HonestD 2018 MLB System Thread

[HonestD]

Not a good night last night going 1-5 for -498. Had a feeling it was going to be a close night between winning big, breaking even, or losing big. Unfortunately the latter innings got us in all three games.

Updated System Record: 22-17 (+585)
Favorites System: 9-4 (+239)
Dogs System: 13-10 (+704) *Streaky system. Will win 3-4 in a row and then lose 3-4 in a row and we profit the cheese. Dogs currently 10-13 for (+298) since All-star week.
D2F System: 0-3 (-358)

 

[HonestD]

August 23, 2018




Reds ML +180 and RL +102 *Dogs System Play

 

[HonestD]

August 24, 2018

Astros -200 *favorites system

 

[HonestD]

Updated System Record: 23-19 (+4.85u)

Slow week. Not a lot of picks and most of them were dogs. There is a discrepancy between the posting record and record for the dogs system because the RL games aren't factored into the weekly system records.

 

[HonestD]

August 26, 2018


Mariners +156 and RL -138 *Dogs System
Padres +195 and RL -109 * Dogs System

 

[HonestD]

Two more dog losses.

For those seasoned baseball experts out there. Do you think at this point in the season, the dogs will regress? All comments welcome and appreciated!

 

[peelpub94]

Don’t feel strongly about it either way

 

[Ryno14]

Two more dog losses.

For those seasoned baseball experts out there. Do you think at this point in the season, the dogs will regress? All comments welcome and appreciated!

It depends on the team really. You can see some teams that are out of it still play hard every day, as opposed to some who just throw in the towel.

 

[HonestD]

That makes sense.

Thanks fellas

 

[HonestD]

August 27, 2018



Astros -198 *Favorites System Play

 

[HonestD]

Angels +127 and RL -128 *Dogs System

 

[HonestD]

Updated System Performance since August 3rd: 26-23 ($366)

After a stretch of dog system games going 1-9 on the ML and RL combined, still up money since posting almost a month ago. :whoohoo2:

 

[HonestD]

August 28, 2018


Cards -163 *Favorites System

 

[HonestD]

August 29, 2018




Pirates +137 and RL -165 *Dogs System

 

[HonestD]

Updated System Performance since August 3rd: 29-23 (+$703)
Favorites System: 12-4 (+$539)
Dogs System: 17-16 (+$522)
D2F System: 0-3 (-$358)





Finding our way again winning our last 6 in a row.

 

[mrpickem]

Nice run dawg, keep it up :shake:

 

[HonestD]

Nice run dawg, keep it up :shake:

Thanks Mr P. You as well.

 

[HonestD]

Playing Purdue tonight for CFF

 

[HonestD]

August 30, 2018



Rockies -154 *Favorites System

 

[HonestD]

Red Sox
Pirates ML and RL
Reds ML and RL.


Will update later.

 

[HonestD]

September 1, 2018

Was out of the house, and was not able to post in detail as normal. This is just an update on the pricing of the plays listed above.


Red Sox -209 *Favorites System
Pirates +111 and +1.5 (-189) *Dogs System
Reds +110 and +1.5 (-186)

 

[HonestD]

Almost a huge night to end the week but the Pirates couldn't hold on though, unfortunately. We did, however, end up with a small profit after being down a ton to start the week which was a morale victory.

 

[HonestD]

September 2, 2018



Reds +143 and +1.5 (-150) *Dogs System

 

[HonestD]

Updated System Performance since August 3rd: 34-26 (+$813)



Pretty minimal gains this month, but still a profit. :haveaniceday:

The Dogs System since the ASG is 14-16 on the ML for $512 and 17-13 on the RL for about even money. The dogs on the RL started the season 36-11 in the first 47 games but have slowed down dramatically since then. Obviously it was over performance to some extent, but they haven't given that profit back, just haven't made much since then.
None the less,. it will be interesting to see if the early season explosion and late season lag trend continues in the seasons going forth for the doggos. :idk:



Throughout the course of the entire season, do bettors care more about where they end up at the end, or do they micromanage when the wins and losses occur. For example, if you make a lot of money in the first half of the season, but go two to three months towards the end and break even in the second half, are you still satisfied as if you had a steady uphill grind to the same amount? It's all perception, just interested in knowing how others approach the mindset of it all. Opinions and thoughts appreciated.

 

[HonestD]

September 4, 2018



Pirates -158 *Favorites System

 

[HonestD]

Pirates got me a little scared. Not gonna lie :shitstorm:

 

[mrpickem]

get em D
:shake:

 

[T-Rex]

get em D
:shake:

Damn, I went Reds

 

[T-Rex]

Also saw odds much lower

 

[HonestD]

Damn, I went Reds

If there was one thus far where I say it might be a good idea to fade the favorites, it would be this game. GL

 

[T-Rex]

If there was one thus far where I say it might be a good idea to fade the favorites, it would be this game. GL

You too man.... at least one of us wins! Haha

 

[HonestD]

Thank god it was the Reds. :blowkiss:

 

[HonestD]

Also saw odds much lower

Yeah there was a 19 dollar steam move against the Pirates about 4 minutes after I posted. Made me a little worried.

 

[HonestD]

September 5, 2018: 35-26 (+$913)



Phillies -176 *Favorites System

 

[HonestD]

September 7, 2018



Was playing some BJ last night and missed posting a game so the sheet will be a little different.


Pirates -205 *Favorites System (-210ish is the highest we go, and I know, it's the Pirates)
Tigers +132 and +1.5 (-127) * Dogs System

 

[HonestD]

Brewers -188 *Favorites Play

 

[HonestD]

Nice sweep for today going 4-0 for +$432 :moneytoss:


Overall System Performance Since August 3, 2018: 39-27 (+$1169)

 

[STEED]

Woohoo!

 

[HonestD]

September 8, 2018


Dbacks -130 *Favorites System

 

[HonestD]

September 9, 2018



Indians -176