Friday discussion thread

2daBank

Voice of Reason
I’m just getting a look at the card now so no plays yet, few initial thoughts bout it but hopefully we can bang out some winners to keep paying for all my nba losses!

Texas -190? That feels crazy but then you look and see McCullers 2 starts vs some the worst teams and you gotta wonder if he was ready to pitch? He has only pitched 4 innings so I’m not sure how much we can cap off his numbers other than the fact his velo down quite a bit across the board, the snap on his slider isn’t there, he doesn’t seem able to locate with diminished stuff. I didn’t go back and look at his rehab starts but I gotta believe stros saw something to think it was ok to bring him up and put back in the rotation, or is it a case they don’t have any other options? I mean a pen game would make more sense if you basically having to cover 6+ innings in McCullers starts anyways, why use him and start in a huge hole? Could be just like all the things I said bout Stros yesterday and how they decided to show bregs the door and trade Tucker maybe they just don’t give a shit and are gonna reset and go back into trying to tank for picks! God that would be awful! Anyways there no chance in hell I’m laying -190 on rangers but doubt there’s any way to play Stros.

1st glance gore and nats getting plus money vs o’s seems like a play to me, I been talking gore up since he landed on nats from one trade or another (can’t recall which player got gore return). He finally seems to be realizing that potential which isn’t a shock since I think 26 is about the target range for a lot of great pitchers to realize their talents. 75:16 k/bb ratio in 52 innings is elite. Last i checked the o’s hitters have struggled a ton with lhp this year. Not quite sure why Nats are dogs?

The starting pitching matchup in the subway series feels pretty even to me, 2 teams playing at a high level, not sure why yanks are -140? Feels disrespectful to Mets but will have to look closer.

Our beloved tigers (I’m such a bandwagon jumper! lol) are unfortunately getting a look at the Jack Flaherty us former cardinals fans (lol) have been annoyed with for years, without looking I assume at 29 and presumably injury free his stuff is still pretty much the same but he is not getting the results. That was the story of his inconsistent career before leaving stl. Maybe he a slow starter and there real value here? I would def like to find enough reason to back Detroit at this low price vs the perpetually mediocre blow jays.

Without looking at anything at all Red Sox even money feels like the right side.

years back I woulda probably jumped on some kind of under in the Tampa/fish game but the crazy over run at marlins park last year and a half makes me hesitant but Ill def be looking at k props for both pitchers..

Kc-140 feels like a pretty good number but I’m not really sold cards can sustain playing above .500 as much as I believe in Kc. Starting pitching and pen edge is enough for me to say Kc or nothing but ya’ll know I’m not big on ml favs.

Omg dbacks are -415!! Just saw this, I’m not saying it not justified but you just can’t lay that on a single baseball game and win money long term imo. I have no real desire to attempt to cap a team as awful as Colorado but cmon man, it’s pretty obvious books don’t want to be needing rox either!!


A’s are incredibly tempting as they continue to be disrespected, one the teams I liked to exceed expectations coming into year and one I bet a lot. Without capping it I already know I like the A’s.

That bout all till I get deeper into the card just wanted to get thread up so everyone could chime in.
 
Not gonna play it I don’t think but white Sox getting better than 2-1 and playing .500 ball the last few weeks seems like the right side to me. Mo question scrubbies the much better team but they can def lose a game this series, why not today?
 
What about the over in Wrigley? Wind is out 15mph according to what I saw.

Like i said i just started looking, hadn’t even looked at the wind. My only push back would be they seem to have put a few runs on top this total for that wind, just look at cws lineup and it tough to think lot of runs coming from them! Lol. Not saying it wrong tho, a case could be made they really expecting the ball to fly with a 11.5 total and white Sox.
 
It also fair to say the kid pitching for cws has built those numbers pitching to quite a few bad teams and getting rocked by the cubs wouldn’t shock me at all
 
What about the over in Wrigley? Wind is out 15mph according to what I saw.

what going on w reds? Once again they came into the season as a team it was easy to think they could have a good year and once again here they are below .500 and just lost a series to the chi Sox! Singer era is way higher than I expected, is he struggling in that park?
 
Not sure about tonight but think I’ll def be looking at Soto props in few games this series with his return to the Bronx.
 
what going on w reds? Once again they came into the season as a team it was easy to think they could have a good year and once again here they are below .500 and just lost a series to the chi Sox! Singer era is way higher than I expected, is he struggling in that park?
Bullpen is trash; hitting is inconsistent. I’ve seen this movie before. Abbott and Greene dealing.
 
Crow-Armstrong looking like a beast for cubbies, really wonder if they gonna pay Tucker The huge contract this offseason or he going to dodgers like everyone else. He will play for 5 bucks and they will owe him 450 mil later.
 
We getting blasted w storms here and my power flickering in and out. Fuck every time it storms around here I’m afraid we gonna get the bull shit power outage that last days or a week, that sucks sonething awfil! And now my freaking internet out.
 
Rodon Ks under 6' for sure

lean Tigers, Mets, Red Sox, Twins

lean under in Philly, over in Miami and KC

Pirates/Phils series is gonna have a lot of Ks

Now that power back on im getting ready to open laptop and check out props. For some reason Bol app doesn’t let me pull up the props builder page gotta be on laptop, shit annoying
 
Soto only has 3 at bats vs Rodon, no hits and a walk but his exit velo on the other 2 was combined 104mph! He has crushed his entire career in the Bronx. The total bases price to good to pass up.

Soto ov 1.5 bases +139

Gore ov 6.5 k’s -134

As I mentioned in 1st post o’s have not handled lhp well at all this year, as a team they have a combined ops of .511 by far the worst in the league. They also striking out 28% the time. Combine that with gore elite swinging strike rate, k’s per 9, and hitting 7+ k’s in 7 of 9 and -134 actually seems cheap. I told myself it would bd sweet to see a 6.5 on gore but I thought for sure it be 7.5 at bout same price so must play for me. Hopefully the weather isn’t an issue which kinda the only concern for me.
 
Nats +110. Same pitching matchup last month and o’s managed to win 2-1 as similar size dogs, I trust gore more than his counterpart to repeat that performance and Nats get the revenge.
 
Why you like the rodon under k’s @BiffTFinancial ? Mets do hit lhp really well and the k rate is reasonable at 22%. Rodon has punched 7+ in 7 of 9 starts.
Part of it is the Mets lineup has been really good at making contact/avoiding vs lefties (and working counts/not swinging at first pitch in general) and part is Rodon home/road splits (Rodon K numbers much better on road about a 7% difference).
 
Part of it is the Mets lineup has been really good at making contact/avoiding vs lefties (and working counts/not swinging at first pitch in general) and part is Rodon home/road splits (Rodon K numbers much better on road about a 7% difference).

I ended up on Mets so hope you right! I’ve never really looked at home/road splits for k%, I wouldn’t think it matter but clearly it does for some, lol. If anything you would think he want that k% higher at home in the bandbox.
 
Soto only has 3 at bats vs Rodon, no hits and a walk but his exit velo on the other 2 was combined 104mph! He has crushed his entire career in the Bronx. The total bases price to good to pass up.

Soto ov 1.5 bases +139

Gore ov 6.5 k’s -134

As I mentioned in 1st post o’s have not handled lhp well at all this year, as a team they have a combined ops of .511 by far the worst in the league. They also striking out 28% the time. Combine that with gore elite swinging strike rate, k’s per 9, and hitting 7+ k’s in 7 of 9 and -134 actually seems cheap. I told myself it would bd sweet to see a 6.5 on gore but I thought for sure it be 7.5 at bout same price so must play for me. Hopefully the weather isn’t an issue which kinda the only concern for me.
Damn DK has Gore o6.5 +105 and o7.5 +195

Must be expecting rain?
 
Damn DK has Gore o6.5 +105 and o7.5 +195

Must be expecting rain?

Yea it looked like it was possible but my expert radar reading told me it was more likely to delay the start than they start then it starts raining. Of course that was a few hours ago I probably should have waited til closer to 1st pitch. That a crazy price unless there a delay and he only pitches a few innings. He punched out 8 last time he faced them I think.
 
So cool there is a delay start but like I said he didn’t throw a pitch yet and it looks to me like the delay should be over pretty quick. I’m not real worried bout it.
 
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Of course this coward walks Soto, he probably end up with 3 walks which make it damn near impossible to cash. Bol wasn’t offering his h/r/rbi prop which I usually prefer to total bases for this kind of reason.
 
Of course this coward walks Soto, he probably end up with 3 walks which make it damn near impossible to cash. Bol wasn’t offering his h/r/rbi prop which I usually prefer to total bases for this kind of reason.
Yeah with big time rbi machines I could only play h/r/rbi as opposed to total bases. Guys that draw walks a lot kill that TB wager so often.
 
Yeah with big time rbi machines I could only play h/r/rbi as opposed to total bases. Guys that draw walks a lot kill that TB wager so often.

Yep, BOL usually offers it but doesn’t let me put it in parlays. These damn offshore books and their rules that keep me from crushing them like I did draft kings dumb asses!! I assume draft kings and fan duel have such a huge volume of morons donating them money they can afford to let ya do anything ya want but once you bust their head for a few seasons their attitude changes pretty quickly.

I couldn’t believe the 1st time I was allowed to play under parlayed with the +1.5, I was saying my whole life how great it would be to parlay those! But then I started finding so many other correlated type parlays and props that I didn’t even bet that many.
 
Yep, BOL usually offers it but doesn’t let me put it in parlays. These damn offshore books and their rules that keep me from crushing them like I did draft kings dumb asses!! I assume draft kings and fan duel have such a huge volume of morons donating them money they can afford to let ya do anything ya want but once you bust their head for a few seasons their attitude changes pretty quickly.

I couldn’t believe the 1st time I was allowed to play under parlayed with the +1.5, I was saying my whole life how great it would be to parlay those! But then I started finding so many other correlated type parlays and props that I didn’t even bet that many.
What happened to just going across the river and not letting them track you? Sounded easy enough before. And if you got limited by one of them that means you were doing it online so however you were doing it with them, why not just sign up for every American book approved in Illinois and use them to do it?
 
What happened to just going across the river and not letting them track you? Sounded easy enough before. And if you got limited by one of them that means you were doing it online so however you were doing it with them, why not just sign up for every American book approved in Illinois and use them to do it?

Pretty sure I explained this all while back you must have missed a day!! lol. Once Theresa got so sick she was at the hospice facility I didn’t really want to spend the extra time in
day going across river instead of being with her. I do have accounts at fan duel, espn, circa, and I could still be going to the casino and playing on draft kings machines and they wouldn’t know who I am but like I said didn’t have the time and then during that time before she passed last week my car fucked up so I been taking Lyft everywhere which I think going back and 4th to Illinois would kill
My profits! Lol. So for the moment it just a lot easier to play offshore even if I can’t get everything I want. Eventually I’ll have my life put back together but by then it should be legal in Missouri, it already passed but for some reason (Missouri being one of the dumbest states in the union I imagine) it not getting implemented till fucking November.
 
Pretty sure I explained this all while back you must have missed a day!! lol. Once Theresa got so sick she was at the hospice facility I didn’t really want to spend the extra time in
day going across river instead of being with her. I do have accounts at fan duel, espn, circa, and I could still be going to the casino and playing on draft kings machines and they wouldn’t know who I am but like I said didn’t have the time and then during that time before she passed last week my car fucked up so I been taking Lyft everywhere which I think going back and 4th to Illinois would kill
My profits! Lol. So for the moment it just a lot easier to play offshore even if I can’t get everything I want. Eventually I’ll have my life put back together but by then it should be legal in Missouri, it already passed but for some reason (Missouri being one of the dumbest states in the union I imagine) it not getting implemented till fucking November.
Oh didn't know you still didn't have a car
 
Probably should have taken Soto walks tonight. Did cash the Atlanta NRFi though.

Hindsight and all his walks was certainly better than total bases and I suppose the fact Soto was so much plus money for 1.5 bases it probably was telling me something. I was like a dog in heat at that park and that price, one swing and it cashes, if he ever swings!
 
Oh didn't know you still didn't have a car

She just died a week ago it will probably take me month or all summer to get myself going in some kind of direction, lol. I’m still working on house and figuring out wtf to do with her stuff. She made me so angry from the grave yesterday, I was going thru her things and found a bottle of xannex that had like 5-6 still in there but I opened it up and pills didn’t look right, she put something else in the bottle, sneaky ass girl. Lol
 
Fucking muts score one and leave the bases loaded, so of course yanks score 2 in bottom half the inning. I kinda been wondering if Megil was legit, apparently not.
 
Holy shit. Gore got 9 k’s but this mfer took 102 pitches to get 11 outs?? That is crazy awful. I’m not sure how he only gave up 2 runs, 10 hits and 2 walks in 3.2 innings. It a god damn miracle he struck out so many so fast.
 
Holy shit. Gore got 9 k’s but this mfer took 102 pitches to get 11 outs?? That is crazy awful. I’m not sure how he only gave up 2 runs, 10 hits and 2 walks in 3.2 innings. It a god damn miracle he struck out so many so fast.
Orioles left the bases loaded in 3 of the 4 innings so far lol
 
Another over cashes in Miami. Man wtf are they doing to the baseballs they use in that park? That was never a hitters park and now with crappy lineups and some talented pitchers every game goes over!
 
This mfer walked Soto again, up 6–1 2 outs and nobody on base and he still can’t throw one over the god damn plate? I thought I was joking when I said he probably walk 3x! I swear if he walks every at bat I feel like I should get a refund!! How is he supposed to cash total bases without an official at bat?
 
Soto finally hit a pitch, for a ground out. 0fer 1 with 3 walks and a run scored. I do have him over .5 runs/rbi’s in a parlay so cool he scored the only run for muts.
 
Fuck. O’s got the go ahead run across. Second time this year gore vs povich and o’s gonna win by a run, still can’t believe gore took 103 pitches to go 3.2 innings, that is crazy!
 
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