BetCrimes1984
CTG Big Brother
I've been looking into this one, and I'm failing to see how the pointers arent for the Wings...
- OK, Nashville has a great home record. But the fact is during their present slump (W/L 4-7 last 11, which follows their having gone 10-1 -> that sole loss being to Detroit) they're only 4-3 @home. While one might point to the fact that 2 of those wins were blankings of 2 very/good opponents (Ducks & Sharks), the fact is they caught those teams during slumps of their own (Ducks going 5-11, Sharks 3-7) and where slump met slump, home advantage clinched matters.
- Of these teams 3 meetings this season, the home team has won everytime. In Detroit, 3-0 & 5-3 to the Wings, in Nashville 6-2 to the Preds. Detroit entered their 2 home fixtures with 4 wins in their previous 4 games, and entered their road fixture with 4 losses in their previous 4 games. They enter this game tonight with 3 wins in their last 4 games (their only loss I'm tempted to say simply because they had this fixture up next - I def. think the Oils got a look ahead performance from the moment the Wings went up 2-0 last night).
- While Detroit's road form isnt as impressive as Nashville's home form, since that loss in Nashville they have won 2 of their 3 statistically toughest road fixtures, at Dallas & New Jersey - losing only in Anaheim (Detroit there playing B2B road games off 2 road losses - their scheduling & form headed into this game, while a B2B situation, is still far less "brutal").
- Recent Special teams performances
Nashville at home during their present 4-7 overall slump
PP - 17.0%
PK - 17.1% .... -0.1%
Detroit on the road during their present 9-3 overall streak
PP - 24.1% .... +10.4%
PK - 13.7%
Losing in the shootout, and badly (1st time they havent registered a goal on 3 shots this season), last night to the Oils which denied them the point that would have guaranteed that even after a loss here tonight they would have still been tied on points with the Preds (at 86), I think works even further for those who like the Wings. Theres no consolation of *we're still tied on points and games played at worst* after losing this one, now. Sure Nashville might find their game to end their slump here, but frankly their recent form is not impressive. Their wins over the Sharks and Ducks are simply not what they seem, and other than that its home wins over the lucky to be playoff bound Leafs & non-playoff bound Coyotes. I make this game closer than the odds present, so I'm taking the Wings at +130 (incl. OT)
- OK, Nashville has a great home record. But the fact is during their present slump (W/L 4-7 last 11, which follows their having gone 10-1 -> that sole loss being to Detroit) they're only 4-3 @home. While one might point to the fact that 2 of those wins were blankings of 2 very/good opponents (Ducks & Sharks), the fact is they caught those teams during slumps of their own (Ducks going 5-11, Sharks 3-7) and where slump met slump, home advantage clinched matters.
- Of these teams 3 meetings this season, the home team has won everytime. In Detroit, 3-0 & 5-3 to the Wings, in Nashville 6-2 to the Preds. Detroit entered their 2 home fixtures with 4 wins in their previous 4 games, and entered their road fixture with 4 losses in their previous 4 games. They enter this game tonight with 3 wins in their last 4 games (their only loss I'm tempted to say simply because they had this fixture up next - I def. think the Oils got a look ahead performance from the moment the Wings went up 2-0 last night).
- While Detroit's road form isnt as impressive as Nashville's home form, since that loss in Nashville they have won 2 of their 3 statistically toughest road fixtures, at Dallas & New Jersey - losing only in Anaheim (Detroit there playing B2B road games off 2 road losses - their scheduling & form headed into this game, while a B2B situation, is still far less "brutal").
- Recent Special teams performances
Nashville at home during their present 4-7 overall slump
PP - 17.0%
PK - 17.1% .... -0.1%
Detroit on the road during their present 9-3 overall streak
PP - 24.1% .... +10.4%
PK - 13.7%
Losing in the shootout, and badly (1st time they havent registered a goal on 3 shots this season), last night to the Oils which denied them the point that would have guaranteed that even after a loss here tonight they would have still been tied on points with the Preds (at 86), I think works even further for those who like the Wings. Theres no consolation of *we're still tied on points and games played at worst* after losing this one, now. Sure Nashville might find their game to end their slump here, but frankly their recent form is not impressive. Their wins over the Sharks and Ducks are simply not what they seem, and other than that its home wins over the lucky to be playoff bound Leafs & non-playoff bound Coyotes. I make this game closer than the odds present, so I'm taking the Wings at +130 (incl. OT)
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