Lions ML MNF
- Thread starter HUNT
- Start date
GridironGems
The Mel Kiper of CTG
Lexington 125
I cap it all, and I cap it well.
skanless13
Fly, Eagles, Fly!
Yes. I’m on this too. Rather large.
I guess the good thing here is MCDC won't rest guys if the Vikings win. I know some coaches would do that (since week 18 would be for all the marbles).
These lions like revenge tour stuff.
Remember that game in Dallas?
Yepppp.
Remember MNF vs Seattle?
Yepppp.
This one is personal (another reason why he won't rest guys).
The beauty of all this -- a GB win Sunday afternoon makes MNF a full attempt at clinching the division and #1 seed.
These lions like revenge tour stuff.
Remember that game in Dallas?
Yepppp.
Remember MNF vs Seattle?
Yepppp.
This one is personal (another reason why he won't rest guys).
The beauty of all this -- a GB win Sunday afternoon makes MNF a full attempt at clinching the division and #1 seed.
Let's get it, need to break that local ATM.
I‘ll sacrifice a lamb for you, Hunt. This looks like an awesome play with great reasoning, i‘m pumped. BOL
There he is!!!
Inspekdah
My man, Michael Jordan!
9ers would be stupid to even try to win this game. They could field half an all pro roster with the guys who won’t be playing. Kyle is co-GM so walking Purdy out there behind replacement OL and no RBs seems like a negotiating tactic to reign him in closer to 45 million vs 65.
I can’t see how this team wins. The books for some reason keep lining them like a team that’s not missing multiple elite players at every level.
Rain would make this a home equity type play. Purdy and the rag tag OL can’t handle the rain for whatever reason.
We saw how dominant the 9ers defense was once again with Greenlaw back. That lasted 30 mins and he’s been hurt since. He’s not playing. Warner has a broken ankle he’s been playing through.
Only way 9ers win is if Bosa has a 4-5 sack type game and Debo plays out of his mind. Lions defense is mush now with all the injuries but the 9ers don’t need this game. Would be smart to have Purdy get sacked 7 times and get a top 10 pick.
I can’t see how this team wins. The books for some reason keep lining them like a team that’s not missing multiple elite players at every level.
Rain would make this a home equity type play. Purdy and the rag tag OL can’t handle the rain for whatever reason.
We saw how dominant the 9ers defense was once again with Greenlaw back. That lasted 30 mins and he’s been hurt since. He’s not playing. Warner has a broken ankle he’s been playing through.
Only way 9ers win is if Bosa has a 4-5 sack type game and Debo plays out of his mind. Lions defense is mush now with all the injuries but the 9ers don’t need this game. Would be smart to have Purdy get sacked 7 times and get a top 10 pick.
wiseplayer
Pretty much a regular
Anyone notice how Bosa is taking angles like Gasteneau to avoid tackling? He believes in preserving the body when games don’t matter.
Glad to see you agree spek. I really think you all should make a run for Aaron Rodgers. Just makes sense with the window left for Niners.
@Inspekdah and @B.A.R. pretty much did the write up for both sides. It's really how I've approached this one. Thanks fellas.
Interesting observation. He's so hit or miss for me.
wizardofodd
Resident Newlywed
can you elaborate on this for me
Loves2kickass
Here to cap the games
Why would this game be personal and why wouldn't Det rest players if that opportunity arises since they're so injured.
Hulu
#3DownNation
If I understand everything correctly, the 2 games are correlated in that if GB beats MIN today, then DET can seal up the division by beating the 9ers.
If GB loses then the Lions can only win the division by winning the head to head with Minnesota next week and Monday's game vs the 9ers becomes meaningless.
That being said, others have made the point that Detroit will still be motivated to beat the 9ers even if the game becomes meaningless as thats not the way Campbell rolls and I tend to agree.
wizardofodd
Resident Newlywed
Right - I get that, but why would books not allow that parlay. I mean both teams GB/Det still have to win - Minny isnt laying down
Hulu
#3DownNation
Oh sorry I misunderstood.
Any time you have a parlay where the last leg is heavily influenced by the first leg its correlated. You could wait until GB wins to bet Detroit but you can be sure that the Lions won't be available at -180 if that happens. By parlaying it now, you are essentially getting ahead of the number. That's why Pinny won't allow it. Many other books will though.
I'm sure there's a better way to explain this mathematically but I'm not the guy for that.
Bingo.
Add in last year's NFC ship on the same field...
Could see a Dallas type game here and lions will be resting shortly after HT anyways.
Loves2kickass
Here to cap the games
If a 1 game, revenge game from last season is more important than maybe trying to get a little more healthy than that coach doesn't have the season's top priority in mind. Just my opinion.
Loves2kickass
Here to cap the games
If you feel so strongly why not a -110 bet with the spread? GL with your bet today. I hope you bring it home.
The prospect of resting players an extra week is a great argument against adding regular season games
wiseplayer
Pretty much a regular
Minnesota loses today that Detroit game wont mean a thing to them. What did Campbell do last year if anything when it came to clinching?
Loves2kickass
Here to cap the games
Exactly. If that happens they'd have 3 meaningless weeks to rest up the most injured team and not risk any more injuries that they can't afford. The smart thing to do if your end goal is a bowl.
Hulu
#3DownNation
Very true. Adding an 18th game will only mean fewer meaningful games in that final week.
Inspekdah
My man, Michael Jordan!
I don’t see them not giving a F for 3 straight weeks. Would be a month betweeen playing meaningful football. Think a rematch to whoop on the 9ers (and he’s said he wants to do so) is a good test before shutting it down for a couple of weeks.
I think the smart thing to do is to play starters for a half and motivate them to do well during that truncated span
Dan Campbell only thinks of two things. The past and the present.
Loves2kickass
Here to cap the games
I was primarily speaking of any player on the injured list or so should benefit for a couple weeks off, that's all.
Loves2kickass
Here to cap the games
And rolling the dice on 4th down several times a game
Which i don't necessarily disagree with in most circumstances.
Thanks l2ka. This is how I've always bet. Been burned too many times buying points, it's stressful enough having the ml with the amount i have on it. Don't want to worry about covering by 1 in the event it goes to overtime or any other reason.. Don't want a push either. Just focusing on winning.
And rolling the dice on 4th down several times a game
Haha true!
Loves2kickass
Here to cap the games
Very true as have I, esp for large money. It's sickening losing by a half or a point or two.
Loves2kickass
Here to cap the games
In all seriousness, best of luck on your bet. That's our job to play Monday morning QB, or Sunday morning
Hulu
#3DownNation
ML is def the way to bet this with the line at 3.5
Loves2kickass
Here to cap the games
If all the starters play I'm not gonna lie, I'll be tempted.
If Dan Campbell rests his starters before the game I would be absolutely stunned and take my L.
In all seriousness, best of luck on your bet. That's our job to play Monday morning QB, or Sunday morning
I welcome the discussion. These are valid questions.
wiseplayer
Pretty much a regular
Not saying he wouldn’t. Just saying Detroit has the bye locked in if Vikes lose. Campbell played all his starters in its entirety last year in week 18. I expect he’s gunning for a big night despite not needing the game and getting light on depth. It’s Dan Campbell.
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
So the Eagles can't win out and get the bye if Detroit loses the next two games? I'm lost on this stuff.
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Yeah the GB/Minny game doesn't eliminate Philly from getting the #1 seed
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