May 2013

hugh613

hugh613

Pretty much a regular
April 2013: it was the best of times, it was the blurst of times. Let's find out what happens in May...

YTD: 125-137-21, -39.20

Wednesday:

5/1/2013 6:30 AM Asia Soccer 701 Buriram United (AFC-CL)/Seoul (AFC-CL)* Over 2½ -108
5/1/2013 6:30 AM Asia Soccer 704 Jiangsu Shuntian (AFC-CL)/Vegalta Sendai (AFC-CL)* Over 2½ -113
5/1/2013 8:00 AM Asia Soccer 707 Chonbuk Hyundai Motors (AFC-CL)/Guangzhou Evergrande (AFC-CL)* Over 2½ -112

:ninja:
 
YTD: 127-138-21, -38.32

Adding:

5/1/2013 7:45 PM Canada Soccer 1001 Toronto (CAN-Cham)/Montreal Impact (CAN-Cham)* Over 2½ -117 *2 UNITS*

:ninja:
 
Thanks Monger. Sucks that Di Vaio's riding the bench to start the game, but at least Bernier's in there. Hopefully it's not another one of my infamous '2' games...
 
YTD: 128-138-21, -36.32

Adding:

5/1/2013 10:00 PM North America Soccer 181 Santos Laguna (CONCACAF-CL)/Monterrey (CONCACAF-CL)* Over 2 -132 *2 UNITS*

:ninja:
 
Thanks braves (I'm bound to be right every once in a while *LOL*). As for CONCACAF, if the information on futbol24 is accurate, looks like history should be on our side (Santos 0-8-5 all time @ Monterrey, 11-2 O/U 1.5 @ Monterrey). Good luck to us!

Thursday:

5/2/2013 3:05 PM European Cup Soccer 252 Chelsea (UEFA-Europa)* -1 -119 vs Basel (UEFA-Europa) *2 UNITS*
5/2/2013 10:30 PM USA MLS Soccer 352 Portland Timbers (USA-MLS)* -125 vs New England (USA-MLS)
*If Chelsea win, I'm tacking on an extra unit on the Timbers...

:ninja:
 
Friday:

5/3/2013 6:00 AM Japan Soccer 1619 Nagoya Grampus Eight (JPN-1)/Kawasaki (JPN-1)* Over 2½ -122 *2 UNITS*
5/3/2013 1:00 PM Sweden Soccer 351 Norrkoping (SWE-A)/Malmo (SWE-A)* Over 2½ -114 *2 UNITS*

Thanks CD.
 
YTD: 131-140-21, -35.10

Adding:

5/3/2013 8:45 PM Colombia Soccer 1301 Alianza Petrolera (COL)/Junior (COL)* Over 2½ -130 *2 UNITS*

:ninja:
 
YTD: 132-140-21, -33.10

Saturday:

5/4/2013 4:00 PM Spain Soccer 180 Atletico Madrid (ESP-P)/Deportivo La Coruna (ESP-P)* Over 2½ -108 *2 UNITS*
5/4/2013 4:00 PM USA MLS Soccer 651 Red Bull New York (USA-MLS)/Columbus (USA-MLS)* Over 2½ -109 *2 UNITS*

:ninja:
 
Meh, maybe 2013 just wasn't meant to be my year...

Adding:

5/4/2013 8:00 PM Mexico Soccer 610 Monarcas Morelia (MEX)/Santos Laguna (MEX)* Over 2½ +112 *5 UNITS*

:ninja:
 
YTD: 133-142-21, -31.84

Sunday:

5/5/2013 10:00 AM Austria Soccer 1201 Rapid Vienna (AUT-B)/Sturm Graz (AUT-B)* Over 2½ -105 *5 UNITS*

:ninja:
 
YTD: 134-142-21, -26.84

Adding:

5/5/2013 3:15 PM Portugal Soccer 2013 Sporting Lisboa (POR)/Pacos Ferreira (POR)* Over 2½ -105 *2 UNITS*

:ninja:

Thanks Monger, Grind, casual.
 
YTD: 134-143-21, -28.94

Adding:

5/5/2013 8:00 PM Bolivia Soccer 1310 The Strongest (BOL)/Blooming (BOL)* Over 2½,3 -121 *2 UNITS*
*I think 5dimes got the start time wrong on this game, so if it actually does start at 6:00PM EST like everyone else is reporting, you might want to check the score and see if you can't sneak in a wager or two...

:ninja:
 
YTD: 135-143-21, -26.94

Adding:

5/5/2013 7:15 PM Argentina Soccer 617 San Martin de San Juan (ARG)/Atletico Rafaela (ARG)* Over 2½ +135 *2 UNITS*

:ninja:
 
I'm not positive, but I think the ref in the San Martin game might have been on the over...

YTD: 136-143-21, -24.24

Monday:

5/6/2013 2:00 AM Japan Soccer 1207 Jubilo Iwata (JPN-1)/FC Tokyo (JPN-1)* Over 2½ -117
5/6/2013 6:00 AM Japan Soccer 1222 Vegalta Sendai (JPN-1)/Nagoya Grampus Eight (JPN-1)* Over 2½ -104
5/6/2013 6:00 AM Japan Soccer 1225 Yokohama F. Marinos (JPN-1)/Kashiwa Reysol (JPN-1)* Over 2½ -124
5/6/2013 1:00 PM Norway Soccer 601 Molde (NOR-T)/Start (NOR-T)* Over 2½ -138
5/6/2013 1:00 PM Sweden Soccer 654 Brommapojkarna (SWE-A)/Hacken (SWE-A)* Over 2½ -123 *2 UNITS*

:ninja:
 
YTD: 138-146-21, -27.12

Adding:

5/6/2013 8:30 PM Argentina Soccer 704 Newells Old Boys (ARG)/Arsenal de Sarandi (ARG)* Over ½,1 -126 for 1st Half *2 UNITS*

:ninja:
 
YTD: 139-146-21, -25.12

Tuesday:

5/7/2013 2:45 PM England Soccer 4 Swansea (ENG-P)/Wigan (ENG-P)* Over 2½ -110 *5 UNITS*

:ninja:

Thanks Monger.
 
hugh613 said:
YTD: 139-146-21, -25.12

Tuesday:

5/7/2013 2:45 PM England Soccer 4 Swansea (ENG-P)/Wigan (ENG-P)* Over 2½ -110 *5 UNITS*

:ninja:

Thanks Monger.
Click to expand...

reasoning behind such a big play on this over?
just curious as I am going to tail and luv my soccer overs lol
 
wadegarrett said:
reasoning behind such a big play on this over?
just curious as I am going to tail and luv my soccer overs lol
Click to expand...
Hi wade.

Unfortunately, there's not a whole lot I can do from my phone without access to my notes, but I'll give it a whirl...

Wigan: 1) Wigan are pretty much in must win mode and, because of goal differential, it would be in their best interest to try and win by more than one goal as well, so I fully expect them to push forward in this one and 2) the Wigan offense at home and the Swansea defense on the road lends itself to a game with multiple chances to score - that doesn't necessarily mean there will be goals but, obviously, you stand a better chance than not.

Swansea: 1) Swansea haven't scored a goal in over three games and, yeah, I know, that sounds bad but, as a general rule, half decent offensive teams don't go that long without scoring at least one goal, especially when you're going up against a team like Wigan that has one of the worst goal records and defensive efficiencies at home in the EPL. And yes, I know, Michu is out, but Michu being in hasn't stopped the offense from sliding - this just means guys like Pablo Hernandez and Jonathan de Guzman get a chance to step up in his absence.

Also, in keeping with the new approach I've been taking (or at least trying to), both Wigan and Swansea average about 13-14 chances a game on both offense and defense, so seeing as how the EPL averages about 1 goal per every 8 scoring opportunities, there should be plenty of chances to go around, especially if Swansea manage to score first (the first game at Liberty had about 28 from what I remember, so no reason this one should be any different).

Anyways, as you may have noticed by now, my games have an annoying tendency to land on '2', so there's a good chance this one might share the same unfortunate fate. And, if you're unaware, a) someone down 20 plus units on the calendar year might not be the best person to tail, so look around to see what others have to say before making a decision, b) just because I'm going large is no guarantee of anything (if you'd tailed me in February when I was shooting from the hip, I would've sent you to the poor house, so...) and c) obviously desperate times call for desperate measures, so launching on games I think stand a better than average chance of producing multiple goals is about the only way I'm making it back to even.

Now watch this end a scoreless draw... *LOL*

Good luck!
 
Last edited:
Halfway there...

YTD: 140-146-21, -20.12

Adding:

5/7/2013 8:45 PM Brazil Soccer 951 Avai (BRA-Cup)/America Mineiro (BRA-Cup)* Over 2½ -120 *2 UNITS*
*Another situation where a half decent offensive team (ie. AMG) hasn't scored in over three games but, as this is one of those wild and wacky Cup games, it might not be quite as straightforward. Stats from the state championships suggest there should be at least two goals in this one (Avai 16-4 O/U 1.5, conceded in 9 of their last 10; AMG 9-2 O/U 1.5, conceded in 8 of their last 10) so there's that. As for a third, well... At least it'll give me something to root for before going to bed.
<iframe src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/lDK9QqIzhwk" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="320" width="480"></iframe>

:ninja:

Thanks Monger, STEED.
 
Try to cap a game the best you can... then Avai go ahead and miss two WIDE (and I mean WIDE) open nets the final ten minutes. FML...

YTD: 140-147-21, -22.52

Wednesday:

5/8/2013 1:00 PM Norway Soccer 101 Honefoss BK (NOR-T)/Valerenga (NOR-T)* Over 2½ -112
5/8/2013 1:00 PM Norway Soccer 104 Tromso IL (NOR-T)/Rosenborg (NOR-T)* Over 2½ -130
5/8/2013 2:45 PM England Soccer 21 Tottenham (ENG-P)/Chelsea (ENG-P)* Over 2½ -132
5/8/2013 2:45 PM Italy Soccer 54 Fiorentina (ITA-A)/Siena (ITA-A)* Over 2½ -114
5/8/2013 3:30 PM Spain Soccer 94 Malaga (ESP-P)/Real Madrid (ESP-P)* Over 3½ -118

:ninja:
 
YTD: 144-148-21, -19.66

Adding:

5/8/2013 7:30 PM USA MLS Soccer 304 Montreal Impact (USA-MLS)/Red Bull New York (USA-MLS)* Over 2½ -105 *2 UNITS*

:ninja:
 
Peace_5.gif
 
Thanks CD, braves.

First game at Olympic Stadium in March produced 30 shots, but only 1 goal - can't really see that happening again, especially since all three games last season flew over. Plus, the Red Bulls were missing both Thierry Henry and Tim Cahill in that one, so that changes things a lot. Still, Wednesday's tend to produce a lot of strange results in MLS from what I remember, so we'll see how it goes.

:cheers:
 
Nice, nothing like a couple of late ones to get that over.

Maybe I'm wrong , but I feel like Henry could still be playing for a high level team, or maybe the mls is just that bad.
 
YTD: 145-148-21, -17.66

Adding:

5/8/2013 10:30 PM USA MLS Soccer 316 Toronto (USA-MLS)/San Jose Earthquakes (USA-MLS)* Over 2½ -111
*I already know TFC's going to find some way to screw me in this one, but the Earthquakes' offense looks like it's starting to turn the corner, so hopefully the old EST/PST trend takes hold in this one.

:ninja:

Thanks Pyppurs (in a perfect world, people would only tail me when I win but, alas, somehow I doubt that's the case), CD (as it was a missed PK at the end away from being a draw, tell Colin I think I at least deserve some credit for that), braves (the only thing that separates MLS from most other leagues is the lack of a dominant team and/or teams, otherwise most people wouldn't be so quick to rush to judgment).
 
YTD: 146-148-21, -16.66

Thursday:

5/9/2013 7:00 AM Finland Soccer 1201 IFK Mariehamn (FIN-V)/HJK Helsinki (FIN-V)* Over 2½,3 -114
5/9/2013 12:00 PM Holland Soccer 1381 PSV Eindhoven (HOL-CUP)/AZ Alkmaar (HOL-CUP)* Over 3 -128
5/9/2013 2:45 PM England Soccer 601 Watford (ENG-Cham)/Leicester (ENG-Cham)* Over 2½ -113

:ninja:
 
YTD: 146-150-22, -18.93

Friday:

RUS Krylya Sovetov Samara / Spartak Moscow Over 2.5 -114 *2 UNITS*
*Looks like the hard drive on my laptop has failed, so you boys are going to have to make do without me for a little while (I'm sure you'll manage : )
 
I'm not sure what's sadder: the fact that I had to go to Starbucks in order to cap these games, or the fact that I went to Starbucks in order to cap these games. Either way, I'm bored out of my mind without a computer right now, so let's see what happens...

YTD: 146-151-22, -21.21

Monday:

ARG Union Santa Fe / Estudiantes Under 2,2½ -118
ECU Quevedo / Emelec Over 2½ -125

Good luck!
 
YTD: 148-151-22, -19.21

Tuesday:

IRE Drogheda United / Limerick Over 2,2½ -121
*Line looks a little suspicious, but this was the only game I capped other than Wigan (and there's no point in jumping on that one unless Arsenal's up at the half), so let's see how it goes...

Thanks dylan.
 
YTD: 148-152-22, -20.42

Wednesday:

AFC Kashiwa Reysol / Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors Over 2.5 -121 *2 UNITS*

Good luck!
 
I think I'm going to write HP a letter of complaint for killing whatever momentum I had (that or just stop betting until I buy a new laptop this weekend)...

Adding:

CAN Vancouver Whitecaps / Montreal Impact Over 2½ -112 *2 UNITS*
*Di Vaio's in the starting XI, so that should give this one a slightly better chance of hitting (maybe)...

Good luck!
 
YTD: 148-155-22, -27.08

Sunday:

5/26/2013 9:00 PM Mexico Soccer 271 Cruz Azul (MEX)/America de Mexico (MEX)* Over 2½ -112 *2 UNITS*

:ninja:

Thanks Monger.
 
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