Friday Openers and discussion

SportsNut said:
add:

Pacers +1.5 {Level 1 maybe 2}

Grizz ?? {Level 2 play}

lean wolves as well at +5.5 think its another close one...
Click to expand...

ADD:

Pacers +1.5 -115 {Level2}

Grizz +0.5 {Level2}

Wolves +5.5 & Over 96.5 {Level1 } really no reason for me to add

Under 100.5 Det 2nd H {level1} in case DET does pull away with the retarded 60% or so FG in this game

:cheers:
 
SportsNut said:
Clear over bias on the game for sure . Sportsbook had like 94% and some others had some high %s but then Wagerline wasnt even 60% either ...Would guess though on avg 2 to 1 for over bets ......

I regret taking the Det under such a sucker . Line made no sense and should have just stayed away but did the usually fuck it play..

Click to expand...

Ya I LOVED the over with Detroit, but according to Betcrimes season thread tonight was destined for a ton of unders. So far it's spot on. So I ignored any like for the overs. Thing is the Pistons are playing a small unit now and the Pacers lead them right into a shootout. No regrets though as if I have a pretty good lean that 8 of 10 games in one night are going under I don't want to try and guess which two go over.
 
Pacers to hedge the stupidty of taking the under . Figured DET wins and goes under since DET hasnt played defense like Indy's chances to hang around and get the line at +7.5 better then open of +7....Grizz had a terrible start but have rebounded probably would have maxed it if they put up +1 ....Minny cause I have degenetrate tendencies....BOL
 
JPicks said:
Ya I LOVED the over with Detroit, but according to Betcrimes season thread tonight was destined for a ton of unders. So far it's spot on. So I ignored any like for the overs. Thing is the Pistons are playing a small unit now and the Pacers lead them right into a shootout. No regrets though as if I have a pretty good lean that 8 of 10 games in one night are going under I don't want to try and guess which two go over.
Click to expand...

Just made the mistake of looking at past history and Ind well even offensive slumps . Thinking even going small wouldnt help the offenses that much ....way off base
 
Somewhat tough losses to take @ Minny and @ Cle. Both teams had their chances and neither delivered...

Suns 2nd H -2-115 {Level2}

GL
 
SportsNut said:
The whole HEADACHE

Plays :

Raptors +3.5-120 {Level3}Win
Raptors 1st Half +1.5 {Level2} Win
Raptors ML +130 {Level1}Win
Raptors +0.5 2nd Quarter {level1}Win
Under 104.5 +100 NJN Team Total {level1} Win
Under 206 {Level1}Win

Sixers +11 {Level3}Loss
Sixers +11 {Level2}Loss
1st Half Sixers +6-105 {Level2}Loss
1st Half Under 94 {Level1}Win
Under 190 {Level2}Win
Under 100.5 +100 Cavs TT {Level1}Win
1st Q Sixers +3 -105 {Level1}Win
2nd H Sixers +2 {Level2}Loss

Hawks +3 -115 {level1}Win
Hawks +1.5 -1151st H {Level 1}Loss
Hawks 1st Q +0.5 -110 [level1}Loss
Under 47.5 1st Quarter {Level1}Win
2nd H +2 -115 Hawks {Level2} Win


Under 190-120 Hornets{Level2}Win
Under Boston TT 98 +100 {Level1}Win

Wolves +4.5 -115 1st Half {Level2} Win
Wolves +8.5-115 {Level3}Loss
Over 192 {Level2}Loss
Wolves +2.5 1st Quarter {Level1}Win
Over 96.5 2nd H{Level1} Win
+5.5 Wolves 2nd H {level1}Loss

Under 200.5 Pistons {Level2}Loss
Pacers +1.5 -115 2nd H [Level2} Win
Under 100.5 2nd H {Level1}Loss


Grizzlies ML +130 {Level2}Win
Grizz +3.5 -120 {Level2}Win
1st Half +1.5 {Level2}Loss (fucking1/2pt)
Grizz +0.5 2nd H {Level2} Win

Suns -1.5 -120 {Level2}Loss amazing win by 1
Suns -0.5 1st Q -105 {Level1}Loss
Suns -1 1st Half {Level1}Loss

Suns 2nd H -2-115 {Level2}PUSH


Clippers +9 -120 {level3}
LAC 1st H +4.5 {Level2} Win


Kings +17 {Level2 }
1st H under 108.5 {Level2} Win
Under 214 {Level2}
1st Q +5 Kings {Level1}Loss(yep 1 pt!!)


GSW 1st H +1 {level3}Loss
Rockets full game ML -130 {Level2}

2nd H Houston +2.5 {Level2}
Under 105 {Level1}



GL


Clearly recommending Philly ML @ +500 was of no use :cheers:
Click to expand...


Added the last 2 games .:shake:
 
Last edited:
The Kings just rolling the dice with LAL continuing to fail as DD chalk and for the most part Sac being solid in that role...
 
Damn played that GSW game wrong !

under 104.5 2nd H {Level1}
Houston +2.5 {level2}

Thought GSW would wilt in the 2nd H nothing more specific though. GL
 
Capt. Slap said:
Sports,

What do you think of Lakers -10

I think the big line tells us something...
Click to expand...

Nah , game line -17 , 1st H -9.5 ...if LAL is up 10 at half the line is -8 for the 2nd H. Line is actually short IMO ...they are tied and moved it 2 pts more but they do seem to have more Sac action so who knows ...Look at the SA game 8 or 8.5 game spread and they put up 5.5 ...

Leaning to Kings +10 ...but problem is I already have +17 if anything like 2nd H under 106 ...
 
Total is running though so maybe I am wrong . Still going to stick with it and say game goes under 214 so under106 to 107 looks attractive...
 
Cool, liked Lakers but it's clearly a tell-tale sign to fade myself,

Went onto the Lakers site and from the forum discussions people are saying they won't be surprised to lose striaght up, team is in a funk...

Kings +10 with Rockets +2.5 for a little late night parlay action

Thanks for taking the time to reply, Nut.
 
Not watching the LAL game but huge swing from 33 1st Q points to 19 2nd Q points . Any suggestions as to why ?
 
Capt. Slap said:
Cool, liked Lakers but it's clearly a tell-tale sign to fade myself,

Went onto the Lakers site and from the forum discussions people are saying they won't be surprised to lose striaght up, team is in a funk...

Kings +10 with Rockets +2.5 for a little late night parlay action

Thanks for taking the time to reply, Nut.
Click to expand...

No prob Capt . Just hope I am correct for you and me...:shake::cheers:
 
Capt. Slap said:
Kings:Lakers as Warriors:Mavs?
Click to expand...

Possibly could be that thorn in the side type opponent . Just looking at the boxscore from the game @ Sac it wasnt like the Kings did anything special on paper.They rolled and we saw a 4/20 shooting from downtown and missed 3s are almost like turnovers IMO because it can lead to easy buckets the other way at times:cheers:
 
The concern about trying to "read" the line with LAL and Sac is the fact that it appeared there was more Sac money to start . Then I say the line went from -16.5 to -17 so money had to move it on some level. I know people think it was "sharp" money automatically when that happens but lines move alot its a guessing game . How many true sharps are going to lay -16.5 in a game ?
 
Well to be fair,

If the Lakers cover -10 2nd Half I think they do it in strong fashion, and cover the -17 as well

Just my opinion, watching the game now so let me know if you'd like a link
 
Not that it matters but originally said I had 104.5 on the Houston 2nd H total and it hit 105 when I submitted it so got the extra hook . Not a big deal...
 
Capt. Slap said:
Well to be fair,

If the Lakers cover -10 2nd Half I think they do it in strong fashion, and cover the -17 as well

Just my opinion, watching the game now so let me know if you'd like a link
Click to expand...

I dont disagree really but its not "automatic" that they cover the 17 if they do they -10 . I know that sounds obvious but the flow of the game is going to have be a clearcut LAL offensive run vs a King could streak . What I liked was SAC isnt relying on hitting jumpshots to score . To hit such a low number in teh 1st game and a high FG percentage means they had to be getting easy looks . Which seems like that again tonight but hope that continues..

LAL knocking down jumpers and its one of those things . If I am Sac I enjoy seeing Gasol , Kobe and Fisher settling for jumpers but when those guys are hot they are clearly pretty damn good ...

Of course it just went 11 pts...:36_11_6:
 
Man...

I bet Lakers 2nd Half IN Sacramento, and now Sacremento 2nd Half IN Los Angeles...

And to think I told myself (time to make that Lakers 2nd Half money back)


Hopefully Kings get back in this...but I had to shut off the internet feed, it was too ugly lol

Hope you get your +17 SN
 
Capt. Slap said:
Man...

I bet Lakers 2nd Half IN Sacramento, and now Sacremento 2nd Half IN Los Angeles...

And to think I told myself (time to make that Lakers 2nd Half money back)


Hopefully Kings get back in this...but I had to shut off the internet feed, it was too ugly lol

Hope you get your +17 SN
Click to expand...

Take the Under and the +17 is gravy ...more then gravy but under I liked more ...Thanks though and yeah its ugly but hopefully the 4th Q isnt...:cheers:
 
Hopefully GSW takes it easy in the 4th Q playing @ Denver tmrw. Houston just nneds to start off strong the 1st 3 or 4 minutes in the 4th Q. Need 49 or less for the total as well.....BOL
 
Sports,

I took Houston +2.5 4th Quarter large

I know Don Nelson doesn't care if they lose by 1 or 15...I think he'll rest the starters in the 4th,

Rockets should cover 15!
 
Sac needs to go old school
<TABLE class=wikitable><TBODY><TR><TD>1988</TD><TD>"My Prerogative"</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>


2nd team for SAC plays well but they have barely been involved so far ...

Lets go Bobby Brown !!:cheers:


and more LAL Tech's!

 
Somehow Jackson shot two to end that quarter only down 12 lol


Need a 10-0 run by the Kings or something to get this cover
 
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