Golden rule games....

jimbof20

jimbof20

thunder thighs & hairy muffs specialist
So something I’ve always kept track of, is what I call the golden rule. Basically when a lower/Unranked team is favored over higher ranked team, that’s who you take. I believe is 3-0 so far this year. Will be keeping track from here on out. GL
 
jimbof20 said:
So something I’ve always kept track of, is what I call the golden rule. Basically when a lower/Unranked team is favored over higher ranked team, that’s who you take. I believe is 3-0 so far this year. Will be keeping track from here on out. GL
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Who were the 3 this year so far?
 
I wonder what the hit rate is on G5 teams favored against P5 teams? Just going off memory for this season so far:

Cincinnati vs UCLA
Memphis vs Ole Miss
Hawaii vs Oregon State
UCF vs Stanford

All SU wins and I believe Hawaii is the only ATS loss. But even on that one I think 6.5s were available during the week.
 
I've used this strategy in college hoops for years, particularly in conference play. Haven't tracked it as much in football, but definitely interested
 
spooks said:
Ole Miss -2.5 vs. Cal....remember these are college kids traveling east, playing a 12pm game in humidity.
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They‘re going to arrive early enough to adjust their bodies (one day per time zone). And the humidity on saturday is going to be lower than in will have been in Berkely before they leave
 
VirginiaCavs said:
They‘re going to arrive early enough to adjust their bodies (one day per time zone). And the humidity on saturday is going to be lower than in will have been in Berkely before they leave
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I'm not telling you how to or even that you should weigh the weather as a variable in your handicapping.....but you get that 66 degrees with 60% humidity doesn't feel as warm as 90 degrees with 50% humidity right? Today the RealFeel temp in Oxford is 106 degrees. Saturday it's expected to be 95. It's 74 in Berkeley right now. For what it's worth, the high was 81 degrees when Cal played at North Carolina in 2017.

That's the weather brought to you by cappingthegame.com. Now back to you Stan.
 
Grovehard said:
I'm not telling you how to or even that you should weigh the weather as a variable in your handicapping.....but you get that 66 degrees with 60% humidity doesn't feel as warm as 90 degrees with 50% humidity right? Today the RealFeel temp in Oxford is 106 degrees. Saturday it's expected to be 95. It's 74 in Berkeley right now. For what it's worth, the high was 81 degrees when Cal played at North Carolina in 2017.

That's the weather brought to you by cappingthegame.com. Now back to you Stan.
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Great points
 
Another angle I’ve personally been playing is the ML instead of the lines. Play as you wish, Both are 3-0 ytd

Onto this week

Wisconsin -3.5 (-165)

A&M -3.5 (-165)

Miss -2.5 (-140)

Let’s see what happens. Also love Georgia to roll. Locked in a few days ago at 14
 
Pyppurs said:
Is the record using original 5/10c lines or you buying points?
Kinda confusing mixing the trend and your individual plays buying points?
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Sorry. Not buying any points. Using original lines, also have the money line to the game listed. I did sprinkle in a few random plays (like Ohio State) just so I didn’t have too many threads going. For instance Michigan is -3.5 and the moneyline is -170. The record is the same for both thus far 5-2 each. Personally I’m playing the money line of each
 
Ohio state game went about as expected. We left a few points out there. Shoulda been a lot easier then it was but still not much of a sweat.
As far as the system games. Looks like there will be a couple next week. I’ll be back mid week w plays
 
Okie St gonna be a play. I see 3.5 now and no ML yet at my book. Gonna keep my open all week for best number (hope can find 3) but definitely a play. These are the ones I like the most. An unranked fav vs someone in the teens as opposed to 23/24
 
Personal Plays

Both Large

Ohio St -27
Northwestern TT UNDER 11.5

I have it 42-6 type of game. Will basically be a road home game for Ohio State. Scarlett and Grey will consume most of the stadium. Young and this Buckeye defense will tee off on a terrible NW offense. Terrible QB play for NW. Also throwing in the fact this is on Friday night game and have a lot of eyes focused on it. I said beginning of year and I’ll say it again. One of the things I look for this year is for Ryan Day to run up scores. Meyer always failed to do so and I believe it cost us some style points for the playoffs in the past. Domination tonight
 
You're right about so many pickers being on Ok State this week. I like the situation this week though. Put my reasoning on the ESPN handicappers thread.
 
jimbof20 said:
Personal Plays

Both Large

Ohio St -27
Northwestern TT UNDER 11.5

I have it 42-6 type of game. Will basically be a road home game for Ohio State. Scarlett and Grey will consume most of the stadium. Young and this Buckeye defense will tee off on a terrible NW offense. Terrible QB play for NW. Also throwing in the fact this is on Friday night game and have a lot of eyes focused on it. I said beginning of year and I’ll say it again. One of the things I look for this year is for Ryan Day to run up scores. Meyer always failed to do so and I believe it cost us some style points for the playoffs in the past. Domination tonight
Click to expand...

That went as expected. 2-0 Fri. Onto Sat
 
Ironically 52-3 is the number I had in my head. But guilty of being a homer at times lol. So dialed it back to 42-6 to check myself haha
 
7-3 ytd. Do not see anything this week. Michigan was close but with line movement it’s a no play. I am on Ohio State and LSU large
 
I follow this religiously in cfb and cbb
I considered mich as well but nah
TCU was close enough for me and I wanted the action so I took it
 
7-3 ytd

Looks like 2 this week

Georgia -6 (-225)

Memphis -6 (-225)

Georgia is interesting. Not sure I’ve seen a road team favored in this situation
 
I didn’t even realize gators were ranked higher than Uga, lol. The cocktail party technically neutral site game in Jacksonville isn’t it? To me it the points or nothing there but dunno I’m playing it.

Memphis def tempting. Them or nothing for me no doubt.
 
Ahhh yes. Thanks for catching that. Really was just paying attention to numbers, not names
 
1-0-1. Wow what a shitty way to push. 16 unanswered to end the game. Including going for 2 when a extra point woulda made it a 7 point game. Brings ytd spread to 8-3-1 and money lines 9-3. Onto next week
 
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