Doggy Bowls

I expect to take a bit of heat for this one, as I'm a big sweaty pussy, but I've got to take a shot at the middle with this much at risk

Second half Texas +7.5 -110 1.5 units
 
Almost hit the middle with Texas fingerblasting themselves on the drive late in the fourth, but Ducks win with no trouble.

The amount of love this Arizona State team is getting cracks me up.

Texas Tech +16.5 -110 two units
TTech first half +9.5 -105 one unit
 
PAC 12 is crushing bowls bro. No Grice is big for ASU. Dude does it all.

Gl bro keep it rollin
 
Hunt diggity dog. Happy New Year brother. I hear ya on the Pac 10 but this number's out of hand. We'll see soon.

GL the rest of the way
 
Happy New Year's

Tina, Tina, the sperm cleana.

nice hit on that first half of tech
 
Took er to my house and told her to strip....

Getting the now, will have some thoughts in the am:

BC +7 -108 one unit
BC +240 .5 unit
 
Kicking myself for not playing a unit on TT Su last night. Complete beatdown by the Raiders.

Bowls YTD 11-15 +7.135 units

BC and BC ML pending

I've gone over this game a number of times and don't understand why Zona is favored by more than 3. They have a much better third down percentage, but across all the numbers, these teams are fairly even. Both like to run the ball, and suck at throwing it. BC defends the rush better than Zona. Both limit penalties, have even turnover margins. BC has played much better down the stretch and comes in on a nice run. Aside from Zona's win vs. Oregon which was a bad day for the Ducks BC's wins are much more impressive. Note for halftime - both of these teams BLOW at throwing the football so if either of them are down big at the half, it makes sense to take the team who is up again in the second half. Bad passing teams forced to pass tend to turn it over, and when they do both of these teams can score.

Stat I like - BC is second in the nation in overall red zone scoring percentage.

Their D line is better than Zona's too. BC 34 - Zona 28
 
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Should have waiting til this morning to hit BC. Probably my last big play of the bowl season.

BC -108 one unit
BC -105 three units
BC +245 .5 unit
 
Thanks Tee. Always love reading your stuff. Happy New Year.

Last play of the day, cept maybe Duke. I like the way this BC game is going for now...

VT +230 half unit
VT +7 one unit
VT/UCLA over 45 2.5 units
 
I couldn't feel any worse today.

Wisky/SC Over 51 -110 2.8 units
LSU first half -4 -110 one unit
Maple Leafs +116 to win 2 units
 
Alright, let's see if we can keep this rolling. I think Stanford wins this game. Considered the ML as I'm nervous about them covering the number, but too much chalk for me. Bought a point

Stanford -6 -130 three units
 
Nice win by Sparty. Awful play calling from the Trees.

Happy New Year EM.

Baylor/UCF over 74 -110 five units
 
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After a big day yesterday, and looking at the rest of the card - I'm going to be scaling back big time the rest of the way. I haven't had time to fully cap the rest of the card, but there are a bunch of games that are tough to find much value, starting with tonight's matchup. I do have a bit of interest in the Clemson/OSU game, and the NC game, and Ball State is worth a long long, but that number may be a bit lofty.

Tonight's game is interesting on a few levels with two storied programs and two legends of the coaching world meeting in the Sugar Bowl. I don't think Oklahoma matches up well at all with the Tide, but this game reminds me so much of the year Bama lost the SEC championship game to Florida and went on to play a Utah team that was roughly a 17 point dog. Bama just didn't show up, and I think they may do the same here. Tide should kill them, but I'm not confident enough to bet it. I could see the total going either way, but I may look at OU TT under for a half unit or so.

Good luck the rest of the way everyone. Been another great season of talking through games with the crew around here. :shake:
 
Gl doggy. Nice job picking spots and getting plus cash. U have a knack for it.
 
Steed, Hunt thanks playas...

D* - Altoids, Certs, Junior Mints all around baby. Get paid tonight...
 
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After a big day yesterday, and looking at the rest of the card - I'm going to be scaling back big time the rest of the way. I haven't had time to fully cap the rest of the card, but there are a bunch of games that are tough to find much value, starting with tonight's matchup. I do have a bit of interest in the Clemson/OSU game, and the NC game, and Ball State is worth a long long, but that number may be a bit lofty.

Tonight's game is interesting on a few levels with two storied programs and two legends of the coaching world meeting in the Sugar Bowl. I don't think Oklahoma matches up well at all with the Tide, but this game reminds me so much of the year Bama lost the SEC championship game to Florida and went on to play a Utah team that was roughly a 17 point dog. Bama just didn't show up, and I think they may do the same here. Tide should kill them, but I'm not confident enough to bet it. I could see the total going either way, but I may look at OU TT under for a half unit or so.

Good luck the rest of the way everyone. Been another great season of talking through games with the crew around here. :shake:


BOL. Do you think having Oklahoma on the jersey may get them more motivated than a team with Utah?
 
Maybe Dollaz. It so fucking tough to try and cap the motivation of these kids this time of year. I always try to refrain from getting sucked into the vortex that goes along with this. This is just such a classic letdown spot, that it makes it hard to ignore. Despite Bama being superior on paper, laying such a big number in what to me is a great spot for OU, coming of the Bedlam win, and a bad spot for Bama coming off the Iron Bowl debacle, that it would make it really tough for me to put any kind of substantial wager on Bama here. They look to be the right side - but ignoring the situation to me is a big mistake.

GL if you play it. UNDER is starting to look enticing to me, but this game just doesn't look appealing at all from a wagering perspective. Much better to sit and wait this one out. Someone mentioned it in another thread (Shark, I think) - we should know by halftime who showed up tonight. Probably a good way to play this one is sit and wait til half and have the motivational question answered.

Of course, there's always that +540 wager sitting there staring us all in the face. If we really think there's a chance Bama doesn't show up for this game, one could argue that being the best way to play this one...
 
Ha. Jimmy - you're good. I left my house to go to a bar at 2 pm on NYE, stayed out for 12 hours and come home beyond smashed. Not sure I even got any of yesterday's games in there, so you should be gold :)
 
Ha. Jimmy - you're good. I left my house to go to a bar at 2 pm on NYE, stayed out for 12 hours and come home beyond smashed. I didn't even get any of yesterday's games in there, so you should be gold :)

Haha!!! I just went back and check the standings and saw you weren't up there anymore, so I edited my previous post. I knew we were running neck and neck there for a while. Quite honestly I don't know how I'm doing as well as I am. I have been pretty atrocious. The only thing I have done well is put almost all of my losers at the bottom end of the pool.
 
Found an alt line and see some value in the dog. Here's to hoping the Tide got sidetracked:

OU +7.5 +210 one unit
 
Nice work, Dogg. In the zone.

Look forward to your take on the big boy league this weekend.
 
Austin, Jimmy - thanks

Em - I don't like much this weekend except KC and Frisco in the pros. Busy weekend ahead for me personally so I may not post anything in NFL forum. Think Saints>Phi but won't play dome team outside in cold ever. Other AFC game looks like either a blowout for Cincy or a SD win SU. Might play SD small ML. Good luck bro.

Got a few props I like - I'll give Dwight an assist here:

Longest TD in ORange Bowl over 52.5 -110 2.5 units
Sammy Watkins over 105.5 rec yards -110 one unit

CLemson +2.5 -105 one unit
Clemson +120 half unit

Okie St/Mizzou under 31 1st H -110 one unit


 
Nice first half with both props coming in by half. Let's play a little with the house's mulah:

Okie St/Mizz 2nd H over 31 -110 one unit

CLemson/tOSU 2nd H UNDER 37.5 -110 3.5 units


This sets up nicely for a low scoring 2nd H. Expect both teams to adjust on D, and that field is getting tore up....
 
Lets keep it rolling. Wind and some rain tonight = under

Ark St/Ball first half under 31.5 -110 two units
Full game under 64 -110 three units
 
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