DFS/Props Week 10 2024 Discussion

[ScopeY]

Monday Night/Showdown Slate

MIA@LAR

Dolphins have a great P matchup, meh RB matchup.
Rams have a great P matchup, good RB matchup.
Tua has a meh pressure rate situation. Achane~ has a meh rush potential.
Stafford has a meh pressure rate situation.
Pace of play is 5th.

- In the last 2 games with Tua, Hill has a good 22.5% target share/13 aDOT, there are injury concerns, and he is priced very high, but that makes him an interesting play if he is expected to be lower owned htan he should. Waddle hasn't looked great, but he is starting to get very cheap for being the WR2 on this team and having his QB back, there's a chance he is the #1 target if hill reaggravates or is more of a semi decoy tonight. Jonnu is obviously the screaming value play, if you are single entry-ing, please avoid this and hope he duds, because he will be heavily owned. Achane has an a great target share of 25%, IFFFF you think MIA plays with a lead, take a shot on Mostert, but he is a tough sell on PPR formats when Achane has been a beast, and he (mostert) is not really priced at a discount, it's hard to go there imo. Another knock on Jonnu actually is the return of Hill, he actually lead the TE core in snaps in 5 of his 6 full games and he is just $800 (even cheaper than Smythe), I may go there for my dart throw/td hunting option.

While they weren't full weeks from Kupp/Nacua, the last 2 weeks Kyren has had 30 and 25 opps, averaging 5 targets/g, everyone wants to attack this passing matchup, but Kyren is my #1 play (he also hit 99% of snaps last week --- a full CMC is the only true match). I feel like I say this every week, but even when the big 2 were fully healthy at the end of last year, D.Rob averaged 86 to 95% of snaps, which he really consistently has done this year too (although without them). Parkinson is losing time to Long/Allen, Long is fine, but Allen is floor price at $200, and has seen his snaps rise in 4 straight, hitting 55% last week (led all TEs), and had 3 targets. Play Kupp/Nacua as you please.

Added some notes

 

[ScopeY]

Waddle O46.5 Rec Yds
Kyren O13.5 Rec Yds

and a hold your nose

Parkinson U13.5 Rec Yds


Actually lean Jonnu under, but its kind of low and he has been peppered with targets.

 

[2daBank]

Waddle O46.5 Rec Yds
Kyren O13.5 Rec Yds

and a hold your nose

Parkinson U13.5 Rec Yds


Actually lean Jonnu under, but its kind of low and he has been peppered with targets.

Dare I sound stupid and ask who parkinson even is? Other than a disease i have no clue! You in danger of making plays like me on these mfers nobody heard of buddy! sometimes those the best!

 

[ScopeY]

Dare I sound stupid and ask who parkinson even is? Other than a disease i have no clue! You in danger of making plays like me on these mfers nobody heard of buddy! sometimes those the best!

the lower end players definitely a better market, but lmao

 

[2daBank]

Added some notes

I wanted to play mostert under but shit his number was low!

 

[2daBank]

the lower end players definitely a better market, but lmao

Killed me when bungals te All went down for year. I shoulda damn known they had another one just waiting to step up and smash his low number, can’t even think his name but pretty sure he had more targets and def more yards that gesicki last week.

 

[2daBank]

I don’t expect fish to have any success in the run game tonight, rams front 7 starting to look good, think fish run game will be all short quick passes, they get the ball out fast which should keep Tua upright. It just be a matter of rams tackling in space whether these guys get numbers, that why I love achane, nobody getting him in space.,

 

[bulldogs]

I think Miani shows up tonight. Season on the line and every bettor is on the Rams

 

[2daBank]

I think Miani shows up tonight. Season on the line and every bettor is on the Rams

Their season was over before it started. Hammer achane props if you like fish, he is the man. Rams are just better imo. Sometimes the better team wins regardless who betting what. This game just as important for rams who have managed to stay afloat w All the injuries. I love rams but I’ve already won 3 of my 5 contest picks. I always win 3 so you prob right.

 

[ScopeY]

I think Miani shows up tonight. Season on the line and every bettor is on the Rams

It's why a part of me wants to be kind of overweight Mostert/MIA D.

 

[2daBank]

All I know if I did like fish I would be smashing achane alt numbers all over the place. To me he the guy rams gonna have a real problem with

 

[2daBank]

It's why a part of me wants to be kind of overweight Mostert/MIA D.

Achane bro, mostart not doing shit!!

 

[2daBank]

Stafford doesn’t let his team lose these games. Rams ripe to go on a run.

 

[2daBank]

Feel like this gonna be high scoring

 

[ScopeY]

Achane bro, mostart not doing shit!!

I agree about Achane, Just think if you thin MIA wins/plays with a lead, Mostert pretty undervalued... Achane can stil lget his on those situations, just think he is only ELITE in catchup games

 

[B.A.R.]

Added some notes

Appreciate it!!

 

[B.A.R.]

Feel like this gonna be high scoring

I'm getting that vibe more now as well

 

[B.A.R.]

Stafford doesn’t let his team lose these games. Rams ripe to go on a run.

Yasss

 

[2daBank]

Yasss

wtf was Mcvey doing settling for all those fucking fg’s. Should have known rams lose I already had 3 wins in the pick contest. Think I win 3 like 85% the time, sometime 2. Never fucking 4 or 5. I put rams will damn near all my props. I never do that. Dunno what the fuck I was thinking, I was sure they were the better team. After watching the game still dunno how the fuck they lost. They didn’t let fish do anything other than for some reason complete 3rd and longs over and over. These mets settling for 5 fgs, Mcvey was like the anti idiot in Philly who always goes for it. And why they even waste plays running the damn ball? Max protect and just sent 3 out every time and Miami couldn’t cover them. What a shit ass game plan by Mcvey. I never put a side in my props like I did like night. I really fucked up.

 

[2daBank]

I agree about Achane, Just think if you thin MIA wins/plays with a lead, Mostert pretty undervalued... Achane can stil lget his on those situations, just think he is only ELITE in catchup games

Neither did shit really. Rams contained achane, he had like 6 catches for maybe 20 yards. Not sure mostert got a carry?? And rams still fucking lost!!!! No clue why Mcvey kept kicking fgs? Fucking retarded

 

[B.A.R.]

wtf was Mcvey doing settling for all those fucking fg’s. Should have known rams lose I already had 3 wins in the pick contest. Think I win 3 like 85% the time, sometime 2. Never fucking 4 or 5. I put rams will damn near all my props. I never do that. Dunno what the fuck I was thinking, I was sure they were the better team. After watching the game still dunno how the fuck they lost. They didn’t let fish do anything other than for some reason complete 3rd and longs over and over. These mets settling for 5 fgs, Mcvey was like the anti idiot in Philly who always goes for it. And why they even waste plays running the damn ball? Max protect and just sent 3 out every time and Miami couldn’t cover them. What a shit ass game plan by Mcvey. I never put a side in my props like I did like night. I really fucked up.

They honestly had no choir on the FGs