Conference Championship Week Discussion Thread

[VirginiaCavs]

Dec 1 Fri 2023

06:00 PM
307	New Mexico State	+11 -110	+330	O 53½ -110
308	Liberty +1 Markets	-11 -110	-410	U 53½ -110

07:00 PM
305	Oregon	-9 -110		O 67 -110
306	Washington +1 Markets	+9 -110		U 67 -110

Dec 2 Sat 2023

11:00 AM
309	Oklahoma State	+11½ -110
310	Texas +1 Markets	-11½ -110

11:00 AM
311	Miami Ohio	+8 -110	+260	O 46½ -110
312	Toledo +1 Markets	-8 -110	-310	U 46½ -110

03:00 PM
315	SMU	+4 -110
316	Tulane +1 Markets	-4 -110

03:00 PM
319	Appalachian State	+6½ -110
320	Troy +1 Markets	-6½ -110

07:00 PM
323	Michigan	-23½ -110		O 35 -110
324	Iowa +1 Markets	+23½ -110		U 35 -110

 

[KJ]

Texas by 20+

Not sure Ok St even thinks they belong there

 

[Two Utes]

I know the Ducks are chalky but it's lay the chalk or nothing. They are playing great right now and they really blew it by not winning in Seattle.

 

[Frank Costanza]

This is a great matchup for the Horns. Okie State does one thing well and the Texas defense doesn't allow it. On the other side, way too many weapons for the Horns.

42-20 type game.

 

[twinkie13]

How’s Preston Stone’s backup Jennings?
Gonna be a tough game Uptown on Saturday

 

[CPA-hole]

I'll gladly take 11 with NMSU. Yes Liberty won handily the 1st meeting. But NMSU is light years better right now. Hell, they lost at home to Umass.

 

[CPA-hole]

MWC will be Boise St at UNLV (+3)

 

[jimmymo]

I know the Ducks are chalky but it's lay the chalk or nothing. They are playing great right now and they really blew it by not winning in Seattle.

Agree --- I actually think it will take a huge effort for the UW to keep this within the number -- however, the one weakness for Oregon is the secondary and if Penix can find his early season magic again, it could be a game. That said, don't see it happening. I'm basically going to get Oregon ML in a number of plays and will be laying the points. The gas tank on this UW is all but empty right now and Oregon hasn't really had stress in a LONGGGG time

 

[Frank Costanza]

Damn, did not know Preston Stone hurt his ankle and is iffy for the game. I was ready to hammer SMU.

 

[Carolina Guy]

gotta love that o35' in Michigan Iowa, no? Imagine this gets bet up. Iowa ain't playing the other 13 teams in the conference.

 

[twinkie13]

Damn, did not know Preston Stone hurt his ankle and is iffy for the game. I was ready to hammer SMU.

Myself. This changes a lot. What’s the bead on the kid? He’s local boy huh? Didn’t look too bad but Tulane defense is an entirely different beast

 

[Frank Costanza]

Just staying away now.

 

[Inspekdah]

Damn, did not know Preston Stone hurt his ankle and is iffy for the game. I was ready to hammer SMU.

They absolutely throttle bad teams but I don’t think they’ll fair well against anyone with a pulse.

 

[Inspekdah]

Myself. This changes a lot. What’s the bead on the kid? He’s local boy huh? Didn’t look too bad but Tulane defense is an entirely different beast

SMU is a big play offense and I think they’ll get stalled against a good team. Memphis should have beat them and I was on SMU and almost had a nice cover.

 

[Inspekdah]

Agree --- I actually think it will take a huge effort for the UW to keep this within the number -- however, the one weakness for Oregon is the secondary and if Penix can find his early season magic again, it could be a game. That said, don't see it happening. I'm basically going to get Oregon ML in a number of plays and will be laying the points. The gas tank on this UW is all but empty right now and Oregon hasn't really had stress in a LONGGGG time

Yeah putting the Ducks on indoor turf to me will benefit them far more than UW.

 

[Inspekdah]

I can correlate plays with my local.

Michigan & Over Reverse
Michigan & Over Parlay
Michigan & Over Teaser

If Michigan can get up DD the wheels will fall off and I don’t think Iowa’s style translates well indoor. There’s no let down given the coach returning. There will be blood.

 

[Inspekdah]

Tulane is so good against the rush that it will all be on Jennings to win the game vs a poor Tulane secondary. I just can’t see it. Stone is a top 10 college QB.

 

[twinkie13]

Tulane is so good against the rush that it will all be on Jennings to win the game vs a poor Tulane secondary. I just can’t see it. Stone is a top 10 college QB.

Starting to lean this way too.

 

[Inspekdah]

MWC will be Boise St at UNLV (+3)

Fascinating game in Vegas.

 

[twinkie13]

65% chance of rain Saturday which would probably benefit Tulane

 

[M.W.]

Texas/OSU under 55
FSU/UL under 49

 

[Inspekdah]

Texas/OSU under 55
FSU/UL under 49

49 seems way high

 

[Frank Costanza]

Love the under in SMU / Tulane.

 

[Frank Costanza]

They absolutely throttle bad teams but I don’t think they’ll fair well against anyone with a pulse.

An argument for another team in Dallas, the pro one.

 

[Inspekdah]

Update on Stone expected any minute. Might have avoided serious injury.

 

[Inspekdah]

Update on Stone expected any minute. Might have avoided serious injury.

Apparently not. Broken leg. After looking at this game SMU would have tossed it all over the yard. But now they stand little chance.

https://x.com/tulanesportsguy/status/1729219861073772707?s=46&t=sNxXEmc39x7I1kFvphONPg

 

[Frank Costanza]

Oof. Tough.

 

[Canes1]

Apparently not. Broken leg. After looking at this game SMU would have tossed it all over the yard. But now they stand little chance.

https://x.com/tulanesportsguy/status/1729219861073772707?s=46&t=sNxXEmc39x7I1kFvphONPg

That’s interesting. Bc Tulane put the clamps on the utsa offense. Harris only threw for 198

 

[CPA-hole]

Oof. Tough.

View attachment 79454

Brutal news.

 

[Grovehard]

I'm holding SMU +320 from July.

 

[M.W.]

Love the under in SMU / Tulane.

What do you think of the total in the UT game?

 

[Inspekdah]

That’s interesting. Bc Tulane put the clamps on the utsa offense. Harris only threw for 198

Harris isn't close to Stone in terms in passing.

 

[Frank Costanza]

What do you think of the total in the UT game?

I'm not playing the game total. I did play the Texas TT at 34.5. Okie State is not fast on the back end. Horns are very fast at the skill positions.

 

[HUNT]

Washington is getting a lot of points. I'm not sure Oregon is 10+ better on a neutral. Washington has also won a ton of close games which people perceive as them being shitty, but I kind of liken it to iron sharpening iron. I agree Oregon is lights out lately but Washington has a great coach and a great offense that will always keep them in it. Oregon should win a close game but I'm taking all those points and a little ml on the side. Not seeing a blowout at all. These two play close just like the last two.

 

[HUNT]

Do like Texas and GA as well. Parlay the MLS.

 

[KJ]

Washington is getting a lot of points. I'm not sure Oregon is 10+ better on a neutral. Washington has also won a ton of close games which people perceive as them being shitty, but I kind of liken it to iron sharpening iron. I agree Oregon is lights out lately but Washington has a great coach and a great offense that will always keep them in it. Oregon should win a close game but I'm taking all those points and a little ml on the side. Not seeing a blowout at all. These two play close just like the last two.

Yep basically laying double digits against an undefeated team seems ludicrous. Fast track should see points for both teams in abundance.

I'm pretty high on the Oregon defense but they do commit a ton of penalties in the defensive backfield, that can easily come into play.

 

[HUNT]

Michigan and Iowa. I can see Michigan scoring a lot in this one actually. Just a terrible match up for Iowa.

 

[HUNT]

Yep basically laying double digits against an undefeated team seems ludicrous. Fast track should see points for both teams in abundance.

I'm pretty high on the Oregon defense but they do commit a ton of penalties in the defensive backfield, that can easily come into play.

Right. It's not like Washington is inept on d either. Solid run d.

These guys have played a gauntlet of a schedule and just win.

 

[M.W.]

Michigan and Iowa. I can see Michigan scoring a lot in this one actually. Just a terrible match up for Iowa.

Teams laying 22+ are great bets in CCGs, but with a total of 35.5? Not sure I can do it.

 

[M.W.]

Teams laying 22+ are great bets in CCGs, but with a total of 35.5? Not sure I can do it.

Perhaps Iowa team under. Under 6. Lol.

 

[2daBank]

Man, I had no idea ducks were gonna be such big favs. I was ready to pound them laying -7 or less, strong ass line!! Not sure I can lay that?? I like udub a lot, I know they havnt looked great down the stretch but they got it done. So happy both these teams won out and winner gets to go to the playoff!! Obviously ducks coulda won that 1st meeting and by margin if not for all the failed attempts in red zone! Plus that was at udub. Not saying the line doesn’t make sense I just didn’t think it would be this high: No clue what the hell to do now? It not enough for me to take udub when I’m super confident ducks win but it really tough to lay that: maybe I just have to but it down to a td?? Udub has to take some money with this number don’t they?? I guess ducks opened 7.5 and got hit hard? Damn, wish I’d gotten in there!! Lol

 

[2daBank]

Texas by 20+

Not sure Ok St even thinks they belong there

They don’t and I agree. Sucks Sooners screwed up the rematch.

 

[2daBank]

gotta love that o35' in Michigan Iowa, no? Imagine this gets bet up. Iowa ain't playing the other 13 teams in the conference.

I think I’d be more inclined to take Michigan team total, I don’t no if iowa can score more than 7?

 

[2daBank]

I'm not playing the game total. I did play the Texas TT at 34.5. Okie State is not fast on the back end. Horns are very fast at the skill positions.

I don’t have any idea how okie lite got here, lately they have looked like what I thought all year, they not good.

 

[KJ]

I think I’d be more inclined to take Michigan team total, I don’t no if iowa can score more than 7?

Problem betting against Iowa scoring 7 is an elite defense can basically get that done in one play. No way I could play anything based on them basically not scoring a TD given that. I also do think Mich team total is how to play it, that defense could score a couple times.

 

[2daBank]

Right. It's not like Washington is inept on d either. Solid run d.

These guys have played a gauntlet of a schedule and just win.

I love udub and so glad they both got here w only the 1 loss but ducks were better the 1st time and in washigton they win thar game by a couple scores if they finished drives Imo, had they simply took fgs they woulda won. I dunno I can lay it but no way could I be against ducks:

 

[HUNT]

Teams laying 22+ are great bets in CCGs, but with a total of 35.5? Not sure I can do it.

28-3 kind of game.

 

[2daBank]

Problem betting against Iowa scoring 7 is an elite defense can basically get that done in one play. No way I could play anything based on them basically not scoring a TD given that. I also do think Mich team total is how to play it, that defense could score a couple times.

Yea I wouldn’t play iowa under 7 im just saying not sure they score more than that.

 

[HUNT]

Yea I wouldn’t play iowa under 7 im just saying not sure they score more than that.

I'd play iowa under 7

 

[Frank Costanza]

Problem betting against Iowa scoring 7 is an elite defense can basically get that done in one play. No way I could play anything based on them basically not scoring a TD given that. I also do think Mich team total is how to play it, that defense could score a couple times.

Solid point on the Michigan defensive scores. Hill often just throws a bad ball without pressure. With pressure he's an accident waiting to happen.