Friday stick a fork in R.A. Dickhead Discussion

[GWarner27]

Think the knuckler is finished...

leans from the BOL open:
WAS +101/u6 -105
ARI +137
COL +136
BAL -112
TOR +115/o7.5 -120
NYY +121/o9 -110
DET +104
CHW -108
LAA +113

on the radar:

 

[Play2win]

Was (Max) +104 0.5u
Tor (Buehrle) +119 0.5u

 

[GWarner27]

updated leans:
WAS +104: Marquez
ARI +136
COL +128
BAL +104
TOR +117: B. Welke
NYY +116/o8.5 -125
DET +112
CHW -104
LAA +108

 

[tuck321]

NY is a problem. Have no real interest in fading Sabathia but Boston first game of series trend only points 1 way.
Will be looking to play on Padres a good team after a home sweep. 0 chance of playing Colorado. Williams is another problem as he is playing after a Philadelphia loss.

 

[BJPLAYER]

all first thoughts

hou can do no wrong...W7
nats on a little roll and have mad max going against studly harvey....lean nats...will be watching sox and this one tonight
may play a small one on lester to pitch like he can....-1
stl under maybe
may fade williams
definitely gonna fade cc but masterson scary....maybe chase over there
interest in desclafani
tillman on a bounce back....did he get pounded last time out?
line move to quintana but gibby tough at home
lobstein has beaten cleve twice already this year....wonder if he can do 3 in a row are

 

[GWarner27]

NY is a problem. Have no real interest in fading Sabathia but Boston first game of series trend only points 1 way.
Will be looking to play on Padres a good team after a home sweep. 0 chance of playing Colorado. Williams is another problem as he is playing after a Philadelphia loss.

i think CC has been unlucky, BOS can crush him but I trust him a ton more than Masterson who I think is getting credit for somehow getting out of trouble in Baltimore last time out...

Ian probably bounces back so I should likely void my COL lean, but I don't like SD and think the Astros series could put them into a swoon

 

[austinhous]

Twins' OPS versus LHP might be what is keeping this line where it's at, but they've been scoring a shitload of runs versus the left-handed starters they've faced.

 

[BiffTFinancial]

played
Nats ML (-105)
Rockies ML (+129)
Dbacks FF ML (+130)

waiting for umps for totals. lean Yanks/Red Sox over 8', Tigers/Royals over 8', CWS/Twins over 8. Gooch, O'Nora, Miller all scheduled to be behind the plate tonight, and would pass with any of them.

 

[tuck321]

Played Cubs ml. Why?
This season Cubs are 6-1 off a loss.
This season Milwaukee is 5-17, 0-4 off a loss, 0-3 on Friday and based on their record minus 300 would be fine.

 

[tuck321]

i think CC has been unlucky, BOS can crush him but I trust him a ton more than Masterson who I think is getting credit for somehow getting out of trouble in Baltimore last time out...

Ian probably bounces back so I should likely void my COL lean, but I don't like SD and think the Astros series could put them into a swoon

Everyone I know in San Diego speaks very highly of you. Oh Well. By the way CC has been unlucky and is on 5 days rest and off a Yankee loss. Simply not willing to go against that 7-0 trend

 

[tuck321]

Take my picks a bit less seriously today as I need a Lot of picks in the Tournament.
Tilman is 3-0 lifetime vs Tampa and 13-3 on 6 days rest with about a low 3 ERA and Baltimore is VERY hungry after the 5 game lose streak.

 

[tuck321]

I am interested in the under in Washington
Harvey with ump 2.7 ERA. His team is in free fall and he is up against a true ace. Expect a major step up.
Mac 3.91 based on 21 innings. Max likes pitching duels and will step up here I would guess. Still thinking

 

[GWarner27]

Twins' OPS versus LHP might be what is keeping this line where it's at, but they've been scoring a shitload of runs versus the left-handed starters they've faced.

i missed the +7 or else i would have jumped at it

 

[tuck321]

Under in Padres and Baltimore swim into view. If someone can post weather I would appreciate it. At the casino I am staying in there is some sever problem screwing up daily baseball data; Also a 0-10-2 under trend for Cardinals.

 

[tuck321]

Oakland RL swims in. Oakland in first game of series is 5-2 with rl always covering and minus 2.5 covering every game. The 2 losses were vs Kuechel and at KC.. Really like this so far. Will bet this now and use Oakland rl and ML for 2 picks in contest.

 

[BiffTFinancial]

Under in Padres and Baltimore swim into view. If someone can post weather I would appreciate it. At the casino I am staying in there is some sever problem screwing up daily baseball data; Also a 0-10-2 under trend for Cardinals.

FYI, Rays/O's game being played in Tampa so no concerns on weather there.

Here is weather for SD:

Wind: NW 9 mph

<tbody>
[TD="bgcolor: #E0E0E0, colspan: 12, align: left"] Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres – 7:10 PM PDT - Petco Park Air Density Index: 67 [/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #f0f0f0, align: center"]Time:[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #f0f0f0, align: center"]4 pm[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #f0f0f0, align: center"]5 pm[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #f0f0f0, align: center"]6 pm[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #f0f0f0, align: center"]7 pm[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #f0f0f0, align: center"]8 pm[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #f0f0f0, align: center"]9 pm[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #f0f0f0, align: center"]10 pm[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #f0f0f0, align: center"]11 pm[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #f0f0f0, align: center"]12 am[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]Temp:[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]76°[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]75°[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]74°[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFCC, align: center"]71°[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFCC, align: center"]69°[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFCC, align: center"]68°[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]67°[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]66°[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]65°[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]Humidity:[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]41%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]42%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]45%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFCC, align: center"]50%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFCC, align: center"]57%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFCC, align: center"]59%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]59%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]63%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]68%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]Feels like:[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]78°[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]78°[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]77°[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFCC, align: center"]77°[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFCC, align: center"]69°[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFCC, align: center"]68°[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]67°[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]66°[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]65°[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]Condition:[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]Clear[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]Clear[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]Clear[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFCC, align: center"]Clear[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFCC, align: center"]Clear[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFCC, align: center"]Clear[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]Clear[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]Clear[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]Clear[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]Precip%:[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]0%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]0%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]0%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFCC, align: center"]0%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFCC, align: center"]0%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFCC, align: center"]0%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]0%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]0%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]Wind:[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]NW 13 mph[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]NW 12 mph[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]NW 11 mph[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFCC, align: center"]NW 9 mph[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFCC, align: center"]NW 7 mph[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFCC, align: center"]NW 6 mph[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]NW 5 mph[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]NW 3 mph[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFFFF, align: center"]NW 3 mph[/TD]

</tbody>

 

[tuck321]

This is odd. Houston is getting money odds of plus 1. Team is 6-2 vs lefty handed pitching and 3-1 at home. Trying to stay away here but either Houston or over have some appeal. Seattle should be desperate for wins. Need to think about this.

 

[tuck321]

Kind of curious. See a lot of people on Anaheim. See some good things. Angels 5-2 last 7. They beat up on Oakland. Good day of week certainly better than SF. That said C J Wilson is 5-15 last 20 on the road and Heston is a young stud that got bounced around in Colorado his first trip after they saw him 11 days earkier in SF. Young stud old fart matchup. Whats the trick. Why do people like Anaheim so much they play a 5-15 on the road pitcher?

 

[nbafan88]

As Biff mentioned above.... for those of you who may not know the Rays/O's series is being played in TAMPA with the orioles as the home team...

it really is too bad because baltimore should be wild tonight....

 

[BiffTFinancial]

played
Nats ML (-105)
Rockies ML (+129)
Dbacks FF ML (+130)

waiting for umps for totals. lean Yanks/Red Sox over 8', Tigers/Royals over 8', CWS/Twins over 8. Gooch, O'Nora, Miller all scheduled to be behind the plate tonight, and would pass with any of them.

Gooch in Boston kills my over lean there, unfortunate since i liked it better than others. pondering Tigers/Royals over (L Barrett), CWS/Twins over (G Gibson), M's/Stros under (Vanover)

 

[GWarner27]

Everyone I know in San Diego speaks very highly of you. Oh Well. By the way CC has been unlucky and is on 5 days rest and off a Yankee loss. Simply not willing to go against that 7-0 trend

Kind of curious. See a lot of people on Anaheim. See some good things. Angels 5-2 last 7. They beat up on Oakland. Good day of week certainly better than SF. That said C J Wilson is 5-15 last 20 on the road and Heston is a young stud that got bounced around in Colorado his first trip after they saw him 11 days earkier in SF. Young stud old fart matchup. Whats the trick. Why do people like Anaheim so much they play a 5-15 on the road pitcher?

no Pujols likely and Street/Smith worked the last two nights = why i'm off it

 

[GWarner27]

played BAL +104 last night, apologies for not posting here

updated leans:
ARI +139
COL +128
TOR +120: B. Welke
NYY +106/o8.5 -115
DET +110: L. Barrett
TEX +136

 

[BiffTFinancial]

played
Nats ML (-105)
Rockies ML (+129)
Dbacks FF ML (+130)

waiting for umps for totals. lean Yanks/Red Sox over 8', Tigers/Royals over 8', CWS/Twins over 8. Gooch, O'Nora, Miller all scheduled to be behind the plate tonight, and would pass with any of them.

played
Royals ML (-120)
Royals RL (+170)
Twins TT over 4 (+100)

Tigers struggle to hit soft tossers like Young and his numbers against them are great. 13 of 15 KC wins by multiple runs.

Twins killing LHP right now and Quintana definitely could give up a crooked number or two. Twins average 7 runs in 10 starts vs him, thrice scoring double digit runs.

 

[Play2win]

WILSON is 5-14 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)