Would like to hear your thoughts bout saints if you have a minute.
Its probably my weakest play of the group but I still like it. Its more a fade of Detroit than anything. A lot of people are very high on them and I was too, thinking they had really stepped it up to another level this season but their poor performance vs the Panthers last week made me take another look. None of thei games are all that impressive.
-They barely beat Zona who we now know are terrible.
-They beat up on Eli and the Giants with receiver issues
-They lost at home to Atlanta when Ryan threw 3 picks incl a pick-6
-Barely beat a Case Keenum lead vikings team
-Lost at home to a mediocre Cam and the Panthers.
I don't see an impressive outing there anywhere. Their defence is mediocre and now Stafford is beat up with a couple sore spots. Statistically, they aren't any more impressive.
Now you could say the Saints aren't that impressive either with 2 wins over Cam who couldn't hit the side of a barn and over the Dolphins in the mother of all bad travel situations and that's why I kept it to one unit. But I think the Saints can win this one by 6 or more.
Also, points on a side are worth less, the higher the total is. So I likely wouldn't have taken a -4.5 if this total was 42 but at 50/51, its not as big a deal.
Just my thoughts but I lose around 45% of the time.