CFL Syndicate 2025

Fucking dumb to go for 2 homerun shots there. Now you leave them time. VAj with horrible clock mgmt
 
Hulu if you would be so kind to update any key points injuries or developments. I know you do this but I want to to know I’m paying attention.

Fun time of year and I wanted BC and Montreal.

Saskatchewan is good too. I’m happy Peg went down it’s has to be part of the regression.
 
I don't like this play and I don't want to make it but it has to be done. The number should be 3 if not 3.5. Montreal is superior in almost every facet of the game and will not be stopped. I already have Montreal +240 to reach the cup but at this number I have to add more.

2* Montreal ML -125

Taken at 365.

If the line makes it to 3.5 I will consider middling.

@spottie2935 @B.A.R. @Teapot9 get on this one. This number will move before kickoff. Even if you're not sure, you'll almost certainly be able to arb or middle it on Saturday.
 
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spottie2935 said:
Hulu if you would be so kind to update any key points injuries or developments. I know you do this but I want to to know I’m paying attention.

Fun time of year and I wanted BC and Montreal.

Saskatchewan is good too. I’m happy Peg went down it’s has to be part of the regression.
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In Hamilton both teams appear fairly healthy right now. Montreal's defensive line looked like a concern last week with Mustafa Johnson, Lwal Uguak out and Shawn Oakman being suspended and cut. But when the game started they didn't miss a beat and were in Winnipeg's backfield all day. I think Uguak will be back.

On the Hamilton side, there's really no major injuries of note. They had a bye week and come into this game very rested.

I haven't looked into BC/SASK yet.
 
One thing of note about Davis Alexander. As good as he's looked this year it should be noted that he only started 7 games due to injury and 5 of those were against bottom-dwelling Ottawa and Toronto. Of the other 2, one was at early-season Edmonton with Tre Ford starting and the other was at home vs Calgary during their late-season losing streak.

So although he's perfect as a starter this season, he hasn't played a solid team all year. Last week's game vs Winnipeg was probably the best opponent he's faced.

Nevertheless, this guy gets it done and I will back him until the wheels fall off.
 
Also gonna take a shot that this game goes over. Its a bit early to take an over bet with fall weather always in play but I see it already creeping up at pinny so getting on it now. Both these offences can ball and both defences in their current state are around avg. I think this should be more like 54.5

1* MTL / HAM over 52.5 -110
 
Early weather report shows a cool one in Regina. -3C (~24F) and chance of flurries. Temp will drop as the sun will be down by halftime.

I never like a dome team playing in those kind of conditions.
 
Hulu said:
I don't like this play and I don't want to make it but it has to be done. The number should be 3 if not 3.5. Montreal is superior in almost every facet of the game and will not be stopped. I already have Montreal +240 to reach the cup but at this number I have to add more.

2* Montreal ML -125

Taken at 365.

If the line makes it to 3.5 I will consider middling.

@spottie2935 @B.A.R. @Teapot9 get on this one. This number will move before kickoff. Even if you're not sure, you'll almost certainly be able to arb or middle it on Saturday.
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Appreciate the heads-up!
 
Up to -160 now. That didn't last long. This has to be on its way to 3 and I think 3.5 once the public gets involved.n This is one of those times I think the public will be on the right side. They just won't get the right number.
 
Hamilton available for +3.5 -115 now. I'll wait to see if it moves more tomorrow. I think the public and sharps agree on Montreal.

Weather in Hamilton looks ideal. 7C, cloudy, a little wind but nothing major. Should be a great day.

Regina looking a bit colder than earlier thought. Kickoff temp -7C, dropping to -9C later. No wind though. This will be a shocker for the dome Lions coming from Vancouver. Anyone who lives in a cold place knows, that first really cold day is a bit of a tough adjustment. No way I could bet the Lions in this spot. But having won 6 straight games, its also hard to bet against them.
 
Hulu said:
Hamilton available for +3.5 -115 now. I'll wait to see if it moves more tomorrow. I think the public and sharps agree on Montreal.

Weather in Hamilton looks ideal. 7C, cloudy, a little wind but nothing major. Should be a great day.

Regina looking a bit colder than earlier thought. Kickoff temp -7C, dropping to -9C later. No wind though. This will be a shocker for the dome Lions coming from Vancouver. Anyone who lives in a cold place knows, that first really cold day is a bit of a tough adjustment. No way I could bet the Lions in this spot. But having won 6 straight games, its also hard to bet against them.
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Thx for the updates
 
I only have one wish for the rest of the season.

I want every game to have a missed FG return TD so the media can talk non-stop about what Stew Johnston and his ridiculous rule changes are taking away from fans.
 
Trying to figure out what to do with the late game.

BC off 6 straight wins but Sask is fully healthy and rested and is the better team pretty much everywhere except QB and I can't forget about "playoff Harris". Some of the best games of his career have been playoff games.

When you look at the game they played here 2 weeks ago, BC needed the game like blood and it was meaningless for Sask. They played their starters for the 1Q and got a lead and then benched a bunch of guys and BC barely managed to overcome them by the 4th. It was about as unimpressive a win as you will ever see. And now they have to do it in a frigid, sold-out Mosaic. I just think this is too much to ask of a BC team with a suspect defense and OL. And now RB James Butler is a GTD.

Sask wins but I don't want to take the 3 or the ML. Maybe parlay it with a college game I like. Still thinking.
 
Hamilton looks to be 100% healthy. Only roster change is to bring in Kendricks on the DL to try and get more pass rush on Alexander. Winnipeg showed us last week, that's the only way to stop him.

Montreal is without Mustafa Johnson again but Uguak returns as expected and this has to be considered the best DL in the league. Otherwise they are fully healthy too.

Total has ticked up a point with both these offences and near perfect weather.

I'm still looking to buy back on Hamilton when I can
 
Rourke doesn't look like he will be denied tonight. That drive was outstanding
 
Sask opens as 2.5pt favs but quickly gets pushed down to 1.5

At first glance I would have the ALs favoured myself but with sask having a serious HFA and with Davis Alexander looking like he may have tweaked his hammy again, I'm not sure what to think.
 
Montreal is my play but I prefer an English speaking province to win. Not Winnipeg though. Nothing against the Peggers just want to see another winner.

I think it’s a dog but the line is so close to 0 it could move to Mont. being the small favorite.

Should be a fun competitive final. I would guess some extra “juice” and motivation any time a French speaking Quebec team faces an English speaking province team in the final, yes? Does that add anything for the fans?

I haven’t given one look at the totals yet but I always lean over in the big “entertainment” games.

Go Montreal do Hulu can take down his future. Battle tested all season😊🔥
 
Here we go...the last true Grey Cup played under real Canadian rules...

I too like Montreal getting 4 currently. With fully healthy teams on a true Neutral field, I would have made the line Montreal -2. When you throw in the Johnson injury and the fact that this game will be a heavy Sask crowd, maybe make it pk. Then you have to factor in the Davis Alexander hamstring situation. I think that brings it to Sask -1.5 at most.

So I think getting 4 on the ALs is a great value. I think the current number is a massive overreaction to Alexander's hamstring. Consider that although he was holding it after a tackle in the 4Q, he finished the game. Maas stated the very next day that he was fit to start the Grey Cup. This is a championship game and this kid is a fierce competitor (although his juvenile on-field antics are annoying) and he will play through whatever he has to. He is dedicating this game to his late father who passed away last season shortly after Alexander won the starting job. He'll be getting worked on all week, get the best of care and have it shot up Matt Dunigan style if he has to. I just don't think this injury is as big a deal as people are miking it out to be.

The only question is do I grab the 4 now or wait until game day. I've said it before...sask has the biggest fan base in the country and they often move the line on gameday. Wouldn't surprise me to get a 4.5 by then.

Either way, I will have some moneyline too because I think the ALs have a fair shot of winning this one straight up.
 
Looking into the total, I would make it in the 47.5 to 49 range so at 49, its on the high end of that.

Slight lean to the under but probably won't bet it. Live will be an option.
 
3downnation.com

Montreal Alouettes QB Davis Alexander's hamstring rehab has 'gone better than expected'

Montreal Alouettes' quarterback Davis Alexander has been dealing with his left hamstring injury since April, but he has been able to deadlift 500 pounds despite
3downnation.com 3downnation.com

“I don’t really know a percentage because we’re going day one, day two, day three checklist leading up to the game. So far, I’ve been able to check everything off the boxes that we wanted,” Alexander said after a closed practice on Thursday.


“If I’m being as honest as possible, it’s gone better than I expected. I think the benefit is that I have been dealing with this all year. It’s gone better than we expected, and gotta keep trending in the right direction. Give ourselves the best opportunity to go win.”


Montreal’s training staff has been doing four to five therapy sessions per day on Alexander’s left hamstring. He’s been doing strength and activation workouts along with treatments which include massage, ice, ultrasound, laser, and electrical stimulation therapy.
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Alright, I'm in. Can't risk losing this number. If I'm right and it moves more by kick I may add. Sask should just not be a 4pt fav.

1.5* / .5* Montreal +4 / ML -108 / +184

I'll be looking into some props and derivatives as well.

eta...it was 1.5* ATS, not 1
 
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Defensive season stats. Montreal #1 in total yards, Sask #2 but only 3.1 yds/gm separate them.

Against the rush, Sask is #1 and Montreal #6.

Against the pass, Montreal #1 and Sask #8

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1* Prop KeeSean Johnson under 5.5 receptions -175

Steep price and its possible he may not play but if he does he's coming off a knee injury and hasn't played in a few games. Going up against a #1 pass defence too. His season avg is 5.7/game but I just don't see him being a big part of this game which is likely to be a defensive struggle.

I've realized that if you want to play a receiver under, its better to go with receptions than yards. One big play can put him over a yards prop but there's no single, fluke play, that can put his receptions over. The targets just have to be there.
 
That should be it for me unless books put up some more props etc. All bets for the Grey Cup...

1.5* / .5* Montreal +4 / ML -108 / +184
1* Prop KeeSean Johnson under 5.5 receptions -175
0.5* Montreal 1Q +0.5 -135
0.75* Saskatchewan TT under 27.5 -130
 
Now that Johnson has been ruled out along with Robustelli, who is going to be the biggest beneficiary? I think its Kian Schaffer-Baker. He spent a lot of the year injured but came back for 3 games in the regular season plus the west final and he's averaged 4 rec and 58 yds per game. And now with Robustelli on the shelf, I think he gets an extra target or two.

0.5* Kian Schaffer-Baker over 3.5 rec -125
0.5* Kian Schaffer-Baker over 40.5 rec yds -115
 
Worth pointing out that 7 of the last 8 Grey Cup games, the dog has won straight up.

The championship is a different animal. Don't let the line sway you. Just pick who is going to win and bet accordingly.
 
One last small prop stab...

0.5* Prop Travis Theis over 17.5 rush yds

Montreal has gone with a RBBC approach the past few games, mostly due to injury at first but then because they found it was working. Stevie Scott will get the start but Theis is the change of pace guy. He's the one they bring in with the fresh legs to pound the defence in the 2H. I think he will get 6-8 carries and this is not a high bar to cross even if Sask has the league's best run D. He averages 5.2 ypc this season. He's exceeded this number in 10 of the last 12 games he's played, including last week in the Hammer.
 
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