February 2015

Adding:

2/21/2015 10:00 AM England Soccer 610 Bolton (ENG-Cham)/Nottingham Forest (ENG-Cham)* Over 2½ -118
2/21/2015 10:00 AM England Soccer 613 Norwich City (ENG-Cham)/Watford (ENG-Cham)* Over 2½ -122
2/21/2015 10:00 AM England Soccer 625 Blackpool (ENG-Cham)/Blackburn Rovers (ENG-Cham)* Over 2½ -143
2/21/2015 10:00 AM England Soccer 628 Bournemouth (ENG-Cham)/Brentford (ENG-Cham)* Over 2½ -124
2/21/2015 10:00 AM Iceland Soccer 2413 Grindavik (ISL-Cup)/Valur Reykjavik (ISL-Cup)* Over 3,3½ -115


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Thanks guys. See you later this afternoon.
 
YTD: 105-81-24, +12.98

Adding:

2/21/2015 2:00 PM Belgium Soccer 1457 Westerlo (BEL)/Kortrijk (BEL)* Over 2½,3 -121
2/21/2015 2:00 PM Belgium Soccer 1460 Zulte Waregem (BEL)/Cercle Brugge (BEL)* Over 2½ -113
2/21/2015 2:00 PM Belgium Soccer 1470 Tubize (BEL-2)/Patro Eisden Maasmechelen (BEL-2)* Over 2½ -113
2/21/2015 2:00 PM Portugal Soccer 2857 Benfica (POR)/Moreirense (POR)* Over 2½ +114
2/21/2015 2:15 PM Czech Rep Soccer 1866 Ceske Budejovice (CZE-G)/Viktoria Plzen (CZE-G)* Over 2½ -149
2/21/2015 2:30 PM Bolivia Soccer 4251 Universitario Cobija (BOL-LFPB)/Petrolero Yacuiba (BOL-LFPB)* Over 2½ -114


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Adding:

2/21/2015 3:00 PM Bolivia Soccer 4254 Real Potosi (BOL-LFPB)/San Jose (BOL-LFPB)* Over 2½ -126
2/21/2015 7:00 PM Bolivia Soccer 4257 Oriente Petrolero (BOL-LFPB)/The Strongest (BOL-LFPB)* Over 2½ -115

*Why do I even bother with Benfica? *sigh*

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Adding:

2/21/2015 3:00 PM Bolivia Soccer 4254 Real Potosi (BOL-LFPB)/San Jose (BOL-LFPB)* Over 2½ -126
2/21/2015 7:00 PM Bolivia Soccer 4257 Oriente Petrolero (BOL-LFPB)/The Strongest (BOL-LFPB)* Over 2½ -115

*Why do I even bother with Benfica? *sigh*

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cuz they get the over win!! ;) :shake:
 
Adding:

2/21/2015 4:00 PM Ecuador Soccer 4657 Universidad Catolica Quito (ECU)/Emelec (ECU)* Over 2½ -118
2/21/2015 4:30 PM Chile Soccer 4454 Antofagasta (CHI)/Huachipato (CHI)* Over 2½,3 -134
2/21/2015 4:30 PM Paraguay Soccer 4751 Guarani (PAR)/Sportivo San Lorenzo (PAR)* Over 2½,3 -109

*Hopefully I didn't use up all my goals for the day in that 2:00 PM block...

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YTD: 111-82-24, +17.86

Pending:

2/21/2015 4:00 PM Ecuador Soccer 4657 Universidad Catolica Quito (ECU)/Emelec (ECU)* Over 2½ -118
2/21/2015 4:30 PM Chile Soccer 4454 Antofagasta (CHI)/Huachipato (CHI)* Over 2½,3 -134
2/21/2015 4:30 PM Paraguay Soccer 4751 Guarani (PAR)/Sportivo San Lorenzo (PAR)* Over 2½,3 -109
2/21/2015 7:00 PM Bolivia Soccer 4257 Oriente Petrolero (BOL-LFPB)/The Strongest (BOL-LFPB)* Over 2½ -115

*This Huachipato match is proof positive that juice doesn't mean everything when betting soccer (fucking Antofagasta haven't even taken a shot yet for fuck's sakes...)

Adding:

2/21/2015 5:30 PM Peru Soccer 4860 Sporting Cristal (Copa-Inca)/Juan Aurich (Copa-Inca)* Over 2,2½ -111
2/21/2015 6:00 PM Colombia Soccer 4560 Cortulua (COL)/Millonarios (COL)* Over 2½ -106
2/21/2015 6:30 PM Argentina Soccer 413 Crucero del Norte (ARG)/Velez Sarsfield (ARG)* Over 2 -122
2/21/2015 7:00 PM Chile Soccer 4457 OHiggins (CHI)/Union Espanola (CHI)* Over 2½ -116

*Won't be back until around 8 or 9, so I'll have to post these up now and hope I don't get crushed before then...

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YTD: 117-84-24, +21.34

Adding:

2/21/2015 9:00 PM Costa Rica Soccer 1551 Limon (CRC-1)/Herediano (CRC-1)* Over 2½,3 -126

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YTD: 117-85-24, +20.08

Adding:

2/21/2015 11:00 PM Australia Soccer 1251 Newcastle Jets (AUS-A)/Wellington Phoenix (AUS-A)* Over 2½,3 -122

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Adding:

2/22/2015 6:00 AM Turkey Soccer 2001 Genclerbirligi (TUR-S)/Balikesirspor (TUR-S)* Over 2½ +106
2/22/2015 6:00 AM Turkey Soccer 2004 Karabukspor (TUR-S)/Mersin I.Y. (TUR-S)* Over 2½ +100
2/22/2015 6:30 AM Turkey Soccer 2051 Karsiyaka (TUR-1)/Sanliurfaspor Urfaspor (TUR-1)* Over 2½ +104
2/22/2015 6:30 AM Turkey Soccer 2054 Adanaspor (TUR-1)/Manisaspor (TUR-1)* Over 2½ +104

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YTD: 120-87-24, +21.12

Sunday:

2/22/2015 9:00 AM Italy Soccer 151 Cesena (ITA-A)/AC Milan (ITA-A)* Over 2½ -104
2/22/2015 9:00 AM Italy Soccer 160 AS Roma (ITA-A)/Verona (ITA-A)* Over 2½ -110
2/22/2015 9:00 AM Italy Soccer 163 Palermo (ITA-A)/Lazio (ITA-A)* Over 2½ +103
2/22/2015 9:00 AM Croatia Soccer 1251 Dinamo Zagreb (CRO-1)/Osijek (CRO-1)* Over 2½,3 -109
2/22/2015 9:00 AM Finland Soccer 1401 KTP (FIN-Cup)/HJK Helsinki (FIN-Cup)* Over 2½,3 -127
2/22/2015 9:00 AM Switzerland Soccer 1954 Le Mont (SWI-C)/Lausanne Sports (SWI-C)* Over 2½,3 +113
*Knowing how it tends to go with me, today could be a very long day indeed (just sayin')...

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Last edited:
Adding:

2/22/2015 10:30 AM Austria Soccer 1104 Rapid Vienna (AUT-B)/Admira (AUT-B)* Over 2½ -113

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Adding:

2/22/2015 11:00 AM France Soccer 304 Nantes (FRA-1)/Lyon (FRA-1)* Over 2½ +116
2/22/2015 11:00 AM Denmark Soccer 404 Vestsjaelland (DEN)/FC Copenhagen (DEN)* Over 2½ +127
2/22/2015 11:00 AM Portugal Soccer 1731 Oriental (POR-2)/Benfica II (POR-2)* Over 2½ -106
2/22/2015 11:00 AM Spain Soccer 204 Rayo Vallecano (ESP-P)/Athletic Bilbao (ESP-P)* Over 2½ -104
2/22/2015 11:00 AM Spain Soccer 807 Mirandes (ESP-2)/Sporting Gijon (ESP-2)* Over 2½ +116
2/22/2015 11:30 AM Germany Soccer 254 Hertha Berlin (GER-1)/Wolfsburg (GER-1)* Over 2½,3 -124
2/22/2015 11:30 AM Germany Soccer 255 Wolfsburg (GER-1)* -1½ +114 vs Hertha Berlin (GER-1)

*Unbelievable how many games I passed on this morning ended up hitting so, of course, now you know I'm going to get fucked...

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Adding:

2/22/2015 12:00 PM Iceland Soccer 1510 Grotta (ISL-Cup)/Leiknir Reykjavik (ISL-Cup)* Over 3,3½ -119 *2 UNITS*
*Hopefully Wolfsburg come through big, otherwise this is shaping up to be a disaster...

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Adding:

2/22/2015 1:00 PM Denmark Soccer 407 Brondby (DEN)/AaB Aalborg (DEN)* Over ½,1 -130 for 1st Half *2 UNITS*
*Be nice to get a stoppage time goal for the win every once in a while (that's right, I'm looking at you Copenhagen...)

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For the number of games I bet on, you'd think just ONCE I'd be able to get a stoppage time goal. Just once...

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YTD: 126-96-25, +16.81

Adding:

2/22/2015 2:00 PM Belgium Soccer 1157 Lierse (BEL)/Mechelen (BEL)* Over 2½ -119 *5 UNITS*
*WTF?!? Aalborg didn't even take a single shot... Calling it a day if this doesn't hit (worst defensive team in Jupiler League on the road. I mean, seriously, if I can't get three goals in this one...)

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YTD: 127-96-25, +21.81

Adding:

2/22/2015 6:15 PM Bolivia Soccer 2607 Bolivar (BOL-LFPB)/Blooming (BOL-LFPB)* Over 2½,3 -106
2/22/2015 7:00 PM Chile Soccer 2810 Cobreloa (CHI)/Audax Italiano (CHI)* Over 2½,3 -123
2/22/2015 7:00 PM Chile Soccer 2813 Union La Calera (CHI)/CDM Iquique (CHI)* Over 2½,3 -111

*What a waste of a morning... Hopefully South America can ring the bells tonight...

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YTD: 128-98-26, +20.02

Monday:

2/23/2015 11:00 AM Romania Soccer 1901 FC Cluj (ROM-1)* -113 vs Ceahlaul (ROM-1)
2/23/2015 12:00 PM Czech Rep Soccer 1101 Pribram (CZE-G)/Sparta Prague (CZE-G)* Over 2½,3 -120
2/23/2015 1:00 PM Italy Soccer 201 Sassuolo (ITA-A)/Napoli (ITA-A)* Over 2½ -145
2/23/2015 1:00 PM Denmark Soccer 351 Odense BK (DEN)/Midtjylland (DEN)* Over 2½ -117
2/23/2015 1:00 PM Turkey Soccer 2202 Fenerbahce (TUR-S)* -1½ -120 vs Akhisar Belediye (TUR-S)
2/23/2015 2:00 PM Holland Soccer 1501 Den Bosch (HOL-2)/Ajax Youth (HOL-2)* Over 3 -116
2/23/2015 2:00 PM Holland Soccer 1507 TOP Oss (HOL-2)/PSV Eindhoven Youth (HOL-2)* Over 3 -101
2/23/2015 2:15 PM Germany Soccer 701 RB Leipzig (GER-2)/Eintracht Braunschweig (GER-2)* Under 2,2½ -119

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Adding:

2/23/2015 1:55 PM Israel Soccer 1601 Maccabi Haifa (ISR)/Hapoel Tel Aviv (ISR)* Over 2½ +108
2/23/2015 2:45 PM Italy Soccer 602 Lecce (ITA-1A)* -1,-1½ -111 vs Messina (ITA-1A)

*I'm not discounting the possibility of this being a potentially bad day (that Cluj red card might have set the tone), but I'm in a relative position of strength (for now) so might as well forge ahead. Anyways, that line in Israel might be a trap (I generally get wary if the the over's not juiced), but 11 of the last 12 between Maccabi and Hapoel have gone over (game 12 ending in a 1-1 draw), so I'll take a chance. As for Lecce, they've got the best home record in Serie B this season going up against a woeful defensive side in Messina; then again, this is Serie B, so a 5-0 Messina win isn't out of the question either.

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YTD: 133-103-28, +19.10

Adding:

2/23/2015 6:30 PM Brazil Soccer 1001 Juventude (BRA-G)/Gremio (BRA-G)* Over 2½ +103
2/23/2015 6:30 PM Brazil Soccer 1002 Gremio (BRA-G)* -1 -115 vs Juventude (BRA-G)
*Kind of settling into mediocrity at the moment. Anyways, going to take a chance on this one as the over's 12-4 the last 16 between the two (with the other games all landing on two). Neither side exactly lighting it up at the moment, but the big thing from what I've been reading is that Gremio's just been getting crucified over the way they've been playing. During their loss to Veranopolis at home the other night, apparently they got booed off the pitch, and their manager even walked off in disgust before the game was over. They responded with a 2-0 win on the road last Wednesday, so I'm guessing they come out with a good effort in their first game back at home tonight.

Obviously I'm going to need Gremio to score at least three here (which is kind of stupid I know), but I figure worst case split, so we'll see what happens.

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YTD: 133-105-28, +16.95

Tuesday:

2/24/2015 5:00 AM Asia Soccer 404 Guangzhou R and F (AFC-CL)/Gamba Osaka (AFC-CL)* Over 2½ -124 *2 UNITS*
2/24/2015 10:00 AM Asia Soccer 416 Al Shabab (AFC-CL)/Al Ain (AFC-CL)* Over 2½ -113
2/24/2015 10:00 AM Asia Soccer 419 Lekhwiya (AFC-CL)/Persepolis (AFC-CL)* Under 2½ -138


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YTD: 133-108-28, +11.96

Adding:

2/24/2015 1:15 PM Iceland Soccer 751 IBV Vestmannaeyjar (ISL-Cup)/FH Hafnarfjordur (ISL-Cup)* Over 3,3½ -128 *5 UNITS*
*Looks like we're in full on tank mode now (apologies to anyone who might have followed), so might as well go out big. If this one hits (and I have a hard time imagining it won't get to at least 3), I'll have another one or two in the UK. If not, we'll start over again in March...

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YTD: 133-109-28, +5.56

Adding:

2/24/2015 8:00 PM North America Soccer 71 Herediano (CONCACAF-CL)/CD Olimpia (CONCACAF-CL)* Over ½,1 -131 for 1st Half *2 UNITS*
*Meh... Sad part is, the two totals I planned on hitting in the UK both hit (Brentford and Watford). Anyways, Herediano actually has a pretty good scoring record in CCL the past few seasons, so think there's a pretty good chance of at least one goal in the 1H (of course, I've been thinking that all day... *sigh*) Besides, what are the odds of me dropping 7 in a row? Pretty good, actually, but that's besides the point... : )

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YTD: 134-109-29, +6.56

Adding:

Parlay: 2 UNITS @ +259
2/24/2015 9:30 PM South America Soccer 57 The Strongest (Copa-Liber)/Emelec (Copa-Liber)* Over 2½ -110
2/24/2015 9:30 PM South America Soccer 60 Deportivo Tachira (Copa-Liber)/Sporting Cristal (Copa-Liber)* Over 2½ -113


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YTD: 134-110-29, +4.56

Wednesday:

2/25/2015 10:00 AM Portugal Soccer 1013 Trofense (POR-2)/Maritimo II (POR-2)* Over 2½ +111 *2 UNITS*
2/25/2015 10:00 AM Portugal Soccer 1031 Benfica II (POR-2)/Atletico Clube de Portugal (POR-2)* Over 2½ -117 *2 UNITS*
*Sporting Cristal miss a PK in stoppage time, and that causes me to skip three totals that would have hit in ACL. Just the way it's going right now. Anyways, both of these probably go scoreless into halftime, so I'll see you this afternoon (maybe).

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Adding:

2/25/2015 11:25 AM Asia Soccer 316 Al Ahli KSA (AFC-CL)/Al Ahli UAE (AFC-CL)* Over 2½ -102 *2 UNITS*
*Looks like a split in the first two (two worst defensive teams in Portugal B can't produce a goal?)

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Thanks Alex.
 
YTD: 136-111-29, +6.56

Adding:

2/25/2015 12:30 PM Asia Soccer 319 Lokomotiv Tashkent (AFC-CL)/Al Hilal (AFC-CL)* Over 2½ -112 *2 UNITS*
2/25/2015 12:30 PM Israel Soccer 651 Maccabi Tel Aviv (ISR-Cup)/Hapoel Kiryat Shmona (ISR-Cup)* Over 2½ +117 *2 UNITS*
2/25/2015 12:30 PM Switzerland Soccer 1311 Chiasso (SWI-C)/Schaffhausen (SWI-C)* Over 2½ -126 *2 UNITS*

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YTD: 137-113-29, +8.56

Adding:

2/25/2015 2:45 PM England Soccer 201 Bournemouth (ENG-Cham)/Nottingham Forest (ENG-Cham)* Over 2½ -108 *2 UNITS*
*Steam on the under, but meh... steam doesn't mean everything in soccer as I've found out (unfortunately) over the years. Like that Icelandic total yesterday. Closed at something like -135 OV 3.5, wheras I bought 3, 3-5 OV at -128 and, well, you see how that worked out.... Anyways, Forest has been on fire on offense since replacing their manager (3 goals in each of their four games) and Bournemouth is the top rated offense in the league. Mind you, this is a major step up in competition for Forest than the teams they've been playing, but there should still be some goals in this one.

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Thanks Retburj.
 
YTD: 138-113-29, +10.56

Adding:

2/25/2015 4:00 PM Costa Rica Soccer 431 Perez Zeledon (CRC-1)/Limon (CRC-1)* Over 2½ -132 *2 UNITS*
2/25/2015 4:00 PM Paraguay Soccer 801 Sportivo San Lorenzo (PAR)/Olimpia Asuncion (PAR)* Over 2½ -128 *2 UNITS*

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YTD: 140-113-29, +14.56

Adding:

2/25/2015 7:30 PM Bolivia Soccer 391 Blooming (BOL-LFPB)/Oriente Petrolero (BOL-LFPB)* Over 2½ -117 *2 UNITS*
2/25/2015 8:00 PM South America Soccer 108 Sao Paulo SP (Copa-Liber)* -1½ -118 vs Danubio (Copa-Liber) *2 UNITS*

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YTD: 141-114-29, +14.22

Thursday:

2/26/2015 8:00 AM International Soccer 1604 Ireland U17 (Friendly)/Croatia U17 (Friendly)* Over 2½,3 -118
*I know, I know, but it finished 4-3 when they played a few days ago, so why not? Need something to do to kill time during the morning (well, other than work).

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YTD: 142-114-30, +14.72

Adding:

2/26/2015 12:00 PM European Cup Soccer 111 Dinamo Moscow advances* -150 vs Anderlecht advances
2/26/2015 1:00 PM European Cup Soccer 113 Celtic (UEFA-Europa)/Inter (UEFA-Europa)* Over 2½ -121


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Thoughts on these?


Zenit Petersburg (-125)*
Over 2.5 in SEVILLA / MONCHENGLADBACH*
Legia
Dynamo Kiev
Wolfsburg/sporting o2½-120
 
Hi fleurdumal.

To be honest, I didn't really spend too much time capping those games (Europa League's such a crapshoot as is, so no point investing too much time). Zenit should win, but they seem a little underpriced (for that matter, so does Dynamo, but I fear PSV more than Anderlecht). Monchengladbach can't score, and from what I read, Sevilla has some injury concerns (although I never bothered to research), so they might just park the bus unless there's an early goal. Ajax haven't looked sharp as of late, so Legia could definitely win. Plus, I would assume they have some extra motivation because of their ouster from the Champions League. Dynamo, no clue, since I don't really follow Ukraine or France that much. Sporting over, definitely. Also like the RB Salzburg total, but not sure Villarreal can score; that and I've seen Red Bull one too many times stop attacking once the game's in hand, so not worth the risk at that price for me.

As for the later games, which I probably won't post up until later once I've made up my mind for sure: Aalborg over, Sporting over, maybe Olympiacos, maybe the Everton over.

Main reason I like the Celtic over is not just because the first leg finished 3-3, but because of those 3 away goals, meaning Celtic can't just sit around. They're going to have to attack from the outset to stand any chance. Same principle would apply to the bigger deficit games like Aalborg and Everton, although I question whether or not Trabzonspor can score in Naples.

Like I said, Europa's such a crapshoot since it's hard to know for sure who's motivated and who's not (some clubs probably don't really care whether they stay in the competition or not since it distracts from their domestic campaigns), so all you can really do is handicap playing styles and situations. Sometimes it works out, sometimes it doesn't (like last week when I went 1-5 on totals or something like that). All you can do is keep your fingers crossed...

Good luck.

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Adding:

2/26/2015 3:00 PM Iceland Soccer 801 Akranes (ISL-Cup)/Thor Akureyri (ISL-Cup)* Over 3 -111
2/26/2015 3:05 PM European Cup Soccer 155 Young Boys (UEFA-Europa)/Everton (UEFA-Europa)* Over 2½ -125
2/26/2015 3:05 PM European Cup Soccer 167 AaB Aalborg (UEFA-Europa)/FC Brugge (UEFA-Europa)* Over 2½ -124
2/26/2015 3:05 PM European Cup Soccer 186 Olympiakos (UEFA-Europa)* -138 vs Dnipro Dnjepropetrovsk (UEFA-Europa)

*Hopefully fleurdumal went with his instincts instead of being swayed by my gawd awful thoughts on the matter (ugh)...

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YTD: 145-116-31, +15.13

Adding:

2/26/2015 8:00 PM North America Soccer 301 DC United (CONCACAF-CL)* +½ +115 vs Alajuelense (CONCACAF-CL)
2/26/2015 8:00 PM Colombia Soccer 604 Patriotas (COL)/Atletico Nacional (COL)* Under 2½ -117

*That Olympiakos result was a definite kick in the nuts (get an alert saying they've scored, get another a minute later with the Dnipro goal. Bah...) Anyways, looking at Nacional's last 12 at home, I see six games that finished 1-0, three games that finished 2-0, and only two overs during that span, so I'm thinking it's sink or swim with the under here. As for United, I actually do think they can win outright, but I'd be kicking myself if it ends in a draw, so might as well go the safer option.

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YTD: 146-117-31, +15.13

Friday:

2/27/2015 3:40 AM Australia Soccer 2001 Adelaide United (AUS-A)/Melbourne City (AUS-A)* Over 2½ -117 *2 UNITS*
*Melbourne haven't scored a goal in their last three games which, to a smarter person, would mean stay away, but... Anyways, Adelaide's scored in each of their games on the road this season, while Melbourne's only failed to score once at home, so the basis for goals is there. Throw in the fact that the last four games between the two have gone over, and that Melbourne are actually a half decent offense that just happens to be in a drought at the moment, think this one's got a good chance of getting there.

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YTD: 147-117-31, +17.13

Adding:

2/27/2015 8:10 AM Saudi Arabia Soccer 2601 Al Ittihad (S.Arabia-P)/Al Orubah (S.Arabia-P)* Over 2½,3 +103
2/27/2015 8:45 AM FBQAT Soccer 2451 Al Gharafa (QAT)/Qatar SC (QAT)* Over 3 -108
2/27/2015 8:45 AM FBQAT Soccer 2454 Al Shamal (QAT)/Al Ahli (QAT)* Over 3½ +113


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YTD: 148-118-32, +17.26

Adding:

2/27/2015 11:15 AM FBQAT Soccer 2457 Umm Salal (QAT)/Al Wakra (QAT)* Over 3 +100
2/27/2015 11:15 AM FBQAT Soccer 2460 Al Khor (QAT)/Al Shahaniya (QAT)* Over 3 +100
2/27/2015 12:00 PM Croatia Soccer 1401 Lokomotiva Zagreb (CRO-1)/Istra 1961 (CRO-1)* Over 2½,3 -105
2/27/2015 12:30 PM Germany Soccer 357 FSV Frankfurt (GER-2)/Bochum (GER-2)* Over 2½ -117
2/27/2015 12:30 PM Austria Soccer 801 Hartberg (AUT-E)/Mattersburg (AUT-E)* Over 2½,3 -111


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Adding:

2/27/2015 1:00 PM Slovakia Soccer 2801 Zilina (SVK)/Slovan Bratislava (SVK)* Over 2½ +118
2/27/2015 1:00 PM Turkey Soccer 3001 Kayseri Erciyesspor (TUR-S)/Galatasaray (TUR-S)* Over 2½ -131

*Can never just get some nice easy games. Always have to be these long, drawn out affairs...

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Funny how when I bitch they end up scoring (three goals in the past minute). Maybe I should do it more often...
 
Adding:

2/27/2015 1:30 PM Germany Soccer 383 Kray (GER-Reg)/Rot Weiss Essen (GER-Reg)* Over 3 -124

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