1PM/Main Slate
MIN/DET
Vikings have a great RB matchup, good P matchup.
Lions have a good P matchup, meh RB matchup.
Cousins has a great ASR matchup.
Goff has a great ASR matchup, Swift? has a good ALY push.
Vikes TTR is 7th.
Lions TTR is 2nd.
Pace of play is 2nd in MS/Overall. OURank is 1st.
- Injuries - MIN - On D, DE Bullard (39%) is out, CB Evans (39%) is out, CB Booth (71%) is out for 3rd week. S Smith (97%) is Q, and CB Dantzler (86%) may be returning. On OL, T/C Darrisaw/Bradbury are Q.
- DET - On D, LB Barnes (40%) is out, LB Okwara (32%) is out for 2nd week, LB Harris (71%) is out for 4th week. Notables S Harris (60%)/CB Okudah (86%) are Q. On O, WR Raymond is Q. On OL, G Awosika is out, and C (not starting at C) Brown is doubtful.
- We have a good where there are good matchups everywhere, with healthy TT's, great pace, and best OU, it's obviously a stacking candidate. Since becoming a Vike, Hockenson has owned a 21% target share, averaging 8 targets a game, 1.6 rzt/g too, he definitely could be considered on any slate, but you usually make a decision to completely punt the position, or get the big dog(s), really dog recently, in Kelce.... or Andrews. Jefferson is the most expensive WR on the slate, and for good reason, the guys in a fucking smash spot, and since Hocks arrival he has a massive 30% target share on this team, while maintaining an aDOT/r of 11.5 with that big sample size. It averages out to over 11 targets a game, and 2rzT/g too, he really has a 10-100 floor with TD equity, that's almost 2.5x value and can always be considered. Thielen is a poormans Jefferson, but he's about 40%+ cheaper than jefferson at 6.6 targets/g, and a decent aDOT/r of 8.5, if you want to play him ,I have no issues with it, and it's a pivot off of jefferson with the hopes he fails. I think we can pass on Osborn, his last 2 games were the lowest snaps he's seen since week 6, he's averaging 4 targets a game since hock, with a shallow 3.9 aDOT/r, and 0 RZ targets, pass, just go to theilen.
Looks like St.Brown/Chark/Reynolds show finally, and the first time since week 3 they played together, all 3 played between 79-87% of snaps last week, will Jameson Williams be more involved? Idk, but I'm guessing it would harm Reynolds the most (who is Q too), but williams price just can't be justified. My real thoughts here, is do we just go chark or st. brown? St. Brown is a PPR beast, as he had a 30%+ target share last week, which was good for 12 targets, his aDOT/r was 6.3, but Chark is like 45% cheaper, and he had a MASSIVE aDOT/r of 17.8 on 5 catches, and himself had a 15.4% target share, both are solid, but I think I'm going Chark more... Dantzler returning would mean he probably draws mostly st.brown in the slot too. Pass at TE. I'm sorry to those who've been riding Jamal Williams, and his fall forward TDs, but it looks like Swift is officially back. Can Jamaal still go 10-30-2 with a catch or two? Sure, but idk how you can pay for that, when he played chase 30% of snaps, and is priced similarly to swift, Give me all the Swift I can handle, who was much more efficient, saw over 50% of snaps for the first time in 5+ weeks, while he had 20 total opportunities (30% of which were targets), oh and he's just 5.8K on a team with the 2nd highest TT.
NYJ/BUF
Jets have a bad P/RB matchup.
Bills have a meh RB matchup, bad P matchup.
Carter? has a bad ALY push.
Singletary? has a meh ALY push.
Jets TTR is 19th (/20)
Bills TTR is T-3rd.
Pace of play is 1st in MS/Overall. OURank is 7th.
- Injuries - NYJ - Nothing terrible.
- BUF - On D, DT Philips (46%) is out, CB Benford (62%), LB Miller (61%) are out for 2nd week. Notable LB Milano (95%) is Q. On OL, notable T Dawkins is Q.
- Look, if you're really a believer in Mike White, and think he can do what he did vs a soft CHI D/MIN pass funnel against a BUF D getting healthier, than go ahead and try, but no shot I'll be on it. This game is top in pace, and the projected script could force the jets to pass, but at best I want to one-off a Jet here. Conklin has played over 70%+ of snaps with Mike White, and is averaging 5 targets/g in his starts, he's cheap enough where I'd consider it. Interestingly, in White's 2 games, he's targeted a WR in the RZ 15! times, which is pretty nice. Problem is 4 different ones have atleast 1/g averages. Wilson is the obvious choice, he leads the team in target share at 27.7%, while also having the best aDOT/r at a nice 12.2, I won't talk anyone off of him, if you want to go cheaper, you could argue davis, but he's almost half of what wilson is, and wilson still being semi cheap, idk if it makes sense to go not that much lower to davis. Pass on Moore. IFFF you can tell me Carter is returning to his bigger #1/timeshare role, I think he can be the sneaky option to own here, as RBs have been targeted almost 10 times a game with White, and I do project them to be playing from behind, he could be a super safe floor guy, at a cheap price, very low owned, and with a TD, really be sneaky optimal... but who knows if Zonovan has carved a nice role (plus Robinson still there too).
Alright, so Allen in his matchup against the jets didn't look like he performed so well stats wise, but really he was an RB1 with a poor pass performance (other RB1's get 0 pass performance), I think he goes under owned because of his perceived matchup, high price, and actual weather concerns. A note to the weather issues, which I usually don't get into until late sunday, while it seems to be snow/rain incoming, there is no winds at the moment, which is the real concern and a big plus. I do think you pair Allen with a pass catcher or two of his, Diggs is unquestionably an alpha WR1, on the season with a 30% target share, over 10 targets/g average, and a decent aDOT/r of 9.1, he can be played whenever. The arguement is his price, and can we fit him in, well if we can't, we have a guy in Gabe Davis, who we know is a slate breaker, that's been quiet for some time, but still sports an insane aDOT/r of 15.3, while averaging 6 targets/g. You could blink, and he may have 3-80-1 by halftime, the game here is 1st in pace, and the bills have a TTR of 3rd, that I really think flies under the radar. Shakir in his last start ate into mckenzie a bit, not sure if that's because they have a big lead, but 3 of the last 6 weeks he's struggled to just get too or not even reach 50% of snaps, I think he can be passed, as it's not hard just to get up to Davis. I don't really want Knox either, despite having good matchups, and no bad ones really, he's reached 10+ FPs since the bye (6 games) just once, and has had just 2 games above 4 targets, he's not priced like other cheapie's either.
BAL/PIT
Ravens have a meh P/RB matchup.
Steelers have a meh P matchup, bad RB matchup.
Edwards? has a bad ALY push.
Pickett has a meh ASR matchup.
Ravens TTR is T-16th.
Steelers TTR is 13th.
Pace of play is 8th in MS, 10th overall. OURank is T-9th (last).
- Injuries - BAL - On D, 1 notable Q is LB Queen (94%). On O, Lamar is D. On OL, 2 notable Q's in G's Zeitler/Mekari.
- PIT - On D, 2 notable Q's in LB Watt (78%)/LB Reed (49%). On O, WR Johnson is Q.
- The matchup sucks, the pace isn't great, the OURank is tied for last. Not a game we want to stack, plus these two teams typically play in a divisional slugfest. The argument? Lamar is hurt, and Huntley is a cheap, nice rushing floor upside option. The other thing of note, The Ravens were in a 1 score game throughout and they let him sling it 32! times, I hate to say it, but in terms of pricing, there's no way we see a 25%+~ drop off in production in huntley compared to lamar, and I think he can be played naked, or stacked with one of the guys he peppered in Andrews/Robinson/Duvernay, but I like, gulp, Andrews, the most. He was the only receiving option above a 5 aDOT/r (he was at 9.8, which is phenomenal for a TE), and had a 20% target share last week, he will virtually go un-owned as well. I will note Duvernay played almost every snap, and may be my second option if I go there.
I still can't find myself clicking pickens over diontae (if diontae plays), he continues to lead in targets, as well as in the redzone, and they are priced practically the same, if I go here, it's Diontae or nothing. While a fantasy team of mine is happy with the production/more consistency of Najee since the bye, I don't really like his matchup, but I guess you can argue he's cheap enough for a RB who may get 20+ opportunities, I'll probably pass though. I'd like to say Friermuth is to expensive for my liking, but he does have a good matchup, he's averaging 7 targets a game since the bye (and on the season really), and has a decent TE aDOT/r of 7.3, I don't hate him, or love him, but maybe if you go Huntley+Duvernay you could bring it back with him (or double TE stack with Andrews/Frier, idk), again I'm not dumping a lot of shares into this guy, but just ideas. I obviously like him more if Diontae is out.
CLV/CIN
Browns have a meh P/RB matchup.
Bengals have a great RB matchup, good P matchup.
Watson has the best ASR matchup, Chubb has a good ALY push.
Burrow has a meh ASR matchup, Mixon? has a great ALY push.
Browns TTR is T-10th.
Bengals TTR is T-5th.
Pace of play is 10th in MS (last), 12th overall. OURank is 2nd.
- Injuries - CLV - On D, LB Takitaki (65%) is out. On O, WR Cooper is Q.
- CIN - On D, nothing new. On O, TE Hurst is out.
- Watson didn't get discounted at all prior to his poor performance last week. He's in a weird spot with a not so great DVOA matchup, but he does have the best rated ASR matchup. It's also weird because the pace is dead last, yet the OURank is 2nd. I haven't made up my mind yet, but there's a chance I completely avoid this game, or game stack it a couple of times. Chubbs a savage, but he was targeted just once last week with Watson (and once the prior week), and in a supreme spot vs the texans he failed to reach 100 yards, I don't think he's a priority on DK's PPR format, but taking him in one or two, as he is can be a slate breaker, isn't a bad idea. If Cooper is out, David Bell becomes a floor priced WR2 option. I think Njoku could be the sleepr you'd want, cincy is most susceptible to them, he didn't play last week, and has had a floor of 80% of snaps in games he's started/completed.
While Perine's recent production scares me from a MIxon playing time perspective, I still think he can control 2/3rds of the snaps, and he comes in with a solid PPR floor, and a great ALY push. He'd be my top choice here. I think people like stacking Burrow + his pass catchers, and rightfully so, but I think being underweight here, in a scenario where I see a higher % of failure than most weeks is the smarter choice. I'd save them for 1-offs at best, and I think Boyd is the one I like the best, he's by far the cheapest, sees really the same playing time as the other 2, and quietly gets deeper routes than you'd expect, especially when Chase is in.... last week he led with an 11.5 aDOT/r. With no Hurst, Wilcox came on and played 72% of snaps, yet he had just 1 target, he is super cheap, and with a TD, he almost 3x's his value, so if you want, go for it, but I think it just helps supports the PPR backs, and one of the WRs more.
JAC/TEN
Jaguars have a good P matchup, bad RB matchup.
Titans have a great P matchup, meh RB matchup.
Lawrence has a good ASR matchup, Etienne has the worst ALY push.
Jaguars TTR is 14th.
Titans TTR is 9th.
Pace of play is 9th in MS, 11th overall. OURank is 8th.
- Injuries - JAC - On D, LB Muma (33%) is out, notable S Cisco (99%) is Q. On O, QB Lawrence/WR Z. Jones are Q.
- TEN - On D, CB Avery (30% - 81% last week), CB Fulton 89% are out, and they're already out CB Molden/Farley/Johnson/Jackson too. LB Long (54%) is out, DT Autry (65%) is out for 3rd week. Notable DT's Simmons(82%)/Tart(45%) are Q. On O, WR Burks is out.
- Despite playing 80%+ since the robinson trade, Etienne has had just 2 of 6 games at or above 20 opportunities, and now he goes against a team we don't like playing RBs vs (them and WAS), so I'll pass on Etienne. Lawrence, if he plays, is cheap enough, and is in a pass funnel matchup, I don't want a ton of Lawrence, because I know it could get slowed down, plus if the Jags get a lead, the titans don't really play quicker from there 32nd ranked pace, and the jags may not have a reason to throw. Having said that, if we go here, Zay Jones has been a bit smaller mirror image of Kirk, with a much cheaper price. If Zay misses, I think that opens the door for a very cheap marvin jones to enter the player pool. Engram continues to see shalllow targets, and I don't think he's a necessity here, i'll probably pass, but won't fault you for going here, just know he has a bad floor.
Henry is a slate breaker, so I won't talk anyone off of him, but since Tanny's return, he's reached 20+ carries just once, and it was vs a GBP team where he had a great DVOA matchup, and the best ALY push.... he doesn't come close to having that this week, he's very expensive, and I see more reason to fade than play. With Burks out, it becomes just Woods and Ikhine to handle the WR load. Ikhine has queitly have an aDOT/r of 10.5 since week 10, and a 15% target share, and that was with Burks getting 17%, that has to be split between the 2, and I think both are solid value options to fill out your roster. Combined, they may get 50%+ of tannehills targets. Yes please. 27% of targets since week 10 have also gone to either Hooper or Okwonko, both are under 3K, and become the first cheapie punts I actually like. Onkwonko has a great TE aDOT/r of 9.1, but it is a small sample size. Hooper probably has a bit higher PPR floor/TD equity, but the arguement can be made for both.
HOU/DAL
Texans have a bad P/RB matchup.
Cowboys have a great RB matchup, good P matchup.
K. Allen? has the worst ASR matchup, Pierce has a meh ALY push.
Dak has a great ASR matchup. Pollard? has the best ALY push.
Texans TTR is 20th (last).
Cowboys TTR is 1st.
Pace of play is 4th in MS, 5th overall. OURank is T-5th.
- Injuries - HOU - On D, DT Hinish (46%) is out, CB Stingley (97%) is out for 4th week, they may be returning S Arnold/DE Greenard. On O, WRs Cook/Collins are out.
- DAL - On D, CB Brown (90%) is out, notable LB VanderEsch (85%) is Q. On OL, they may be returning Tyron Smith.
- Man o man, this has got to be the biggest gapped main slate game we've had, where one team is #1 in TT, and the other is last in TTR. I know we see a tough WR matchup vs houston, and realistically, Dallas may not have to throw the ball after the 1st quarter, but again, they have the highest TT, so a pass catcher can definitely do well here, and will likely go under owned as everyone (and rightfully so) will be deciding between pollard/zeke. Idk if Lamb can be the one I back, he does have a massive target share on the team, but its the price with the possible baddd scenario that keeps me off. I think Gallup could be reasoned, he's seen a bigger target share on almost a weekly basis since Daks return, sees RZ targets, and is relatively cheap, sorry noah brown. If you don't want gallup and want exposure to the passing offense here, Schultz is the next man to consider. Since his and Daks return, he's averaging just under 6 targets/g, but has a decent aDOT/r of 7, as well as averaging almost 2 RZ targets/g, so he has great TD equity too while having a 19% target share of this offense, he's finished as a top 6 TE in 3 of the last 5 weeks (top 3 twice). Zeke or Pollard? Idk, for some reason, the cowboys just won't let Zeke go. He's seen his snaps rise in 3 straight (since returning from injury), he's cheaper than pollard, but without his TDs, he's struggled to even get to 10 FPs.... but the RBs here have arguably the biggest TD equity on the slate, so I can't fault anyone from going here, I just prefer pollard as he's not only more explosive and carries the same TD equity, he has a PPR floor, as he's averaging 4.25 targets/g since the bye. But I won't argue whichever way you go here.
We are not playing Kyle Allen, when you can get safer/more upside options a few hundred dollars higher. If HOU doesn't keep it close, Pierce won't get 20 opportunities, he has hit atleast 3 targets in 4 straight, but unless you see a script different than vegas, I'd pass. Houston has played 3 TEs last week, Akins seems to be the pass catcher who's getting more usage, as he has 11 targets in the last 2, Quitoriano has played the most though, hitting 71% last week, I'd probably pass here, but without Cooks/Collins someone has to get targets. Which leads me to Dorsett/Moore as well, both are at or near the min price, both need like 2 catches for 10 yards to hit their salaries... that's nothing, and I think you almost have to consider them as a punt/salary saver play. I think Moore is who I favor, and should be the shallower/ppr floor guy, and has actually seen more playing time the last 5~ weeks, with a 15% target share, while seeing RZ targets too.
PHI/NYG
Eagles have a great P/RB matchup.
Giants have a good RB matchup, bad P matchup.
Sanders has a great ALY push.
Jones has a bad ASR matchup,
Eagles TTR is T-5th.
Giants TTR is T-16th.
Pace of play is 5th in MS, 6th overall. OURank is T-3rd.
- Injuries - PHI - On D, S Garnder-Johnson (92%) is out for 2nd week, but CB Maddox may be returning. DE Quinn (54%) is out for 2nd, DT Tuipulotu (38%) is out for 4th week.
- NYG - On D, CB Jackson (87%) is out for 3rd week, S Mckinney (100%) is still out, DE Williams (78%) is doubtful. On O, RB Barkley is Q.
- Man, Sanders doesn't get much love because of the vulture QB in hurts, and the other weapons on this team, but he's had some slate breaking weeks, and he has a quietly solid 4.9 YPC average, which is just behind Chubb/Jacobs/Jones/Pollard for backs over 150~ carries, and thats with going against WAS x2, and TEN x1, put some respect on the name! I did mention one of his issues, and the other is that he isn't used to much in the passing game, or when they fall behind. The great thing is they are faves, the pace/OURank are both on the better side, and he has a great ALY push, so he can easily get to 100+ and 1+ which would easily 3x his salary, and he may go under owned. Giants have been pretty stingy vs WRs, and Brown has climbed to #3 priced WR on the slate... not saying he's deserving of it, but I think we can collectively pass here and let others change the pass funnel performance last week. I don't think Brown sees 10+ targets, and he's averaged just 8/g on the season. Devonte also sees .75 less targets/g than brown, and a slightly smaller aDOT/r, but comes in 21% cheaper... If I target a pass catcher here, I'd probably settle on Smith. Watkins seems to solidified the WR3 designation on this team, if mass entering, you can make an arguement for him, over the last 3 weeks, w/o goedert, he's had a 15% target share, over 4 per game, and he's pretty cheap... but I'd save it for strictly mass entering and wouldn't have more than a share or so of him at best. Pass on Stoll, he just gets no volume.
If Barkley plays, and is projected to be low owned, I think he can absolutely be considered, and may be smart to be overweight. The eagles practically allowed 100 yard rushers in 4 of their games prior to the titans drubbing where TEN has to abandon the run. And I say practically because HOU/GBP/WAS all did it, and IND came close, but for some reason they refused to give taylor the ball after the first quarter (roughly off memory, but Taylor was on pace for 200+ and it was a neutral situation game for awhile, but they just stopped using him).... anyways, you get the point... Barkley also has a safe floor, with atleast 5 targets in 3 straight, as well as TD equity, injury concerns may scare even more people off to. I was going to say pass at NYG WRs, but I have to give a shoutout to Slayton, since Week 5, he's just about hit atleast 10 FPs in all but 1 game, and since the bye, he's played 80 to 92% of snaps (L4 weeks), he's had 8 targets/g over his last 3 with an aDOT/r of 11.6, and is only 5.1K, I think you can keep him in your player pool. Bellingers seeing the most shallow aDOT/r ever for a TE... pass.
4PMs/Main Slate Cont.
KCC/DEN
Chiefs have a good RB matchup, bad P matchup.
Broncos have a great P matchup, good RB matchup.
Mahomes has a good ASR matchup. Pacheco has a good ALY push.
Russ has a bad ASR matchup, Murray has a good ALY push.
Chiefs TTR is T-3rd.
Broncos TTR is T-16th.
Pace of play is 3rd in MS, 4th overall. OURank is T-5th.
- Injuries - KCC - On OL, G Thuney is Q, who they haven't had past 2 weeks. On O, WR Toney is Q.
- DEN - On D, notable DT Jones (58%) is Q, On O, no WR Hamler/Sutton.
- Mahomes has put up 30+ points in half of his games this year, so I'll never not tell you to play him, he also has the 3rd best TTR, but 3 of his last 4 weeks have been his lowest pass attempt games of the season (even with him finishing as the QB2 twice), he's now going against one of his tougher matchups of the year, I can see the reason for failure, and why you'd avoid him. This lower passing volume as paved the way for Pacheco. I'd say go Mckinnon if you think they play from behind (nobody does...) but with a lead, it's pachecos role to lose, in those 4 weeks he's averaged around 50% of snaps, and has had 17.5 opportunities a game, not saying he's a must have, as he doesn't offer much PPR value, but he's a good pivot, and comes in extremely cheap at 5.7K. I know I mentioned mcKinnon, but if you really want to tell yourself a story of the broncos coming out here and playing with a lead, he's EXTREMELY cheap for a RB that sees 40-50% of snaps in this offense, and would have the bigger side of the role in that kind of script, but again, i'd save that for extreme mass entering, and only in a couple at most. With not really liking Mahomes here, idk if I want any of the WRs, with Toney coming back, there may be 4 WRs that struggle to reach 50% of snaps, gl picking which one, while Juju should lead the bunch at 70%+, this will be the week I don't play Watson/Moore and one of them hits a HR, book it. If you want to one-off someone not named Pacheco, and don't want to game/team stack, Kelce may be the guy, last week he had 6 targets, his lowest all year, he's finished as a top 3 TE every week but 3 times (once was 4th), and has slate breaking potential, it's still DEN D, but the pace is good, and they have a high TT, so someone should put in some work.
Am I being silly to suggest playing russ wilson this week!?!? He's so damn cheap, and would it really be asking for much to say he has a 250+/2+ floor in this matchup? If so, he's already 3X+ his salary, and that doesn't include the possibility of 300+ 3+. The better part is there's no sutton/hamler, which frees up 25%+ of the target share, Jeudy finally doesn't carry an injury designation and should see 80-90%+ of snaps, last week on 32% of snaps, he had 4 targets, and 65 yards, he's so cheap too. Hinton is the other WR we can consider, and may get to 80% of snaps as well, in the last 4 weeks, he's had 15% target share, but a shallow aDOT/r of 5.8, not a priority for me. The other man I'd really want if not Jeudy would be Dulcich, since seeing a playing time increase, he's averaging 5 targets/g, with a good aDOT/r of 8.6, and he's still cheaper than that middle group, everyone's averages should see an uptick with no sutton. Do I really like all these Broncos? I really don't want Murray, but he's 5.2K, the last 3 weeks he's averaging 67%~ of snaps, and 2 of those games he's had over 20 opportunities, with 3 targets/g, he's a pretty safe floor at that price, and technically has a good matchup, but if forced to throw I prefer Jeudy 10/10 times.
TBB/SFO
Bucs have a bad P/RB matchup.
49ers have a meh RB matchup, bad P matchup.
Brady has a great ASR matchup, Fournette? has a bad ALY push.
Purdy has a bad ASR matchup.
Bucs TTR is 18th.
49ers TTR is 12th.
Pace of play is 6th in MS, 7th overall. OURank is T-9th.
- Injuries - TBB - On D, S Winfield (92%), and S Edwards (98%) are D. DE Hicks (57%), CB Murphy-Bunting (50%) are Q. On O, RB Fournette is Q. On OL, Wirfs is D (best OLineman).
- SFO - On D, DT Ridgeway (39%) is out. Notable DE Bosa (74%) is Q.
- Fournette/White were in a 60/40 split last week, neither got to 20 opportunities, which stinks, but the Bucs throw the ball more than anyone in the league (minus the chargers, it's by a lot), and both had 7/8 targets respectively, so there's some safety in them despite the time share, and if fournette misses, I will lock in White and move along. Godwin has been a PPR/Target machine but I'll continue to say Evans aDOT/r is so much better. Just last week Godwin was at 3.5, and Evans at 14. On the season its 4.7 to 11.3. I think Godwin for safety, and Evans for boom potential. With no Wirfs, it makes me worry about Bradys great ASR matchup, if he has to get rid of it quickly, obviously godwin is the choice. With no brate, i'd have insane interest in Otton, since he's back, I'll pass here.
I'm disappointed in Kittle last week, last week the 49ers attempted 41 passes, and he only had 3 targets. He played almost every down too. I still feel like it can be a scenario where they are in a position to do the same, and the bucs passing tendencies could keep time on the clock, his priced has dropped laughably low, his lowest of the year too, I don't hate it, I don't know if I'll do it though. CMC played a 49er season high of 82% of snaps, and had a massive 27 opportunity game with 10! targets. Nobodies talking about him, but 10 targets is a WR1 played that also gets carries... I think he should absolutely be considered. Deebo/Aiyuk had a very shallow aDOT/r with Purdy last week, and that may be by design, but I think I'll pass, and if I priortize this game I will with CMC/Kittle mostly.
CAR/SEA
Panthers have a good P/RB matchup.
Seahawks also have a good P/RB matchup.
Darnold has a meh ASR matchup, Foreman has a good ALY push.
Geno has a meh ASR matchup. Walker? has a meh ALY push.
Panthers TTR is T-10th.
Seahawks TTR is 8th.
Pace of play is 7th in MS, T-8th overall. OURank is T-3rd.
- Injuries - CAR - Nothing really.
- SEA - On D, S Jones (52%) is out for 2nd week. Notable S Neal (81%) is Q. On O, RBs Walker/Dallas are GTD's. TE/WR Dissly/Metcalf are Q, but expected to play.
- If you think this is a close game, Foreman is a steal, if you think it's a blowout, Foreman is a wasted space. Vegas thinks it's close, the OU is good, and Foreman has a good ALY push (SEA also ranked 31st for RBs), so I think he can be considered. Darnold wasn't asked to do much in his return, as carolina played with a lead, and it led him to limited opportunities, but Moore still had a 35% target share, and finished with an aDOT/r of 24.3, and a stat line of 4-103-1, he's very cheap for a WR1 and can be considerd, idk if I'd go to the WR2s and on here, as Marshall was the 2nd snap count leader at just 62%, 2 TEs split time, too, they're all cheap, but I'd rather go else where with players priced in that range.
We have to take a wait and see approach for SEA. Are Walker/Dallas playing? If one or none play, does homer have the bigger role, will jones step in? It's definitely a headache I don't really want, the matchup is pretty meh too. What I would have interest in is Metcalf/Lockett. I've said this many times, but they both are similar in aDOT/r at 9.3/9.1, targets are close at 26.2%/23.6%, but RZ targets are 20/7, and Metcalf would be my 1A to Locketts 1B.