MLB 2016 - Projected Lines and Picks by Underdog Chance

You should recheck your data on these two UC. FWIW I have these at Yankees -161 & KC -145. EBemiss, another poster here whose model I would rate better than mine has Yankees -160 & KC -155.

Athletics Surkamp 56.54% Oakland -116
Yankees Pineda 43.46% NYY +116

Tigers Greene 52.86% Detroit -106
Royals Ventura 47.14% Kansas +106

I rechecked my model couple of times :-) The beauty of different models is that they gives us different numbers and I always say, any model is better than no model. I checked his numbers and I like what I saw. Our numbers looks different and this is ok. I will stick with my numbers.
Oakland won at +150 and Detroit lost at +136. I am ok with 1-1 in this situation.
 
Good luck, love your numbers...thx for contributing.

Is there any algorithms used or mostly simple math in the determination of game unit value.

:shake:

:cheers3:

When it comes to unit size, i use modified kelly criterium . There is a lot of discussion wether is ok or not...for Kelly you need some model, which will determine win% and then based on your numbers (win%) and the odds you should bet the right amount of money. I used 1-5 units size and 1-2 Units size, also 1 Unit size in the past. But right now I think this one is best for me.

What is beauty of this type of betting is that you can take totally different bets than me and you will still make profit. For example, I have Oakland -105 and NYY +105. My odds were Oakland +120 and NYY -120. I took Oakland. And during the day, odds dropped and we have now Oakland -115 and NYY +115 and you will play NYY. And we both used my projected lines.

By the way:
+723.75 Units yesterday
 
WEDNESDAY - 20/4/2016

MLB 2016: +943.25 Units
LAST PICKS: +723.75 Units
MLB 2016 YIELD: +7.07%
Currnet Bankroll (inc. NHL): 12482.50 Units
AVG MLB RISK: 185.31 Units
AVG MLB LINE: +113
MLB PICKS PLAYED: 71

----------------------------------------------------------------------
Colorado Rockies (Bettis) +121 (330 Units = 2.64%)
Chicago Cubs (Hendricks) +102 (110 Units = 0.88%)
Philadelphia Phillies (Hellickson) +129 (105 Units = 0.84%)
Arizona Diamondbacks (Greinke) +124 (185 Units = 1.48%)
Seattle Mariners (Walker) +121 (140 Units = 1.12%)
Oakland Athletics (Graveman) +127 (360 Units = 2.88%)
Toronto Blue Jays (Dickey) +114 (335 Units = 2.68%)
Boston Red Sox (Porcello) -102 (175 Units = 1.40%)
Minnesota Twins (Milone) +115 (230 Units = 1.84%)
LA Angels (Richards) +144 (350 Units = 2.80%)
----------------------------------------------------------------------
My Projected Lines:


Pitcher Win% Moneyline Odds

Rockies Bettis 55.57% Colorado -111 1.90
Reds Iglesias 44.43% Cincinnati +111 2.11


Cubs Hendricks 51.55% Cubs -106 1.94
Cardinals Martinez 48.45% St Louis +106 2.06


Mets Colon 53.96% NY Mets -117 1.85
Phillies Hellickson 46.04% Philadelphia +117 2.17


Nationals Ross 50.24% Washington -101 1.99
Marlins Chen 49.76% Miami +101 2.01


Dodgers Stripling 56.23% LA Dodgers -128 1.78
Braves Teheran 43.77% Atlanta +128 2.28


Pirates Locke 49.36% Pittsburgh +103 2.03
Padres Pomeranz 50.64% San Diego -103 1.97


Diamondbacks Greinke 48.74% Arizona +105 2.05

Giants Baumgarner 51.26% San Francisco -105 1.95


Mariners Walker 48.29% Seattle +107 2.07
Indians Salazar 51.71% Cleveland -107 1.93


Athletics Graveman 52.14% Oakland -109 1.92
Yankees Eovaldi 47.86% NYY +109 2.09


Blue Jays Dickey 53.91% Toronto -117 1.85
Orioles Jimenez 46.08% Baltimore +117 2.17


Rays Archer 46.00% Tampa Bay +117 2.17
Red Sox Porcello 53.99% Boston -117 1.85


Tigers Zimmerman 49.58% Detroit +102 2.02
Royals Kennedy 50.41% Kansas -102 1.98


Astros Fister 46.74% Houston +114 2.14
Rangers Hamels 53.26% Texas -114 1.88


Twins Milone 51.45% Minnesota -106 1.94
Brewers Nelson 48.55% Milwaukee +106 2.06


Angels Richards 49.30% LAA +103 2.03
White Sox Sale 50.70% White Sox -103 1.97
 
THURSDAY - 21/4/2016

MLB 2016: +728.21 Units
LAST PICKS: -215.04 Units
MLB 2016 YIELD: +4.66%
Currnet Bankroll (inc. NHL): 12267.46 Units
AVG MLB RISK: 190.77 Units
AVG MLB LINE: +114
MLB PICKS PLAYED: 81

----------------------------------------------------------------------
Tampa Bay (Odorizzi) +146 (630 Units = 5.14%)
Cleveland Indians (Anderson) +100 (395 Units = 3.22%)
----------------------------------------------------------------------
More to come....

My Projected Lines:
...
 
First projected lines are here and more to come when I see lineups. I will add games with projected lines and picks later. Today I have time and will wait for lineups.

Pitcher Win% Moneyline Odds

Nationals Scherzer 63.90% Washington -166 1.60
Marlins Koehler 36.09% Miami +166 2.66


Dodgers Kershaw 72.94% LA Dodgers -270 1.37
Braves Wisler 27.06% Atlanta +270 3.70

Mariners Karns 41.91% Seattle +139 2.39
Indians Anderson 58.09% Cleveland -139 1.72

Rays Odorizzi 56.05% Tampa Bay -128 1.78

Red Sox Price 43.94% Boston +128 2.28
 
Last Plays today:
Pittsburgh Pirates (Cole) -156 (160 Units = 1.41%)
Oakland Athletics (Hill) +116 (200 Units = 1.76%)
Toronto Blue Jays (Estrada) -118 (155 Units = 1.26%)
Texas Rangers (AJ Griffin) +150 (140 Units = 1.14%)
--------------
Projected Lines:
Cubs Arrieta 62.73% Cubs -168 1.59
Reds Finnegan 37.27% Cincinnati +168 2.68

Pirates Cole 63.51% Pittsburgh -174 1.57
Padres Shields 36.49% San Diego +174 2.74

Athletics Hill 50.73% Oakland -103 1.97
Yankees Severino 49.27% NYY +103 2.03


Blue Jays Estrada 57.09% Toronto -133 1.75
Orioles Tillman 42.90% Baltimore -133 2.33


Tigers Pelfrey 38.77% Detroit +158 2.58
Royals Volquez 61.22% Kansas -158 1.63


Astros Keuchel 56.53% Houston -130 1.77
Rangers AJ Griffin 43.47% Texas +130 2.30
 
FRIDAY - 22/4/2016

MLB 2016: +1374.47 Units
LAST PICKS: +646.26 Units
MLB 2016 YIELD: +7.62%
Currnet Bankroll (inc. NHL): 12913.72 Units
AVG MLB RISK: 198.11 Units
AVG MLB LINE: +113
MLB PICKS PLAYED: 90

----------------------------------------------------------------------
Tampa Bay Rays (Moore) -110 (240 Units = 1.86%)
Minnesota Twins (Gibson) +146 (530 Units = 4.1%)
Oakland Athletics (Gray) +120 (640 Units = 4.96%)
Detroit Tigers (Verlander) -108 (335 Units = 2.59%)
Cincinnati Reds (Moscot) +195 (115 Units = 0.89%)
Boston Red Sox (Wright) +128 (280 Units = 2.17%)
Baltimore Orioles (Gallardo) +119 (195 Units = 1.51%)
San Diego Padres (Cashner) +123 (135 Units = 1.05%)
NY Mets (Harvey) -190 (485 Units = 3.76%)
Texas Rangers (Perez) +164 (370 Units = 2.87%)
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher Win% Moneyline OddsRays Moore 56.86% Tampa Bay -132 1.76

Yankees Sabathia 43.12% NYY +132 2.32


Twins Gibson 52.94% Minnesota -112 1.89

Nationals Gonzalez 47.06% Washington +112 2.12


Athletics Gray 58.94% Oakland -144 1.70

Blue Jays Sanchez 41.06% Toronto +144 2.44


Indians Tomlin 41.80% Cleveland +139 2.39

Tigers Verlander 58.19% Detroit -139 1.72


Cubs Lester 63.16% Cubs -171 1.58

Reds Moscot 36.83% Reds +171 2.71


Mets Harvey 72.04% NY Mets -258 1.39

Braves Norris 27.96% Atlanta +258 3.58


Rangers Perez 46.81% Texas +114 2.14

White Sox Quintana 53.18% White Sox -114 1.88


Phillies Nola 45.50% Philadelphia +120 2.20

Brewers Davies 54.50% Milwaukee -120 1.83


Red Sox Wright 50.02% Boston +100 2.00

Astros McHugh 49.98% Houston -100 2.00


Orioles Gallardo 49.76% Baltimore +101 2.01

Royals Young 50.24% Kansas -101 1.99

Cardinals Wainwright 52.27% St Louis -110 1.91
Padres Cashner 47.73% San Diego +110 2.10
-----

may add more plays when I get all lineups
 
adding last plays today:
LA Dodgers (Kazmir) -128 (445 Units = 3.45%)
Pittsburgh Pirates (Niese) +118 (270 Units = 2.09%)
Miami Marlins (Cosart) +146 (265 Units = 2.05%)
 
SATURDAY - 23/4/2016

MLB 2016: +745.63 Units
LAST PICKS: -628.84 Units
MLB 2016 YIELD: +3.34%
Currnet Bankroll (inc. NHL): 12284.88 Units
AVG MLB RISK: 214.74 Units
AVG MLB LINE: +114
MLB PICKS PLAYED: 103

----------------------------------------------------------------------
Toronto Blue Jays (Happ) -145 (200 Units = 1.63%)
Detroit Tigers (Sanchez) +108 (180 Units = 1.47%)
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Last and only plays today. I will not be around today anymore. Good Luck to all!
 
SUNDAY - 24/4/2016

MLB 2016: +703.43 Units
LAST PICKS: -42.2 Units
MLB 2016 YIELD: +3.1%
Currnet Bankroll (inc. NHL): 12242.68 Units
AVG MLB RISK: 214.27 Units
AVG MLB LINE: +114
MLB PICKS PLAYED: 105

----------------------------------------------------------------------
Cincinnati (Simon) +158 (160 Units = 1.61%)
Minnesota (Duffey) +190 (130 Units = 1.06%)
Baltimore +136 (Wright) (120 Units = 0.98%)
LA Angels (Shoemaker) -120 (175 Units = 1.43%)
Pittsburgh Pirates (Liriano) +104 (220 Units = 1.8%)
San Diego Padres (Rea) +115 (130 Units = 1.06%)
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher Win% Moneyline Odds

Rays Smyly 50.71% Tampa Bay +110 2.10
Yankees Pineda 49.29% NYY -110 1.91


Athletics Surkamp 36.99% Oakland +170 2.70
Blue Jays Hutchinson 62.99% Toronto -170 1.59


Indians Carrasco 53.18% Cleveland -114 1.88
Tigers Greene 46.82% Detroit +114 2.14


Cubs Hammel 57.20% Cubs -134 1.75
Reds Simon 42.79% Cincinnati +134 2.34


Mets deGrom 59.22% NY Mets -145 1.69
Braves Blair 40.78% Atlanta +145 2.45


Twins Duffey 37.90% Minnesota +164 2.64
Nationals Strsburg 62.09% Washington -164 1.61


Rangers Holland 42.19% Texas +137 2.37
White Sox Latos 57.80% White Sox -137 1.73


Phillies Eickhoff 48.34% Philadelphia +107 2.07
Brewers Peralta 51.66% Milwaukee -107 1.94


Orioles Wright 45.16% Baltimore +121 2.21
Royals Ventura 54.84% Kansas -121 1.82


Mariners Miley 42.20% Seattle +137 2.37
Angels Shoemaker 57.80% LAA -137 1.73


Marlins Conley 49.90% Miami +100 2.00
Giants Cain 50.09% San Francisco -100 2.00


Pirates Liriano 53.66% Pittsburgh -116 1.86
Diamondbacks Ray 46.34% Arizona +116 2.16


Dodgers Wood 51.17% LA Dodgers -105 1.95
Rockies Lyles 48.78% Colorado +105 2.05


Cardinals Leake 50.66% St Louis -103 1.97
Padres Rea 49.34% San Diego +103 2.03


Red Sox Owens 50.23% Boston -101 1.99
Astros Feldman 49.77% Houston +101 2.01
 
MONDAY - 25/4/2016

MLB 2016: +217.23 Units
LAST PICKS: -486.2 Units
MLB 2016 YIELD: +0.92%
Currnet Bankroll (inc. NHL): 11756.48 Units
AVG MLB RISK: 211.14 Units
AVG MLB LINE: +115
MLB PICKS PLAYED: 110

----------------------------------------------------------------------
Miami Marlins (Chen) +120 (260 Units = 2.21%)
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Good Luck to all!
 
TUESDAY - 26/4/2016

MLB 2016: +529.23 Units
LAST PICKS: +312.0 Units
MLB 2016 YIELD: +2.21%
Currnet Bankroll (inc. NHL): 12068.48 Units
AVG MLB RISK: 211.58 Units
AVG MLB LINE: +115
MLB PICKS PLAYED: 112

----------------------------------------------------------------------
Cincinnati Reds (Finnegan) +149 (220 Units = 1.82%)
Detroit Tigers (Pelfrey) +111 (400 Units = 3.31%)
Minnesota Twins (Nolasco) -115 (280 Units = 2.32%)
LA Angels (Weaver) +113 (330 Units = 2.73%)
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Projected Lines:

Pitcher Win% Moneyline Odds

Phillies Velasquez 35.72% Philadelphia +192 2.92
Nationals Scherzer 64.28% Washington -192 1.52


White Sox Sale 53.70% White Sox -116 1.86
Blue Jays Dickey 46.30% Toronto +116 2.16


Red Sox Price 62.00% Boston -163 1.61
Braves Wisler 38.00% Atlanta +163 2.63


Orioles Jimenez 45.65% Baltimore +119 2.19
Rays Odorizzi 54.35% Tampa Bay -119 1.84


Reds Finnegan 45.62% Cincinnati +119 2.19
Mets Colon 54.38% NY Mets -119 1.84


Athletics Hill 43.90% Oakland +128 2.28
Tigers Pelfrey 56.09% Detroit -128 1.78


Brewers Nelson 35.95% Milwaukee +178 2.78
Cubs Hendricks 64.04% Cubs -178 1.56


Yankees Severino 52.87% NYY -112 1.89
Rangers Griffin 47.13% Texas +112 2.12


Indians Anderson 41.17% Cleveland +143 2.43
Twins Nolasco 58.83% Minnesota -143 1.70


Pirates Cole 56.36% Pittsburgh -129 1.77
Rockies De La Rosa 43.59% Colorado +129 2.29


Cardinals Martinez 56.90% St Louis -132 1.76
Diamondbacks Miller 43.09% Arizona +132 2.32


Royals Volquez 45.83% Kansas +118 2.18
Angels Weaver 54.17% LAA -118 1.85


Astros Keuchel 52.82% Houston -112 1.89
Mariners Karns 47.18% Seattle +112 2.12


Marlins Koehler 27.16% Miami +268 3.68
Dodgers Kershaw 72.84% LA Dodgers -268 1.37


Padres Sheilds 35.69% San Diego +180 2.80
Giants Cueto 64.31% San Francisco -180 1.56
 
FRIDAY - 29/4/2016

MLB 2016: +525.73 Units
LAST PICKS: -3.5 Units
MLB 2016 YIELD: +2.09%
Currnet Bankroll (inc. NHL): 12064.98 Units
AVG MLB RISK: 214.85 Units
AVG MLB LINE: +116
MLB PICKS PLAYED: 112

----------------------------------------------------------------------
Tampa Bay Rays (Smyly) -118 (280 Units = 2.32%)
----------------------------------------------------------------------

Pitcher Win% Moneyline Odds

Braves Blair 31.92% Atlanta +229 3.29
Cubs Lester 68.07% Cubs -229 1.44


Reds Straily 44.92% Cincinnati +123 2.23
Pirates Nicasio 55.08% Pittsburgh -123 1.82


Giants Peavy 43.92% San Francisco +128 2.28
Mets Matz 56.08% NY Mets -128 1.78


Marlins Conley 49.06% Miami +104 2.04
Brewers Davies 50.94% Milwaukee -104 1.96


Nationals Strasburg 52.71% Washington -111 1.90
Cardinals Leake 47.29% St Louis +111 2.11


Rockies Chatwood 48.22% Colorado +107 2.07
Diamondbacks Ray 51.78% Arizona -107 1.93


Padres Vargas 37.30% San Diego +168 2.68
Dodgers Wood 62.70% LA Dodgers -168 1.60


White Sox Rodon 48.46% White Sox +106 2.06
Orioles Wright 51.53% Baltimore -106 1.94


Yankees Tanaka 48.40% NY Yankees +107 2.07
Red Sox Owens 51.59% Boston -107 1.94


Blue Jays Sanchez 40.56% Toronto +147 2.47
Rays Smyly 59.44% Tampa Bay -147 1.68


Angels Santiago 54.41% LA Angels -119 1.84
Rangers Lewis 45.58% Texas +119 2.19


Tigers Fulmer 48.18% Detroit +108 2.08
Twins Hughes 51.82% Minnesota -108 1.93


Astros Fiers 51.36% Houston -106 1.95
Athletics Manaea 48.63% Oakland +106 2.06


Royals Medlen 40.68% Kansas +146 2.46
Mariners Hernandez 59.32% Seattle -146 1.69


Indians Kluber 65.39% Cleveland -189 1.53
Phillies Morgan 34.61% Philadelphia +189 2.89
 
adding two more plays:
Cincinnati Reds (Straily) +144 (205 Units = 1.70%)
Milwaukee Brewers (Davies) -113 (215 Units = 1.78%)
 
SATURDAY - 30/4/2016

MLB 2016: -174.28 Units
LAST PICKS: -700 Units
MLB 2016 YIELD: -0.67%
Currnet Bankroll (inc. NHL): 11364.98 Units
AVG MLB RISK: 215.32 Units
AVG MLB LINE: +114
MLB PICKS PLAYED: 119

----------------------------------------------------------------------
Washington Nationals (Ross) +126 (170 Units = 1.50%)
Minnesota Twins (Duffey) +111 (240 Units = 2.11%)
----------------------------------------------------------------------
more to come...
 
adding:
NY Mets (deGrom) -156 (285 Units = 2.51%)
Oakland Athletics (Hahn) -114 (175 Units = 1.54%)
more to come (I am waiting for final lineups)
 
@play2win :shake:

the last plays today:
San Diego Padres (Rea) +173 (370 Units = 3.22%)
Kansas City Royals (Ventura) -103 (320 Units = 2.78%)
 
Great day...way to go. I was on a couple of them as well. Love your numbers...trying hard to tweak out my own system.

:cheers3:
 
@mrpickem thanks for your comment. Yes, it was a great day. I have improved model right now and I have to wait until last minutes because I wait last lineups.
 
SUNDAY - 1/5/2016

MLB 2016: +530.09 Units
LAST PICKS: +704.36 Units
MLB 2016 YIELD: +1.91%
Currnet Bankroll (inc. NHL): 12069.34 Units
AVG MLB RISK: 217.02 Units
AVG MLB LINE: +115
MLB PICKS PLAYED: 127

----------------------------------------------------------------------
San Francisco Giants (Baumgarner) +114 (350 Units = 2.65%)
Cincinnati Reds (Adleman) +137 (175 Units = 1.45%)
Washington Nationals (Scherzer) -103 (225 Units = 1.86%)
Atlanta Braves (Teheran) +186 (240 Units = 1.99%)
Detroit Tigers (Pelfrey) +128 (325 Units = 2.69%)
Cleveland Indians (Salazar) -125 (300 Units = 2.49%)
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Projected Lines:

Pitcher Win% Moneyline Odds

Giants Baumgarner 54.48% San Francisco -120 1.84
Mets Snydergaard 45.52% NY Mets +120 2.20


Reds Adleman 46.42% Cincinnati +115 2.15
Pirates Locke 53.58% Pittsburgh -115 1.87


Marlins Koehler 49.37% Miami +103 2.03
Brewers Peralta 50.62% Milwaukee -103 1.98


Nationals Scherzer 55.34% Washington -124 1.81
Cardinals Martinez 44.66% St Louis +124 2.24


Braves Teheran 41.47% Atlanta +141 2.41
Cubs Lackey 58.53% Cubs -141 1.71

Blue Jays Stroman 54.30% Toronto -119 1.84
Rays Odorizzi 45.70% Tampa Bay +119 2.19


White Sox Sale 56.76% White Sox -131 1.76
Orioles Jimenez 43.23% Baltimore +131 2.31


Tigers Pelfrey 51.45% Detroit -106 1.94
Twins Nolasco 48.54% Minnesota +106 2.06

Indians Salazar 61.08% Cleveland -157 1.64
Phillies Velasquez 38.91% Philadelphia +157 2.57




MORE TO COME
 
Great day again...only loser was your only favorite, lol

:rofl:

:Watching:

Yes, it was the best day since I run my site and post plays on this forum.
Overall profit (including this season NHL): +4,028.34
Yield: +10.26% (216 picks)
With starting bankroll of 10.000 (on 11.3.2016) I made +40.28% increase

I hope you cashed in some money. :-)

Today, you can expect picks one hour before games starts.
 
MONDAY - 2/5/2016

MLB 2016: +2489.09 Units
LAST PICKS: +1959.00 Units
MLB 2016 YIELD: +8.36%
Currnet Bankroll (inc. NHL): 14028.34 Units
AVG MLB RISK: 220.54 Units
AVG MLB LINE: +115
MLB PICKS PLAYED: 134

----------------------------------------------------------------------
Pittsburgh Pirates (Cole) -133 (390 Units = 2.78%)
Texas Rangers (Griffin) +146 (280 Units = 2.00%)
Minnesota Twins (Berrios) +172 (290 Units = 2.07%)
Milwaukee Brewers (Nelson) -107 (390 Units = 2.78%)
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher Win% Moneyline Odds


Cubs Hammel 34.89% Cubs +187 2.87
Pirates Cole 65.11% Pirates -187 1.54


Giants Cueto 62.84% San Francisco -169 1.59
Reds Finnegan 37.16% Cincinnati +169 2.69


Braves Foltynewicz 38.02% Atlanta +163 2.63
Mets Colon 61.98% NY Mets -163 1.61


Phillies Hellickson 39.99% Philadelphia +150 2.50
Cardinals Wainwright 60.01% St Louis -150 1.67


Rockies Gray 56.04% Colorado -128 1.78
Padres Shields 43.96% San Diego +128 2.28


Rangers Griffin 48.56% Texas +106 2.06
Blue Jays Dickey 51.44% Toronto -106 1.94


Twins Berrios 45.60% Minnesota +119 2.19
Astros Keuchel 54.40% Houston -119 1.84


Mariners Karns 47.57% Seattle +110 2.10
Athletics Graveman 52.42% Oakland -110 1.91


Angels Weaver 39.36% LAA +154 2.54
Brewers Nelson 60.64% Milwaukee -154 1.65


Nationals Gonzalez 45.09% Washington +122 2.22
Royals Volquez 54.91% Kansas -122 1.82
 
Last edited:
TUESDAY - 3/5/2016

MLB 2016: +3370.95 Units
LAST PICKS: +881.86 Units
MLB 2016 YIELD: +10.83%
Currnet Bankroll (inc. NHL): 14910.20 Units
AVG MLB RISK: 223.91 Units
AVG MLB LINE: +115
MLB PICKS PLAYED: 138

----------------------------------------------------------------------
Boston Red Sox (Wright) +128 (325 Units = 2.18%)
Oakland Athletics (Gray) -116 (200 Units = 1.34%)
---------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher Win% Moneyline Odds

Red Sox Wright 52.05% Boston -109 1.92
White Sox Quintana 47.95% White Sox +109 2.09


Twins Meyer 41.59% Minnesota +140 2.40
Astros McHugh 58.40% Houston -140 1.71


Mariners Iwakuma 42.12% Seattle +137 2.37
Athletics Gray 57.88% Oakland -137 1.73


Angels Tropeano 52.89% LAA -112 1.89
Brewers Guerra 47.11% Milwaukee +112 2.12


Nationals Roark 48.58% Washington +106 2.06
Royals Young 51.42% Kansas -106 1.94


Phillies Nola 43.05% Philadelphia +132 2.32
Cardinals Wacha 56.95% St Louis -132 1.76


Rockies Butler 49.86% Colorado +101 2.01
Padres Cashner 50.14% San Diego -101 1.99
 
THURSDAY - 5/5/2016

MLB 2016: +2845.95 Units
LAST PICKS: -525.00 Units
MLB 2016 YIELD: +8.99%
AVG MLB RISK: 224.45 Units
AVG MLB LINE: +115
MLB PICKS PLAYED: 140
Overall 2016 (inc. NHL): +4385.20 (yield:+10.66% / 222 Picks)
Starting Bankroll (11/3/2016): 10.000

----------------------------------------------------------------------
Expect Picks 1 hour before first late games start
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher Win% Moneyline Odds

Phillies Eickhoff 42.54% Philadelphia +135 2.35Cardinals Garcia 57.46% St Louis -135 1.74

I will add more later, when I get final lineups. No play so far.
 
Texas Rangers (Holland) +174 (215 Units = 1.49%)
Arizona Diamondbacks (Ray) +123 (290 Units = 2.02%)
Milwaukee Brewers (Anderson) -104 (385 Units = 2.68%)
Washington Nationals (Ross) +132 (260 Units = 1.81%)
Seattle Mariners (Miley) +122 (155 Units = 1.08%)
-----------
Tigers Fulmer 47.68% Detroit +110 2.10
Indians Bauer 52.32% Cleveland -110 1.91


Yankees Tanaka 46.60% NYY +115 2.15
Orioles Gausman 53.40% Baltimore -115 1.87


Rangers Holland 42.83% Texas +133 2.33
Blue Jays Happ 57.16% Toronto -133 1.75


Diamondbacks Ray 52.21% Arizona -109 1.92
Marlins Conley 47.79% Miami +109 2.09


Brewers Anderson 59.74% Milwuakee -148 1.67
Reds Simon 40.25% Cincinnati +148 2.48


Nationals Ross 50.00% Washington +100 2.00
Cubs Hendricks 50.00% Cubs -100 2.00
 
adding for the final card:
Colorado Rockies (Rusin) +126 (175 Units = 1.22%)
Boston Red Sox (Owens) +102 (220 Units = 1.53%)
 
FRIDAY - 6/5/2016

MLB 2016: +2329.95 Units
LAST PICKS: -516.00 Units
MLB 2016 YIELD: +6.99%
AVG MLB RISK: 225.32 Units
AVG MLB LINE: +116
MLB PICKS PLAYED: 147
Overall 2016 (inc. NHL): +3869.20 (yield:+9.04% / 229 Picks)
Starting Bankroll (11/3/2016): 10.000

----------------------------------------------------------------------
Washington Nationals (Scherzer) +102 (305 Units = 2.20%)
----------------------------------------------------------------------
more to come...
 
---------adding:
Philadelphia Phillies (Velasquez) +126 (170 Units = 1.23%)
Texas Rangers (Hamels) +106 (235 Units = 1.69%)
Kansas City Royals (Ventura) +127 (195 Units = 1.41%)
Houston Astros (Fister) +106 (170 Units = 1.23%)
LA Dodgers (Maeda) +116 (265 Units = 1.91%)
Milwaukee Brewers (Cravy) +120 (440 Units = 3.17%)
---------------------
more to come
-----
Phillies Velasquez 48.80% Philadelphia +105 2.05
Marlins Chen 51.20% Miami -105 1.95


Brewers Cravy 57.00% Milwaukee -133 1.75
Reds Adleman 42.99% Cincinnati +133 2.33

Pirates Liriano 49.70% Pittsburgh +101 2.01
Cardinals Martinez 50.30% St Louis -101 1.99

Athletics Hill 50.73% Oakland -103 1.97
Orioles Jimenez 49.27% Baltimore +103 2.03


Red Sox Porcello 50.04% Boston +100 2.00
Yankees Pineda 49.96% NYY -100 2.00


Rangers Hamels 54.36% Texas -119 1.84
Tigers Zimmermann 45.64% Detroit +119 2.19


Royals Ventura 49.34% Kansas +103 2.03
Indians Salazar 50.66% Cleveland -103 1.97


Twins Nolasco 42.78% Minnesota +134 2.34
White Sox Latos 57.22% White Sox -134 1.75


Mariners Walker 47.22% Seattle +112 2.12
Astros Fister 52.78% Houston -112 1.89


Dodgers Maeda 53.15% LA Dodgers -113 1.88
Blue Jays Stroman 46.85% Toronto +113 2.13
 
SATURDAY - 7/5/2016

MLB 2016: +1577.80 Units
LAST PICKS: -752.15 Units
MLB 2016 YIELD: +4.46%
AVG MLB RISK: 225.32 Units
AVG MLB LINE: +116
MLB PICKS PLAYED: 155
Overall 2016 (inc. NHL): +3117.05 (yield:+6.95% / 237 Picks)
Starting Bankroll (11/3/2016): 10.000

----------------------------------------------------------------------
Detroit Tigers (Pelfrey) +111 (300 Units = 2.29%)
----------------------------------------------------------------------

There will be no more plays today. I also like Indians and LAA, but Tigers are only qualified play today. Good Luck
 
SUNDAY - 8/5/2016

MLB 2016: +1277.80 Units
LAST PICKS: -300.00 Units
MLB 2016 YIELD: +3.58%
AVG MLB RISK: 227.22 Units
AVG MLB LINE: +115
MLB PICKS PLAYED: 156
Overall 2016 (inc. NHL): +2817.05 (yield:+6.24% / 238 Picks)
Starting Bankroll (11/3/2016): 10.000

----------------------------------------------------------------------
Milwaukee Brewers (Guerra) -119 (435 Units = 3.39%)
Arizona Diamondbacks (Corbin) -146 (245 Units = 1.91%)
Pittsburgh Pirates (Cole) +107 (290 Units = 2.26%)
Washington Nationals (Roark) +200 (185 Units = 1.44%)
Kansas City Royals (Volquez) +120 (470 Units = 3.67%)
Oakland Athletics (Graveman) +142 (360 Units = 2.81%)
Minnesota Twins (Duffey) +172 (430 Units = 3.35%)
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher Win% Moneyline Odds

Dodgers Stripling 39.38% LA Dodgers +154 2.54
Blue Jays Estrada 60.61% Toronto -154 1.65


Phillies Nola 51.71% Philadelphia -107 1.93
Marlins Nicolino 48.29% Miami +107 2.07


Brewers Guerra 64.68% Milwaukee -183 1.55
Reds Lamb 35.31% Cincinnati +183 2.83


Diamondbacks Corbin 64.60% Arizona -182 1.55
Braves Foltynewicz 35.40% Atlanta +182 2.82


Pirates Cole 56.09% Pittsburgh -128 1.78
Cardinals Wacha 43.91% St Louis +128 2.28


Nationals Roark 39.83% Washington +151 2.51
Cubs Arrieta 60.17% Cubs -151 1.66


Rangers Perez 44.08% Texas +127 2.27
Tigers Verlander 55.92% Detroit -127 1.79


Royals Volquez 58.90% Kansas -143 1.70
Indians Tomlin 41.10% Cleveland +143 2.43


Athletics Graveman 52.38% Oakland -110 1.91
Orioles Tilman 47.62% Baltimore +110 2.10


Mariners Iwakuma 47.36% Seattle +111 2.11
Astros McHugh 52.64% Houston -111 1.90


Twins Duffey 50.82% Minnesota -103 1.97
White Sox Quintana 49.18% White Sox +103 2.03
 
MONDAY - 9/5/2016

MLB 2016: +1277.80 Units
LAST PICKS: -601.72 Units
MLB 2016 YIELD: +1.78%
AVG MLB RISK: 232.24 Units
AVG MLB LINE: +116
MLB PICKS PLAYED: 163
Overall 2016 (inc. NHL): +2215.33 (yield:+4.66% / 245 Picks)
Starting Bankroll (11/3/2016): 10.000

----------------------------------------------------------------------
NY Yankees (Nova) -117 (280 Units = 2.29%)
Detroit Tigers (Sanchez) +177 (170 Units = 1.39%)
Boston Red Sox (Bucholz) -119 (175 Units = 1.43%)
Cincinnati Reds (Straily) +115 (330 Units = 2.70%)
Minnesota Twins (Berrios) +103 (210 Units = 1.72%)
Tampa Bay Rays (Moore) +133 (185 Units = 1.51%)
LA Dodgers (Kazmir) +100 (365 Units = 2.99%)
San Francisco Giants (Peavy) +119 (215 Units = 1.76%)
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher Win% Moneyline Odds

Royals Young 41.03% Kansas +156 2.56Yankees Nova 58.96% NY Yankees -156 1.64


Tigers Sanchez 42.06% Detroit +138 2.38
Nationals Strasburg 57.94% Washington -138 1.73


Athletics Gray 41.24% Oakland +142 2.42
Red Sox Bucholz 58.75% Boston -142 1.70


Brewers Peralta 28.85% Milwaukee +247 3.47
Marlins Fernandez 71.14% Miami -247 1.41


Pirates Niese 43.83% Pittsburgh +128 2.28
Reds Straily 56.16% Cincinnati -128 1.78


Padres Vargas 29.25% San Diego +242 3.42
Cubs Lester 70.74% Cubs -242 1.41


White Sox Gonzalez 48.43% White Sox +106 2.06
Rangers Lewis 51.57% Texas -106 1.94


Orioles Wilson 44.84% Baltimore +123 2.23
Twins Berrios 55.15% Minnesota -123 1.81


Indians Kluber 50.55% Cleveland -102 1.98
Astros Fiers 49.45% Houston +102 2.02


Diamondbacks Bradley 42.11% Arizona +137 2.37
Rockies Chatwood 57.87% Colorado -137 1.73


Rays Moore 48.75% Tampa Bay +105 2.05
Mariners Hernandez 51.25% Seattle -105 1.95


Mets Matz 40.03% NY Mets +150 2.50
Dodgers Kazmir 59.97% LA Dodgers -150 1.67


Blue Jays Sanchez 47.96% Toronto +109 2.09
Giants Peavy 52.04% San Francisco -109 1.92
 
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