ScopeY
Pretty much a regular
Christmas Games/2 Game Slate
KCC@PIT
Chiefs have a bad P/RB matchup.
Steelers have a bad P/RB matchup.
Mahomes has a meh pressure rate situation, and meh pass potential.
Russ has a bad pressure rate situation, and a meh pass potential. Najee/Warren has a bad rush potential.
Chiefs TTR is 2nd (good).
Steelers TTR is 3rd.
Pace of play is T-9th (meh). O/U Rank is 2nd.
- I guess Mahomes is just never hurt? Guy continues to get it done, it is hard to find a pairing because there are a ton of ancillary options, especially with hollywood back. I think from a PPR perspective, Worthy makes a lot of sense, he still had 27% target share last week, that was w/ the WR addition, and it came with 4 RZ targets. The rest are just shooting darts. Kelce is the cheapest he has been all year, maybe in the last 4+ years, I'll never tell you not to take him at this price, I do think the other TEs have good situations too, however if that plus his recent performances, keeps his ownership low, you may be kicking yourself for not playing him. Pass on the backfield mess, it now 4 straight weeks w/ neither RBs hitting 50% of snaps.
Warren has now led in snaps for 3 straight weeks, hitting a season high of 67% last week, even in positive run scripts I think he will slightly lead, but in negative ones, he will absolutely lead, double digit opps, with a solid ppr floor has me interested. Pickens a full participant, and the only WR I want. Take dart throws with jefferson/austin if you'd like, but I'm passing for now. I know Muth can score a TD (has in 3 of L4), but even with one, I am not sure he will have the ceiling of one of the winning TEs for this slate, I'll pass for now.
BAL@HOU
Ravens have a meh RB matchup, bad P matchup.
Texans have a meh P matchup, bad RB matchup.
Henry has a good rush potential.
Stroud has a emh pressure rate situation, but a good pass potential. Mixon has a bad rush potential.
Ravens TTR is 1st (great).
Texans TTR is 4th.
Pace of play is T-13th (meh). O/U Rank is 1st (good).
- Lamar has the highest floor/ceiling combo of the QBs here, so I get it if you go all in, but Henry has still not scored in 4 straight now, and saw his highest snap share of the season last week with Hill now on IR. I will be using Henry probably exclusively, with some Lamar stacks with him but not a lot. Flowers Q status has me concerned, if he is in, I probably underweight the WR field, if he is out, I think Wallace/Miller could be dart throwed only where multi-entering. What we would want ot go to is Andrews/Likely, as they both see the field a lot, and are obviously RZ targets for Lamar.
You have to have some Mixon, as he has the highest PPR floor on the slate, and we know he has workhorse capabilities, which only Henry truly does amongst the rest, but I won't go overboard in weight. And his snaps have trended down in his last 5/6~ games, seeing over 20 opps just once in his last 4... but again, if we can afford him and henry, or a line up or 2 where you go him over henry, I get it, because the other RBs don't truly have the upside as him. After Dell went out, Schultz saw 4 of Strouds next 7 pass attempts, I think I am going 2 TE builds a lot in this slate, mixed with a couple 3 RB ones, but Schultz will be involved in my lineups. I will also note, despite playing just over 50% of snaps, Dell had a 19.5% target share, and that is a big time rise to peoples floors. Collins should easily get 30%+ of the targets and is hard not to lock into lineups. Woods/Hutchinson seem to be the snap beneficiaries of the injury, and I think Woods is viable, I may play slightly more Hutchinson however as I think less go to him, and imo either can easily beat the other.
KCC@PIT
Chiefs have a bad P/RB matchup.
Steelers have a bad P/RB matchup.
Mahomes has a meh pressure rate situation, and meh pass potential.
Russ has a bad pressure rate situation, and a meh pass potential. Najee/Warren has a bad rush potential.
Chiefs TTR is 2nd (good).
Steelers TTR is 3rd.
Pace of play is T-9th (meh). O/U Rank is 2nd.
- I guess Mahomes is just never hurt? Guy continues to get it done, it is hard to find a pairing because there are a ton of ancillary options, especially with hollywood back. I think from a PPR perspective, Worthy makes a lot of sense, he still had 27% target share last week, that was w/ the WR addition, and it came with 4 RZ targets. The rest are just shooting darts. Kelce is the cheapest he has been all year, maybe in the last 4+ years, I'll never tell you not to take him at this price, I do think the other TEs have good situations too, however if that plus his recent performances, keeps his ownership low, you may be kicking yourself for not playing him. Pass on the backfield mess, it now 4 straight weeks w/ neither RBs hitting 50% of snaps.
Warren has now led in snaps for 3 straight weeks, hitting a season high of 67% last week, even in positive run scripts I think he will slightly lead, but in negative ones, he will absolutely lead, double digit opps, with a solid ppr floor has me interested. Pickens a full participant, and the only WR I want. Take dart throws with jefferson/austin if you'd like, but I'm passing for now. I know Muth can score a TD (has in 3 of L4), but even with one, I am not sure he will have the ceiling of one of the winning TEs for this slate, I'll pass for now.
BAL@HOU
Ravens have a meh RB matchup, bad P matchup.
Texans have a meh P matchup, bad RB matchup.
Henry has a good rush potential.
Stroud has a emh pressure rate situation, but a good pass potential. Mixon has a bad rush potential.
Ravens TTR is 1st (great).
Texans TTR is 4th.
Pace of play is T-13th (meh). O/U Rank is 1st (good).
- Lamar has the highest floor/ceiling combo of the QBs here, so I get it if you go all in, but Henry has still not scored in 4 straight now, and saw his highest snap share of the season last week with Hill now on IR. I will be using Henry probably exclusively, with some Lamar stacks with him but not a lot. Flowers Q status has me concerned, if he is in, I probably underweight the WR field, if he is out, I think Wallace/Miller could be dart throwed only where multi-entering. What we would want ot go to is Andrews/Likely, as they both see the field a lot, and are obviously RZ targets for Lamar.
You have to have some Mixon, as he has the highest PPR floor on the slate, and we know he has workhorse capabilities, which only Henry truly does amongst the rest, but I won't go overboard in weight. And his snaps have trended down in his last 5/6~ games, seeing over 20 opps just once in his last 4... but again, if we can afford him and henry, or a line up or 2 where you go him over henry, I get it, because the other RBs don't truly have the upside as him. After Dell went out, Schultz saw 4 of Strouds next 7 pass attempts, I think I am going 2 TE builds a lot in this slate, mixed with a couple 3 RB ones, but Schultz will be involved in my lineups. I will also note, despite playing just over 50% of snaps, Dell had a 19.5% target share, and that is a big time rise to peoples floors. Collins should easily get 30%+ of the targets and is hard not to lock into lineups. Woods/Hutchinson seem to be the snap beneficiaries of the injury, and I think Woods is viable, I may play slightly more Hutchinson however as I think less go to him, and imo either can easily beat the other.
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