steponaduck
Pretty much a regular
here is my data spreadsheet with games for tonight...
FCS vs FBS and FCS vs FCS betting info
- Thread starter steponaduck
- Start date
steponaduck
Pretty much a regular
| Game | SP+ | Sagarin | Massey | Action Network | Composite Avg | Vegas Line | Difference vs SP+ | Difference vs Sagarin | Difference vs Massey | Difference vs Action Network | Difference vs Composite |
| ELON/WAKE FOREST | -21.50 | -31.00 | -31.50 | -24.00 | -27.00 | -28.50 | -7.00 | 2.50 | 3.00 | -4.50 | -1.50 |
| RHODE ISLAND/GEORGIA STATE | -6.50 | -18.50 | -21.50 | -12.00 | -14.63 | -17.50 | -11.00 | 1.00 | 4.00 | -5.50 | -2.88 |
| SF PA / WMU | -3.00 | -22.00 | -27.50 | -6.50 | -14.75 | -14.00 | -11.00 | 8.00 | 13.50 | -7.50 | 0.75 |
| NC A&T/UAB | -12.00 | -24.00 | -31.50 | -24.50 | -23.00 | -22.50 | -10.50 | 1.50 | 9.00 | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| ARKANSAS PINE BLUFF/ TULSA | -31.00 | -38.50 | -43.50 | -40.50 | -38.38 | -39.00 | -8.00 | -0.50 | 4.50 | 1.50 | -0.63 |
| SOUTH DAKOTA/ MISSOURI | -33.00 | -25.00 | -29.50 | -30.00 | -29.38 | -28.50 | 4.50 | -3.50 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.88 |
| SOUTHERN UTA/ ARIZONA STATE | -21.00 | -31.50 | -32.50 | -29.50 | -28.63 | -31.50 | -10.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | -2.00 | -2.88 |
carolinablue
College Football Guru
BM lines coming out now
carolinablue
College Football Guru
Mizzou now up to 30 at BOL
carolinablue
College Football Guru
Wake up to 28.5 at BOL
carolinablue
College Football Guru
Missouri 28 112 at BM
carolinablue
College Football Guru
Tulsa 38 112 at BM but 39.5 125 at BOL
carolinablue
College Football Guru
St Francis +15 142 (wow) at BM
satnightfever05
Pretty much a regular
Already at 14
carolinablue
College Football Guru
Wake up to 30 at BM after starting at 22.5 at Betrivers around noon
carolinablue
College Football Guru
URI down to 16.5 at BOL
carolinablue
College Football Guru
St Francis +12.5 115 at BOL
carolinablue
College Football Guru
Curious to see how a couple of these games actually play out, namely Wake, WMU and URI as that will give me at least a little insight as to what to potentially expect with regard to how to read line moves on these. Small sample size I know, but I am always interested in that kind of stuff...
carolinablue
College Football Guru
A&T now +23 134 at BM
carolinablue
College Football Guru
Now 21 112....no wait, now 22.5 112, this is like day trading haha
carolinablue
College Football Guru
Nice work with this by the way!
s--k
Goodbye to Romance College Football
Acutally URI is decent ATS vs FBS and Georgia State hasn't played FCS in a while, but if poor ATS vs them.
URI vs FBS
2022 - at Pitt Lost 24-45 (+33)
2021 - at UMass Won 35-22 (+1)
2019 - at Ohio Lost 20-41 (+25)
2019 - at Virginia Tech Lost 17-34 (+25)
2018 - at UConn 49-53 Lost (+8.5)
Georgia State vs FCS
2019 - vs Furman Won 48-42 (-7) - Furman led 20-3, but was down by 10 and 13 in the 4th)
2018 - vs Kennesaw Won 24-21 (-3) - Georgia State never led until the final minute of the game
2017 - vs Tennessee State Lost 10-17 (-15)
2016 - vs UT Martin Won 31-6 (-13_
steponaduck
Pretty much a regular
I took a stab at Lamar + Idaho over 51 -116 on heritage.
steponaduck
Pretty much a regular
yes that play could be solid also
carolinablue
College Football Guru
Added 3 more to go with Mizzou -28 125 (BOL)
Added
7:00pm Furman -25 115 (BOL) - FCS
7:30pm Youngstown State -27.5 122 (BM) - FCS
8:00pm Abilene Christian -13 121 (BM) - FCS
Added
7:00pm Furman -25 115 (BOL) - FCS
7:30pm Youngstown State -27.5 122 (BM) - FCS
8:00pm Abilene Christian -13 121 (BM) - FCS
carolinablue
College Football Guru
Missouri down to 26, nice....Never fails that I focus on the one bad line vs the 438 good ones I got haha
carolinablue
College Football Guru
ACU now down to -12 BUT at least Youngstown is now up to 31.5 so that makes me feel a little better ha
carolinablue
College Football Guru
Going to jot down all my potentials in terms of target lines I will play Saturday if I see them at BOL or BM, so I can be ready to strike without overthinking it too much
steponaduck
Pretty much a regular
3163027 - Football - Idaho vs Lamar / Game / Total / Over 51 -116
carolinablue
College Football Guru
Nice job getting the 51!
2daBank
Voice of Reason
In a sense ya gotta find things that work in as small a sample as possible, by time the sample size is big enough for folks to give it merit they have caught on!
steponaduck
Pretty much a regular
| Game | SP+ | Sagarin | Massey | Action Network | Composite Avg | Vegas Line | Difference vs SP+ | Difference vs Sagarin | Difference vs Massey | Difference vs Action Network | Difference vs Composite | Winner | Loser | Margin | Result vs SP+ | Result vs Sagarin | Result vs Massey | Result vs Action | Result vs Composite | Result vs Vegas |
| ELON/WAKE FOREST | -21.50 | -31.00 | -31.50 | -24.00 | -27.00 | -25.00 | -3.50 | 6.00 | 6.50 | -1.00 | 2.00 | WAKE FOREST | ELON | 20 | Loss | Loss | Loss | Loss | Loss | Loss |
| RHODE ISLAND/GEORGIA STATE | -6.50 | -18.50 | -21.50 | -12.00 | -14.63 | -17.50 | -11.00 | 1.00 | 4.00 | -5.50 | -2.88 | GA STATE | RIU | 7 | Loss | Loss | Loss | Loss | Loss | Loss |
| SF PA / WMU | -3.00 | -22.00 | -27.50 | -6.50 | -14.75 | -13.00 | -10.00 | 9.00 | 14.50 | -6.50 | 1.75 | WMU | SF PA | 18 | Win | Loss | Loss | Win | Win | Win |
| NC A&T/UAB | -12.00 | -24.00 | -31.50 | -24.50 | -23.00 | -22.50 | -10.50 | 1.50 | 9.00 | 2.00 | 0.50 | UAB | NC A&T | 29 | Win | Win | Loss | Win | WIn | WIn |
| ARKANSAS PINE BLUFF/ TULSA | -31.00 | -38.50 | -43.50 | -40.50 | -38.38 | -36.00 | -5.00 | 2.50 | 7.50 | 4.50 | 2.38 | TULSA | UAPB | 35 | Win | Loss | Loss | Loss | Loss | Loss |
| SOUTH DAKOTA/ MISSOURI | -33.00 | -25.00 | -29.50 | -30.00 | -29.38 | -26.00 | 7.00 | -1.00 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 3.38 | MISSOURI | SDAK | 25 | Loss | PUSH | Loss | Loss | Loss | Loss |
| SOUTHERN UTA/ ARIZONA STATE | -21.00 | -31.50 | -32.50 | -29.50 | -28.63 | -31.50 | -10.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | -2.00 | -2.88 | ARIZONA STATE | SUU | 3 | Loss | Loss | Loss | Loss | Loss | Loss |
steponaduck
Pretty much a regular
here are the FCS vs FBS results after last night. FCS was 5-2 against the number with the only Non covers being SFPA +13,14,15 whatever it was losing by 18 after cutting the lead to 21-17 in the third quarter, and NC A&T losing by 29 as +23,24,25... uab went 99 yards in the last 4 minutes and was running hurry up offense, thowing when they could hvae taken knees...scored a TD for the cover on the last play of the game.
steponaduck
Pretty much a regular
ill have an FCS play brewing int he lab tonight, along with the other two FBS plays for tonight, will post soon folks.
steponaduck
Pretty much a regular
FCS Play: kansas + Missouri State over 55.5 -122 heritage...
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I had heard trent dilfer had his team throwing the ball under a minute with a big lead, I was curious whether or not that score covered the number? Obviously it sucks but I have a certain amount of respect for coaches who cover spreads! Basically the opposite of how I feel bout Andy Reid who seemingly works for the books! Lol
