Darlington Race Weekend

[madshooter]

Updated record


Cup Qualifying 19 out of 28 +6.43 Units
Cup Driver matchups 47 out of 81 for +18.75 Units
Cup Odds to win 5 out of 73 for +2.55 Units

Truck Driver matchups 8 out of 15 for + .86 units
Truck Odds to win 1 out of 4 for +1.50 units (1 moosing)

Busch Driver matchups 9 out of 23 for - 2.44 units
Busch Odds to win 2 out of 13 for +1.19 units

Truck YTD +2.36 Units
Busch YTD - 1.25Units
Cup YTD + 29.10 Units

Overall YTD +30.21 Units



Qualifying Matchups

Newman over Biffle -125 .5 unit

Stewart over Harvick -110 .5 unit

Jr over Truex Jr -125 .5 unit

Bowyer over Mears -125 .5 unit



jumped on them early this week, may add more units or another matchup also, but this is it for now. Also took Newman to win @ +4250 and Biffle @ +1250 and Gordon @ +415. Too much value in Newman and Biff to let the odds fall down after qualifying. Gordon or Johnson should be the cars to beat this week as Johnson has finished 1,1,7,4 the last 4 races with Gordon 3,2,2 the last 3 years.Not to mention, this is a COT race and we all know that they have their shit together in the new cars. Good luck everyone, hope to clean house this week. :cheers:

 

[JumpOnBoard]

Good shit bro...Love the value in the Newman play and I think Gordon wins the race...

I think u're analysis is spot on and exactly what I've been thinking/saying as well..

Looking forward to this week and some cash is there to be made..

GL.

 

[madshooter]

thanks jump, hopefully we'll get to see a Sat. nite race this week.


Qualifying Matchups

Newman over Biffle -125 1 unit

Stewart over Harvick -110 1 unit

Jr over Truex Jr -125 1 unit

Bowyer over Mears -125 1 unit


added another .5 unit to all. All plays for 1 unit

 

[daveniner]

I'm leaning to Ku. Busch over Edwards and looking at Sorenson over Labonte.

GL

 

[madshooter]

the kurt/edwards matchup is real tight. Busch avg. start is 10.9 with Edwards at 13.7. Edwards has out qualified Busch the last 2 Darlington races and also in 3 out of 4 COT races. Reed and Bobby look like a tossup to me. GL Dave, be careful on the Busch matchup. :shake:

 

[Wolfpack17]

Heading to the track again this week..was disappointed i didnt get to see a night race last weekend but hopefully they will run on saturday

 

[madshooter]

have fun wolf, I hope they run it Sat. nite, it will suck if they don't. I think they should run at least half the races at night, much better at night than during the day.

 

[madshooter]

Busch Race

These lines are before qualifying.

Bowyer over Mears -125 .5 unit

Martin over Newman +100 .5 unit



Kenseth to win @ +405 and +500 .30 unit

Burton to win @ +585 and +700 .30 unit

Martin to win @ +800 .10 unit


Will check out the lines after qualifying and may add more. I am in fade mode in the Busch series right now, so thread lightly. GL everyone. :cheers:

 

[madshooter]

wow , guess I should have waited and got better value on the two above picks

addeed

Martin over Newman +120

Bowyer over Mears +105

.5 unit on both.

 

[Fondybadger]

Good luck this week Madshooter

 

[JumpOnBoard]

GL bro...the 99 over the 42 for me..

 

[madshooter]

thanks guys, split on the qualifying matchups and hit both Busch series matchups, losing on the win though. Another 2nd place pick :hairout:


Hope to hit some winners today.:shake:

 

[madshooter]

Race Day

Stewart over Harvick -105 1 unit

Kahne over McMurray +110 .5 unit

Martin over Truex Jr. -105 .5 unit

Labonte over Montoya -120 .5 unit

Burton over Kyle Busch +130 .5 unit

Kahne over Martin +120 .25 unit

Gordon over Johnson +105 .25 unit


Biffle top 3 finish @ +220 .33 unit

Hamlin top 3 finish @ +175 .33 unit

Kahne top 3 finish @ +860 .33 unit


Hamlin to win @ +700 .25 unit

Biffle to win @ +1250 .25 unit

Newman to win @ +4250 .25 unit

Johnson to win @ +485 .25 unit


Lot of matchups tonight, but going small on most of them, I really think Biffle has a good chance tonight, he did the tire test along with Gordon so I think both should do well. Since I like Biff tonight, that means he will probably finish 2nd as that is how its been going for my race winners. Picked Newman early in the week, may be donating on that one. Good luck to everyone tonight, hopefully we all hit em hard. :cheers:

 

[madshooter]

adding

Biffle over Kenseth - 105 .5 unit

Newman over McMurray -115 .5 unit

 

[madshooter]

Race Day

Stewart over Harvick -105 1 unit

Kahne over McMurray +110 .5 unit

Martin over Truex Jr. -105 .5 unit

Labonte over Montoya -120 .5 unit

Burton over Kyle Busch +130 .5 unit

Kahne over Martin +120 .25 unit

Gordon over Johnson +105 .25 unit

Biffle over Kenseth - 105 .5 unit

Newman over McMurray -115 .5 unit

Biffle top 3 finish @ +220 .33 unit

Hamlin top 3 finish @ +175 .33 unit

Kahne top 3 finish @ +860 .33 unit

Hamlin to win @ +700 .25 unit

Biffle to win @ +1250 .25 unit

Newman to win @ +4250 .25 unit

Johnson to win @ +485 .25 unit

Gordon to win @ +485 .25 unit

Not a great week, -.35 units on qualifying matchups, + 1.30 units on Busch race, and + 1.25 units on the Cup race. Grand total of + 2.20 Units on the race weekend. Wonder if they will have any matchups for the All Star Race?

 

[JumpOnBoard]

they def will bro...

Odds to win are already out and I bet the race matchups for this one last year in teh Open and the Classic at the greek.

So expect the same again this year I would think.