Friday swingin' A's swingin' their nuts Discussion
- Thread starter GWarner27
- Start date
BiffTFinancial
Pretty much a regular
leans
Rockies/Tigers FF over [5?]
Angels/game under 8/Rays TT under [4?]
Mets
Marlins/game under 7/Reds TT under [3'?]
Astros
Jays/Astros over 9
Rats/Dbacks over 9
Rockies/Tigers FF over [5?]
Angels/game under 8/Rays TT under [4?]
Mets
Marlins/game under 7/Reds TT under [3'?]
Astros
Jays/Astros over 9
Rats/Dbacks over 9
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
Thinking about at least 1 game over that has not been mentioned. Will talk more about it tomorrow. Some damn favorites. Maybe a dog or too. I am a fan of being transparent but am going to take my time.
Concerning Houston---McHugh likes the night, does not play well at home and likes 5 days rest. He has 1. Houston is 5-12 on Friday their worst day. They have recently been playing very hard and I would like to bet on them. Toronto is 11-2 last 13 games and has failed to cover the RL twice. They are a very serious opponent
GL
Concerning Houston---McHugh likes the night, does not play well at home and likes 5 days rest. He has 1. Houston is 5-12 on Friday their worst day. They have recently been playing very hard and I would like to bet on them. Toronto is 11-2 last 13 games and has failed to cover the RL twice. They are a very serious opponent
GL
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G
Gyno
Guest
Horrible card
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
Sale pitched against the Twins in his last start. The White Sox are 1-2 SU (0-2 SU home) when he goes B2B starts against the same team like that.
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
Anthony Ranaudo making his debut tonight for the Red Sox.
BiffTFinancial
Pretty much a regular
played Rockies/Tigers FF over 5 (-110) --- Morales road starts: 5-2 FF OU; Verlander home starts: 8-2 FF OU
SP change in Miami may keep me off of Reds TT under. in Cosart's 4 July starts, opposition scored 7, 7, 7, 13 (MIA, @CWS, @TX, SEA). bah.
GWarner27
Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
think he has a good ump in Fletcher (no previous appearances with him) and CIN hasn't hit since the all-star break. Latos should be able to overpower the Fish and it's a huge park
Gorgolon Lives
The Reverend of CTG
I'm pulling a Gwarner today ... Studying for MPRE. Busy day, but will try to scan the card
twinkie13
In transit, arriving late.
rayer
Gorgolon Lives
The Reverend of CTG
Quick thoughts:
Looking at Cinncy. Don't see how Cosart should be a favorite here in his first game w/ Fish.
Looking at Cubs and Brewers. Both lines opened too high IMO but the significant value is no longer available.
Overall, not a pretty card
Looking at Cinncy. Don't see how Cosart should be a favorite here in his first game w/ Fish.
Looking at Cubs and Brewers. Both lines opened too high IMO but the significant value is no longer available.
Overall, not a pretty card
Gorgolon Lives
The Reverend of CTG
The KC/OAK total looks like the sucker bet of the day. I assumed a 7 or even a juiced 6.5. But 7.5? Guthrie has struggled mightily and could be in trouble tonight.
GWarner27
Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
smart guy
GWarner27
Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
huge park is good for him
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
Stults and minor just got lit up be each team earlier in the week. Braves played hard against Dodgers. Padres are just a loose no care in the world bunch. Minor looks shot. He needs to pitch well tonight or move to long relief IMO.
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
Some good 5 run fades (under .470) coming up with phillies, astros, padres about to be monetized.
Strong 5 run play on with (over .525) Giants, Tigers, As, Cardinals, Nats stepping to the plate.
You chase these 8 plays as they unfold and you will win 8 units.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet...cTBNa3hXQXdrVlNEMzFvUUZCYkE&usp=sharing#gid=7
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet...TBNa3hXQXdrVlNEMzFvUUZCYkE&usp=sharing#gid=49
Strong 5 run play on with (over .525) Giants, Tigers, As, Cardinals, Nats stepping to the plate.
You chase these 8 plays as they unfold and you will win 8 units.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet...cTBNa3hXQXdrVlNEMzFvUUZCYkE&usp=sharing#gid=7
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet...TBNa3hXQXdrVlNEMzFvUUZCYkE&usp=sharing#gid=49
Gorgolon Lives
The Reverend of CTG
Agree. I hate Minor. Then I looked at Stults' numbers, and I just can't stomach a bet on him.
BiffTFinancial
Pretty much a regular
Thanks for your thoughts. i'm going back and forth on this one. Reds have only scored more than 3 runs once since the all-star break, and that required a 3-run homer from Mesoraco in the 9th. the pitchers who have held them down have generally been better than Cosart. Cosart's problems this season have been walks and relatively low strand rate. well, Fletcher should help with the walks (not to mention that call last night has to have the umps somewhat sympathetic to Fish in general), and Reds are batting just .145 with RISP since break (12-83) and have only one game with more than one hit with RISP. eh, i think that i've managed to talk myself into it.
BiffTFinancial
Pretty much a regular
ultimately went with:
Rockies/Tigers FF over 5 (-110)
Rays TT under 3' (-115)
Reds TT under 3' (-115)
ML parlay: Nats + White Sox (-104)
GWarner27
Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
definitely not considering a Reds bet cuz all four umps will be looking to make calls for the home team, hence the under correlation there too
BiffTFinancial
Pretty much a regular
Agreed. also, i watched a lot of Latos' last start and he didn't look quite right.
Gorgolon Lives
The Reverend of CTG
Took the Brewers +143 ... risking .5u
No respect for Peralta and STL bats do not scare me right now.
No respect for Peralta and STL bats do not scare me right now.
Gorgolon Lives
The Reverend of CTG
Still looking at Cubs later. Also looking at Boston
GWarner27
Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
was much higher yesterday, got a good draw for Wily with Gibson. I'm on the under
CASH
Pretty much a regular
Cespedas just landed in Boston -- will be available tonight---
looking forward to just watching the kids play,, plus some new guys... nothing to lose...and if they beat the Yankees it is even better...
Gorgolon Lives
The Reverend of CTG
Cant argue with that
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
It sucks that so much value is gone from the Cubs ML.
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
Dodgers are 6-8 SU (1-7 SU L8) Haren starts lined < 0 (avg line -130).
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
Im thinking Tampa is bummed about Price and Angels might take advantage. Tigers should be pumped and playing shitty Colorado
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
Marlins are pissed about being hosed last night. Love Cosart.
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
How can you tell if a team is mad or sad. That seems like reaching for something that might not be there.
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
Got started only 5 hours late not sure if I will be of use. Major trend says under in Yankee game, Was thinking about Padres over on the theory that both sides get at least 3 and these teams do not get along. Wainwright's best rest is 4 days this year. 7-3 1.98 ERA. Will be on Washington somehow Will be back if I bet
Gorgolon Lives
The Reverend of CTG
Took Boston -123...to win .5u
Gorgolon Lives
The Reverend of CTG
Agree. Not sure I can play them...Still looking at them.
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
In Haren's 7-inning home start on Jun 30, he held Cleveland to 0 runs and 1 hit. Angel Hernandez was the HPU. I hope that shit doesn't happen tonight. I took the Cubs o3. Aside from that start versus Cleveland, opposing teams have averaged 5.0 ±1.6 runs per game in Haren's home starts this year.
GWarner27
Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
off a 13-inning night game with travel to TB is not what i'd want
Gorgolon Lives
The Reverend of CTG
7pm games about to tip off.
BOL to all
- Gorg
BOL to all
- Gorg
Gorgolon Lives
The Reverend of CTG
Feel free to provide some thoughts on the BOS SP in that game
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