BetCrimes1984
CTG Big Brother
Over 175.5
- all my stats based on opening lines & regulation scores
Minnesota
- is O/U 5-2 at an average of 194.4 points @home this season, as opposed to O/U 1-8 at an average of 177.8 points on the road. To demonstrate the power of their splits, they played out a 195 pt game @home vs NOK, then less than a week later played out a 165 total on the road vs NOK (Peja present in both games). They managed a 157 pt game @HOU recently.
- has accumulated 180, 183, 180 & 208 point totals in home games with HOU since TMac started playing for the Rockets.
Houston
- went O/U 14-13 on the road at an average of 185.1 points last season, as opposed to O/U 9-18 @home at an average of 178.2 points, with TMac playing.
- of the 6 totals this season to have opened lower than 180, HOU has been the home team for 4 of them (all unders). Of the 2 in which they werent, the 1 Under result saw the Home team there with a Home Under bias, and the 1 Over result saw the Home team there with a Home Over bias (as indicated above, MIN has a home Over bias this season).
- Last season went O/U 6-6 at an avergae of 189.2 points in a road game following a home game (with TMac present). This season is O/U 1-3 at an average of 185.2 points in the same spot. I'd personally expect, when this season ends, their present mark to have evened itself up to resemble something like last season's mark.
These 2 teams have never hit anything less than 180 with TMac playing in one of these fixtures in Minnesota. I expect the Rockets to show what they showed last year, a bias for producing Overs the road vs home games: so far that bias this season hasnt showed itself, but with 8 of their next 9 games requiring travelling, I'd expect their heavily under biased record for the season to date to start to show a bit more balance. Minnesota has a lot stronger Over record at home vs road games this season (as I'd expect from that team), so any fear or overly strong reference to these 2 teams 157 pt total in Houston recently I think would be a mistake. Never the less, another small play from me since I can envisage this, at worst, being a high 160s/low 170s moose, if it loses at all.
- all my stats based on opening lines & regulation scores
Minnesota
- is O/U 5-2 at an average of 194.4 points @home this season, as opposed to O/U 1-8 at an average of 177.8 points on the road. To demonstrate the power of their splits, they played out a 195 pt game @home vs NOK, then less than a week later played out a 165 total on the road vs NOK (Peja present in both games). They managed a 157 pt game @HOU recently.
- has accumulated 180, 183, 180 & 208 point totals in home games with HOU since TMac started playing for the Rockets.
Houston
- went O/U 14-13 on the road at an average of 185.1 points last season, as opposed to O/U 9-18 @home at an average of 178.2 points, with TMac playing.
- of the 6 totals this season to have opened lower than 180, HOU has been the home team for 4 of them (all unders). Of the 2 in which they werent, the 1 Under result saw the Home team there with a Home Under bias, and the 1 Over result saw the Home team there with a Home Over bias (as indicated above, MIN has a home Over bias this season).
- Last season went O/U 6-6 at an avergae of 189.2 points in a road game following a home game (with TMac present). This season is O/U 1-3 at an average of 185.2 points in the same spot. I'd personally expect, when this season ends, their present mark to have evened itself up to resemble something like last season's mark.
These 2 teams have never hit anything less than 180 with TMac playing in one of these fixtures in Minnesota. I expect the Rockets to show what they showed last year, a bias for producing Overs the road vs home games: so far that bias this season hasnt showed itself, but with 8 of their next 9 games requiring travelling, I'd expect their heavily under biased record for the season to date to start to show a bit more balance. Minnesota has a lot stronger Over record at home vs road games this season (as I'd expect from that team), so any fear or overly strong reference to these 2 teams 157 pt total in Houston recently I think would be a mistake. Never the less, another small play from me since I can envisage this, at worst, being a high 160s/low 170s moose, if it loses at all.
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