HHM - NASCAR (2025)

Added these:

1 unit:
Hocevar -105 over Cindric (ESPN)

0.5 unit:
Buescher -130 over Gibbs (BetUS)
Bubba +110 over Gibbs (BetUS)
Gragson +125 over Preece (BetUS)
 
Last edited:
Here is what I have so far for today's Cup race:

3 units:
Buescher Top 10 +140 & +150 (Bet365 & BetUS)

2 units:
Chastain Top 10 -120 (Bet365 & BetUS)

1 unit:
McDowell +260 to win Group F over Austin Dillon, Haley, and Herbst (Bet365)
Hocevar -105 over Cindric (ESPN)

0.5 unit:
Buescher -130 over Gibbs (BetUS)
Bubba +110 over Gibbs (BetUS)
Gragson +125 over Preece (BetUS)
Chastain -125 over Briscoe (Bovada)

0.25 unit:
Hocevar +350 to win Group D over Bubba, Bowman, and Cindric (Bet365)
 
All of these matchup lines have moved so much, that I will not be able to add to them.

Added:
McDowell -125 over Bowman (ESPN)
 
It looks like McDowell to the rear. One of these days someone who I bet against will go to the rear.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1898792421363999103

I wonder if McDowell will go with the reds. They like to take chances and if there are no cautions in Stage 1 he would likely be lapped. I would not like him using one of his two sets of reds at the beginning of the race and only having one set for the rest, but at least he would be on a different strategy.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1898794332527931855
 
Placed these early bets for the Cup race in Vegas on Sunday:

2 units:
Chastain Top 10 +100 (ESPN)
Bowman Top 10 +100 (DK)

0.5 unit:
Suarez to win Group D +400 over Buescher, Briscoe, Cindric (Bovada)
 
Added these:

1.5 unit:
Buescher -105 over Cindric ( DK)

1 unit:
Chastain -105 over Logano (DK)
Bowman Top 10 -145 (Bovada)

0.5 unit:
Allmendinger to win Group E +550 over Berry, Hocevar, ADillon (Bovada)
 
Added these:

2 units:
Suarez +100 over Gibbs (BetUS & BAS)
JHN -115 over Gilliland (BetUS & BAS)

1 unit:
Chastain -115 over Logano (DK)
 
All of my bets in one place:

3 units:
Bowman Top 10 +100 & -145 (DK & Bovada)

2 units:
Chastain Top 10 +100 (ESPN)
Chastain -105 & -115 over Logano (DK)
Suarez +100 over Gibbs (BetUS & BAS)
JHN -115 over Gilliland (BetUS & BAS)

1.5 unit:
Buescher -105 over Cindric ( DK)

0.5 unit:
Suarez to win Group D +400 over Buescher, Briscoe, Cindric (Bovada)
Allmendinger to win Group E +550 over Berry, Hocevar, ADillon (Bovada)
 
He Hate Me said:
All of my bets in one place:

3 units:
Bowman Top 10 +100 & -145 (DK & Bovada)

2 units:
Chastain Top 10 +100 (ESPN)
Chastain -105 & -115 over Logano (DK)
Suarez +100 over Gibbs (BetUS & BAS)
JHN -115 over Gilliland (BetUS & BAS)

1.5 unit:
Buescher -105 over Cindric ( DK)

0.5 unit:
Suarez to win Group D +400 over Buescher, Briscoe, Cindric (Bovada)
Allmendinger to win Group E +550 over Berry, Hocevar, ADillon (Bovada)
Click to expand...
+10.85 units

2025 NASCAR:

Xfinity +0.87 units
Cup + 23.08 units
Total +23.95units
 
Adding these early bets for the Cup race in Homestead on Sunday.

Really like Berry, Allmendinger, Preece, and Suarez this week. This is a good track for all four of these drivers and they all were in the Top 10 last week at a similar tire wear track.

Preece does not qualify well and Allmendinger and Suarez are usually mid-pack qualifiers so I did not bet as much on those 3 for now.

1.5 unit:
Berry Top 10 +180 (Bet365)
Allmendinger Top 10 + 260 & +250 (BetUS & DK)

1 unit:
Berry -140 over Gibbs (Bet365)
Allmendinger +115 over Hocevar (DK)

0.5 unit:
Suarez Top 10 +300 (ESPN)
Preece Top 10 +275 (ESPN)
Berry to win Group G +280 over Bowman, Briscoe, and Busch (Bovada)
 
Last edited:
CPA-hole said:
Really surprised at Berry's speed this year.
Click to expand...
I am shocked, but it is now obvious that he is gonna be good at short tracks and tire wear tracks this year.
I have interest in the Wood Brothers since I am from the same hometown as Jeff and Ward Burton and knew Jeff when I was younger.
Jeff's son Harrison drove for Wood Bros and when they did not resign him I understood why but I thought that Berry was the opposite of what they needed because I thought their best shot at winning was at a superspeedway, like Harrison winning at Daytona.
I have always heard that they were getting Penske quality equipment and Penske info and I guess that is true based on Berry so far this year.
I was totally wrong in my thinking and am changing while there is still some value there.
 
Added these:

0.5 unit:

Bubba -110 over Briscoe (BetUS)
Berry -120 over Cindric (BetUS)
Berry -140 over Gibbs (BetUS) (I now have 1.5 units on this)
Suarez -105 over Gibbs (BetUS)
Allmendinger +125 over Hocevar (BetUS)
Allmendinger -130 over Gragson (BetUS)
 
I probably should have waited on the Allmendinger over Hocevar matchup because Hocevar will qualify better than Allmendinger but I cannot resist the +money.
I may look at add some more Berry Group bets before qualifying.
 
He Hate Me said:
I am shocked, but it is now obvious that he is gonna be good at short tracks and tire wear tracks this year.
I have interest in the Wood Brothers since I am from the same hometown as Jeff and Ward Burton and knew Jeff when I was younger.
Jeff's son Harrison drove for Wood Bros and when they did not resign him I understood why but I thought that Berry was the opposite of what they needed because I thought their best shot at winning was at a superspeedway, like Harrison winning at Daytona.
I have always heard that they were getting Penske quality equipment and Penske info and I guess that is true based on Berry so far this year.
I was totally wrong in my thinking and am changing while there is still some value there.
Click to expand...


Agreed. I just figured as an organization, it didn't matter who was in the car. Time had passed them. Burton was a fluke win on a SS. Enter Berry and maybe a flukey top 5 on short track was their ceiling.

Dead wrong. Definitely seems like the alliance with Penske is helping. But I'm definitely changing the way I see them. Especially at non road course tracks.

Still can't believe he won a Cup race before Ty Gibbs. And the way Gibbs is going, he may never win.
 
Everything so far:

2 unit:
Allmendinger Top 10 + 260 & +250 (BetUS & DK)

1.5 unit:
Berry Top 10 +180 (Bet365)
Berry -140 over Gibbs (Bet365 & BetUS)
Allmendinger +115 & +125 over Hocevar (DK & BetUS)

0.5 unit:
Bubba -110 over Briscoe (BetUS)
Berry -120 over Cindric (BetUS)
Suarez -105 over Gibbs (BetUS)
Allmendinger -130 over Gragson (BetUS)
Suarez Top 10 +300 (ESPN)
Preece Top 10 +275 (ESPN)
Berry to win Group G +280 over Bowman, Briscoe, and Busch (Bovada)
 
CPA-hole said:
Agreed. I just figured as an organization, it didn't matter who was in the car. Time had passed them. Burton was a fluke win on a SS. Enter Berry and maybe a flukey top 5 on short track was their ceiling.

Dead wrong. Definitely seems like the alliance with Penske is helping. But I'm definitely changing the way I see them. Especially at non road course tracks.

Still can't believe he won a Cup race before Ty Gibbs. And the way Gibbs is going, he may never win.
Click to expand...
Yes, Gibbs is fade material right now. Something is wrong. They unload as a 30th quality car each week. I would assume they make a crew chief change or other change soon.
 
Berry was not great in practice but with a decent long run car. He is normally not great in practice anyway. He qualified well, so he has a good shot at a Top 10 .

Suarez had a decent long run practice but qualified poorly. So did Chastain, it may be a TrackHouse issue. I doubt I will add to my Suarez bets.

Allmendinger had a weird practice. He went out for about 5 laps and came back in, I assume to change something. He went back out on those 5 lap, cooled tires, so his lap times do not compare well. He qualified well, this is a good track for him. I will add to my bets on him if possible.

Preece looked bad in practice and qualified near the back. I will not add to my bets on him.

Keselowski was mid-pack in practice and better on the long run and qualified behind Preece. I may fade him.

Busch was out to lunch in practice and qualified mid-pack. Another fade candidate.

Gibbs had a good long run car in practice and qualified 13th. This is the best they have looked after practice and qualifing all year. It will be hard to add to my bets against him.

Bubba was great in practice and qualified 9th. I will try to look to and add to my bets on him.

Briscoe was good on the short run in practice and qualified well. He was better than I thought he would be.

Bowman is on the pole but over-qualified and his car was just average in practice.
 
Still waiting on BM to release their matchups

Added these:

1 unit:
Bubba -135 over Busch (Bet365)

0.5 unit:
Bubba and Allmendinger both to finish Top 10 +580 (ESPN)
 
Still waiting for BAS. I added these:

1 unit:
Reddick -145 over Bell (BM) Bell was not happy with his car on the long run after practice.
Reddick +105 over Byron (CZRS)
Bubba -120 over Hocevar (CZRS)
Bubba -135 over Busch (Bet365) I now have 2 units on this.
 
Finally, all of my books have released their lines. Added:

2 units:
Bubba -130 over Keselowski (BAS)
Allmendinger -120 over Preece (BetUS & BAS)
Allmendinger +115 over Gragson (BetUS & BAS)

1 unit:
Reddick -140 over Bell (BAS) I now have 2 units on this.
Reddick +152 over Larson (BetUS) this is just too high to ignore.
Hamlin -140 over Logano (BAS)
Bubba -130 over Buescher (BAS)
 
Last edited:
Everything so far. This will probably be it unless the BM lines move a lot.

2.5 unit:
Allmendinger +115 (2 unit) & -130 (0.5 unit) over Gragson (BetUS & BAS)

2 unit:
Allmendinger Top 10 + 260 & +250 (BetUS & DK)
Bubba -135 over Busch (Bet365)
Bubba -130 over Keselowski (BAS)
Allmendinger -120 over Preece (BetUS & BAS)
Reddick -140 & -145 over Bell (BAS & BM)
Hamlin -135 & -140 over Logano (BetUS & BAS)

1.5 unit:
Berry Top 10 +180 (Bet365)
Berry -140 over Gibbs (Bet365 & BetUS)
Allmendinger +115 & +125 over Hocevar (DK & BetUS)

1 unit:
Reddick +105 over Byron (CZRS)
Reddick +152 over Larson (BetUS)
Bubba -120 over Hocevar (CZRS)
Bubba -130 over Buescher (BAS)

0.5 unit:
Bubba -110 over Briscoe (BetUS)
Berry -120 over Cindric (BetUS)
Suarez -105 over Gibbs (BetUS)
Suarez Top 10 +300 (ESPN)
Preece Top 10 +275 (ESPN)
Berry to win Group G +280 over Bowman, Briscoe, and Busch (Bovada)
Bubba and Allmendinger both to finish Top 10 +580 (ESPN)

8.5 units on Allmendinger
7 units on Bubba
4 units on Reddick
4 units on Berry
 
Last edited:
I did add this and added it to the post above.

1 unit:
Hamlin -135 over Logano (BetUS) I now have 2 units on this.
 
He Hate Me said:
Everything so far. This will probably be it unless the BM lines move a lot.

2.5 unit:
Allmendinger +115 (2 unit) & -130 (0.5 unit) over Gragson (BetUS & BAS)

2 unit:
Allmendinger Top 10 + 260 & +250 (BetUS & DK)
Bubba -135 over Busch (Bet365)
Bubba -130 over Keselowski (BAS)
Allmendinger -120 over Preece (BetUS & BAS)
Reddick -140 & -145 over Bell (BAS & BM)
Hamlin -135 & -140 over Logano (BetUS & BAS)

1.5 unit:
Berry Top 10 +180 (Bet365)
Berry -140 over Gibbs (Bet365 & BetUS)
Allmendinger +115 & +125 over Hocevar (DK & BetUS)

1 unit:
Reddick +105 over Byron (CZRS)
Reddick +152 over Larson (BetUS)
Bubba -120 over Hocevar (CZRS)
Bubba -130 over Buescher (BAS)

0.5 unit:
Bubba -110 over Briscoe (BetUS)
Berry -120 over Cindric (BetUS)
Suarez -105 over Gibbs (BetUS)
Suarez Top 10 +300 (ESPN)
Preece Top 10 +275 (ESPN)
Berry to win Group G +280 over Bowman, Briscoe, and Busch (Bovada)
Bubba and Allmendinger both to finish Top 10 +580 (ESPN)

8.5 units on Allmendinger
7 units on Bubba
4 units on Reddick
4 units on Berry
Click to expand...
+25.88 units, good day

2025 NASCAR:

Xfinity -0.13 units
Cup + 48.96 units
Total +48.83 units
 
Played these early bets for the Cup race in Martinsville on Sunday:

1 unit:
Briscoe Top 10 -160 (Bet365)
Chastain -125 over Busch (DK)
Berry -135 over Keselowski (ESPN)

0.5 unit:
Chastain to win Group D +250 over Reddick, Busch, Keselowski (Bovada)
 
I added these and may add more when the DK Top 10s come out.
All 3 of these drivers should qualify well so I doubt their odds get better.

0.5 unit:
Briscoe Top 10 -160 (BetUS)
Preece Top 10 +130 (BetUS)
Berry Top 10 +150 (BetUS)
 
Added these for the Cup race in Martinsville on Sunday:

0.5 unit:
Chastain -115 over Busch (BetUS) I now have 1.5 units on this.
Berry -135 over Reddick (BetUS)
Bowman -125 over Reddick (BetUS)
Bubba -135 over Reddick (BetUS)
Preece -130 over Keselowski (BetUS)
 
Added this for the Xfinity race this afternoon:

0.5 unit:
Harrison Burton Top 10 +225 (BetUS)

I may add more for the Xfinity race.
 
Added these for the Cup race:

1 unit:
Briscoe Top 10 -125 (Bovada) I now have 3 units on this.

0.5 unit:
Briscoe -115 over Bowman (Bovada)
 
Added:

0.5 unit:
Berry -115 over Reddick (BetUS)
Preece -120 over Keselowski (BetUS)
Bubba -135 over Reddick (BetUS)
 
Last edited:
Added:

1 unit:
Preece -125 over Gibbs (BetUS)
Preece Top 10 +150 (ESPN)
Buescher +105 over Keselowski (BetUS)
 
Last edited:
All of my bets so far:

3 unit:
Briscoe Top 10 -160, -150, & -125 (-147) (Bet365, BetUS, & ESPN)

1.5 unit:
Preece Top 10 +150 & +130 (+143) (ESPN & BetUS)
Chastain -115 & -125 over Busch (-121) (DK & BetUS)

1 unit:
Berry -135 over Keselowski (ESPN)
Preece -125 over Gibbs (BetUS)
Berry -115 & -135 (-125) over Reddick (BetUS)
Bubba -135 over Reddick (BetUS)
Buescher +105 over Keselowski (BetUS)
Preece -120 & -130 (-125) over Keselowski (BetUS)

0.5 unit:
Chastain to win Group D +250 over Reddick, Busch, Keselowski (Bovada)
Berry Top 10 +150 (BetUS)
Bowman -125 over Reddick (BetUS)
Briscoe -115 over Bowman (Bovada)
 
Added:

0.5 unit:
Preece Top 10 +140 (Bet365) I now have 2 units on this
Berry to win Group L over Cindric, Busch, Reddick (Bovada)
 
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