  • 3/3.00 ANGELS u8½ +100
  • 2/1.36 Orioles -147
  • 2/2.76 Orioles -1½ +138
  • 3/2.50 Mariners o7½ -120
  • 3/3.45 Jays +115
  • 3/3.00 Giants u7½ +100
65/59 -110​

randoms...
  • STREAKS: NA
  • ROAD DOGS 26-24 SU FOR +22% ROI L7 DAYS
  • ROAD DOGS 33-17 ON RL FOR +8.6% ROI L7 DAYS
  • ROADIES 53-44 SU FOR +11.5% ROI L7 DAYS
  • OVERS 51-40-6 56% FOR +7.2% ROI L7 DAYS
  • MODEL PLAYS: *BOS, *PHI, WAS
  • PHI 10-4 +19.7% on Tuesday this year
    PHI @home Under is 13-5-1 62.2% last 7 weeks (49 days)
    PHI 33-13 +12.7% @home this year (17-5 in L22)
1720490102595485-1.jpg
 
1720620603741.png

TUESDAY
✅5/3.69 Phillies -135
❌5/4.55 Phillies u9 -110
❌3/2.73 Reds u9 -110
❌5/6.20 Nationals +124
❌3/1.89 Brewers -159
❌2/2.08 DIAMONDBACKS +104
❌2/1.27 Diamondbacks +1½ -158
❌2/2.52 TIGERS +126
✅2/1.54 Tigers +1½ -130
✅3/2.07 Rays +1½ -145
✅6/3.37 Red Sox -178
❌3/2.86 Red Sox u10 -105
⛅3/3.15 Twins -1½ +105
⛅5/5.00 White Sox u8 +100
❌3/3.00 ANGELS u8½ +100
❌2/1.36 Orioles -147
❌2/2.76 Orioles -1½ +138
✅3/2.50 Mariners o7½ -120
❌3/3.45 Jays +115
✅3/3.00 Giants u7½ +100
65/59 -110

JUNE [72-78 -20.11u]
LAST [6-12-2 -18.8u]️

WEDNESDAY​

  • 3/2.75 PHILLIES u9½ -109
  • 8/4.69 Reds -170
  • 3/2.78 REDS u9 -108
  • 2/3.44 Nationals +172
  • 4/3.33 Nationals +1½ -120
  • 3/2.97 NATIONALS o9½ -101
  • 6/4.02 BREWERS -149
  • 3/2.94 BREWERS u8½ -102
  • 2/2.30 Diamondbacks +115
  • 2/1.43 Diamondbacks +1½ -140
  • 5/5.25 G1-White Sox u8 +105
  • 8/5.41 G2-Twins -148
  • 5/5.25 G2-White Sox u8 +105
  • 3/3.93 Tigers +131
  • 5/4.76 Tigers u7½ -105
  • 3/2.86 Angels u9 -105
  • 2/1.19 ORIOLES -168
  • 2/2.40 Orioles -1½ +120
  • 5/5.25 Orioles u8½ +105
  • 2/2.46 MARINERS +123
  • 2/1.14 Mariners +1½ -175
  • 5/5.00 G1-CARDINALS u8½ +100
  • 8/3.73 ASTROS -214
  • 3/4.35 Giants -1½ +145
94/83.6 -112

randoms...
  • STREAKS: TEX 5
  • ROAD DOGS 24-27 SU FOR +10.5% ROI L7 DAYS
  • OVERS 52-38-5 56% FOR +10.3% ROI L7 DAYS
  • MODEL PLAYS: *CIN, *HOU, *G2-MIN, G2-KC
img_1767-jpeg.226085
 
WEDNESDAY
✅3/2.75 PHILLIES u9½ -109
❌8/4.69 Reds -170
❌3/2.78 REDS u9 -108
❌2/3.44 Nationals +172
❌4/3.33 Nationals +1½ -120
❌3/2.97 NATIONALS o9½ -101
✅6/4.02 BREWERS -149
❌3/2.94 BREWERS u8½ -102
✅2/2.30 Diamondbacks +115
✅2/1.43 Diamondbacks +1½ -140
✅5/5.25 G1-White Sox u8 +105
✅8/5.41 G2-Twins -148
✅5/5.25 G2-White Sox u8 +105
✅3/3.93 Tigers +131
❌5/4.76 Tigers u7½ -105
⛅3/2.86 Angels u9 -105
❌2/1.19 ORIOLES -168
❌2/2.40 Orioles -1½ +120
✅5/5.25 Orioles u8½ +105
✅2/2.46 MARINERS +123
✅2/1.14 Mariners +1½ -175
❌5/5.00 G1-CARDINALS u8½ +100
✅8/3.73 ASTROS -214
❌3/4.35 Giants -1½ +145
94/83.6 -112

1720703535553.png

THURSDAY​

  • 8/4.35 Reds -184
  • 8/9.92 NATIONALS +124
  • 4/4.24 Brewers +106
  • 2/1.33 Brewers +1½ -150
  • 8/5.59 PHILLIES -143
  • 2/2.40 Diamondbacks +120
  • 2.70/2 Diamondbacks +1½ -135
  • 3/2.91 DIAMONDBACKS u8 -103
  • 5/3.91 Tigers -128
  • 3/3.00 Guardians o8 +100
  • 3/2.56 Yankees -117
  • 8/3.81 Red Sox -210
  • 2/1.90 Red Sox -1½ -105
  • 3/2.91 ATHLETICS o10 -103
  • 3/3.15 Angels u8 +105
  • 3/3.27 Jays +109
  • 3/2.73 Jays o7½ -110
  • 2/1.50 Orioles -133
  • 4/6.20 Orioles -1½ +155
76.7/67.8 -113​

randoms...
  • STREAKS: NA
  • ROAD DOGS 25-30 SU FOR +4.9% ROI L7 DAYS
  • OVERS 50-40-5 55.6% FOR +5.5% ROI L7 DAYS
  • MODEL PLAYS: *CIN, *BOS, WAS, DET, NYY, TOR
  • Trying something a little different today. I'm firing in ML plays early (7-830am) when ready. I've generally waited till 9am, when the reduced juice for RL & TOT is posted at BAS & BD. Small change, but I have notice losing considerable juice in that small window. I will of course monitor the line movement in that window.
  • Also, when I do an initial model run, I don't always have starter announced, so the model plays occasionally change. For instance, the KC game-2 yesterday had STL starter(GRACEFFO) announced late and his lower rating pushed KC to a key play, but I didn't get down on it unfortunately as I never got back in to play it. :/
  • Overall the key plays have been very good this year so far, while the regular plays have struggled over the last 5–6 weeks. I believe both will eventually regress closer to the mean.
npik9317tvaa1-jpg.148816


https://imgur.com/a/tOLcuzB
 
1720791993386.png
1720792008798.png
aria-in-cabin-rendezvous-v0-davq5napw2bd1.jpg


Had another decent night, very good for model. Even though I got no action on PHI due to pitching change, I still did ok. Model still reh hot and still PHI a win for model as I should have played it action goes. Killesports is having an issue today, not updating to included yesterday so far. I have to do some testing today, but will be back this afternoon with the rest of my info. Potential TOP PLAYS from Model: CIN MIL STL PHI ARI ...model seems to love PHI and like the snakes quite a bit as well.

images
 
THURSDAY
✅8/4.35 Reds -184
❌8/9.92 NATIONALS +124
❌4/4.24 Brewers +106
✅2/1.33 Brewers +1½ -150
⛅8/5.59 PHILLIES -143
✅2/2.40 Diamondbacks +120
✅2.70/2 Diamondbacks +1½ -135
✅3/2.91 DIAMONDBACKS u8 -103
✅5/3.91 Tigers -128
✅3/3.00 Guardians o8 +100
❌3/2.56 Yankees -117
✅8/3.81 Red Sox -210
✅2/1.90 Red Sox -1½ -105
❌3/2.91 ATHLETICS o10 -103
❌3/3.15 Angels u8 +105
✅3/3.27 Jays +109
✅3/2.73 Jays o7½ -110
❌2/1.50 Orioles -133
❌4/6.20 Orioles -1½ +155
76.7/67.8 -113

JUNE [102-105 -12.51u]
LAST [11-7 +4.71u]️

FRIDAY​

  • 3/3.75 Guardians +125
  • 8/3.48 Phillies -230
  • 3/2.61 Phillies u9 -115
  • 3/2.61 Dodgers o7½ -115
 
Model plays: *MIL, *STL, *PHI, *ARI, CIN, HOU

rest of my card...
  • 2/2.50 Rockies +1½ +125
  • 3/2.86 Marlins o9 -105
  • 8/3.23 Brewers -248
  • 8/4.18 Cardinals -192
  • 3/2.80 Royals -107
  • 3/2.73 Royals o9 -110
  • 5/3.68 Astros -136
  • 3/3.75 Mariners -1½ +125
  • 3/2.60 Angels u8½ -115
  • 3/4.44 Pirates +148
  • 3/2.62 White Sox u8 -115
  • 8/6.75 Diamondbacks -118
  • 3/2.63 JAYS o8½ -114
  • 2/1.41 Twins -142
  • 2/2.40 Twins -1½ +120
  • 5/4.13 GIANTS u8 -121
1720825115100.png
1720825132363.png

1720825152810.png
kenzie-anne-at-2023-adult-video-news-awards-in-las-vegas-01-07-2023-1-jpg.148889
 
1720873990112.png
1720874009308.png
First rough day for top plays in a while, but standard plays were 2-0.

1720874155550.png
hfmhhktm23cd1.jpeg

1720874174016.png
After getting swept by lowly scrubs plus another loss yesterday, the O's have dropped from the top moneymaker(L365 days) for the first time in a long while.

1720874304736.png

1720874331473.png
1720874355110.png
1720874371196.png
1720874394188.png
Reminder, it pitcher not on last list, they've never faced today's opponent.
 
CIUALBOTOTFD2X4IN6RJ2WRJZY.jpg


FRIDAY
❌3/3.75 Guardians +125
❌8/3.48 Phillies -230
✅3/2.61 Phillies u9 -115
❌3/2.61 Dodgers o7½ -115
✅2/2.50 Rockies +1½ +125
✅3/2.86 Marlins o9 -105
❌8/3.23 Brewers -248
❌8/4.18 Cardinals -192
✅3/2.80 Royals -107
❌3/2.73 Royals o9 -110
✅5/3.68 Astros -136
❌3/3.75 Mariners -1½ +125
❌3/2.60 Angels u8½ -115
✅3/4.44 Pirates +148
✅3/2.62 White Sox u8 -115
✅8/6.75 Diamondbacks -118
✅3/2.63 JAYS o8½ -114
❌2/1.41 Twins -142
❌2/2.40 Twins -1½ +120
⛅5/4.13 GIANTS u8 -121
81/65.16 -124

JULY [102-105 -24.62u]
LAST [9-10-1 -12.11u]️

SATURDAY​

  • 2/1.69 G1-Cardinals -118
  • 2/3.46 G1-Cardinals -1½ +173
  • 3/3.15 G1-Cardinals u8½ +105
  • 8/5.33 Reds -150
  • 3/3.00 Rockies +1½ +100
  • 4/3.39 Brewers -118
  • 2/3.24 Brewers -1½ +162
  • 3/2.73 Brewers u9 -110
  • 4/4.60 Braves +115
  • 2/1.01 BRAVES +1½ -198
  • 5/5.50 Braves o7½ +110
  • 3/2.73 Rays u8 -110
  • 4/4.24 Astros +106
  • 2/1.29 Astros +1½ -155
  • 6/6.96 ROYALS +116
  • 7/4.57 Mariners -153
  • 3/2.89 ANGELS u7½ -104
  • 5/4.21 WHITE SOX u9 -119
  • 3/2.61 Athletics +1½ -115
  • 3/2.61 Phillies u9½ -115
  • 3/3.15 Twins o8½ +105
  • 3/2.86 Jays o9 -105
80/75.22 -106​

randoms...
  • STREAKS: CHC 5, SD -5
  • MODEL PLAYS: *CIN, KC, SEA, OAK
Photo-May-19-11-32-07-AM.jpg.de4aa3b6137321882ac99aee1badd043.jpg
 
SATURDAY
✅2/1.69 G1-Cardinals -118
✅2/3.46 G1-Cardinals -1½ +173
❌3/3.15 G1-Cardinals u8½ +105
✅8/5.33 Reds -150
❌3/3.00 Rockies +1½ +100
❌4/3.39 Brewers -118
❌2/3.24 Brewers -1½ +162
❌3/2.73 Brewers u9 -110
❌4/4.60 Braves +115
❌2/1.01 BRAVES +1½ -198
❌5/5.50 Braves o7½ +110
✅3/2.73 Rays u8 -110
✅2/1.29 Astros +1½ -155
❌6/6.96 ROYALS +116
❌7/4.57 Mariners -153
✅3/2.89 ANGELS u7½ -104
✅5/4.21 WHITE SOX u9 -119
❌3/2.61 Athletics +1½ -115
❌3/2.61 Phillies u9½ -115
❌3/3.15 Twins o8½ +105
✅3/2.86 Jays o9 -105
80/75.22 -106

JULY [119-128 -48.16u]
LAST [8-13 -23.54u]️

SUNDAY​

  • 8/4.71 Reds -170
  • 3/3.48 CUBS +116
  • 9/5.36 Braves -168
  • 3/3.36 Royals +112
  • 6/4.62 Astros -130
  • 2/4.52 Athletics +226
  • 6/9.18 Tigers +153
  • 6/6.90 Twins +115
43/42.1 -102​
​
ML plays now, RL & TOT after 9am​

randoms...
  • STREAKS: NYM 5, BAL -5, MIA -5
  • HOME DOGS 8-8 ON ML FOR +8.6% ROI L7 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS 11-5 ON ML FOR +15.7% ROI L7 DAYS
  • MODEL PLAYS: *CIN, *ATL, *DET, HOU, MIN, OAK
4jza7ojeafcd1.png
 
rest of my card...
  • 3/3.15 Brewers u8½ +105
  • 5/4.76 Padres u7½ -105
  • 3/1.54 Yankees +1½ -195
  • 3/3.00 Astros u8 +100
  • 3/2.73 Angels +1½ -110
  • 3/2.73 Angels u8½ -110
  • 5/4.35 Phillies u10 -115
  • 3/3.15 White Sox +1½ +105
  • 5/5.25 White Sox u8½ +105
33/30.7 -108​

total ~ 76/72.8 -104

1720963991113.png

Right or wrong, I have Sale currently ranked #1 in my starter rankings. Dude has been amazing with Braves.

My top guys:
1720964435110.png
Skenes is 20th and may be the best, but with only 10 starts, I can't put him any higher.
 
SUNDAY
❌8/4.71 Reds -170
❌3/3.15 Brewers u8½ +105
✅3/3.48 CUBS +116
✅9/5.36 Braves -168
❌5/4.76 Padres u7½ -105
✅3/1.54 Yankees +1½ -195
❌3/3.36 Royals +112
❌6/4.62 Astros -130
✅3/3.00 Astros u8 +100
✅3/2.73 Angels +1½ -110
✅3/2.73 Angels u8½ -110
❌5/4.35 Phillies u10 -115
✅2/4.52 Athletics +226
✅6/9.18 Tigers +153
❌3/3.15 White Sox +1½ +105
❌5/5.25 White Sox u8½ +105
❌6/6.90 Twins +115
76/72.8 -104

JULY [127-137 -59.62u]
LAST [8-9 -11.46u]️

FRIDAY
  • 8/8.00 Cubs +100
  • 5/3.91 PHILLIES -128
  • 2/2.14 NATIONALS +107
  • 9/10.98 CARDINALS +122
  • 6/9.06 Rays +151
  • 3/3.00 Tigers +100
  • 3/2.07 Orioles -145
  • 8/4.08 ROYALS -196
  • 5/5.75 Astros +115
  • 5/3.78 Guardians -132
  • 6/4.50 Dodgers -133
NQHL3AKF5BGYPAEO45HV6UA4SI.jpg


randoms...
STREAKS: NA​
ROAD TEAMS 96-92 SU FOR +6.6% ROI IN JULY​
ROAD DOGS 53-58 SU FOR +13.8% ROI IN JULY​
JULY TOTALS OF 8½ OR 9 CASHED OVER 63%(56-33) FOR +19.0%​
MODEL PLAYS: *CHC *STL *KC PHI NYM TB CLE LAD​

02-15-18_RT1737_White_191.jpg
 
Rest of my board...

  • 3/2.50 Pirates u8½ -120
  • 2/1.33 Nationals +1½ -150
  • 5/3.45 Marlins +1½ -145
  • 3/3.15 Braves u7½ +105
  • 3/3.00 Tigers o70189 +100
  • 5/4.72 RANGERS u7½ -106
  • 3/3.15 Mariners u7 +105
  • 2/1.69 Dodgers -118

Includes bumping LAD up to top play after line dropped so much. Not gonna lie, that one has me scratching my head...even if Stone is scratched.

arianny-celeste-is-cooking-mama-v0-eipq2myme9dd1.jpg
 
FRIDAY
❌8/8.00 Cubs +100
❌5/3.91 PHILLIES -128
✅2/2.14 NATIONALS +107
⛅9/10.98 CARDINALS +122
❌6/9.06 Rays +151
✅3/3.00 Tigers +100
✅3/2.07 Orioles -145
✅8/4.08 ROYALS -196
✅5/5.75 Astros +115
✅5/3.78 Guardians -132
✅6/4.50 Dodgers -133

❌3/2.50 Pirates u8½ -120
✅2/1.33 Nationals +1½ -150
✅5/3.45 Marlins +1½ -145
⛅3/3.15 Braves u7½ +105
✅3/3.00 Tigers o7½ +100
❌5/4.72 RANGERS u7½ -106
✅3/3.15 Mariners u7 +105
✅2/1.69 Dodgers -118

JULY [139-142 -48.68u]
LAST [12-5-2 +10.94u]️

SATURDAY​

  • 2/3.06 Marlins +153
  • 4/2.60 Phillies -154
  • 2/2.46 CUBS +123
  • 6/5.83 G2-Cardinals -103
  • 3/4.20 Rays +140
  • 8/6.30 Athletics -127
  • 6/5.45 ORIOLES -110
  • 8/4.06 Royals -197
eudcbkotwagfcwdvhdwd


randoms...
STREAKS: PIT 5, CHW -5​
DOGS 42-44 ON ML FOR +13.4% ROI LAST 11 DAYS​
HOME DOGS 15-11 ON ML FOR +26.2% ROI LAST 11 DAYS​
HOME DOGS 18-8 ON RL FOR +17.8% ROI LAST 11 DAYS​
ROAD DOGS 53-58 SU FOR +13.8% ROI IN JULY​
WHEN TOTAL 8½ OR 9 OVER 57-34-4 62.6% FOR +18.6% ROI IN JULY​
MODEL PLAYS: *OAK *KC G2-STL BAL​
1721473336117.png​
 
the rest...
  • 2/1.82 Marlins +1½ -110
  • 3/2.86 Mets o8½ -105
  • 2/2.10 Phillies -1½ +105
  • 3/2.61 Nationals u8½ -115
  • 2/1.54 Cubs +1½ -130
  • 4/2.50 Giants -160
  • 3/2.86 Giants o10 -105
  • 3/3.00 Tigers o8 +100
  • 3/2.62 Rangers u8 -114
  • 3/3.00 Mariners u7½ +100
  • 3/2.73 Dodgers u9 -110

Model plays slight change: *OAK *KC NYM BAL SF

I considered flipping to mets, but I been fading their ass for 2 months now, so gonna stay the course

image.jpeg.7b2dc00a8d0ee88dbcf51346c1e6a43a.jpeg
 
SATURDAY
❌2/3.06 Marlins +153
✅2/1.82 Marlins +1½ -110
❌3/2.86 Mets o8½ -105
❌4/2.60 Phillies -154
❌2/2.10 Phillies -1½ +105
❌3/2.61 Nationals u8½ -115
❌2/2.46 CUBS +123
❌2/1.54 Cubs +1½ -130
✅6/5.83 G2-Cardinals -103
❌4/2.50 Giants -160
❌3/2.86 Giants o10 -105
✅3/4.20 Rays +140
✅3/3.00 Tigers o8 +100
✅8/6.30 Athletics -127
✅6/5.45 ORIOLES -110
❌3/2.62 Rangers u8 -114
✅8/4.06 Royals -197
✅3/3.00 Mariners u7½ +100
❌3/2.73 Dodgers u9 -110

1721561759552.png

SUNDAY​

  • 9/11.13 Pirates +124
  • 2/2.68 MARLINS +134
  • 6/4.96 Cubs -121
  • 2/1.40 Giants -143
  • 2/1.33 Yankees -150
  • 9/4.29 Royals -210
  • 3/3.60 Angels +120
  • 8/5.23 TWINS -153
7145182_web1_ptr-BucsGonzales02-031524.jpg


randoms...
  • STREAKS: PIT 6, CHW -6, SEA -5
  • DOGS 40-44 ON ML FOR +9% ROI LAST 10 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS 15-12 ON ML FOR +21.9% ROI LAST 10 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS 18-9 ON RL FOR +16.6% ROI LAST 10 DAYS

screenshot_20210624-013040-png.103457
 
the rest...
  • 2/1.54 Marlins +1½ -130
  • 2/2.30 Giants -1½ +115
  • 2/2.70 Yankees -1½ +135
  • 3/3.00 Yankees u9 +100
  • 3/2.86 Tigers o8 -105
  • 3/4.63 Orioles -1½ +154
  • 3/2.43 Rangers u9 -123
MODEL PLAYS: *MIN *KC PIT CHC

bar-refaeli-v0-cx8hmntz8sdd1.png
 
SUNDAY
❌9/11.13 Pirates +124
✅2/2.68 MARLINS +134
✅6/4.96 Cubs -121
✅2/1.40 Giants -143
❌2/1.33 Yankees -150
✅9/4.29 Royals -210
✅3/3.60 Angels +120
❌8/5.23 TWINS -153

✅2/1.54 Marlins +1½ -130
❌2/2.30 Giants -1½ +115
❌2/2.70 Yankees -1½ +135
✅3/3.00 Yankees o9 +100
✅3/2.86 Tigers o8 -105
❌3/4.63 Orioles -1½ +154
✅3/2.43 Rangers u9 -123

JULY [156-159 -45.26u]
LAST [9-6 +0.76U]️

MONDAY​

  • 2/2.96 Marlins +148
  • 8/6.45 PIRATES -124
  • 3/4.17 Reds +139
  • 3/2.75 Brewers -109
  • 6/5.08 Tigers -118
  • 8/12.24 White Sox +153
  • 3/3.90 Athletics +130
  • 6/4.14 Royals -145
  • 5/2.94 Red Sox -170
GettyImages-2157764689.jpg


randoms...
STREAKS: CHW -7​
HOME DOGS 8-5 ON ML FOR +37.6% ROI LAST 3 DAYS​
HOME DOGS 10-3 ON RL FOR +37.6% ROI LAST 3 DAYS​
MODEL PLAYS: *PIT *DET *KC BOS CHW​

1721645156682.png
 
the rest...
  • 4/3.20 Marlins +1½ -125
  • 3/2.70 BRAVES u8 -111
  • 3/2.73 RAYS o8½ -110
  • 3/2.61 Tigers o7 -115
  • 2/1.43 White Sox +1½ -140
  • 3/2.86 Athletics u8½ -105
  • 3/2.73 Mariners u7½ -110
  • 3/2.61 Phillies o8 -115
  • 3/2.61 Red Sox o10 -115
ojngarbok6wzsyeab9nf


lindsay-marie-brewer-v0-k740dx4k4hdd1.jpg
 
MONDAY
❌2/2.96 Marlins +148
✅8/6.45 PIRATES -124
✅3/4.17 Reds +139
❌3/2.75 Brewers -109
✅6/5.08 Tigers -118
❌8/12.24 White Sox +153
✅3/3.90 Athletics +130
✅6/4.14 Royals -145
❌5/2.94 Red Sox -170

❌4/3.20 Marlins +1½ -125
✅3/2.70 BRAVES u8 -111
✅3/2.73 RAYS o8½ -110
✅3/2.61 Tigers o7 -115
✅2/1.43 White Sox +1½ -140
✅3/2.86 Athletics u8½ -105
✅3/2.73 Mariners u7½ -110
✅3/2.61 Phillies o8 -115
✅3/2.61 Red Sox o10 -115

1721733659559.png
Totals were on 🔥 last night! 💥

TUESDAY​

  • 5/6.30 Tigers +126
  • 2/2.84 Rays +142
  • 8/4.57 Mariners -175
  • 8/5.41 Yankees -148
  • 2/2.80 Twins +140
  • 5/5.25 Royals +105
  • 2/1.29 RED SOX -155
12-2024-st-petersburg-florida-usa-new-york.jpg


randoms...
STREAKS: CHW -8​
HOME TEAMS 33-24 SU FOR +8% ROI SINCE BREAK​
HOME DOGS 12-7 SU FOR +39.9% ROI SINCE BREAK​
HOME DOGS 14-5 ON RL FOR +29.9% ROI SINCE BREAK​
MODEL PLAYS: *ATL *SEA *NYY DET​

rv71k0czogdd1.jpeg
 
the rest...
  • 3/2.40 Cardinals +1½ -125
  • 3/2.73 Braves u8 -110
  • 3/5.10 Rangers -1½ +170
  • 3/2.86 Rangers u7½ -105
  • 3/3.00 Mariners u7 +100
  • 3/2.73 ORIOLES o8½ -110
  • 3/2.83 METS o9 -106
  • 2/1.54 Twins +1½ -130
  • 5/5.00 Phillies o8 +100
  • 3/2.68 Royals u10 -112
  • 2/2.00 Red Sox -1½ +100
  • 3/2.63 ROCKIES u11 -114
Still stalking ATL, but only one book has it posted, so I really want better than -230

169168.jpg
 
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