March Bases

[mrpickem]

Opening Day at last, the Grand Ole Game :cheers3:

• 908 Milwaukee Brewers -106
• 919 Baltimore Orioles +310
• 924 Tampa Bay Rays +113

All my plays are RISKING 1 unit unless otherwise specified.

Good Luck to ALL and Let's Get That CASH!

 

[B.A.R.]

Have a profitable opening weekend. The Baltimore lines are like September lines.

 

[mrpickem]

[1-2 -1.06u]
1-2 Yesterday

Friday:

• 951 Colorado Rockies -155
• 954 Milwaukee Brewers -107
• 961 Houston Astros/Tampa Bay Rays Under 7½ -130
• 962 Tampa Bay Rays +130
• 965 Boston Red Sox -135

Rox 16-8 last 3 years as road favs over 120 https://goo.gl/DZEs25
Dogs in first 12 games after finishing strong previous year (at least 20 of last 30) are 23-17 +24%ROI over 7 years https://goo.gl/yXpMPV
Unders in Tampa are 20-8 last 3 years when total <=7 https://goo.gl/JHyFu7

Randoms..

fast starters since 2018 in Mar-Apr
az 20-8 +13.2u
bos 21-7 +11.4
sea 18-11 +9
nym 17-9 +8.6
atl 16-11 +7.6

lad 12-16 -15.3
kc 7-21 -13.9
cin 7-22 -13.7
bal 8-20 -10.9

best/worse home 2018-
tb 51-30, mil 51-30, oak 50-33,

sd 31-50, lad 45-37(-20u)

best/worse away 2018-
hou 57-24, bos 51-30, col 44-38(+14.3u), sl 45-36 (+9.7)

det 26-55, sf 31-50

todays starters
last 5 years first start
Ray 3-0
Morton / Shoemaker 3-1
Holland 0-4

Last year
cole 25-9 +10.9u
boyd 16-15 +6.6u
marquez 19-15 +4u
pperalta 9-5 +3.6u

flaherty 11-17 -8.4u

 

[mrpickem]

[5-3 +1.4u]
4-1 Yesterday

• 901 New York Mets +107
• 903 Pittsburgh Pirates +126
• 905 Atlanta Braves +124
• 918 Minnesota Twins +101
• 920 Kansas City Royals -118
• 924 Tampa Bay Rays +101

Nats 29-39 in day games at home last 2 years https://goo.gl/t33AER
ATL 28-25 in road div games over ast year +23.6% ROI https://goo.gl/HoUVMe

randoms

fast starters since 2018 in Mar-Apr
az 20-9 +13.8u
bos 22-8 +10.4
sea 19-12 +9.8
nym 18-9 +9.8
atl 16-12 +6.6

lad 13-16 -16
kc 8-21 -12.9
cin 8-22 -12.7
bal 8-21 -11.9
chw 8-19 -9.7
was 13-17 -9.5

best/worse home 2018-
tb 52-31, min 50-32, mil 52-31, phi 50-32, oak 51-34

sd 33-50, kc 33-49, tex 34-48, lad 46-37(-20.6u), was 40-41 (-20.6u)

best/worse away 2018-
hou 58-25, bos 52-31, col 46-38(+16.3u), atl 47-35, sl 46-37 (+9.7), sf 31-52 (+10.5u)

bal 19-63, det 27-56 cle 42-40 (-16u)

todays starters
last 2 years MAR-APR
rodrigues 8-1 +7u
leake 7-4 +3.6u
glasnow 3-1 +3.2u

strausburg 5-6 -4.5u
sanchez 3-6 -4.4u
maeda 5-5 -3.8u
lopez 1-4 -3.3u

Last year
rodrigues 20-4 +15.3u
leake 20-11 +12.4u
snydergaard 16-9 +5.2u

maeda 8-12 -10.9u
anderson 12-21 -10.6u
pivetta 14-18 -7.7u
gray 11-12 -7.6u

 

[mrpickem]

public vs money

 

[mrpickem]

• 901 New York Mets/Washington Nationals Over 7½ -105
• 913 Arizona Diamondbacks/Los Angeles Dodgers Over 7½ +105

both LAD and WAS fit this temp based trend as it will be over 70 degrees in both games
basically it is when LAD, WAS, SD, CLE are home before May and the temp is over 70...bet the over for 70% winners and 30.8% ROI

View attachment 38686

 

[mrpickem]

2 more...

• 927 Boston Red Sox -1½ +105
• 929 Chicago Cubs -1½ +105

 

[mrpickem]

[10-7 +2.33u]
5-4-1 Yesterday

• 959 Arizona Diamondbacks/Los Angeles Dodgers Over 7½ -105
• 960 Los Angeles Dodgers -210
• 961 San Francisco Giants/San Diego Padres Over 7½ -105
• 963 Atlanta Braves +127
• 970 Tampa Bay Rays -102
• 971 Cleveland Indians -102
• 977 Boston Red Sox -138

View attachment 38693

todays starters 2018
View attachment 38694

 

[mrpickem]

adding a couple late totals

• 909 San Francisco Giants/Los Angeles Dodgers 1st 5 Innings Under 4 -110
• 911 Arizona Diamondbacks/San Diego Padres Under 7½ -105
• 921 Boston Red Sox/Oakland Athletics Over 9 +102