JULY BASES ⚾

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JUNE [216-198 +2.69u]
LAST [6-6-1 +1.86u]

FRIDAY
4/2.94 BREWERS -136
3/3.51 BREWERS -1½ +117
3/2.61 Mets u9 -115
3/2.27 Padres -132
3/3.00 TWINS +100
3/4.35 Jays -1½ +145
3/3.03 Jays u9 +101
3/2.73 Astros o9 -110
5/3.91 Rays -128
3/3.78 Rays -1½ +126
5/7.70 Guardians +154
3/2.01 Rockies +1½ -149
5/7.10 Diamondbacks +142

SATURDAY​

• 3/4.41 REDS +147
• 3/2.83 REDS +1½ -106
• 3/1.51 PHILLIES -199
• 3/2.78 PHILLIES -1½ -108
• 3/2.80 PHILLIES u8½-107
• 3/3.60 Brewers -1½ +120
• 3/3.96 Giants +132
• 3/1.88 Giants +1½ -160
• 3/2.91 METS u8½-103
• 3/1.91 BRAVES -157
• 3/4.26 RED SOX +142
• 3/2.07 RED SOX +1½ -145
• 3/2.31 Rangers -130
• 4/4.32 Mariners +108
• 3/1.82 Mariners +1½ -165
• 3/3.81 Guardians +127
• 2/4.00 ROYALS +200
• 3/2.50 Angels -120
• 3/2.46 Angels u10 -122

57/56.1 -102​

randoms...

• STREAKS: 6 ATL, 4 PIT, -6 SD
• WACHA 15-6 +24.3% ROI ALLTIME VS REDS

 

[mrpickem]

adds...

• 3/1.57 Phillies -191
• 3/3.66 G1-Yankees +122

https://imgur.com/FT7gYrz

 

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JULY [14-7 +18.33u]
LAST [14-7 +18.33u]

SATURDAY
3/4.41 REDS +147
3/2.83 REDS +1½ -106
3/1.51 PHILLIES -199
3/2.78 PHILLIES -1½ -108
3/2.80 PHILLIES u8½-107
3/3.60 Brewers -1½ +120
3/3.96 Giants +132
3/1.88 Giants +1½ -160
3/2.91 METS u8½-103
3/1.91 BRAVES -157
3/4.26 RED SOX +142
3/2.07 RED SOX +1½ -145
3/2.31 Rangers -130
4/4.32 Mariners +108
3/1.82 Mariners +1½ -165
3/3.81 Guardians +127
2/4.00 ROYALS +200
3/2.50 Angels -120
3/2.46 Angels u10 -122
3/1.57 Phillies -191
3/3.66 G1-Yankees +122

SUNDAY

• 3/1.59 Braves -190
• 3.06/3 Braves -1½ -102
• 3/2.91 PIRATES -103
• 3/1.30 PHILLIES -231
• 3/3.09 GIANTS +103
• 3/2.78 METS u9 -108
• 3/1.68 Jays -180
• 3/3.33 Jays -1½ +111
• 3/3.78 Astros +126
• 3/2.61 Rangers u9½ -115
• 3/3.48 RAYS +116
• 3/2.83 MARINERS u7½ -106
• 4/3.20 DODGERS -1½ -125
• 3/2.78 YANKEES -108
• 3/2.88 Rockies -104
• 3/3.24 ANGELS +108
• 3/2.94 ANGELS u8½ -102

52/47.34 -110​

 

[John Doe]

Good luck today Mrpickem, I joined CappingTheGame to let you know that I appreciate all the information and insight you provide on a daily basis, I was hoping that you would come back to Twitter but I can see that you feel more comfortable posting here instead (that's cool), anyways just wanted to let you know that you do great work and thanks again for all you do to help us beat the books.

John Doe

 

[mrpickem]

adds

• 3/3.39 Padres +113
• 3/1.82 Padres +1½ -165
• 3/2.86 Padres o11 -105
• 3/3.42 Giants +114

 

[2daBank]

I don’t get the pads love, other than that like most the card. Gl bro

 

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JULY [21-21 -5.69u]
LAST [7-14 -24.02u]

SUNDAY
3/1.59 Braves -190
3.06/3 Braves -1½ -102
3/2.91 PIRATES -103
3/1.30 PHILLIES -231
3/3.09 GIANTS +103
3/2.78 METS u9 -108
3/1.68 Jays -180
3/3.33 Jays -1½ +111
3/3.78 Astros +126
3/2.61 Rangers u9½ -115
3/3.48 RAYS +116
3/2.83 MARINERS u7½ -106
4/3.20 DODGERS -1½ -125
3/2.78 YANKEES -108
3/2.88 Rockies -104
3/3.24 ANGELS +108
3/2.94 ANGELS u8½ -102
3/3.39 Padres +113
3/1.82 Padres +1½ -165
3/2.86 Padres o11 -105
3/3.42 Giants +114


MONDAY

• 3/2.97 Brewers -101
• 4/4.52 Cardinals +113
• 4/4.08 YANKEES +102
• 3/1.71 YANKEES +1½ -175
• 3/2.68 YANKEES u8½ -112
• 4/1.84 TWINS -217
• 3/2.00 Braves -150
• 3/2.56 Guardians u9 -117
• 3/2.27 GIANTS -132

30/24.64 -122​

randoms...

• STREAKS: 8 ATL
• RYAN 5-0 +61.7% ROI ALLTIME VS KC
• TEHERAN 8-2 +58.8% ROI ALLTIME VS CUBS
• GERMAN 6-1 +28.5% ROI ALLTIME VS O’S

 

[mrpickem]

adding 2 more

• 3/2.75 REDS -109
• 3/3.15 PADRES -1½ +105

 

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JULY [21-21 +5.37u]
LAST [8-3 +11.06u]

MONDAY
3/2.97 Brewers -101
4/4.52 Cardinals +113
4/4.08 YANKEES +102
3/1.71 YANKEES +1½ -175
3/2.68 YANKEES u8½ -112
4/1.84 TWINS -217
3/2.00 Braves -150
3/2.56 Guardians u9 -117
3/2.27 GIANTS -132
3/2.75 REDS -109
3/3.15 PADRES -1½ +105

TUESDAY

• 3/2.73 Reds o9½ -110
• 3/2.83 MARLINS u8½ -106
• 3/4.92 Brewers -1½ +164
• 3/5.67 PIRATES +189
• 3/2.50 PIRATES o9 -120
• 3/2.59 Yankees -116
• 3/3.15 Yankees u8½ +105
• 3/3.15 TWINS -1½ +105
• 3/2.91 A'S o8½ -103
• 3/3.27 WHITE SOX +109
• 3/1.65 ASTROS -182
• 3/3.78 PHILLIES +126
• 5/4.81 PHILLIES o8 -104
• 3/2.54 BRAVES -118
• 3/2.46 GUARDIANS u9 -122

47/48.95 +104​

randoms...

• STREAKS: 9 ATL
• WAINO 11-3 +25.3% ROI ALLTIME VS MIA
• MILEY 11-5 +37.3% ROI ALLTIME VS CUBS
• GIBSON 2-9 -56.3% ROI ALLTIME VS NYY

Heidi Klum's daughter...Leni Klum

 

[mrpickem]

adding

• 2.45/4 Cards +163
• 3/3.54 Angels +118
• 2/3.54 Rockies +177

I'm buying off the stros, they may win but I'm just not liking the value. I might get killed today backing all these dogs, but the chalk is overpriced AF today :cheers3:

 

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JULY [36-35 -6.01u]
LAST [7-11 -11.38u]

TUESDAY
3/2.73 Reds o9½ -110
3/2.83 MARLINS u8½ -106
3/4.92 Brewers -1½ +164
3/5.67 PIRATES +189
3/2.50 PIRATES o9 -120
3/2.59 Yankees -116
3/3.15 Yankees u8½ +105
3/3.15 TWINS -1½ +105
3/2.91 A'S o8½ -103
3/3.27 WHITE SOX +109
3/1.65 ASTROS -182
3/3.78 PHILLIES +126
5/4.81 PHILLIES o8 -104
3/2.54 BRAVES -118
3/2.46 GUARDIANS u9 -122
2.45/4 Cards +163
3/3.54 Angels +118
2/3.54 Rockies +177

WEDNESDAY

• 3/3.27 NATIONALS +109
• 3/4.02 BREWERS +134
• 3/2.33 BREWERS +1½ -129
• 3/1.82 Dbacks +1½ -165
• 3/6.57 PIRATES +219
• 3/2.73 PIRATES o9 -110
• 3/3.24 YANKEES +108
• 3/2.59 YANKEES u9½ -116
• 3/2.68 Red Sox u9½ -112
• 3/1.28 TWINS -234
• 3/2.56 TWINS -1½ -117
• 3/2.86 Royals o8½ -105
• 3/2.78 WHITE SOX u9 -108
• 5/2.25 ASTROS -222
• 3/2.61 ASTROS -1½ -115
• 3/3.45 PHILLIES +115
• 3/2.86 PHILLIES o9 -105
• 3/1.75 PADRES -171
• 3/4.17 M'S +139

59/55.81 -106​

randoms...

• STREAKS: 4 SEA, -4 SF
• ROX a pathetic 36-98 vs righties on the road last 3 years including 7-21 this year. 

 

[B.A.R.]

Good luck all day Mista

 

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JULY [48-41 +4.90u]
LAST [12-6-1 +10.91u]

WEDNESDAY
3/3.27 NATIONALS +109
3/4.02 BREWERS +134
3/2.33 BREWERS +1½ -129
3/1.82 Diamondbacks +1½ -165
3/6.57 PIRATES +219
3/2.73 PIRATES o9 -110
3/3.24 YANKEES +108
3/2.59 YANKEES u9½ -116
3/2.68 Red Sox u9½ -112
3/1.28 TWINS -234
3/2.56 TWINS -1½ -117
3/2.86 Royals o8½ -105
3/2.78 WHITE SOX u9 -108
5/2.25 ASTROS -222
3/2.61 ASTROS -1½ -115
3/3.45 PHILLIES +115
3/2.86 PHILLIES o9 -105
3/1.75 PADRES -171
3/4.17 M'S +139

THURSDAY

• 4/4.20 REDS +105
• 4/2.35 Mets +1½ -170
• 4/3.70 PIRATES o9 -108
• 4/5.68 A'S +142
• 4/2.61 A'S +1½ -153
• 4/3.33 A'S o8½ -120
• 4/4.40 YANKEES +110
• 5/5.35 YANKEES u8½ +107
• 4/1.96 GUARDIANS -204
• 4/2.99 Rangers -134
• 4/3.74 Red Sox u10 -107

45/40.32 -112

randoms...

• STREAKS: 4 (NYM, HOU, CIN), -4 (COL, TB)
• REDS 21-12 +29.3% ROI IN CLOSELY LINED ROAD GAMES <125 SINCE 2022 (11-2 IN LAST 13)

 

[mrpickem]

Fuck, not sure how I clicked NYY, mistake I want'ed O's...so this add to buy out and make it my top play of the day along with the A's :rolleyes:

• 10/8.7 O'S -115

55/49 -112 (updated)​

:hypnosis:​

 

[John Doe]

Good luck Mrpickem, thanks for the heads up top play of the day,
could you point out top play of the day on a daily basis if possible, if you chose not to do it - that's cool too, no harm in asking.
Thanks for all you do to help us beat the books.

 

[The Farm]

If Lorenzen gets into trouble you will see alot different pen. He has flagged a little since start of season but listening to the local radio around here this guy is all work. I would expect him to pick up the home team today. I decided not to play anything so bol on your day PICK.

 

[mrpickem]

adds

• 4/3.81 WHITE SOX -GM1 u9 -105
• 4/3.81 WHITE SOX -GM2 u9½ -105

 

[mrpickem]

Good luck Mrpickem, thanks for the heads up top play of the day,
could you point out top play of the day on a daily basis if possible, if you chose not to do it - that's cool too, no harm in asking.
Thanks for all you do to help us beat the books.

Actually, I'm more of a grinder and play the numbers game with no plays significantly more than others, so really, I don't have huge "Play of the Day" picks. I always put units wagered with my plays so the one(s) I like best will have slightly higher amount risked. For instance, today the only play risking over 4u was the Yankee under so you could say that's my POD along with the O's. I said A's because I bet ML & RL and the return would have been very big. (Looks like loser down 0-7). I select my plays a lot differently than most as I cap for ML & RL and treat them like separate bets, even on rare occasion I will take the favorite and the dog +1½ but that's extremely rare.

What I'm saying is if you want to know my best play, just use the one with the highest risk amount (first number).

 

[John Doe]

Actually, I'm more of a grinder and play the numbers game with no plays significantly more than others, so really, I don't have huge "Play of the Day" picks. I always put units wagered with my plays so the one(s) I like best will have slightly higher amount risked. For instance, today the only play risking over 4u was the Yankee under so you could say that's my POD along with the O's. I said A's because I bet ML & RL and the return would have been very big. (Looks like loser down 0-7). I select my plays a lot differently than most as I cap for ML & RL and treat them like separate bets, even on rare occasion I will take the favorite and the dog +1½ but that's extremely rare.

What I'm saying is if you want to know my best play, just use the one with the highest risk amount (first number).

Thanks for the reply Mrpickem and for sharing your thoughts.:cheers3:

 

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JULY [55-48 +4.06u]
LAST [7-7 -0.84u]

THURSDAY
4/4.20 REDS +105
4/2.35 Mets +1½ -170
4/3.70 PIRATES o9 -108
4/5.68 A'S +142
4/2.61 A'S +1½ -153
4/3.33 A'S o8½ -120
4/4.40 YANKEES +110
5/5.35 YANKEES u8½ +107
4/1.96 GUARDIANS -204
4/2.99 Rangers -134
4/3.74 Red Sox u10 -107
10/8.7 O'S -115
4/3.81 WHITE SOX -GM1 u9 -105
4/3.81 WHITE SOX -GM2 u9½ -105

FRIDAY

• 4/3.28 PHILLIES -122
• 4/5.60 PHILLIES -1½ +140
• 5/4.40 REDS +108
• 4/4.48 METS +112
• 4/2.99 Jays -134
• 4/4.72 Jays -1½ +118
• 4/3.96 TIGERS u9 -101
• 4/2.16 Guardians -185
• 4/7.00 Astros -1½ +175
• 3/2.73 RAYS -110
• 4/3.60 BRAVES o8½ -111
• 5/2.98 Yankees -168
• 4/5.00 Yankees -1½ +125
• 4/3.92 WHITE SOX -102
• 4/2.29 WHITE SOX +1½ -175
• 4/3.81 WHITE SOX u8½ -105

64/63.315 -101​

randoms...

• STREAKS: 5 (CIN, NYM), -4 (KC, WA, ARI, COL), -5 TB
• HILL 3-11 -66% ROI ALLTIME VS AZ
• Ace FA acquisition Carlos Rodon, (6-year, $162M), will make Yankee debut today @home in series opener vs Cubs. The Yankees may have been overly cautious with Rodon after he strained his forearm in spring training, giving him extra time to recover from a nagging back issue as well, while protecting their investment. Rodon has looked very good in 3 rehab starts (10.1 inn, 1 run, 3 hits, 3 BB & 17 Ks) and appears ready to help get NY back on track. Ex-Yank Jameson Taillon (2-6, 6.93 ERA) returns to NY where he went 22-11 in 61 starts for the Yanks.
• 
• TAILLON 15-4 +45.1% ROI ALLTIME ON FRIDAY (10-0 AWAY) :rofl:
• TAILLON 2-12 -70.8% ROI IN ALL STARTS THIS SEASON

 

[The Farm]

BOL today PICK. I always read your thread. Mostly for the tits but I'm honest. Like the yanks alot today and Toronto. I'm not exactly sure if we are gonna see a 2-1 game at COPA or a 11-9 game. Honestly I don't think there is middle ground. Have a day.

 

[mrpickem]

adding

• 4/3.17 Jays -126
• 5/2.66 Diamondbacks -188
• 4/3.81 Diamondbacks U8½ -105
• 4.48/4 Padres -112
• 4/1.90 RED SOX -210
• 4/4.00 Red Sox U10½ +100
• 5/8.00 Nationals +160

Buying off the Mets and adding to the Jays, plus a couple others that weren't lined early :shake:

 

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JULY [65-60 -10.85u]
LAST [11-12 -14.91u]

FRIDAY
4/3.28 PHILLIES -122
4/5.60 PHILLIES -1½ +140
5/4.40 REDS +108
4/4.48 METS +112
4/2.99 Jays -134
4/4.72 Jays -1½ +118
4/3.96 TIGERS u9 -101
4/2.16 Guardians -185
4/7.00 Astros -1½ +175
3/2.73 RAYS -110
4/3.60 BRAVES o8½ -111
5/2.98 Yankees -168
4/5.00 Yankees -1½ +125
4/3.92 WHITE SOX -102
4/2.29 WHITE SOX +1½ -175
4/3.81 WHITE SOX u8½ -105
4/3.17 Jays -126
5/2.66 Diamondbacks -188
4/3.81 Diamondbacks U8½ -105
4.48/4 Padres -112
4/1.90 RED SOX -210
4/4.00 Red Sox U10½ +100
5/8.00 Nationals +160

SATURDAY

• 4/7.40 Marlins -1½ +185
• 4/3.48 Phillies o7½ -115
• 5/3.11 Padres -161
• 5/6.00 Padres -1½ +120
• 4/7.84 TIGERS +196
• 4/4.32 Tigers +1½ +108
• 4/1.84 RED SOX -217
• 4/3.60 RED SOX u9½ -111
• 4/2.42 Guardians -165
• 4/4.76 Guardians -1½ +119
• 4/3.20 Astros -125
• 5/2.84 Yankees -176
• 4/4.60 Yankees -1½ +115
• 4/3.54 Yankees u8½ -113
• 4/2.29 Rangers -175
• 4/3.51 RANGERS -1½ -114
• 4/5.24 Rays +131

69/68.17 -101​

​

 

[The Farm]

Like the card today. Looking forward to your mma tonight. Take another look at the Philly game if you get a minute. I think numbers scream Philly . BOL

 

[mrpickem]

adding

• 4/3.48 CARDINALS o10 -115
• 4/3.51 Twins -114
• 4/4.92 Angels +123
• 4/3.57 Angels o8½ -112

85/83.65 -1.02 (updated)​

Was very close to buying off CLE, but gonna roll the dice anyways

I know PHI been red hot a solid team bottom up, but the Fish are too and at home they can easily cover the stick behind Garret even though he has been strong on the road but not very effective at home, but that should work its way out though. More concerning is the MIA closer who's in a funk after blowing last 2. He likely rests today but still a bit worrisome.

 

[2daBank]

I like both the teams and both starting pitchers going in Miami today. I didn’t play anything although I was tempted by plus money on Philly. I think if I wanted to lay runs w fish I’d be more inclined to play the Ff-.5, just feels like Philly has a edge when starters leave, used to be a weakness but they got 4-5 guys throwing filth out the pen now! Gl today

 

[mrpickem]

I like both the teams and both starting pitchers going in Miami today. I didn’t play anything although I was tempted by plus money on Philly. I think if I wanted to lay runs w fish I’d be more inclined to play the Ff-.5, just feels like Philly has a edge when starters leave, used to be a weakness but they got 4-5 guys throwing filth out the pen now! Gl today

That would make sense but I'm hampered by my adherence to low juice only...never see low juice on FF lines

 

[2daBank]

That would make sense but I'm hampered by my adherence to low juice only...never see low juice on FF lines

I don’t recall seeing but I assume you would have gotten around +120 laying the -.5 w fish Ff today.

 

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JULY [78-68 +11.63u]
LAST [13-8 +22.48u]

SATURDAY
4/7.40 Marlins -1½ +185
4/3.48 Phillies o7½ -115
5/3.11 Padres -161
5/6.00 Padres -1½ +120
4/7.84 TIGERS +196
4/4.32 Tigers +1½ +108
4/1.84 RED SOX -217
4/3.60 RED SOX u9½ -111
4/2.42 Guardians -165
4/4.76 Guardians -1½ +119
4/3.20 Astros -125
5/2.84 Yankees -176
4/4.60 Yankees -1½ +115
4/3.54 Yankees u8½ -113
4/2.29 Rangers -175
4/3.51 RANGERS -1½ -114
4/5.24 Rays +131
4/3.48 CARDINALS o10 -115
4/3.51 Twins -114
4/4.92 Angels +123
4/3.57 Angels o8½ -112

SUNDAY

• 4/4.20 Phillies +105
• 4/3.57 MARLINS u7½ -112
• 5/4.07 GIANTS -1½ -123
• 4/3.39 ROCKIES o8 -118
• 4/3.64 Red Sox u9½ -110
• 4/1.80 GUARDIANS -222
• 4/3.81 GUARDIANS -1½ -105
• 4/4.72 TIGERS +118
• 4/2.72 TIGERS +1½ -147
• 4/3.54 JAYS o8½ -113
• 4/4.60 ASTROS +115
• 5/6.95 ORIOLES +139
• 5/9.70 NATS +194
• 4/2.42 Cubs +1½ -165
• 4/4.04 YANKEES u8½ +101
• 4/3.23 WHITE SOX -124
• 4/4.08 WHITE SOX u9 +102

71/70.475 -1.01​

 

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JULY [84-79 -3.86u]
LAST [6-11 -15.49u]

SUNDAY
4/4.20 Phillies +105
4/3.57 MARLINS u7½ -112
5/4.07 GIANTS -1½ -123
4/3.39 ROCKIES o8 -118
4/3.64 Red Sox u9½ -110
4/1.80 GUARDIANS -222
4/3.81 GUARDIANS -1½ -105
4/4.72 TIGERS +118
4/2.72 TIGERS +1½ -147
4/3.54 JAYS o8½ -113
4/4.60 ASTROS +115
5/6.95 ORIOLES +139
5/9.70 NATS +194
4/2.42 Cubs +1½ -165
4/4.04 YANKEES u8½ +101
4/3.23 WHITE SOX -124
4/4.08 WHITE SOX u9 +102

FRIDAY

• 4/3.81 Padres -105
• 4/4.16 Phillies u9 +104
• 4/4.56 Pirates +114
• 4/3.54 Giants o9 -113
• 4/4.48 Mets +112
• 4/3.48 Mets u8½ -115
• 5/4.55 Brewers o10 -110
• 3/2.14 Rangers -140
• 4/2.35 Rays -1½ -170
• 5/3.27 Angels -153
• 4/3.57 Angels u8 -112
• 4/3.48 Tigers o7 -115
• 4/4.40 Marlins +110
• 4/2.96 Braves -1½ -135
• 3/3.16 CUBS +106
• 4/7.20 Rockies +180
• 4/4.80 Rockies +1½ +120

67/65.02 -1.03​

randoms...

• STREAKS: 4 (BOS, BAL), -4 (LAA, PIT), -6 KC, -7 TB
• REDS IN HOME NIGHT GAMES THIS SEASON; ML 15-7 +44.9% ROI / RL: 15-7 +32.1% / OVER: 15-7 +31.4%
• 

 

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JULY [92-87 --4.74u]
LAST [8-8-1 -0.88u]

FRIDAY
4/3.81 Padres -105
4/4.16 Phillies u9 +104
4/4.56 Pirates +114
4/3.54 Giants o9 -113
4/4.48 Mets +112
4/3.48 Mets u8½ -115
5/4.55 Brewers o10 -110
3/2.14 Rangers -140
4/2.35 Rays -1½ -170
5/3.27 Angels -153
4/3.57 Angels u8 -112
4/3.48 Tigers o7 -115
4/4.40 Marlins +110
4/2.96 Braves -1½ -135
3/3.16 CUBS +106
4/7.20 Rockies +180
4/4.80 Rockies +1½ +120

SATURDAY

• 4/3.20 PADRES GM-1 -125
• 4/4.08 PHILLIES GM-1 u9 +102
• 4/2.84 GIANTS -141
• 4/4.48 Giants -1½ +112
• 4/3.54 GIANTS o8½ -113
• 4/3.51 METS u9 -114
• 4/2.65 RANGERS -151
• 4/3.01 Astros -133
• 4/3.88 ANGELS u8 -103
• 4/2.06 M'S -194
• 4/4.20 M'S -1½ +105
• 4/4.00 Tigers o7½ +100
• 5/4.95 CUBS -101
• 5/7.00 Dbacks +140
• 4/2.50 Dbacks +1½ -160
• 4/2.06 Marlins +1½ -195
• 5/1.76 BRAVES -284
• 4/2.67 Braves -1½ -150
• 5/7.30 ROCKIES +146
• 5/4.55 ROCKIES +1½ -110

85/74.22 -1.15​

randoms...

• STREAKS: 6 (BOS, BAL), 5, LAD, -5 OAK, -6 LAA
• VALDEZ 10-3 +24.8% ROI VS LAA ALLTIME

 

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JULY [98-99 -36.25u]
LAST [6-12-2 -31.51u]

SATURDAY
4/3.20 1-PADRES GM-1 -125
4/4.08 1-PHILLIES GM-1 u9 +102
4/2.84 GIANTS -141
4/4.48 Giants -1½ +112
4/3.54 GIANTS o8½ -113
4/3.51 METS u9 -114
4/2.65 RANGERS -151
4/3.01 Astros -133
4/3.88 ANGELS u8 -103
4/2.06 M'S -194
4/4.20 M'S -1½ +105
4/4.00 Tigers o7½ +100
5/4.95 CUBS -101
5/7.00 Diamondbacks +140
4/2.50 Diamondbacks +1½ -160
4/2.06 Marlins +1½ -195
5/1.76 BRAVES -284
4/2.67 Braves -1½ -150
5/7.30 ROCKIES +146
5/4.55 ROCKIES +1½ -110

SUNDAY

• 4/2.88 GIANTS -139
• 4/4.52 GIANTS -1½ +113
• 4/2.72 PHILLIES -147
• 4/3.57 METS -112
• 4/6.60 METS -1½ +165
• 4/4.00 METS u8½ +100
• 4/2.22 CARDINALS -180
• 4/4.04 NATIONALS o9 +101
• 4/3.01 RAYS -1½ -133
• 4/1.97 RAYS -203
• 4/4.64 Guardians +116
• 4/7.20 ATHLETICS +180
• 4/4.00 Athletics +1½ +100
• 4/6.36 TIGERS +159
• 4/2.96 Tigers +1½ -135
• 4/3.45 TIGERS o7½ -116
• 5/6.50 ANGELS +130
• 4/2.41 Braves -166
• 4/4.60 Braves -1½ +115
• 5/3.01 O'S -166
• 4/5.60 Diamondbacks +140
• 4/2.80 Diamondbacks +1½ -143
• 4/5.20 Red Sox +130
• 4/4.00 Red Sox o9½ +100
• 4.20/3 Yankees -1½ -140

102.2/101.26 -1.01​

 

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JULY [109-113 -53.09u]
LAST [11-14 -16.84u]

SUNDAY
4/2.88 GIANTS -139
4/4.52 GIANTS -1½ +113
4/2.72 PHILLIES -147
4/3.57 METS -112
4/6.60 METS -1½ +165
4/4.00 METS u8½ +100
4/2.22 CARDINALS -180
4/4.04 NATIONALS o9 +101
4/3.01 RAYS -1½ -133
4/1.97 RAYS -203
4/4.64 Guardians +116
4/7.20 ATHLETICS +180
4/4.00 Athletics +1½ +100
4/6.36 TIGERS +159
4/2.96 Tigers +1½ -135
4/3.45 TIGERS o7½ -116
5/6.50 ANGELS +130
4/2.41 Braves -166
4/4.60 Braves -1½ +115
5/3.01 O'S -166
4/5.60 Diamondbacks +140
4/2.80 Diamondbacks +1½ -143
4/5.20 Red Sox +130
4/4.00 Red Sox o9½ +100
4.20/3 Yankees -1½ -140

MONDAY

• 4/2.76 Giants -145
• 4/4.20 Giants -1½ +105
• 4/2.05 Marlins +1½ -195
• 4/3.57 MARLINS o8½ -112
• 5/6.50 NATS +130
• 4/3.52 NATS o8 -114
• 4/4.56 Royals +114
• 4/3.45 Angels -116
• 4/3.23 M'S -124
• 5/7.85 DODGERS -1½ +157
• 4/3.64 Guardians o9½ -110

42/41.8 +1.00​

 

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JULY [116-115 -29.33u]
LAST [7-2-2 +23.76u]

MONDAY
4/2.76 Giants -145
4/4.20 Giants -1½ +105
4/2.05 Marlins +1½ -195
4/3.57 MARLINS o8½ -112
5/6.50 NATS +130
4/3.52 NATS o8 -114
4/4.56 Royals +114
4/3.45 Angels -116
4/3.23 M'S -124
5/7.85 DODGERS -1½ +157
4/3.64 Guardians o9½ -110

TUESDAY

• 4/2.00 Phillies -200
• 4/3.81 Phillies -1½ -105
• 4/3.10 Giants -129
• 4/4.60 Giants -1½ +115
• 4/3.88 DBACKS o10½ -103
• 3/2.33 RANGERS -129
• 4/5.36 Royals +134
• 4/4.52 TWINS +112
• 6/5.66 Pirates -106
• 4/7.00 Pirates -1½ +175
• 5/4.13 O'S -121
• 4/6.32 O'S -1½ +158
• 4/3.64 Padres -110
• 4/3.60 Mets -111
• 4/3.42 Mets u9 -117

63/64.105 +1.02​

randoms...

• STREAKS: 5 (SF, STL), 4 (MIL, TEX, TOR), -4 (ARI, MIA, CIN, PIT), -8 OAK
• Seeing temps in the mid 90's...we get a mid 50's density index making some of the best hitting conditions of the year. Davies best pitch (sinking fastball) has been crushed for a .399 xwOBA this season with only 9 K's. Elder is better, but his sinker and 4-seam have been well below MLB average. Braves probably cruise like 8-5
• 

 

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JULY [124-122 -31.9u]
LAST [8-7 -2.57u]



TUESDAY
4/2.00 Phillies -200
4/3.81 Phillies -1½ -105
4/3.10 Giants -129
4/4.60 Giants -1½ +115
4/3.88 DBACKS o10½ -103
3/2.33 RANGERS -129
4/5.36 Royals +134
4/4.52 TWINS +112
6/5.66 Pirates -106
4/7.00 Pirates -1½ +175
5/4.13 O'S -121
4/6.32 O'S -1½ +158
4/3.64 Padres -110
4/3.60 Mets -111
4/3.42 Mets u9 -117

Wednesday

• 4/6.32 BREWERS +158
• 4/3.33 Phillies u9½ -120
• 3/1.96 Reds +1½ -153
• 4/3.45 GIANTS o10½ -116
• 4/1.94 BRAVES -206
• 4/5.44 Royals +136
• 4/3.01 Royals +1½ -133
• 5/4.90 TWINS o7½ -102
• 4/3.64 Guardians o9 -110
• 5/6.50 Orioles +130
• 4/3.48 Orioles u9½ -115
• 5/6.85 ROCKIES +137
• 5/4.42 ROCKIES +1½ -113
• 4/4.16 PADRES +104
• 4/4.00 METS u8½ +100

58/58.974 +1.02​

​

 

[mrpickem]

adding...

• 6/5.77 MARLINS -104
• 4/3.81 MARLINS o8½ -105
• 4/4.20 Nats o9½ +105
• 4/4.48 Rays +112
• 4/5.12 ANGELS +128
• 4/4.20 ANGELS u8½ +105

84/86.553 (updated)​

• In 5 starts vs Cards ALCANTARA has an ERA of 1.24 and a WHIP of 0.963
• MIA is 5-2 +26.5% ROI SU as road chalk over last 8 weeks with Alcantara getting 2 of the Ws.

 

[mrpickem]

FWIW, ROX are by far the best team as a home dog this seaso,



19-17 on the season for +25.8% TOI but 8-4 in last 12 for a sizzling +70.8% ROI

 

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JULY [134-131 -20.95u]
LAST [12-9 +10.95u]

Wednesday
4/6.32 BREWERS +158
4/3.33 Phillies u9½ -120
3/1.96 Reds +1½ -153
4/3.45 GIANTS o10½ -116
4/1.94 BRAVES -206
4/5.44 Royals +136
4/3.01 Royals +1½ -133
5/4.90 TWINS o7½ -102
4/3.64 Guardians o9 -110
5/6.50 Orioles +130
4/3.48 Orioles u9½ -115
5/6.85 Rockies +137
5/4.42 ROCKIES +1½ -113
4/4.16 PADRES +104
4/4.00 METS u8½ +100
6/5.77 MARLINS -104
4/3.81 MARLINS o8½ -105
4/4.20 Nats o9½ +105
4/4.48 Rays +112
4/5.12 ANGELS +128
4/4.20 ANGELS u8½ +105

THURSDAY

• 3.47/6 Dbacks +173
• 3/2.91 REDS -103
• 3/1.88 REDS +1½ -160
• 4/3.64 Phillies -110
• 4/6.60 Phillies -1½ +165
• 5/5.70 CARDS +114
• 4/3.88 TWINS o7½ -103
• 4/3.64 Astros -1½ -110
• 4/4.60 Rays -1½ +115
• 4/5.80 Padres -1½ +145
• 4/4.20 Padres o9 +105
• 4/5.60 White Sox +140

46.47/54.444 +117 :breakdance:​

​

​

randoms...

• STREAKS: 7 STL, 6 TEX, -4 (ATL, NYY, TB), -6 MIA
• STROMAN 1-8 -77.8% ROI ALLTIME VS STL W/4.96 ERA AND .301 BA ALLOWED AFTER FACING 217 BATTERS
• STROMAN seems overvalued today. His .270 wOBA with his sinking fastball really takes the wind out of his sails and lines him up as a huge regression possibility as we get into warmer weather / lower air density where sinkers don't sink nearly as much. Plus, Strowman's team has only won once in 9 career starts vs STL with an ERA around 5!

 

[mrpickem]

adds

• 3/5.40 Cards -1½ +180
• 4/3.81 Cards O8½ -105

 

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JULY [141-138 -19.48u]
-LAST [7-7 +1.47u]

THURSDAY
3.47/6 Dbacks +173
3/2.91 REDS -103
3/1.88 REDS +1½ -160
4/3.64 Phillies -110
4/6.60 Phillies -1½ +165
5/5.70 CARDS +114
4/3.88 TWINS o7½ -103
4/3.64 Astros -1½ -110
4/4.60 Rays -1½ +115
4/5.80 Padres -1½ +145
4/4.20 Padres o9 +105
4/5.60 White Sox +140
3/5.40 Cards -1½ +180
4/3.81 Cards O8½ -105

FRIDAY

• 5/2.17 Marlins -230
• 4/3.81 Rockies o8½ -105
• 4/3.33 NATS +1½ -120
• 5/4.13 BRAVES -121
• 5/6.95 O'S +139
• 5/2.50 Yankees -200
• 5/7.10 WHITE SOX +142
• 5/4.39 WHITE SOX o8 -114
• 4/3.36 Mariners -119
• 4/5.00 TIGERS +125
• 4/4.24 METS +106
• 4/3.81 Red Sox u9½ -105
• 4/4.16 DODGERS +104
• 4/2.06 ANGELS -194

62/57.01 -109​

randoms...

• STREAKS: 8 STL, 6 TEX, -4 NYY, -5 TB, -6 MIA
• CARDS 17-8 +13.6% ROI ON RL THIS SEASON WHEN THEY ARE A ROAD DOG
• CARDS ON ML 18-4 +26.3% ROI & RL 15-7 68.2% WHEN FLAHERTY PITCHES VS A TEAM WITH A LOSING REECORD SINCE 2021 INCLUDING WINNERS OF LAST 9

 

[mrpickem]

ADDS

• 4/2.25 Cardinals +1½ -178
• 4/3.39 CARDINALS o8-118
• 3/4.80 Reds -1½ +160

71/66.2 -107 (CORRECTED AND UPDATED)​

 

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JULY [150-144 -15.5u]
-LAST [9-6-2 +3.98u]

FRIDAY
5/2.17 Marlins -230
4/3.81 Rockies o8½ -105
4/3.33 NATIONALS +1½ -120
5/4.13 BRAVES -121
5/6.95 O'S +139
5/2.50 Yankees -200
5/7.10 WHITE SOX +142
5/4.39 WHITE SOX o8 -114
4/3.36 Mariners -119
4/5.00 TIGERS +125
4/4.24 METS +106
4/3.81 Red Sox u9½ -105
4/4.16 DODGERS +104
4/2.06 ANGELS -194
4/2.25 Cardinals +1½ -178
4/3.39 CARDINALS o8-118
3/4.80 Reds -1½ +160

SATURDAY

• 4/6.40 Rockies +160
• 4/3.64 Rockies o8½ -110
• 4/3.70 CARDINALS o9½ -108
• 5/8.50 Nationals +170
• 4/3.88 NATIONALS +1½ -103
• 4/3.08 Braves -130
• 4/5.00 Mariners +125
• 4/3.81 White Sox o8 -105
• 4/2.16 Astros -185
• 4/3.25 ASTROS -1½ -123
• 4/3.25 DODGERS -123
• 4/4.28 METS +108
• 4/4.28 METS u9 +107
• 4/2.25 ANGELS -178
• 4/4.32 ANGELS -1½ +108

61/61.843 +101​

 

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JULY [156-151 -12.77u]
-LAST [6-7-2 +2.73u]

SATURDAY
4/6.40 Rockies +160
4/3.64 Rockies o8½ -110
4/3.70 CARDINALS o9½ -108
5/8.50 Nationals +170
4/3.88 NATIONALS +1½ -103
4/3.08 Braves -130
4/5.00 Mariners +125
4/3.81 White Sox o8 -105
4/2.16 Astros -185
4/3.25 ASTROS -1½ -123
4/3.25 DODGERS -123
4/4.28 METS +108
4/4.28 METS u9 +107
4/2.25 ANGELS -178
4/4.32 ANGELS -1½ +108

SUNDAY

• 4/4.40 NATS +110
• 4/1.59 MARLINS -252
• 5/3.76 Marlins -1½ -133
• 4/3.77 DBACKS -106
• 4/2.05 DBACKS +1½ -195
• 4/3.67 DBACKS o11 -109
• 4/2.48 Braves -161
• 4/5.08 CUBS +127
• 4/3.39 CARDS o9 -118
• 5/2.73 Yankees -183
• 4/4.00 YANKEES -1½ +100
• 4/5.00 Orioles +125
• 4/2.35 Orioles +1½ -170
• 4/8.08 ATHLETICS +202
• 5/6.00 JAYS +120
• 4/2.28 JAYS +1½ -177
• 4/2.80 PHILLIES -143
• 5/5.15 RANGERS +103
• 4/2.55 Rangers +1½ -157
• 4/4.48 PIRATES +112
• 4/5.20 Mets +130
• 4/3.33 Red Sox u9½ -120

91/82.929 -110​

randoms...

• STREAKS: 4 CIN, -4 (SF, PGI, KC), -8 MIA
• KC 1-17 -83.7% ROI WITH LYLES ON THE BUMP (FADE ML FOR +43.1% or RL +46.6%)

 

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JULY [170-158 +7.97u]
-LAST [14-7-1 +20.74u]

SUNDAY
4/4.40 NATS +110
4/1.59 MARLINS -252
5/3.76 Marlins -1½ -133
4/3.77 DBACKS -106
4/2.05 DBACKS +1½ -195
4/3.67 DBACKS o11 -109
4/2.48 Braves -161
4/5.08 CUBS +127
4/3.39 CARDS o9 -118
5/2.73 Yankees -183
4/4.00 YANKEES -1½ +100
4/5.00 Orioles +125
4/2.35 Orioles +1½ -170
4/8.08 ATHLETICS +202
5/6.00 JAYS +120
4/2.28 JAYS +1½ -177
4/2.80 PHILLIES -143
5/5.15 RANGERS +103
4/2.55 Rangers +1½ -157
4/4.48 PIRATES +112
4/5.20 Mets +130
4/3.33 Red Sox u9½ -120

MONDAY

• 4/2.15 GUARDIANS -186
• 5/5.35 GUARDIANS -1½ +107
• 4/3.31 MARINERS o8 -121
• 6/6.60 ORIOLES +110
• 6/6.78 JAYS +113
• 4/3.81 JAYS o9½ -105

29/27.996 -104​

randoms...

• STREAKS: 5 CIN, -4 ARI, -5 (SF, KC)
• Deceiving stat of the day: Yarbrough is 13-4 +40.9% ROI in road games at night (5 years) 
• But Yarbrough hasn’t started at night this year and only once last year(loss), plus he’s 3-10 overall since last year in all starts and 1-4 away. 

My season has been a shitstorm mostly and especially for May (possibly my worst month ever unit-wise), but at least I've had a decent run over the last week with winning nights in 6 of last 7 for a total 7-day profit of +61.06u. Still the season is a clusterfuck for sure, but I own it.

 

[mrpickem]

adding

• 4/5.92 Rockies +148
• 4/2.96 Rockies +1½ -135
• 4/3.45 Nationals u9½ -116
• 4/3.81 Diamondbacks u10 -105
• 4/2.60 Diamondbacks -154

49/46.734 -105 (updated)​

 

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JULY [174-165 +1.33u]
-LAST [4-7 -6.74u]

MONDAY
4/2.15 GUARDIANS -186
5/5.35 GUARDIANS -1½ +107
4/3.31 MARINERS o8 -121
6/6.60 ORIOLES +110
6/6.78 JAYS +113
4/3.81 JAYS o9½ -105
4/5.92 Rockies +148
4/2.96 Rockies +1½ -135
4/3.45 Nationals u9½ -116
4/3.81 Diamondbacks u10 -105
4/2.60 Diamondbacks -154

TUESDAY

• 5/6.50 Rockies +130
• 5/3.47 Brewers -144
• 5/3.57 Dbacks -140
• 4/9.36 PIRATES +234
• 4/2.11 Guardians -190
• 4/4.20 Guardians u8½ +105
• 4/4.20 MARINERS +105
• 4/2.02 Mariners +1½ -198
• 4/3.39 Phillies -118
• 4/3.88 WHITE SOX u9 -103
• 4/3.88 WHITE SOX -103
• 4/5.40 JAYS +135

51/51.8 +102​

lol, throwback 320x240 images formatted for my blackberry.

 

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JULY [180-171 -5.18u]
-LAST [6-6 -6.51u]

TUESDAY
5/6.50 Rockies +130
5/3.47 Brewers -144
5/3.57 Diamondbacks -140
4/9.36 PIRATES +234
4/2.11 Guardians -190
4/4.20 Guardians u8½ +105
4/4.20 MARINERS +105
4/2.02 Mariners +1½ -198
4/3.39 Phillies -118
4/3.88 WHITE SOX u9 -103
4/3.88 WHITE SOX -103
4/5.40 JAYS +135

WEDNESDAY

• 4/4.96 Rockies +124
• 4/2.96 Brewers -135
• 5/3.21 Diamondbacks -156
• 4/4.20 Diamondbacks u8½ +105
• 4/7.36 Pirates +184
• 5/4.17 Twins -120
• 4/3.33 Guardians u10½ -120
• 4/3.48 ASTROS u8½ -115
• 4/2.50 RAYS -160
• 4/3.88 BLUE JAYS o10 -103
• 4/3.96 PHILLIES u9 -101
• 4/2.78 YANKEES -144
• 4/5.80 Red Sox +145
• 4/3.48 Red Sox +1½ -115
• 4/3.67 RED SOX u9½ -109
• 4/3.48 White Sox u9 -115

66/63.2 -104​

​

 

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JULY [186-181 -21.13u]
-LAST [6-10 -15.95u]

WEDNESDAY
4/4.96 Rockies +124
4/2.96 Brewers -135
5/3.21 Diamondbacks -156
4/4.20 Diamondbacks u8½ +105
4/7.36 Pirates +184
5/4.17 Twins -120
4/3.33 Guardians u10½ -120
4/3.48 ASTROS u8½ -115
4/2.50 RAYS -160
4/3.88 BLUE JAYS o10 -103
4/3.96 PHILLIES u9 -101
4/2.78 YANKEES -144
4/5.80 Red Sox +145
4/3.48 Red Sox +1½ -115
4/3.67 RED SOX u9½ -109
4/3.48 White Sox u9 -115

THURSDAY

• 4/4.00 Mets -1½ +100
• 4/3.74 METS u9 -107
• 4/3.77 CUBS o9 -106
• 4/5.32 G1-Tigers +133
• 4/3.64 White Sox -110
• 4/7.00 White Sox -1½ +175

24/27.5 +115

 

[mrpickem]

--- MLB ---
JULY [188-185 -29.62u]
-LAST [2-4 -8.49u]

THURSDAY
4/4.00 Mets -1½ +100
4/3.74 METS u9 -107
4/3.77 CUBS o9 -106
4/5.32 G1-Tigers +133
4/3.64 White Sox -110
4/7.00 White Sox -1½ +175

FRIDAY

• 4/2.61 PHILLIES -153
• 4/3.88 PHILLIES o8½ -103
• 5/2.70 METS -185
• 4/4.40 Mets -1½ +110
• 4/3.88 Mets u8½ -103
• 4/6.40 BREWERS +160
• 4/3.67 BREWERS o10 -109
• 4/8.12 REDS +203
• 4/3.48 REDS o9½ -115
• 4/3.31 YANKEES -121
• 5/4.46 YANKEES o8½ -112
• 4/4.20 ASTROS +105
• 5/3.18 Twins -157
• 4/5.24 TIGERS +131
• 4/3.67 TIGERS o7½ -109
• 5/7.75 Rangers +155
• 5/3.57 GIANTS -140

72/75.35 +105

 

[mrpickem]

adds

• 5/3.45 Cardinals -145
• 4/4.00 Cubs o9½ +100
• 5/6.10 WHITE SOX +122

86/88.8 +103 (updated)​

​

​

​