Hulu's NFL 2017 Ranting and Raving

Results after Week 12

NFL Sides 36-30-2 +10.41*
NFL Totals 13-25-1 -14.29*
NFL 2H 11-12 +1.068*
NFL Live 0-2 -0.60*
Parlay/Teaser 8-18 -11.548*

NFL Overall 68-87-3 -14.96*

So after going 1-7 in week 11 I stopped posting and refocused on capping this league. Low and behold I managed to go 5-1 in week 12 but, of course, unposted so not counted here.
I really want to get above the break-even point by the stuporbowl so I'm going a bit bigger and working extra hard. The comeback starts here.
 
1.5 / .5* Carolina +3 / ML -115 / +138
1 / 1* Philadelphia +2.5 / ML -113 / +102
1.5* Parlay Cincinnati ML / LA Chargers ML -113

Have one or two more I'll add before kickoff
 
Results after Week 14

NFL Sides 38-30-2 +14.62*
NFL Totals 14-26-1 -14.39*
NFL 2H 12-12 +2.07*
NFL Live 0-2 -0.60*
Parlay/Teaser 8-21 -14.69*

NFL Overall 72-91-3 -12.99*

4-4 and picked up 2 units. Need to keep grinding. Getting started on week 15.
 
1.5* Kansas City pk -103
1.5* Houston +10.5 +105
.75/.25* Green Bay +3 / ML -117 / +128
- will add if the number comes back to a flat 3
1.5* San Francisco -1.5 -107

Still looking into...
Rams if it gets near +3
Bucs if Monday chasers push it near 7
BAL / CLE over 40
 
Fwiw regarding tonight's game, saw this little gem earlier.

Teams that play on Thursday after playing in an OT game the prior Sunday are 8-22 su and 6-24 ats.

Good luck tonight, gentlemen...

:cheers3:
 
Thanks gents...here's to stringing winning weeks together :cheers3:

As promised, adding some more on the Packers once I was able to get a 3 with decent vig. Total pack bet is now as follows...

1.25/.25* Green Bay +3 / ML -113 / +128
 
0.5* BAL / CLE over 40.5 -110

I like this play for a couple of reasons but I have been a joke picking totals this year so keeping it to a half unit. Balty's defense is good but overrated after lucking into 5 backup qb's in a row. On the other side of the ball, Flacco has looked better over the past few games than he did to start the season. Cleveland has shown they can move the ball and score with Gordon in the lineup. I would've made this number 44.
 
Feel like I'm going back to the well a bit too much as this is the third week in a row I've played the JAX 1Q under but it looks so tempting again against an offensively challenged Houston team. Combined this season these teams are 18-8 under that number in the 1Q. That includes the last 6 games straight for both teams. Bortles rarely starts hot and Jax prefers to ground and pound you down early it seems.

0.75* HOU / JAX 1Q under 7.5 -145
 
0.5* MIA / BUF 2H over 20.5 +110

eta...added another quarter unit at +111
 
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Results after Week 15

NFL Sides 41-32-2 +15.46*
NFL Totals 15-27-1 -14.19*
NFL 2H 14-13 +2.57*
NFL Live 0-2 -0.60*
Parlay/Teaser 9-21 -13.96*

NFL Overall 79-95-3 -10.72*

7-4 and picked up a couple of units. Still digging but quickly running out of weeks to do it. I don't even really feel good about the profit I made this week because it was all lucky bounces and fuckery. Could just as easily have been a losing week. The NFL just seems so hard to cap these days with 50yd+ PI penalties and personal fouls doled out like candy. The randomness of the game just seems to have increased so much in the past few seasons, I'm starting to wonder if there's a point trying to get an edge at all anymore.

Kind of like Tampa plus the points tonight but not sure I'll bet it.
 
Week 16 is here...here's what I'm down on so far.

1* LAR / TEN under 48.5 -112

Looking at a few other things this week but its probably the worst card of the season from my perspective.
 
1* Tennessee +7 -116 - will add more if this becomes a flat 7
0.5* Parlay Tennessee +7 / under 48 +241

1* New Orleans -5.5 -107
 
1* Dallas -4.5 -104

Late to the party with this one as there were 3s to be had early in the week. I may add though depending on results in the early games if the number is still there.
 
.75*/.25* Denver +3.5 / ML -113 / +160


Adding more on New Orleans to make it a 1.5 unit play.
1.5* New Orleans -5.5 -107


That should be it for Sunday other than still looking to add a half unit on Tennessee if I can get a flat 7. Like a couple of things on Monday but going to wait those lines out.
 
Results after Regular Season

NFL Sides 43-34-2 +15.82*
NFL Totals 15-28-1 -15.31*
NFL 2H 14-13 +2.57*
NFL Live 0-2 -0.60*
Parlay/Teaser 9-22 -13.96*

NFL Overall 81-99-3 -11.48*

Horrible regular season but it is what it is. Would've been ok if I had just stuck to sides and second halfs but I am really surprised how bad I did on totals and teasers. Worst year in a long time for both. Anyway, at the risk of embarrassing myself further, let's see if I can recoup some in the playoffs.

1* Kansas City -8 -105
2* TEN / KC under 44.5 -105
2* / .5* Atlanta +6 / ML -105/+227
1* Teaser KC -2 / JAX -2.5 -120
1* BUF / JAX 1Q under 7.5 -160
 
Results after Wild Card Round

NFL Sides 45-36-2 +17.65*
NFL Totals 18-28-1 -11.31*
NFL 2H 14-13 +2.57*
NFL Live 0-2 -0.60*
Parlay/Teaser 9-23 -15.16*

NFL Overall 86-102-3 -6.85*

Good week...mendoza line still within reach. Starting work on this weekend's games.
 
Not a lot I like this weekend. Maybe 3 bets I see with any value.

2* / .5* Philadelphia +3 / ML -116 / +141
2* Minnesota -5 -105
 
Thanks gents. smh, I lean under in Minny too. I made that number 44. Not sure if I'll bet it yet but its on my radar.

Getting these down also...

1* Tennessee 1H +7 +105
1* JAX / PIT 1Q u7.5 -128
 
1-1 yesterday with some profit. Need to push hard to get back to break-even. Here's Sunday's complete card...

2* Minnesota -5 -105
1* JAX / PIT 1Q u7.5 -128
1* Pittsburgh -6.5 -113
1* NO / MIN under 47 -112
1* Parlay PIT / MIN ML -110
 
Another bloodbath last week. Really only got Philly right.

3* New England -7 -115
1* JAX / NE under 46.5 -105
3*/.5* Philadelphia +3 / ML -110 / +138
 
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