El Capo Season 2021

[EL CAPO]

Record
2019 Regular Season 269-209-13
Bowl Season 16-12
Total 285-221-13 = 56%

2020 Regular Season 123-113-5
Bowl Season 13-5
Total 136-118-5 - .535%


Picked out some win totals last few weeks - juice is awful on some of these.

Illinois O 3.5 Wins (-140)
Western Michigan O 6 (-105)
Florida U 9 (-115)
Wyoming O 7.5 (-125)
Boise State U 9 (-125)
Nevada O 7.5 (-130)
West Virginia O 7 (-115)
Auburn U 7 (-110)
Buffalo U 7.5 (-130)
Miami FL U 9 (-130)
San Diego State O 6.5 (-130)
Toledo O 8.5 (-125)
Kent State O 5.5 (-120)
Colorado State U 5 (-130)
Tulsa O 6.5 (-105)
Utah O 8.5 (-150)
Tennessee U 6 (-150)
Ohio State O 11 (-115)
Kentucky O 7 (-145)
Cal O 6 (-125)

Other preseason odds I see with good value

saw an Illinois +4000 to win the Big West - don't have a bet on it due to access but hoping to make it Vegas before the season will definitely put some on it. 2 reasons - Big Ten West has no goliath. Wisconsin is the favorite and I thought we saw Pittsburgh Paul Chryst last year. This guy is a great fit for Wisconsin but his Pitt offenses sucked and was definition of mediocirty. That said the coach never seems to matter in Madison but I thought Beliema was a great coach there and I could see him rebounding at Illinois. No team was hit harder in covid last year than Illinois I thought. Super senior team, up there with best oline in big ten and a good qb - I expect the offense to be solid question will be their defense but this isn't a duke or vanderbilt team imo as the odds suggest.

Utah to win Pac 12 +450; 4th highest odds to win the pac 12 seems like good value; super young team last year faired real well now a year under belt and a good qb. Think they are the fav, with least amount of holes amongst a weak conference.

Western Michigan +1200 to win the MAC. IMO they should be a favorite with toledo and ball state.

Iowa State +2500 to win national championship - I think there is a top 6 in the country and then a gap. Bama, Georgia, Clemson, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Iowa State. ....Maybe it's just me but I couldn't notice a discernable gap between Oklahoma and Iowa State last year. Split 2 close games. Iowa State physicality stepped up there game last year on the lines.

Heismans - my 3 picks would be JT Daniels, Stroud, and Breece Hall based on odds/chances. Another sleeper could be Bijan and Texas in general, as that was a team that wasn't far behind either iowa state or oklahoma on the field last year. Kind of an underrated team to end the year. Not far away. Lot of potential there but who knows how the coach transition will go and they always underachieve.

Non Power 5s - I'm going to predict a very good showing from non power 5 in nonconference. And I will root for all of them with the big schools trying to leave everyone else out. Specifically teams like Toledo, Ball State, San Jose, Western, were top 50 , top 30 teams to end last year and going against teams I had rated in the same range to end the year.


Week 1 Picks so far
Illinois +7 vs nebraska
Western Michigan +17 @ Michigan (2)
San Jose State +16 @ USC (3)
West Virginia -3 @ Maryland (1.5)
Kentucky -29 vs ULM (1.5)
UCF - 4 vs Boise State (1.5)
Texas -9.5 vs Louisiana Lafeyette (1.5)
Tennessee - 33.5 vs Bowling Green (1.5)
Arkansas -20 vs Rice
Marshall -2 @ Navy
Northern Illinois +17.5 @ Georgia Tech
Alabama -18.5 vs Miami FL
Ohio State -13.5 @ Minnesota
San Diego State -31 vs New mexico state
pittsburgh -38 vs umass
illinois -5.5 vs utsa
kansas state -2 vs stanford
ole miss -9 vs louisville
rutgers -14 vs temple
duke -6 @ charlotte

nebraska/illinois o 54.5
arkansas/rice o 50.5
baylor/texas state u 57 (2)
sparty/nw u 45
penn state/wisconsin u 53.5
indiana/iowa u 48.5
northern illinois/georgia tech o 56 (2)
missouri/central michigan o 60.5 (1.5)
stanford/kansas state u 52
tulane/oklahoma o 69
Duke/charlotte o 59 (1.5)
Louisville/Ole Miss o 74.5
west virginia/maryland u 57.5
usf/nc state o 58
illinois/utsa u 49
fau/florida u 52
alabama/miami fl u 61.5
arizona/byu u 54
clemson/georgia u 52 (1/2)
cal/nevada u 52 (1/2)
marshall/navy u 47 (1/2)
pitt/umass u 56 (1/2)
sdstu/new mex u 52 (1/2)

sides 12-7; 2.5 units
totals 13-9; 2.5 units
total 25-16; +5 units


leans
clemson -3
sparty 3.5
lsu -3
app state -10

game futures
ohio state -13 @ michigan
ball state +21 vs penn state (2)
georgia -7 vs florida (mgm)
lsu -2.5 vs florida

 

[Ryno14]

GL on all of em but my Vols

 

[B.A.R.]

This is exciting

 

[EL CAPO]

2-2 last night - added rutgers and duke, zona/byu u 54 and cal win total o.

 

[HUNT]

Gl capo!

 

[EL CAPO]

Week 1 Recap
26-17; +5 units.
sides 13-7; 3.5 units
totals 13-10; 1.5 units
Nothing like losing on all your multi-unit plays - the art of knowing how you fare flat betting vs tiered betting can make or break it. Huge benefits to the tiered if you are good at it - I need more tracking of it first to determine so will continue.

Week 2 picks - also going to continue with non power 5 dogs like western and san jose which blew up in my face.
Pittsburgh -2.5 @ Tennessee(3 units)
Ball State +21 @ Penn State (2 units)
California +11 (with hook) @ TCU (2 units)
Illinois +11 @ virginia (2)
Florida -28 @ south florida (2)
oTledo +18.5 @ notre dame (2)
Utah -7 @ byu (2)
Iowa State -4 vs Iowa (2)
South Carolina -2 vs East Carolina (2)
purdue -32 @ connecticut

leans:
north carolina -26 vs goergia state
san diego state +1.5 vs arizona
vandy, rutgers, temple, usc, rice, south bama, colorado

Totals:
minnesota/miami oh u 56
san diego state/arizona u 47.5
north carolina/georgia state o 61 and 66
north texas/smu o 72.5
pittsburgh/tennessee u 57.5
vanderbilt/colorado st o 51
cal/tcu u 48
kentucky/missouri u 56
iowa/iowa state u 46
rice/houston u 53
navy/air force u 41
wyoming/niu u 44.5
nc state/miss state o 55.5
oklahoma state/tulsa 53
syracuse/rutgers u 52
texas/arkansas u 57
boise/utep o 56
michigan/washington u 48.5

totals 8-10
sides 5-5
13-15 week
leans 8-3

 

[EL CAPO]

updated with some additions and had to get out of rutgers and colorado the more I looked at it the more questions. Like the card available this week see how that translates

 

[EL CAPO]

last week 13-15 (-2 units)
ytd 38-31 ytd

tough week, was much much better on my leans that didn't play. Still not good on perceived plays more confident in as well although pittsburgh was highest unit play.

Week 3:
2 units
oklahoma -22 vs nebraska (nebraska can't pass. if you can't pass on illinois you have ability to get smoked when behind imo)
army -32.5 @ uconn (academy shouldn't have a let down and could still cover if they do)
san jose state -7 @ hawaii (feel like this line should be 14, hawaii looks like pure fade material but always shocks at home when you don't expect)
purdue +7 @ notre dame (purdue an improved team with new dc from marshall and notre dame is showing too be average)
sparty +7 @ miami fl (canes appear to be average acc team, sparty improved and love tucker as a dog)
1.5 units
tamu -28 vs new mexico (kent state better then new mex; don't see new mex scoring here much at all and aggies should bounceback off loss)
kent state 22 @ iowa - (impressed with kent @ tamu and iowa doesn't blow teams out)
Georgia state -2.5 vs charlotte (georgia state just played 2 great teams but were power rated above charlotte before that imo by a touchdown)
northwestern -3 @ duke (hunter johnson impressed me much better passing attack then duke)
colorado -2.5 (new 4 man front for colorado, better defense than minnesota)
1 unit
maryland -7 @ illinois (eyes saw a surprisingly well improved locksley team and illinois has looked like garbage outside of a nebraska team they matchup well with)
ole miss -14 (tulane typically does not cover against these offenses outside of oklahoma)
east carolina + 10 (I think i like marshall of last year vs ecu. Ecu prefers this style imo)
mississippi state -3 @ memphis ( ? line should be higher)
clemson -28 vs georgia tech
ball state +7 @ wyoming w hook
5-11

nw/duke o 50.5 (nw is an over team this year) (2 unit)
penn state/auburn u 51.5 (d strong point of both teams)
georgia tech/clemson o 51 (clemson covered this by themselves last year and could again)
east carolina/marshall o 52.5 (marshall is all pass now instead of student body middle)
michigan/niu o 54.5 (anticipate 40s for michigan and northern will try to score more than western did)
byu/arizona state u 49.5
ole miss/tulane o 72
louisville/ucf u 67 (lville d limited explosives vs ole miss, ville offense not great)
colorado/minnesota u 49
iowa/kent state u 56
wyoming/ball state u 53.5

totals 8-3;
sides 5-11
13-14


leans
tulsa +25 (ohio state should not be favored by that over any decent football team)
nevada -2 @ kansas state (carson strong for heisman; feel nevada is superior but have to keep kansas state run game in check)
cincy -3 (cincinnati feels better but indiana is alot better than the iowa game)
ucla -10 (fresno still had a bad run d last year)
western michigan/pitt u 62 (is sky moore out because western cannot score without him)
west virginia (situation favors wvu, not sold on tech)
baylor -17 (baylor more improved than kansas)

 

[HUNT]

last week 13-15 (-2 units)
ytd 38-31 ytd

tough week, was much much better on my leans that didn't play. Still not good on perceived plays more confident in as well although pittsburgh was highest unit play.

Week 3:
2 units
oklahoma -22 vs nebraska (nebraska can't pass. if you can't pass on illinois you have ability to get smoked when behind imo)
army -32.5 @ uconn (academy shouldn't have a let down and could still cover if they do)
san jose state -7 @ hawaii (feel like this line should be 14, hawaii looks like pure fade material but always shocks at home when you don't expect)
purdue +7 @ notre dame (purdue an improved team with new dc from marshall and notre dame is showing too be average)
sparty +7 @ miami fl (canes appear to be average acc team, sparty improved and love tucker as a dog)
1.5 units
tamu -28 vs new mexico (kent state better then new mex; don't see new mex scoring here much at all and aggies should bounceback off loss)
kent state 22 @ iowa - (impressed with kent @ tamu and iowa doesn't blow teams out)
Georgia state -2.5 vs charlotte (georgia state just played 2 great teams but were power rated above charlotte before that imo by a touchdown)
northwestern -3 @ duke (hunter johnson impressed me much better passing attack then duke)
colorado -2.5 (new 4 man front for colorado, better defense than minnesota)
1 unit
maryland -7 @ illinois (eyes saw a surprisingly well improved locksley team and illinois has looked like garbage outside of a nebraska team they matchup well with)
ole miss -14 (tulane typically does not cover against these offenses outside of oklahoma)
east carolina + 10 (I think i like marshall of last year vs ecu. Ecu prefers this style imo)
mississippi state -3 @ memphis ( ? line should be higher)
clemson -28 vs georgia tech
ball state +7 @ wyoming w hook


nw/duke o 50.5 (nw is an over team this year) (2 unit)
penn state/auburn u 51.5 (d strong point of both teams)
georgia tech/clemson o 51 (clemson covered this by themselves last year and could again)
east carolina/marshall o 52.5 (marshall is all pass now instead of student body middle)
michigan/niu o 54.5 (anticipate 40s for michigan and northern will try to score more than western did)
byu/arizona state u 49.5
ole miss/tulane o 72
louisville/ucf u 67 (lville d limited explosives vs ole miss, ville offense not great)
colorado/minnesota u 49
iowa/kent state u 56
wyoming/ball state u 53.5


leans
tulsa +25 (ohio state should not be favored by that over any decent football team)
nevada -2 @ kansas state (carson strong for heisman; feel nevada is superior but have to keep kansas state run game in check)
cincy -3 (cincinnati feels better but indiana is alot better than the iowa game)
ucla -10 (fresno still had a bad run d last year)
western michigan/pitt u 62 (is sky moore out because western cannot score without him)
west virginia (situation favors wvu, not sold on tech)
baylor -17 (baylor more improved than kansas)

Good luck El!

 

[EL CAPO]

13-14 last week bad beats on army and kent state

week 4
2 unit
western michigan +2 vs san jose state (travel from hawaii for san jose to eastcoast, san jose looks like shell of itself)
florida -20.5 vs tennessee (not sold on vols, pittsburgh made them look better than they are)
arkansas +6 vs texas am (jimbos team struggling, arkansas beat texas, has a running qb and series always close.)
california +7.5 @ washington (cal great dog, washington still overrated, cal better pass game)
west virginia + 17 @ oklahoma (oklahoma doesn't look right first 2 games, neal brown good road team)
nc state +10 vs clemson (clemson offense isn't right)
illinois +11 @ purdue (illinois has done well vs purdue recently and purdue isn't a good fav)
1
ucla -4 @ stanford (rushing advantage should be enormous)
kentucky -5.5 @ south carolina (2 different ratings coming into season, uk has a better oline than cocks, missouri > east carolina)
fau +4 @ air force ( just played an option team in georgia southern. FAU qb has chops)
sparty -5 vs huskers (not sold on huskers. Average team. sparty above avg, 7-14 point victory)
kansas state +7 @ okie state (2 mirror images)

2
tulane/uab u 56
wisconsin/nd u 46
clemson/nc state u 47
okie state/kansas state u 46.5
1
texas am/arkansas u 47
sparty/nebraska u 51
oklahoma/wvu u 56.5
washington/cal u 47.5
kent state/maryland u 70
iowa/colorado state u 44.5
toledo/ball state u 57
michigan/rutgers u 49
iowa state/baylor u 46.5
lsu/miss state u 56.5
florida/tennessee u 64
ucla/stanford o 59

leans
unc -13
unc/gt o 65
smu/tcu o 65.5
navy/houston o 47
iowa state - 7
utah state 9

sides 9-3
totals 11-5
total 20-8

 

[EL CAPO]

week 4 recap ; 20-8 what should of been 22-6 without wisky/nd and clemson/ncstu under bad beats.
71-53 season
40-27 totals
31-26 sides

3
ole miss +14.5 @ alabama (bama lost alot to graduation and doesn't look vintage bama and ole miss d looks improved)
nebraska -10 vs northwestern (northwestern is 2019 version but without a d)
2
mississippi state +9.5 @ tamu (texas am still looks bad)
army -5 @ ball state (army should dominate the rushing angle)
fresno state -10 @ hawaii (fresno beat ucla competed with oregon, hawaii getting crushed by pac)
vanderbilt -14 vs uconn (vandy should be plenty motivated off a big loss and believing wyoming played down to keep it close with uconn)
cincinnati -2 @ notre dame (last years cincy team beats this irish team. cincy knows how to win close, irish benefit of playing 2 inept offenses in a row)
utah state +8 vs byu (not buying byu, byu d ranks low in sp stats. Utah state looks much improved, at home)
kansas state +10.5 vs oklahoma (ksu at home as a dog , always play oklahoma tough, ksu as good as tulane and west virginia)
nevada +7 w hook @ boise (2 pretty equal teams)
1
uab -2.5 vs liberty (uab opening new stadium expect to have better d and rush battle)
unc -18 vs duke (unc dominates after a loss)
maryland +4 vs iowa (think marylands short screen game may match up well with iowa, more explosive team and showed well vs west virginia)
georgia first half -7
wisconsin -1 vs michigan (2 rushing teams think wisky lines are better)
indiana +11 @ penn state (not buying penn state love and indiana dissapointment)
tulane-3 @ east carolina (tulane needs a win, should dominate line of scrimmage rush)
illinois -10 vs charlotte (illinois needs a win gets a chance to take out frustration with ground and pound mismatch, hoping d hangs on)
tulsa -3 @ houston (tulsa played okie state tough, feel they are better)
syracuse +5 @ florida state (cuse looked fundamental, well coached and improved. fsu getting blown out last week. fsu could win but a cuse bet on principle)
boston college +16 @ clemson (not sold on bc's offense playing missouri, but with cemsons offense game has to be played on principle)

sides 9-11 (-2 units)
totals 10-9 (+1 unit)
total 19-19 (-1 units)

2
bama/ole miss u 79.5
oklahoma/kansas state u 52
cincy/notre dame u 51
bc/clemson u 47.5
mississippi state/tamu u 46
troy/south carolina u 44
nevada/boise state u 59
cal/washington state u 53
air force/new mexico u 45
1
minnesota/purdue u 46.5
liberty/uab u 50.5
duke/unc o 69
michigan/wisconsin u 44
houston/tulsa u 54.5
baylor/okie state u 47.5
bc team total u 15.5
syracuse/forida state u 51
tennessee/missouri o 65.5
app state/georgia state u 54.5


leans
okie state -4 vs baylor
lville/wake u 62
western kentucky +11 @ michigan state
tcu/texas o
arizona state +3.5 @ ucla

 

[HUNT]

gl bro

 

[EL CAPO]

last week
sides 9-11 (-2 units)
totals 10-9 (+1 unit)
total 19-19 (-1 units)

90-72 season
50-36 totals
40-37 sides

Week 6
sparty -5.5 @ rutgers (sparty a play on team. better offense. rutgers were outgained last year by most foes and although are gritty still a level below good quality teams. revenge for sparty)
Colorado State -2.5 vs san jose state (jose looks bad can't throw and csu rush defense great, colorado state beat toledo competed with iowa but lost to vandy)
louisville -2 vs virginia (uva hasn't won back to back acc road games since 2011. ville been undervalued with +7 at wake, more balanced with better run game, thinking uva linebackers are weak and won't contain cunningham read options)
uconn -2 @ umass (uconn o vastly improved since noel mazzone, outgaining vandy. appear more physical on lines than umass. concern is covid issues)
ole miss -5.5 vs arkansas (2 teams off losses, thinking ole miss defense more improved than a leaking arkansas d to end last year. qb mismatch. 1 team can throw)
west virginia +3.5 @ baylor (2 bad offenses good defenses pickem)
wyoming 5.5 @ air force (cowboys off bye and tough run d; always defending option well. seems like a pickem)
kent state -5.5 vs buffalo (banking on buffalo o too be stagnant and kent o too take off on lesser competition. revenge for kent. Concern is buffalo's d still looks good and kent red zone is bad)
bowling green -13 vs akron (seems like 2 different class of teams)
western kentucky -3 (utsa running game under 4 ypc against weak competition. think wku's strength they do better than utsa's strength.)
utep -2 (utep just better team so far. frosh qb threw 4 picks vs veteran qb for utep)

sparty/rutgers u 52
utsa/wku o 71
illinois/wisconsin u 42.5
west virginia/baylor u 44.5
san jose state/colorado state u 47
wyoming/air force u 46.5
uab/fau u 49
notre dame/virginia tech u 48
nebraska/michigan u 51.5
akron/bg u 46
new mexico/san diego state u 42.5
mississippi/arkansas u 66.5
auburn/georgia u 47
smu/navy o 55.5
kent state/buffalo u 65
south carolina/tennessee u 56.5
georgia southern/troy u 51
uconn/umass o 56

totals 8-9
sides 4-7
total 12-16

leans:
lsu +3.5 @ kentucky
bama -17.5 @ tamu

 

[EL CAPO]

last week
totals 8-9
sides 4-7
total 12-17

ytd
totals 58-45
sides 44-44
total 102-89



app state -4 @ louisiana
2
syracuse 14 vs clemson
rutgers -1 @ northwestern
kent state 7 @ western michigan
okie state 5.5 @ texas
california 14 @ oregon
army 14 @ wisconsin
1
florida -10 @ lsu
arizona state -1 @ utah
kentucky 23.5 @ georgia
colorado state -10 @ new mexico
ole miss -3 @ tennessee
uab -16 @ southern miss
tamu - 8.5 @ missouri
toledo -5 @ cmu
purdue 11.5 @ iowa

2
army/wisky u 41.5
baylor/byu u 49
san jose/san diego u 43
1
cal/oregon u 54
clemson/cuse u 44.5
bowling green/niu u 48
purdue/iowa u 44
south carolina/vandy u 51
colorado state/new mexico u 45.5
tamu/missouri o 60
georgia/kentucky u 45
arkansas/auburn u 54
florida/lsu o 59

leans:
mississippi state +17 vs bama
ucla +2 vs washington

10-3 totals
10-6 sides
20-9 total

 

[EL CAPO]

68-48 totals
54-50 sides
122-98 ytd

2
ohio state -20.5 @ indiana
michigan -24 vs northwestern
east carolina +14 @ houston
1
nevada 3.5 @ fresno state
syracuse 3.5 @ virginia tech
lsu 9.5 @ mississippi
liberty -21 @ north texas

2
air force/san diego state u 40
oklahoma state/iowa state u 48
colorado state/utah state o 57
1
cal/colorado u 44
va tech/cuse u 46.5
uab/rice u 44.5
washington state/byu u 56.5
arizona/washington u 46
penn state/illionis u 46

sides 5-2
totals 6-3
total 11-5

 

[EL CAPO]

74-51 toals
59-52 sides
133-103 ytd


BYU -1.5 vs virginia
michigan state +4 vs michigan
washington state +15 @ arizona state
miami fl +11 @ pittsburgh
cincinnati -24 @ tulane
florida state +10 @ clemson
purdue +7.5 @ nebraska
florida 14.5 vs georgia
louisville +7 @ nc state
wyoming +3.5 @ san jose state
north carolina +4.5 @ notre dame
georgia state -4 @ georgia southern
northwestern 7.5 vs minnesota

 

[HUNT]

74-51 toals
59-52 sides
133-103 ytd


BYU -1.5 vs virginia
michigan state +4 vs michigan
washington state +15 @ arizona state
miami fl +11 @ pittsburgh
cincinnati -24 @ tulane
florida state +10 @ clemson
purdue +7.5 @ nebraska
florida 14.5 vs georgia
louisville +7 @ nc state
wyoming +3.5 @ san jose state
north carolina +4.5 @ notre dame
georgia state -4 @ georgia southern
northwestern 7.5 vs minnesota

Great work capo

 

[2daBank]

Awesome job you doing with totals man.

 

[B.A.R.]

Very solid season Capo

 

[EL CAPO]

added
navy +11 @ tulsa
oregon -24 vs colorado
oklahoma state -30 vs kansas
ucf -11 @ temple
navy/tulsa u 46
wisky/iowa u 37
maryland/indiana u 48.5
minnesota/nw u 43.5
rutgers/illinois u 42.5
florida state/clemson u 48
georgia/florida u 51
north texas/rice u 56
virginia/byu u 65
oregon state/cal u 56
san jose/wyoming u 40.5
kentucky/miss state u 47.5
colorado/oregon u 49.5
texas/baylor o 61
unc/notre dame u 62
oklahoma/texas tech o 66.5
san diego state/fresno state u 44
ucf/temple u 52

 

[2daBank]

holy cow, that's a lot of unders!!

i like the hoosiers/terps one!

 

[EL CAPO]

adding iowa +3.5, ohio state; buying off nw and washington state

3
BYU -1.5 vs virginia
2
michigan state +4 vs michigan
ohio state -19.5 vs penn state
miami fl +11 @ pittsburgh
cincinnati -24 @ tulane
florida state +10 @ clemson
florida 14.5 vs georgia
iowa +3.5 @ wisconsin
1
louisville +7 @ nc state
wyoming +3.5 @ san jose state
north carolina +4.5 @ notre dame
georgia state -4 @ georgia southern
navy +11 @ tulsa
oregon -24 vs colorado
oklahoma state -30 vs kansas
ucf -11 @ temple
purdue +7.5 @ nebraska
2
wisky/iowa u 37
maryland/indiana u 48.5
minnesota/nw u 43.5
rutgers/illinois u 42.5
san jose/wyoming u 40.5
1
navy/tulsa u 46
florida state/clemson u 48
georgia/florida u 51
north texas/rice u 56
virginia/byu u 65
oregon state/cal u 56
kentucky/miss state u 47.5
colorado/oregon u 49.5
texas/baylor o 61
unc/notre dame u 62
oklahoma/texas tech o 66.5
san diego state/fresno state u 44
ucf/temple u 52

totals 6-12
sides 9-7
15-19

 

[EL CAPO]

80-63 totals
67-59 sides
147-122, .547 percent

week 10
toledo/eastern michigan u 54
northern illinois +3.5 @ kent state
miami oh -7 @ ohio

 

[EL CAPO]

georgia state +14 w hook @ louisiana
mississippi state 5.5 @ arkansas
nevada -9.5 @ san jose state
san diego state -7 @ hawaii
utah -9 @ stanford
wisconsin -13 @ rutgers
kansas state -24 @ kansas
utep +12 vs utsa
old dominion -3 @ florida international

va tech/bc u 47.5
iowa/northwestern u 40.5
clemson/louisville u 46
army/air force u 37
wisconsin/rutgers u 37.5
kansas/kansas state u 56
penn state/maryland u 56
colorado state/wyoming u 41

 

[EL CAPO]

2
mississippi state 5.5 @ arkansas
nevada -9.5 @ san jose state
utah -9 @ stanford
old dominion -3 @ florida international
florida - 20.5 @ south carolina
1
san diego state -7 @ hawaii
wisconsin -13 @ rutgers
georgia state +14 w hook @ louisiana
kansas state -24 @ kansas
utep +12 vs utsa
oregon state -10.5 @ colorado
illinois +14.5 @ minnesota
purdue +3 vs michigan state
northern illinois +3.5 @ kent state
miami oh -7 @ ohio
2
colorado state/wyoming u 41
iowa/northwestern u 40.5
1
oregon state/colorado o 54.5
san diego state/hawaii u 45.5
va tech/bc u 47.5
clemson/louisville u 46
army/air force u 37
wisconsin/rutgers u 37.5
kansas/kansas state u 56
auburn/tamu u 50.5
smu/memphis o 70
notre dame/navy o 47.5
toledo/eastern michigan u 54

sides 8-6
totals 7-6

 

[EL CAPO]

last week 15-12; could of been a decent 15-9 week without action on the stupid maction

87-68 totals
75-65 sides
162-133,, 55 %

week 11
2
wyoming +14 @ boise state
washington state +14 @ oregon
arkansas -2 @ lsu
arizona state -5.5 @ washington
mississippi state +5.5 @ auburn
minnesota +5.5 @ iowa
boston college +2.5 @ georgia tech
1
north carolina +6 @ pittsburgh
west virginia +7 w hook @ kansas state
uab +4.5 @ marshall
utah -23 @ arizona
wisconsin -24 vs northwestern
georgia state +10.5 @ coastal carolina
western kentucky -18 @ rice
utep -2 @ north texas
air force -2.5 @ colorado state
houston -25 @ temple
michigan -2 @ penn state


michigan/penn state u 47
minnesota/iowa u 37
rice/western kentucky o 61.5
old dominion/fau u 50
troy/louisiana u 48
uab/marshall o 54.5
south carolina/missouri o 55
oregon/washington state u 56
stanford/oregon state o 56
ucla/colorado o 57
florida state/miami o 61
san diego state/nevada u 45
georgia state/coastal o 52

edit: downgraded georgia, just not sure i wanna lay 20 on road at night in sec. added michigan, houston., sdstu u , fsu miami o, coastal georgia st o
leans:
georgia -20.5 @ tennessee

sides 12-5
totals 7-5
19-10 week

 

[EL CAPO]

87-70 sides
94-73 totals
181-143, 56%

2
auburn -7 @ missouri
minnesota -7 @ indiana
iowa state +3.5 @ oklahoma
1
eastern michigan +6 vs western michigan
florida state +3 @ boston college
illinois +12 @ iowa
northwestern +11.5 vs purdue
michigan state +19.5 @ ohio state
notre dame - 16.5 vs georgia tech
syracuse +11.5 @ nc state

ohio state/michigan state o 67
wake forest/clemson u 57
bc/florida state o 54
baylor/kansas state u 49.5

 

[B.A.R.]

Good hit on Eastern, GL all week Capo

 

[EL CAPO]

add:
virginia +15 @ pittsburgh
louisville -20 @ duke
kent state -13 @ akron
north texas -10 @ florida international
oklahoma state -10 @ texas tech
california -1.5 @ stanford
wake forest +4 @ clemson
navy +4 vs east carolina
virginia tech +8 @ miami fl
byu -19.5 @ georgia southern
ucla -3 @ usc
colorado +7 vs washington

navy/east carolina u 47
illinois/iowa u 38.5
san diego state/unlv u 41
virginia tech/miami fl u 56
utah/oregon u 59.5
rice/utep u 48
alabama/arkansas u 59
byu/georgia southern u 57.5

 

[EL CAPO]

updated card

2
auburn -7 @ missouri
minnesota -7 @ indiana
virginia +15 @ pittsburgh
1
iowa state +3.5 @ oklahoma
eastern michigan +6 vs western michigan
florida state +3 @ boston college
illinois +12 @ iowa
northwestern +11.5 vs purdue
michigan state +19.5 @ ohio state
notre dame - 16.5 vs georgia tech
syracuse +11.5 @ nc state
louisville -20 @ duke
kent state -13 @ akron
north texas -10 @ florida international
oklahoma state -10 @ texas tech
california -1.5 @ stanford
wake forest +4 @ clemson
navy +4 vs east carolina
virginia tech +8 @ miami fl
byu -19.5 @ georgia southern
ucla -3 @ usc
colorado +7 vs washington

2
wake forest/clemson u 57
bc/florida state o 54
illinois/iowa u 38.5
1
ohio state/michigan state o 67
navy/east carolina u 47
san diego state/unlv u 41
virginia tech/miami fl u 56
utah/oregon u 59.5
rice/utep u 48
alabama/arkansas u 59
byu/georgia southern u 57.5

14-8 sides
2-9 totals
16-17

 

[EL CAPO]

101-78 sides
96-82 totals
197-160, 55%

week 13

2
miami oh -1 @ kent state
washington state -1 @ washington
california +7 @ ucla
florida state +2.5 @ florida
missouri +15 @ arkansas
navy -12.5 @ temple
notre dame -20 @ stanford
1
georgia -35 @ georgia tech
utah state -16 @ new mexico
liberty -3 vs army
eastern michigan +8.5 @ central michigan

lsu/texas am u 46.5
ohio/bowling green u 48.5
san diego state/boise state u 44.5
washington/washington state u 44.5
florida/florida state u 59
nebraska/iowa u 41.5
clemson/south carolina u 43.5
oklahoma/oklahoma state u 49.5
nevada/colorado state o 56.5
northwestern/illinois u 45

totals 6-4
sides 5-6
11-10

 

[EL CAPO]

106-84 sides
102-86 totals
208-170, 55%

kent state -3 vs northern illinois
cincinnati/houston u 52
bama/georgia u 49.5
utah state/san diego state u 50
western kentucky/utsa o 72.5
baylor/okie st u 46.5
kent state/northern illinois o 73

lean
cal
iowa

2-5

 

[EL CAPO]

106-85 sides
104-90 totals
210-175

army/navy u 36.5

BOWLS
2
wyoming -3 vs kent state
army -3 vs missouri
minnesota -4 vs west virginia
boston college -3 vs east carolina
wisconsin -7 vs arizona state
texas am -5 vs wake forest
oklahoma state -2.5 vs notre dame
baylor pickem vs ole miss
1
eastern michigan +10.5 vs liberty
uab +8.5 vs byu
old dominion +8.5 vs tulsa
western michigan +7 vs nevada
hawaii +4 vs memphis
oklahoma -3 vs oregon
tennessee - 3 vs purdue
auburn -3 vs houston
michigan state +4.5 vs pittsburgh
washington state +3 vs miami fl

georgia/michigan u 44
alabama/cincinnati u 58
coastal carolina/niu o 63.5
marshall/western kentucky o 68
eastern michigan/liberty o 57
florida/ucf u 57.5
nc state/ucla u 61
tulsa/old dominion u 51.5
purdue/tennessee o 58
oregon state/utah state o 62.5
michigan state/pitt o 62.5
kentucky/iowa u 45
uab/byu u 55
clemson/iowa state u 45.5
minnesota/west virginia u 45.5
arkansas/penn state u 46

 

[s--k]

wisconsin -7 vs arizona state

I was assuming I'd be playing Wisconsin as well. I typically only play a few favorites a week and was surprised to see UW laying the TD out west here so gave me pause. UW O being what it is, they are just going to have to beat ASU up and hold them to a lower scoring game. Is that what you think? I'm not a fan of how this ASU bunch has played their season and don't expect them to play their best game to end it.

 

[EL CAPO]

I was assuming I'd be playing Wisconsin as well. I typically only play a few favorites a week and was surprised to see UW laying the TD out west here so gave me pause. UW O being what it is, they are just going to have to beat ASU up and hold them to a lower scoring game. Is that what you think? I'm not a fan of how this ASU bunch has played their season and don't expect them to play their best game to end it.

Wisconsin was a team I wanted to back in bowl season before the games were released mainly because of that defense and how they perform in bowls.. Still one of best defenses in the country. Top 3 probably. And Chryst is 5-1 in bowl games. This is the best team Arizona State has faced entire year minus utah.

Risks though - is badgers covering as a fav certainly. A team you like at -3 more than 7. And herm a better dog than fav.......but to me as a whole not alot to like about Arizona State. To me - no juice in that program. Was last few years and up to the utah game this year. Since Utah have played worse and worse and just look bad. Run defense isn't anything great. Oregon State kind of dominated them only had 266 total yards and gave up 5 yards a run, barely beat washington, etc. Wisconsin - before that minnesota game I thought had shuffled some olineman and were getting positive momentum. Not sure what happened there vs the gophers offensively. But I do think Minnesota is really underrated and I team I was also looking to play vs pretty much anyone. At end of day I just like Wisconsin better than herms bunch, think Wisconsin is a better team, and I have alot more I can hang my hat on and trust. Could see 27-13 type game

 

[EL CAPO]

21-10 bowl season

adding georgia -3

 

[wiseplayer]

21-10 bowl season

adding georgia -3

Great job. Enjoy your posts. GL!

 

[UTSUX]

21-10 bowl season

adding georgia -3

NICE