December 2016

[hugh613]

MTD: 0-0, +/-0.00

Thursday:

12/1/2016 10:00 AM Russia Soccer 307 Spartak Moscow (RUS-P)/Krylya Sovetov (RUS-P)* Over ½,1 -128 for 1st Half
12/1/2016 2:00 PM Denmark Soccer 254 Esbjerg (DEN)/Odense BK (DEN)* Over 2½ -132
12/1/2016 3:00 PM Italy Soccer 154 Verona (ITA-Coppa)/Bologna (ITA-Coppa)* Over 2½ -102

a) Krylya Sovetov Samara 6-1 O/U 0.5 1H at home (7 GF, 3 GA, Scored in 6, Conceded in 3), Spartak 6-1 O/U 0.5 on the road (7 GF, 4 GA, Scored in 6, Conceded in 3). There's also been at least one 1H goal in 7 of the last 8 H2H, b) the Danish game doesn't really strike me as an over, but Esbjerg's the worst defensive team in the Superligaen (overall and on the road), and the H2H history suggests goals, so provided Odense does as expected, and Esbjerg can pot at least one, this one should be good to go, c) another game that doesn't scream over at first blush, but Verona's been on a mission since being relegated, and they've got the highest goals per game average in what's otherwise a low scoring league (3.25 vs. 2.21). They've also gone over in 5 of their last 6 on the road, so hopefully Bologna feels like playing ball and helps this one go over.

Will also add Lokomotiv on the AH vs. Tom Tomsk (if, and when, it ever gets lined).

 

[hugh613]

November: 57-36-7, +10.58

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 2-1, +0.68

Adding:

12/1/2016 10:00 PM Mexico Soccer 351 America de Mexico (MEX)/Necaxa (MEX)* Over ½,1 -144 for 1st Half

*America 7-2 O/U 0.5 1H on the road, Necaxa 8-1 O/U 0.5 1H at home.

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

12/2/2016 3:50 AM Australia Soccer 3401 Perth Glory (AUS-A)/Melbourne Victory (AUS-A)* Over 3 -113
12/2/2016 1:00 PM Germany Soccer 884 Ulm (GER-R SW)* -123 vs Nottingen (GER-R SW)
12/2/2016 3:30 PM Portugal Soccer 501 Benfica (POR)/Maritimo (POR)* Over 2½ -109

*Will add Lask Linz and Legia Warsaw in the morning...

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

12/2/2016 2:00 PM Holland Soccer 1513 TOP Oss (HOL-2)/De Graafschap (HOL-2)* Over 3½ -116
12/2/2016 2:30 PM Austria Soccer 1163 FC Linz (AUT-E)/LASK Linz (AUT-E)* Over 2½,3 -129
12/2/2016 2:30 PM Poland Soccer 2354 Wisla Plock (POL-E)/Legia Warsaw (POL-E)* Over 2½ -139

*A-League can go get fucked...

 

[captjohn67]

Cheers and best of luck Hugh. :cheers3:

 

[STEED]

:shake:

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 7-3, +3.11

Saturday:

12/3/2016 1:35 AM Australia Soccer 4001 West Sydney (AUS-A)/Central Coast Mariners (AUS-A)* Over 2½ -148
12/3/2016 7:00 AM Germany Soccer 1901 Schweinfurt 05 (GER-R Bayern)/Bayern Hof (GER-R Bayern)* Over 2½,3 -124
12/3/2016 8:00 AM Germany Soccer 2001 Viktoria Koln (GER-R West)/Borussia Monchengladbach II (GER-R West)* Over 2½,3 -111
12/3/2016 9:30 AM Germany Soccer 401 Freiburg (GER-1)/Bayer Leverkusen (GER-1)* Over 2½ -165

12/3/2016 10:00 AM Scotland Soccer 4557 Livingston (SCO-1)/Albion Rovers (SCO-1)* Over 2½ -132
12/3/2016 11:45 AM Switzerland Soccer 4851 Vaduz (SWI-S)/Luzern (SWI-S)* Over 3,3½ -124
12/3/2016 12:30 PM England Soccer 19 Arsenal (ENG-P)/West Ham (ENG-P)* Over 2½ -151
12/3/2016 2:00 PM France Soccer 504 Bastia (FRA-1)/Monaco (FRA-1)* Over 2½ -130

*I swear, if I wake up to two goals in Australia again... Only reason I'm betting this one is because Western Sydney's played to 7 straight overs on the road. As for the other games, if I can't turn a profit on these, I don't know what to tell you...

• Bayer Hof the worst defensive team in Regionalliga Bayern
• Over 9-0 all time between Viktoria Koln and M'Gladbach II, and Viktoria Koln have scored 5 goals in each of their last 4 games
• Both Leverkusen and Freiburg are 10-2 O/U 2.5 this season
• Livingston 12-1 O/U 2.5 this season
• Luzern 16-0 O/U 2.5 this season
• 7 straight overs at Upton Park/Olympic Stadium, and 8-1 the last nine H2H Overall between West Ham and Arsenal
• Monaco 12-3 O/U 2.5 on the season (7-0 at home)

Thanks capt and STEED.

 

[casual]

GL today h

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 11-6-1, +3.52

Adding:

12/3/2016 6:00 PM Argentina Soccer 1013 San Lorenzo (ARG)/Olimpo Bahia Blanca (ARG)* Over ½,1 -125 for 1st Half
12/3/2016 6:00 PM Argentina Soccer 1016 Atletico Tucuman (ARG)/Godoy Cruz (ARG)* Over ½,1 -132 for 1st Half
12/3/2016 6:10 PM Paraguay Soccer 3954 Rubio Nu (PAR)/Nacional Asuncion (PAR)* Over 2½ -101

12/3/2016 7:30 PM Colombia Soccer 2804 Millonarios (COL)/Atletico Nacional (COL)* Over 2½ -113
12/3/2016 7:00 PM Bolivia Soccer 2551 Universitario SFX (BOL)/Jorge Wilstermann (BOL)* Over 2½ -121
12/3/2016 8:00 PM Mexico Soccer 1051 Leon (MEX)/UANL Tigres (MEX)* Over 2½ -144

*Losing the Leverkusen total kinda sucked, but it happens... Anyways, I have my misgivings on that Atletico Nacional game. On the one hand, Millonarios have played to 7 straight overs, which is quite the accomplishment in Colombia. On the other, who knows what Nacional's mindset is going to be. Maybe they come out flat, maybe they come out inspired. Hopefully they come out and try to win it for Chapecoense.

Thanks casual.

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 17-6-2, +9.02

Sunday:

12/4/2016 3:00 AM Australia Soccer 5361 Wellington Phoenix (AUS-A)/Adelaide United (AUS-A)* Over 2½ -147
12/4/2016 7:30 AM Germany Soccer 1134 RB Leipzig II (GER-R NorthE)* -1½,-2 -119 vs Neustrelitz (GER-R NorthE)
12/4/2016 8:00 AM Germany Soccer 1060 Hamburg II (GER-R North)* -1 -128 vs Eichede (GER-R North)

12/4/2016 8:00 AM Germany Soccer 1091 Rot Weiss Essen (GER-R West)/Bonner SC (GER-R West)* Over 2½,3 -112
12/4/2016 10:00 AM Denmark Soccer 454 Brondby (DEN)/Esbjerg (DEN)* Over 2½ -135
12/4/2016 10:00 AM Switzerland Soccer 3507 Sion (SWI-S)/St. Gallen (SWI-S)* Over 2½ -147

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

12/4/2016 12:00 PM Ecuador Soccer 2204 Universidad Catolica Quito (ECU)/Emelec (ECU)* Over 2½,3 -114

*You know you're in for a long day when a team that entered play 0-1-14 with a goal differential of -31 (ie. TSG Neustrelitz) manages to win 4-1 on the road... And don't even get me started on that freaking A-League again...

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

12/4/2016 12:00 PM Ecuador Soccer 2204 Universidad Catolica Quito (ECU)/Emelec (ECU)* Over 2½,3 -120

*Adding another unit at the new price...

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 19-11-3, +4.17

Adding:

12/4/2016 9:00 PM Mexico Soccer 671 Necaxa (MEX)/America de Mexico (MEX)* Over 2½ -109 *2 UNITS*

*I know dylan doesn't particularly like this play and, truth be told, America have no real incentive to push forward in this one, but I watched them enter the final third with ease time and time again against Necaxa in that first leg - just no creativity and no real killer instinct on offense either. Think things change a bit with the switch to the Azteca as CA will probably look to get the early jump in this one to finish it off, but we'll see...

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 19-12-3, +1.99

Monday:

12/5/2016 10:00 AM Portugal Soccer 1351 Sporting Lisboa II (POR-2)/Vitoria Guimaraes II (POR-2)* Over 2½ -117
12/5/2016 11:00 AM Russia Soccer 113 Krylya Sovetov (RUS-P)/Krasnodar (RUS-P)* Over 2½ +109
12/5/2016 11:00 AM Romania Soccer 1401 ACS Poli Timisoara (ROM)/FC Cluj (ROM)* Over 2½ -118

*Well, like I always say, it's easy to look smart when they score. When they don't, well... Anyways, Sporting II with the highest goals per game average in a low scoring league (3.31 v. 2.21), 12-4 O/U 2.5 on the season (although only 4-4 on the road), five of their last six have gone over (the one under being the one time I bet them over of course...), three of the last four H2H have gone over, and Vitoria II does the bulk of its scoring at home so, as my esteemed colleague dylanphan would say, should end in a scoreless draw. Speaking of low scoring leagues, FC Krasnodar a solid 7-2 O/U at home (Krylya 3-5 on the road but five of their last six overall have gone over), and the over's hit in three of the last four H2H so, as my esteemed colleague dylanphan would say, should end in a scoreless draw. And from another low scoring league for good measure (fucking recipe for disaster...), more of a 'reading the line' kind of play as Poli Timisoara is the worst team in Romania, and have seen a minimum 2 goals scored in their last seven overall, so hopefully Cluj do as the linesmakers expect, and put this one away early.

Looking at a few others for later (maybe Bursaspor, Gaz Metan over, Neuchatel over). Be back around 11:30 provided I don't go 0-3...

 

[dylanphan]

:rofl: Good luck Hugh613. I'm going to fire up a few picks today myself

 

[hugh613]

:tiphat:

 

[hugh613]

That's what you like to see to start the day - massive money come in on the under in Portugal in the last hour (from +100 to -130 in the blink of an eye)

:hang:

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 20-14-3, +0.81

Adding:

12/5/2016 1:45 PM Switzerland Soccer 1601 Le Mont (SWI-C)/Neuchatel Xamax (SWI-C)* Over 2½ -132 *2 UNITS*

*Better to be lucky than good and right now I'm neither lucky nor good (another freaking two...)

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

12/5/2016 2:45 PM Spain Soccer 41 Real Sociedad (ESP-P)/Deportivo La Coruna (ESP-P)* Over ½,1 -145 for 1st Half
12/5/2016 2:45 PM Scotland Soccer 1501 East Fife (Scottish Cup)/Edinburgh City (Scottish Cup)* Over 2½ -130

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 22-14-3, +3.81

Adding:

12/5/2016 7:15 PM Argentina Soccer 124 Gimnasia LP (ARG)/Lanus (ARG)* Under 2,2½ -130

*East Fife game postponed. Anyways, what usually happens when I take an under is that stuff that never happens when I take an over happens (three goals in the 1H, 2 goals after the 75', stoppage time goals, etc...) Having said that, most of the numbers point to 2 or less in this one: under 1-12 the last 13 H2H, with the only over occuring the last meeting thanks to 2 PK's and a stoppage time goal; Lanus 2-8 O/U last 10 at home, Gimnasia 2-8 O/U last 10 overall, Gimnasia 1-9 O/U last 10 on the road.

With all the games I've had stick on 2 the past few days, hopefully the trend continues now that I'm taking an under.

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 23-14-3, +4.81

Tuesday:

12/6/2016 2:45 PM European Cup Soccer 101 Borussia Monchengladbach (UCL)/Barcelona (UCL)* Over 2½ -224

*Oh, I already know what you're thinking, but with Barcelona coming off a hard fought El Classico, figure they'll just let loose in this one...

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

12/6/2016 10:30 AM Italy Soccer 510 Vibonese (ITA-Pro C)/Catanzaro (ITA-Pro C)* Under 2½ -153

 

[KJ]

Barca 4-0 be ok with me. Have a day hugh :beer4:

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

12/6/2016 2:30 PM England Soccer 307 Chesterfield (ENG-Trophy)/Rochdale (ENG-Trophy)* Over 3 -112
12/6/2016 2:45 PM England Soccer 463 Stafford Rangers (FA-Trophy)/Chorley (FA-Trophy)* Over 3,3½ -101
12/6/2016 2:45 PM England Soccer 441 Stocksbridge Park Steels (FA-Trophy)/Stalybridge Celtic (FA-Trophy)* Over 3,3½ -113
12/6/2016 2:45 PM England Soccer 454 Nuneaton (FA-Trophy)/FC Utd of Manchester (FA-Trophy)* Over 3 -122

*I see dylanphan has renounced his allegiance for Manchester United, but surely there's still room in his heart for United Of Manchester!

Thanks kj.

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 27-16-3, +6.68

Adding:

12/6/2016 5:00 PM Paraguay Soccer 1101 Sol de America (PAR)/Cerro Porteno (PAR)* Over 2½ -146

*Fucking Rochdale's useless...

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 28-16-3, +7.68

Wednesday:

12/7/2016 8:30 AM Italy Soccer 431 Forli (ITA-Pro B)/Bassano (ITA-Pro B)* Over 2½ -112
12/7/2016 8:30 AM Italy Soccer 432 Bassano (ITA-Pro B)* -1 -111 vs Forli (ITA-Pro B)
12/7/2016 2:45 PM European Cup Soccer 281 Sporting Lisboa (UCL)/Legia Warsaw (UCL)* Over 2½ -153
12/7/2016 2:45 PM European Cup Soccer 341 CSKA Moscow (UCL)/Tottenham (UCL)* Over 2½ -121
12/7/2016 2:45 PM England Soccer 367 Crawley Town (ENG-Trophy)/Coventry (ENG-Trophy)* Over 2½ -127

 

[dylanphan]

*Fucking Rochdale's useless...

One less person I will need to buy a christmas gift for this year I suppose :enraged:

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 30-19-3, +5.77

Thursday:

12/8/2016 5:30 AM International Club Soccer 152 Kashima Antlers (FIFA Club WC)* -1 -132 vs Auckland City (FIFA Club WC)

*Well, as most people know, I'm not very good at sides (read: I suck at them), but this one seems like kind of a no brainer. The NZ league is pretty much an amateur league, as evidenced by the fact that Auckland has rarely put up much of a fight against the Japanese clubs they've faced the past few competitions; mind you, they haven't exactly been embarrassed either, but still... As for Kashima, they just wrapped up the J-League title last Saturday, so they should come in ready to roll in front of the home crowd. Think 2-0 is the most likely scoreline (although the fact that Pinnacle has the Auckland team total juiced at -110 is making me wonder a bit), but we'll see...

Thanks dylan... for nothing (stupid Dalers)

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 30-19-4, +5.77

Adding:

12/8/2016 1:00 PM European Cup Soccer 84 Fenerbahce (UEFA-Europa)/Feyenoord (UEFA-Europa)* Over 2½ -114
12/8/2016 1:00 PM European Cup Soccer 93 Austria Vienna (UEFA-Europa)/Viktoria Plzen (UEFA-Europa)* Over 2½ -139
12/8/2016 1:00 PM European Cup Soccer 99 Genk (UEFA-Europa)/Sassuolo (UEFA-Europa)* Over 2½ -113

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 31-20-4, +5.63

Friday:

12/9/2016 3:50 AM Australia Soccer 2201 Melbourne City (AUS-A)/Sydney FC (AUS-A)* Over 2½ -108 *2 UNITS*

 

[blackcrow]

I'm with you Hugh. Believe there will be goals tonight with the top two teams in the A-League :cheers3:

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 31-21-4, +3.47

Adding:

12/9/2016 12:00 PM Denmark Soccer 301 AaB Aalborg (DEN)/Horsens (DEN)* Over 2½ -103
12/9/2016 12:00 PM Ukraine Soccer 2851 Olimpik Donetsk (UKR)/Dnipro Dnjepropetrovsk (UKR)* Over 2,2½ -134
12/9/2016 1:30 PM Germany Soccer 734 Teutonia WS (GER-R SW)/Kickers Offenbach (GER-R SW)* Over 2½,3 -107

12/9/2016 2:00 PM Holland Soccer 1707 Fortuna Sittard (HOL-2)/TOP Oss (HOL-2)* Over 3,3½ -123
12/9/2016 2:00 PM Holland Soccer 1713 RKC Waalwijk (HOL-2)/Almere City (HOL-2)* Over 2½,3 -140
12/9/2016 2:15 PM Denmark Soccer 304 Nordsjaelland (DEN)/Sonderjyske (DEN)* Over 2½ -123

*Freaking done with A-League...

Thanks blackcrow.

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 35-23-6, +5.07

Adding:

12/9/2016 10:45 PM New Zealand Soccer 2254 Hamilton Wanderers (NZL-P)/Wellington Phoenix II (NZL-P)* Over 3,3½ -120

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 36-23-6, +6.07

Saturday:

12/10/2016 9:30 AM Germany Soccer 204 Wolfsburg (GER-1)/Bayern Munchen (GER-1)* Over 3½ -119
12/10/2016 10:00 AM Scotland Soccer 4151 Livingston (SCO-1)/Stranraer (SCO-1)* Over 2½ -158
12/10/2016 12:30 PM England Soccer 16 Manchester City (ENG-P)/Leicester (ENG-P)* Over 2½ -143
12/10/2016 12:30 PM Germany Soccer 216 Werder Bremen (GER-1)/Hertha Berlin (GER-1)* Over 2½ -116
12/10/2016 2:30 PM Poland Soccer 3857 Cracovia Krakow (POL-E)/Wisla Krakow (POL-E)* Over 2½ -127

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 39-25-6, +6.64

Adding:

12/10/2016 6:00 PM Argentina Soccer 563 Olimpo Bahia Blanca (ARG)/Racing Club (ARG)* Over ½,1 -132 for 1st Half

 

[KJ]

TFC :beer4:

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 40-25-7, +7.14

Adding:

12/10/2016 8:00 PM USA MLS Soccer 10334 Both teams score a goal* -130 vs A team is scoreless

Thanks kj.

 

[KJ]

I'm joining you on that, figure both score as well

 

[hugh613]

I'm joining you on that, figure both score as well

Yeah, I was going to just go over, but the line seems low (should be around -140 by my way of thinking but, then again, there's a reason why I'm not employed as an oddsmaker...) Plus, BTTS was 14-5 for Seattle on the road this season, including 8 of their last 9 (think it was 10-10 for TFC at home - didn't bother to write it down), and BTTS has hit in the last 5 H2H.

With my luck, one team or the other wins 3-0, but feel like this is the safest option. Also have the inescapable feeling it's heading for ET, but we'll see... Enjoy the game.

 

[KJ]

Ugh don't have the option, can't believe it. Hope it's 3-1 TFC

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 40-26-7, +5.84

Sunday:

12/11/2016 1:00 AM Australia Soccer 4701 Adelaide United (AUS-A)/Brisbane Roar (AUS-A)* Over 2½ -113
12/11/2016 6:30 AM Holland Soccer 501 Vitesse (HOL-E)/Sparta Rotterdam (HOL-E)* Over 2½ -145
12/11/2016 7:00 AM England Soccer 101 West Bromwich Albion (ENG-P)/Chelsea (ENG-P)* Over 2½ -157
12/11/2016 7:00 AM Denmark Soccer 451 Esbjerg (DEN)/Randers (DEN)* Over 2½ -123
12/11/2016 7:45 AM Switzerland Soccer 2801 Luzern (SWI-S)/Sion (SWI-S)* Over 3 -114

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 42-29-7, +3.59

Adding:

12/11/2016 11:00 AM Spain Soccer 1325 Atletico Mancha Real (ESP-B4)/La Hoya Lorca (ESP-B4)* Over 2½ -178
12/11/2016 12:00 PM Belgium Soccer 404 Oostende (BEL)/AA Gent (BEL)* Over 2½ -132
12/11/2016 12:00 PM Poland Soccer 2454 Legia Warsaw (POL-E)/Piast Gliwice (POL-E)* Over 2½ -126

 

[hugh613]

I'm sure that Spanish total is going to bite me in the ass, but to see a total juiced like that in Spain D3-4 is pretty unheard of (even the team totals are juiced through the roof at Pinnacle right now). At the same time, I usually have a pretty good sense of when it's not going to be a great day, so we'll see...

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

12/11/2016 2:00 PM Belgium Soccer 407 Westerlo (BEL)/Standard Liege (BEL)* Over 3 -135
12/11/2016 2:00 PM Bolivia Soccer 1751 San Jose (BOL)/Sports Boys Warnes (BOL)* Over 2½ -121
12/11/2016 2:00 PM Bolivia Soccer 1754 Oriente Petrolero (BOL)/Universitario SFX (BOL)* Over 2½ -120
12/11/2016 2:45 PM Italy Soccer 216 Genoa (ITA-A)/Inter Milan (ITA-A)* Over 2½ -148
12/11/2016 2:45 PM France Soccer 357 Nice (FRA-1)/PSG (FRA-1)* Over 2½ -148

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 48-32-7, +6.79

Adding:

12/11/2016 6:00 PM Costa Rica Soccer 802 Deportivo Saprissa (CRC)* -1½ -120 vs Santos de Guapiles (CRC)

*Might make a play on the Blooming over later as this will be Guabira's first road game in over a month. Let's see what kind of start Saprissa get off to first (considering Santos Guapiles have already packed it in for the season, don't see why Saprissa shouldn't be able to blow them out of the water from the get go).

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

12/11/2016 6:30 PM Bolivia Soccer 1760 Guabira (BOL)/Blooming (BOL)* Over 2½ -138

*Bah, I thought it was at 7:30 for some reason. Plus money's starting to come in on the over, so might as well jump in now before it gets out of hand...

 

[dylanphan]

nice afternoon here, Hugh613. Inter Milan goal away from 7 in a row

 

[hugh613]

Thanks dylan. If only I could get a stoppage time goal every now and then...

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 50-32-7, +8.79

Monday:

12/12/2016 12:30 PM Greece Soccer 551 Olympiakos (GRE-S)/PAS Giannina (GRE-S)* Over 2½ -103
12/12/2016 1:00 PM Italy Soccer 21 Sassuolo (ITA-A)/Fiorentina (ITA-A)* Over 2½ -134
12/12/2016 2:15 PM Germany Soccer 201 Hannover (GER-2)/VfB Stuttgart (GER-2)* Over 2½,3 -126