CFB Week 8 (10/16-10/18) News and Picks

Tuesday Headlinin': The last day of Tommy Bowden

from Dr. Saturday - NCAAF - Yahoo! Sports by Matt Hinton
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How are you going to criticize a coach who does everything right? So Mike Gundy might ask about Tommy Bowden's unceremonious midseason axing at Clemson, and so The State's Ron Morris does ask today with typical "What's wrong with society" clucking under the actual headline, "Bowden did everything right, except win":Â
Bowden did everything right at Clemson. His teams won an average of nearly eight games his first nine seasons. Every one of his teams qualified for a bowl game. His players graduated, and they rarely were involved in off-field incidents. Bowden stacked solid recruiting class on top of solid recruiting class. He represented the athletics department and the university in the highest manner. His ethics were never questioned. NCAA probation was never associated with his program.
Yet Bowden failed in one key area that overrode all the rest. Clemson did not win an ACC championship under his direction. In the end, after all was considered, winning a championship trumped all of Bowden’s outstanding work.
Terry Don Phillips, Clemson’s athletics director, admitted as much on Monday.
“There is a point where the competitive portion will override all the good things you’ve done in these other areas,” Phillips said.
That is the sad part Yet that is where we are in college athletics, inching closer to the professional ranks. ...
Lo, for the days of Howard, Switzer and the Bear, when there was no pressure to produce results on the field and the "student" in "student-athlete" actually meant something. I'm surprised I made it all the way through that sentence without my fingers spasming wildly across the keyboard (maybe I have a future in newspapers, after all, or politics). Among Bowden's peers, Papa Bowden is generic, and Steve Spurrier, as usual, sums it up the best: "We’ve got our own problems in here that we don’t need to comment on other people’s issues.”
More importantly: who's on deck? The State floats five names, which are essentially the five names that come up for every job: Will Muschamp, Gary Patterson, Jim Grobe, Bobby Johnson and Bowden's interim replacement, Dabo Swinney, who's supposed to have a fighting chance if he keeps the Tigers out of the tank over the second half of the year. There are no tea leaves to be read at this stage, only message boards, and they don't want Patterson, they don't want Bobby Johnson, they don't want Lane Kiffin, so that leaves a working wish list of Muschamp, basically. But we knew that already.
Possession receiver, adieu. Kentucky's best offensive playmaker -- its only reliable offensive playmaker, really -- Dickie Lyons, Jr., is out for the season with the dreaded double tear (PCL and MCL) in the Cats' loss to South Carolina, effectively ending his college career. Lyons has three times as many receptions this year (33) as Kentucky's No. 2 receiver, and though his career totals (141 catches, 1,752 yards, 18 touchdowns) are a ho hum season for Michael Crabtree, Dickie had his share of highlights, too, as a second banana to Keenan Burton, Rafael Little and later Steve Johnson:
<embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/3McA4XW1b84&hl=en&fs=1" allowscriptaccess="never" wmode="transparent" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="285" height="233">Popout <embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/X8wpLrIoECU&hl=en&fs=1" allowscriptaccess="never" wmode="transparent" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="285" height="233">Popout​
His deceptive speed belongs to the ages now. Godspeed, Dickie. You took Craig Steltz off the ground
Another sometimes overlooked receiver/return man, North Carolina's Brandon Tate, is also out for the season (link includes video of fateful punt return against Notre Dame) after an MRI revealed a torn ACL for the Tar Heels' all-purpose yards leader. Tate led the entire conference in all-purpose yards as a junior and was on his way to an even better senior year, at just shy of 200 yards per game rushing, receiving and returning kicks, with five touchdowns in UNC's first five games before Saturday. His college career is over, too, and also not without its share of highlights.
What is this, 'per-speck-tiv' of which you speak? The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette's Ron Cook isn't going to win any friends on the West Virginia side of the Gazette's circulation writing stuff like this about the Mountaineer State's Public Enemy Number One, especially amid the giddiness that surely followed Rich Rodriguez's loss to Toledo:Â
Like him or hate him personally, Rodriguez is a great coach and he will win big at Michigan if they don't run him out of town first. It's only a matter of time. Rodriguez needs to bring in players who are a fit for his unique spread offense, which always seemed to be a step ahead of everybody else's when he was at West Virginia. Getting quarterback Terrelle Pryor out of Jeannette High School in the spring would have hastened the process greatly, but that didn't work out, and Pryor picked Ohio State. That's recruiting. You win some, you lose some.
[...]
Bottom line, big picture?​
The Rodriguez bandwagon will fill quickly, sooner rather than later.
Not if it's overtaken and hacked up for torch kindlin', Ron, by jilted West Virginians or the anit-Rod faction of the Michigan Fan Civil War. As a representative of the southern end of this maize-n-blue quasi-rivalry, you're supposed to make lame, Rod-related puns, forget his guiding hand during the most successful three-year run in West Virginia history and take what's happening at Michigan at the moment as evidence of Rodriguez's true ineptitude when not gifted with Pat White in the shotgun. There is no place for patience here.
Quickly ... Poor Marshall Lobbestael is out for the season for Washington State. . . . Ball State's Dante Love is out of the hospital after the neck injury that ended his football career last month. . . . Georgia tight end Bruce Figgins will finish the season with a torn labrum, but the Dogs have to cut the penalties and score touchdowns in the red zone. And Mark Richt speaks out on Tommy Bowden, who coached Richt's son, a backup quarterback at Clemson, without really saying anything. . . . And there's some optimism around Pitt football, which can only mean something terrible is about to happen.
 
NO!!!!

Y'all might as well put your money on the Mizzou ML.

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Colt McCoy makes Sports Illustrated cover

from Bevo Beat

A day after he was installed as the midseason favorite for the Heisman Trophy, Colt McCoy received more national recognition: He’s on the cover of this week’s Sports Illustrated.
Writes SI’s Austin Murphy:
The tipping point at this year’s Red River Rivalry? The precise moment when this game got away from Oklahoma for good? It was right around the time Mack Brown flashed the peace sign. Actually, his team having taken a 36-35 lead midway through the fourth quarter, the Texas coach was calling for a two-point conversion. Spying a wide-open Quan Cosby in the back right of the end zone, quarterback Colt McCoy rifled a Papelbonian bullet in the direction of his senior wide receiver, who did not, on this rare occasion, make a clean catch. Rather, the ball ricocheted off his sternum, spinning end over end into the warm autumn air, inviting yet another momentum swing in a game already stuffed with them. How long did that ball hang in the firmament? “Uncomfortably long,” judged Christopher Ainley, a senior cymbalist in the Longhorn Band, who stood, with his fellow cymbalists, roughly 10 feet from where Cosby camped out under the ball. So long, Cosby recounted, that he fought the urge to signal for a fair catch. Long enough for McCoy to get slightly ticked off. Don’t wait for it to come down, he recalled thinking. Jump up an’ GIT IT! Chillax, Colt. Cosby had the situation under control, calmly snagging the pass before a defender could even lay a hand on him. Thus did Texas take both a 38-35 lead and whatever remained of Oklahoma’s mojo.​
 
I think that whatever QB wins the Big XII WILL WIN the Heisman. I agree with Fiu in the article above.

Look at the OU game and Bradford had a better stat line (absent the 2 INTs, one of which was on the last play). But Colt does 3 things better than Bradford: 1) Higher completion percentage, 2) has won all of his games, and 3) can be a surprising white-boy dual threat.

We had a great week-end last weekend but now I'm done with it and looking ahead and I'm still nervous as we go into Game 2 of our 4 game tour through the Top 15 (6 game tour if we talk about the roadie to Kansas 2 weeks after that). Lots of football to be played and I'm glad that Mack and the coaches are saying the same thing. On Sunday he told the kids that it was a huge win, it marks the end of the first half of the season, but they must bury it and prepare or it won't matter for shit. I think the kids know that. No way you can look at the schedule and now know that especially with so many veterans and coach's kids (times like this I love that, they think like coaches not kids) in the roster.

Cross our fingers on it.

Gotta get my boat rented for the lake on Friday, GameDay on Saturday morning, tailgate all day, drunk as fuck and loud as fuck for Mizzou (I'll shoot some photos and video for the site), and then hopefully celebrating Win #2.

:cheers:

Awesome man! GL this Saturday!

:cheers:
 
One more who thinks Tommy Bowden 'deserved it': Terry Bowden

from Dr. Saturday - NCAAF - Yahoo! Sports by Matt Hinton
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It got around fast Monday when Cullen Harper and Cullen Harper’s dad were quoted to the effect that “Tommy Bowden deserved to get fired at midseason and should never show his face in South Carolina again.” Maybe that last part is embellished, a little, but still: that’s not the kind of generic, PC-friendly, “it is what it is and we just have to move ahead one game at a time” pablum you expect to hear when a coach bites the dust. Harper and Bowden have had their issues this year, and the quarterback continued to spit darts at Bowden in his weekly column for The Sporting News by praising interim boss Dabo Swinney for what Swinney’s not going to do – “He’s not going to talk behind your back. He's not going to bring stuff up in the media,” etc. It turns out, though, that amid the predictable non-responses of his peers, at least one ex-coach agrees completely that Tommy Bowden deserved to be fired, and isn’t afraid to say it in a national forum -- uh, Terry Bowden?:
So, did Tommy Bowden deserve what happened to him Monday?
Unfortunately, yes.
He deserved it because he, of all people, knew what to expect when he got into this business. We grew up in it.
He knew what to expect when he went to Clemson. He knew that no matter where you go, there is an expectation of success that must be met. After nine years at Clemson, he knew exactly what those expectations were and he knew they had not been met.
Clemson expects to win the conference championship once in a while – and they should. After 10 years of falling short, they deserve the right to try to find a coach they believe can get them there.
[…]
Monday, it was time to move over and allow Clemson to move on.
If there’s anyone who knows about being forced out in the middle of a season, it’s Terry Bowden (or perhaps Jeff Bowden), so maybe it’s no surprise that he’s willing to push family pride and speak from experience what he thinks needs to be said about his big brother. After all, Tommy may be two years older, may have been the first to get his own room and may have gotten first dibs on borrowing the car on weekends, but remember who was in charge back in ‘93, bro:
When I went to Auburn in 1993 as the coach, Tommy already was on the staff there. I asked him to stick around and be my offensive coordinator. That is not an easy thing to do, especially when you are the older brother and you come from a family where there is an accepted hierarchy about how things like that are supposed to happen. Tommy sucked up his pride and helped us go undefeated in our first season. Then he watched with pride, from the background, while I was awarded national coach-of-the-year honors.
Speaking of the undefeated, national coach of the year: has Terry Bowden’s name been floated yet as a possible option for the Tigers? The “What about Terry Bowden?” thread is a Southern/East Coast coaching search tradition, and even if he almost never seriously looks into openings, Terry might at least listen to Clemson – preferably around, say, Thanksgiving, just to see if he can get Tommy to spit out his cranberry sauce when he brings it up before grace.
 
Is Minnesota for Real? It May Not Matter

from The FanHouse - NCAAfootball
Filed under: Minnesota, Big 10
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If the Minnesota Golden Gophers aren't the most improved team in college football this season, who is? Through seven weeks of play, Tim Brewster's squad is enjoying the sort of success that always seemed to elude his predecessor Glen Mason. The Gophers are now 6-1 with a signature road win over Illinois and their sole loss coming in Columbus.

Nobody was complaining about the Gopher offense last season. They just weren't up to the task of bailing out the nation's worst defense week after week. Statistically this season's Gopher offense is mid-pack by almost any measure. The difference is on the other side of the ball.

It's not that the Gophers have moved way, way up. It's that the Gophers had nowhere to go but up. Their defensive statistics this year aren't the stuff of dreams, but the Gophers are allowing, on average, about 130 fewer yards and 19 fewer points per game than they were a year ago. New defensive coordinator Ted Roof didn't work out as a head coach at Duke. Both Duke and Minnesota are happy for that.

Anybody can post good results against a squishy schedule, however. The Gophers hung in against their most challenging opponent to date (Ohio State) but failed to win. That raises the question of whether the Gophers can stand up against the other challengers in the Big Ten.

Oh, wait. They don't really play any of the other challengers in Big Ten. Northwestern comes to the Humpty Dump on November 1. That and the season-ender with Iowa (also in the Giant Rubbermaid Container) are their only remaining games against teams with a winning record right now. They have road trips to ill-fated Purdue and totally-lost Wisconsin. No Penn State. No Michigan State. And they get Michigan at the Dome in exactly the right year. They could win out. They probably won't lose out. A worst-case scenario has them wrapping up at 7-5; the dream scenario has them 11-1 and bound for something like the Capital One Bowl.

You're not buying them as an 11-1 team this year? Neither am I. I could see them going 9-3, which would be about equal to Glen Mason's 2003 season, his best in Minneapolis. Even if you're skeptical about the 2008 Gophers, though, you'd better beware of next year's edition.

Why? Because graduation barely touches this team. Brewster loses three starters on defense and a whopping one on offense after this year. Quarterback Adam Weber leads the Big Ten in completion percentage. He trails Juice Williams by 65 yards of passing. His touchdown/interception ratio is almost as good as Daryll Clark's (9/2 for Weber against 10/2 for Clark.) Weber is a sophomore this year.

Minnesota's top three running backs? Freshman, sophomore, freshman. Receiver Eric Decker has a 219-yard edge on Arrelious Benn for first place in the Big Ten. Decker is a junior. Offensive line? Two juniors, two sophomores and one freshman. The defense will have to replace two linebackers and defensive end/beast Willie VanDeSteeg next season. Otherwise, everybody comes back.

As we all have learned from the stock market in recent weeks, past performance is no guarantee of future results. Still, I wouldn't count on Brewster's 2009 team to take a huge step back. He landed a top-twenty recruiting class last year and is already off to a good start this year. Not only that, but the Gophers will break in TCF Bank Stadium next September. If they can carry even some of this year's momentum into next year, the days when you could disregard the Gophers are numbered--and it's not a very large number, either.
 
texas record ATS after the Oky game?

Texas has not lost SU after OU since 1997 (under Mackovic)....to Mizzou.

Mack has never lost SU after OU.

Only have the Steele records, which show that Texas is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after OU. The only loss....against Mizzou in 2004. In all fairness that was after the 12-0 loss to OU and before Mack and Greg Davis let VY be VY.

The quote I saw today I liked was from Quan Cosby who said, after the OU win, "We're bowl eligible!" In other words, all Texas has done is win 6 games and nothing else. Orakpo added that Texas was already everyone's big game and they knew going in that they would wear the big target.

Hopefully that represents the entire team's focus right now.

I originally was liking Mizzou +7 (wouldn't bet it) but am leaning the other way now unless Mizzou can establish a running game to keep Texas' D honest. Otherwise expect Orakpo and Kindle to just be let loose against Daniel.
 
Too early to start talking BCS?

from Block U by JazzyUte
Yeah, probably, but the BCS rankings will be released after this week's action and how awesome would it be if the Utes were the highest non-BCS team in the country?
Unlikely? Don't be so sure. In fact, count on it.
Thanks to Rich Tellshow's BCS Projections, we can take a peek at the current BCS rankings. Though it should be noted that these are just estimates and can't be taken as the literal BCS numbers, which will officially be released on October 19th.

<center> Rich Tellshow's BCS Standings (Current)

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Last Updated: 13-Oct 10:05 AM
Comp Coaches Harris BSC
Team W L Ave Rank Pts BCS Rank Pts BCS Points
1 Texas 6 0 1.00 1 1505 0.987 1 2804 0.984 0.9902
2 Alabama 6 0 0.96 2 1452 0.952 2 2752 0.966 0.9592
3 Penn State 7 0 0.81 3 1416 0.929 3 2602 0.913 0.8838
4 Southern Cal 4 1 0.71 4 1198 0.786 5 2225 0.781 0.7588
5 Texas Tech 6 0 0.63 5 1195 0.784 7 2191 0.769 0.7275
6 Oklahoma 5 1 0.60 6 1147 0.752 4 2255 0.791 0.7145
7 Oklahoma St 6 0 0.87 10 958 0.628 10 1829 0.642 0.7133
8 Florida 5 1 0.45 7 1145 0.751 6 2224 0.780 0.6604
9 Utah 7 0 0.85 13 819 0.537 14 1489 0.522 0.6365
10 Georgia 5 1 0.51 9 1010 0.662 9 1901 0.667 0.6131
11 Ohio State 6 1 0.61 11 920 0.603 13 1589 0.558 0.5903
12 Brigham Young 6 0 0.25 8 1143 0.750 8 2044 0.717 0.5722
13 Missouri 5 1 0.43 12 886 0.581 11 1706 0.599 0.5365
14 Boise St 5 0 0.73 16 648 0.425 15 1240 0.435 0.5300
15 Michigan St 6 1 0.67 17 468 0.307 18 800 0.281 0.4192
16 Virginia Tech 5 1 0.52 18 467 0.306 17 912 0.320 0.3821
17 LSU 4 1 0.00 14 776 0.509 12 1624 0.570 0.3596
18 Kansas 5 1 0.00 15 676 0.443 16 1187 0.416 0.2866
19 Wake Forest 4 1 0.37 19 376 0.247 21 569 0.200 0.2721
20 North Carolina 5 1 0.35 21 321 0.210 20 607 0.213 0.2578
21 South Florida 5 1 0.11 20 334 0.219 19 640 0.225 0.1845
22 Ball St 7 0 0.36 25 135 0.089 23 226 0.079 0.1759
23 Vanderbilt 5 1 0.03 23 147 0.096 22 454 0.159 0.0952
24 California 4 1 0.07 22 169 0.111 24 217 0.076 0.0857
25 Northwestern 5 1 0.19 31 21 0.014 31 46 0.016 0.0733
</pre>
</p> Clearly, Utah is in good position to be ranked the highest when those rankings come out. Though with BYU taking on TCU (27th), a victory there might push them high enough where they pass Utah, who will play Colorado State (62nd) Saturday. One thing is clear, however, Utah is favored by the computers (no bias), while the Cougars are favored by the polls.
So how far would Utah and BYU move up with a win? Well it depends. That, for now, can't be predicted.
 
Interesting look back at HS Recruiting Rankings:

Colt McCoy
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</td> <td style="margin: 0pt; padding: 0pt; width: 100%;"><table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr><td width="100%">Pro-style quarterback
Tuscola (TX) Jim Ned
Ht: 6-foot-1 (Event)
Wt: 180 lbs
Forty: 4.72 secs
Bench reps: 12
Vertical: 29 inches
Shuttle: 4.85 secs
GPA: 3.87
Class: 2005 (High School)
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Chase Daniel
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</td> <td style="margin: 0pt; padding: 0pt; width: 100%;"><table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr><td width="100%">Dual-threat quarterback
Southlake (TX) Carroll
Ht: 6-foot-1 (Event)
Wt: 214 lbs
Forty: 4.5 secs
Bench max: 245 pounds
Bench reps: 11
Squat max: 425 pounds
Vertical: 31 inches
Shuttle: 4.27 secs
Class: 2005 (High School)
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Sam Bradford
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</td> <td style="margin: 0pt; padding: 0pt; width: 100%;"><table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr><td width="100%">Pro-style quarterback
Oklahoma City (OK) Putnam City North
Ht: 6-foot-4
Wt: 200 lbs
Forty: 4.64 secs
Bench max: 245 pounds
Squat max: 500 pounds
Vertical: 34 inches
GPA: 4.28
ACT: 27
Class: 2006 (High School)
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Zac Robinson #11
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Quarterback
Height: 6-foot-3
Weight: 210 pounds
Class Year: Jr
Experience: 2V
Hometown: Littleton, CO
High School: Chatfield

<table class="DepthChart" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td>Depth Chart details | roster</td></tr> <tr><td class="depthchartdata">1. QB - Z. Robinson | 6-3, 210, Jr.</td></tr><tr><td class="depthchartdata">2. QB - A. Cate | 6-1, 200, So.</td></tr><tr><td class="depthchartdata">3. QB - B. Weeden | 6-4, 215, Fr.</td></tr></tbody></table>
</td><td valign="top">As a Recruit (profile)

Class: 2005 (High School)
Rating/Rankings:
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| 5.6
Rivals.com Dual-threat quarterbacks 2005 (10)
Postseason Colorado Top 15 2005 (9)


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Not a 4 or 5 star in the bunch out of high school. All 3 stars. And Colt as a Pro-Style recruit, too.
 
<table><tbody><tr><td colspan="3" class="storytitle">Perspective Piece: Missouri-Texas </td> </tr> <tr> <td class="primaryimage" valign="top">
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</td> <td valign="top"> <table bgcolor="#f5f5f5" border="0" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="1" width="60%"> <tbody><tr valign="top"> <td valign="middle" nowrap="nowrap">By Matt Zemek
Staff Columnist
Posted Oct 14, 2008
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Wild West shootouts don't get any better than Texas-Oklahoma did last week. Then again, Missouri-Texas just might exceed the excellence displayed in the Cotton Bowl on Oct. 11. This Saturday night in Austin, get ready for more rootin', tootin', high-caliber shootin'.
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The motif of the Western movie might seem far too obvious as a metaphor for this titanic tilt, but when you have players with names right out of central casting, how can an observer look at this contest in any other way?

The Tigers versus Texas, for a big bunch of Big 12 bragging rights and BCS bowl positioning, isn't the kind of collision that should be likened to subtler, more nuanced, or distinctly feminine concepts. Sure, this game will involve some balletic and artistic elements. Yeah, some under-the-radar players will need to emerge on both sides, creating the kind of feel-good story consistent with a chick flick. And of course, both coaching staffs will need to do the little things that will turn a field-goal drive into a touchdown, or--if on the defensive end--just the opposite. Subtlety, nuance and tenderness will find their way into Saturday night's showdown, to a certain limited extent. But with all that having been said, the best way to frame this firefight is to liken it to a manly matchup of gridiron gunslingers. It ain't original, but as George Orwell--a man given to subtlety and nuance--once said, "To see what is in front of one's nose requires a constant struggle." If the obvious theme is the theme that works, might as well use it.

Welcome, then, to Missouri-Texas, the duel in Darrell Royal's house. Whether you prefer John Ford or Sam Peckinpah or Sergio Leone, cue up the music and imagine a scene straight out of Hollywood.

Riding in on the wagon from the Show Me State, with his black hat (with an "M" on it, of course) and piercing stare, comes Chase Daniel, as the whistling music begins in the background. He's the bad guy rolling into Austin to rustle up some cattle and beat down Bevo by hook or crook. Daniel is the marksman who likes to shoot from a distance, given the lengthy shotgun snaps used within the Tigers' offensive framework. His peripheral vision is outstanding, which makes him a natural as a gridiron gunman. He's also quick on his feet, which enables him to dodge bullets in the heat of battle. Give him just a tiny bit of pocket protection, and he'll shoot down tin cans from 50 yards away. After being wounded by the Big 12 outlaws from Oklahoma State the week before--how dare Mike Gundy's team crash the conference party?--"Deadeye Daniel" will look to aim with even better accuracy in an enemy town. He has a Heisman Trophy to hogtie, after all, in addition to his traveling team's goal of a league title.

The locals in Austin realize a formidable threat when they see one, and so hearts do not rest easy in the Texas town where the soil acquires a more (Burnt) Orange hue than in other Western movies. But while dreading the prospect of being popped by Gary Pinkel's prize pellet-propelling pupil, the home folks also know that they hold in their hearts a heaping helping of heaven-sent hope, the kind of emotional nourishment which springs from the knowledge that a hero walks tall in their midst.

Yes, there's a man who can stare down Deadeye Daniel in this Western epic. He's the same man who outclassed Shootin' Sam Bradford of the Oklahoma outfit the previous weekend in Dallas. In his spare time, the fine fellow performs charity work at hospitals and countless other places. Saturday night, though, this Longhorn legend will accompany a white horse as he hears the call to duty and, with the sagebrush blowing across the dry and dusty desert landscape, enters the town from its opposite end to smilingly size up his black-hatted foe, while the music shifts and acquires a much more uplifting tone.

Yes, Deadeye Daniel, there's a beloved hero intent on beating your very best in a gargantuan game of gunslinging Saturday night at the Memorial Stadium Corral. It's Kid Colt, the Real McCoy who's revered throughout the land they call Lone Star. Young cowpokes from Plano to Paris and Odessa to Olcott want to project the pigskin the way No. 12 does. The dream of adolescent males not attached to the Aggies is, in the state of Texas, to fire the football with the acumen, accuracy and all-around awesomeness displayed by Kid Colt, the tanned yet toughened Top Gun who stands atop the college football world.

First, there was the "Battle With Bradford" at the venerable and renovated Big D Ranch next to the state fairgrounds. Now comes an equally mighty matchup for Kid Colt: "The Duel With Daniel" at Darrell's Place, a distinctly Royal venue for two king-sized figures who will sling and fling in pursuit of a ring.

The stage is set, as the panoramic camera shot from the director looks at the quiet town's main 120-yard-long strip of real estate. Deadeye Daniel stands at the far end, his eyes possessed with the venom that comes from the sting of the unexpected loss the week before. In the near ground, the camera shows the back of Kid Colt, the McCoy boy with the easy manner that will inevitably emerge when one surpasses a supreme shooter such as Samuel Bradford in a ballyhooed battle.

The right hands of the two touted titans are poised at the waist, ready to draw and fire. Who will win the duel? That's the part of the movie that can't be revealed until Saturday night. Buckaroo Brent Musburger and Cowboy Kirk Herbstreit will tell you how this epic Western ultimately ends.
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Trojans have issues; can they find answers?

USC still has a chance to get to BCS title game despite loss to Oregon State, but only if it can correct a laundry list of problems. There are at least five areas of concern.
By Gary Klein
Los Angeles Times Staff Writer

October 15, 2008

With a veritable herd of officials in black-and-white stripes filling the landscape, USC's practice facility looked more like the Serengeti than a football field.

USC employs a crew of officials at every practice, but after accruing 10 penalties last week against Arizona State, Coach Pete Carroll on Tuesday summoned extra whistle-blowers to help cure the Trojans.

"We've got to find a way to fix this," Carroll said.

USC leads the Pacific 10 Conference in penalties, just one of the issues that, left unchecked, could prevent the Trojans from ascending in the polls and gaining a bid to the Bowl Championship Series title game.

With struggling Washington State, a 43-point underdog, coming up next, USC -- ranked No. 6 by the Associated Press, No. 5 in the Harris Interactive Poll and No. 4 in the USA Today coaches' poll -- is turning inward during preparation.

The Trojans are focusing on correcting problems. Some popped up in the first two games; others figured prominently in their loss at Oregon State and continued to varying degrees in victories over Oregon and Arizona State.

A look at five issues affecting the Trojans as they approach the season's midpoint:

Flag days

Running backs coach Todd McNair walked past linebacker Kaluka Maiava on Monday and greeted him with, "What's up, P?"

Explained Maiava sheepishly: "They call me P because I lead the team in penalties."

He's not proud of the title.

Neither are the Trojans fond of averaging a conference-worst nine penalties and 86 penalty yards a game. Last week against Arizona State, officials flagged the Trojans 10 times for 86 yards.

USC has been plagued by personal-foul penalties. They cost the Trojans a shutout against Virginia and led to an Oregon State touchdown in its 27-21 upset at Corvallis. They contributed to an Oregon touchdown drive the following week and continued against Arizona State, which lacked the firepower to capitalize.

Part of the problem, Carroll said, is that players are still adapting to new rules that protect quarterbacks.

"We've been hitting the quarterback so many times . . . we're just more susceptible," Carroll said. "We just have to do it better and be more in line with what they're calling so we don't put ourselves in bad situations."

Short (on) yardage

LenDale White attended the opener at Virginia and last Saturday's game against Arizona at the Coliseum, the former tailback drawing cheers from Trojans fans when spotted leaving the field.

Unfortunately for USC, the bulky White turned pro after the 2005 season and is not available for the short-yardage situations that were his staple during a record-setting career.

The Trojans have mostly struggled to run effectively in those situations this season.

"It hasn't been real bad, but it's concerning us," offensive line coach Pat Ruel said.

USC's inability to convert a third and one by tailback Stafon Johnson on its first possession at Oregon State gave confidence to the upstart Beavers.

Against Arizona State, a first-quarter drive stalled when Johnson was stopped on third and two at the Sun Devils' 41-yard line. Carroll, who has almost made going for it on fourth down a signature move, opted to punt on the next play.

USC has converted 45% of its third-down opportunities, but offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian acknowledged that the percentage would be higher if the short-yardage game was more effective.

"That's the difference between 45% and being maybe a 52% third-down team and showing that you can extend drives and get more plays," he said.

Assignment errors and faulty positioning have hurt the Trojans, Ruel said, but he does not advocate a ram-it-down-their-throats routine on third down.

"The more predictable you are, the easier it is for [the defense]," he said. "But the issue is, if you're going to have a variety of things you do, then make sure you know how to do them.

"We just have failed a couple of times."

Dropped connections

USC's receiving corps quieted preseason questions about dependability with mostly sure-handed play through four games.

Damian Williams, Patrick Turner and Ronald Johnson helped give the Trojans one of the Pac-10's top passing games.

But Williams dropped two passes against Arizona State and Johnson could not hold onto another.

Johnson spent extra time after practice Monday catching 20 passes similar to the one he dropped. "It's not something to be concerned about," he said.

Carroll agreed, citing windy conditions as the cause of the struggle. "They've been catching everything, so I'm not worried about them," he said. "If I knew they didn't have good hands and they were missing balls, I'd say, 'Oh, we're not getting the best out of them.'

"But they'll be right back."

Lost options

During the last six seasons, USC's offense was at its best when the fullback was blocking well and catching passes and the tight end was an integral part of the passing attack.

Fullback Stanley Havili and tight end Blake Ayles caught touchdown passes against Ohio State, but those are the only times they have found the end zone.

A season after tight end Fred Davis caught a team-high 62 passes, Ayles has caught six, fellow tight end Anthony McCoy four.

Havili, limited last week because of a neck injury, also affects the short-yardage running game. "We want to get him going," Sarkisian said. "It just hasn't played out the way we would have hoped."

Soft-serve schedule

Years ago, when this year's schedule was put together, who thought traveling 3,000 miles to play Virginia plus games against perennial powers Ohio State and Notre Dame wouldn't be strong enough?

The problem, of course, is the competition in the Pacific 10 Conference, which is definitely weaker than usual. Therefore, USC's schedule is certain to be a topic of discussion and computer crunching.

Among upcoming opponents, Arizona (4-2), No. 25 California (4-1), Stanford (4-3) and Notre Dame (4-2) have winning records, but wins over Washington State (1-6), Washington (0-5) and UCLA (2-4) would do the Trojans no favors.

Then again, beating up overmatched opponents has not foiled recent drives to the BCS title game.

Said one USC coach: "It hasn't hurt Ohio State."
 
Clock Losers Outnumber Gainers Five to One

from The Wiz of Odds by Jay Christensen

Ninety-nine of the 119 Division I-A teams have lost plays compared to last year, according to data compiled by Marty Couvillion of cfbstats.com.
The 40/25 clock rules instituted for 2008 have helped cut 13 minutes off the average game from 2007, but the average number of plays lost is 8.8 through seven weeks of play. Nearly every team has been deeply impacted by the clock rules, led by Southern Methodist, which averaged 75.08 plays a game in 2007.
This season, the Mustangs are averaging only 59, a stunning decrease of 21.42%.
Vanderbilt has gone from 69.67 to 56.83, a decline of 18.42%, followed by Clemson, which has gone from 74.08 to 61, a cut of 17.65%.

On the other end of the spectrum are 20 teams that have been able to squeeze more out of less. Leading the pack is Duke, which has increased its plays from 63.25 to 71.80, a jump of 13.52%. Oklahoma is second, upping its output from 69.64 to 77.67. Then comes Middle Tennessee State, which has gone from 65.33 to 70.17.
There does not appear to be a common thread as to why some teams have lost and others have gained. Navy is second nationally in rushing, but among the biggest losers. Air Force, fifth in rushing, is among the biggest winners.

Marty's weekly look at the average number of plays and time of a game for the past four seasons, plus the Week 7 numbers:
G Plays/G Time/G
2005 717 140.71 3:21
2006 792 127.53 3:07
2007 792 143.43 3:23
2008 408 134.62 3:10
Wk 7 52 136.35 3:11
The longest games of Week 7:
Louisville-Memphis: 3:36
Notre Dame-North Carolina: 3:35
Western Michigan-Buffalo: 3:35
UCLA-Oregon: 3:34
New Mexico State-Nevada: 3:31
Louisiana State-Florida: 3:30
Tennessee-Georgia: 3:29
The shortest games of Week 7:
New Mexico-Brigham Young: 2:36
Ball State-Western Kentucky: 2:42
Arizona-Stanford: 2:45
Tulane-Texas El Paso: 2:46
Gardner Webb-Georgia Tech: 2:51
Eastern Michigan-Army: 2:54
Air Force-San Diego State: 2:58
Syracuse-West Virginia: 2:59
 
Ohio State's Tight End Appears Tired of Just Blocking for Pryor

from The FanHouse - NCAAfootball
Filed under: Ohio State, Big 10
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The Ohio State offense is one that is struggling. The offensive line has been disappointing and ranks 106th in sacks allowed. It may be skewed a little by the fact that freshman Terrelle Pryor has been back there and despite his potential to just take off and run has been holding on to the ball too long when dropping back.

Ohio State tight end Jake Ballard thinks the answer is to bring back senior Todd Boeckman.
"The senior leadership that Todd brings to the table and just how he commands the huddle would definitely help us out," Ballard said, "and he could make some big throws for us. Terrelle could make some big throws for us, too, but he could also help us with running the ball. So I don't think the two-quarterback system would be a bad idea."
Yes, because if there is one thing people think of with Todd Boeckman, it's making big throws. His arm. His coolness under pressure. It's really come through, especially in the big games.

I can't help but think Ballard might be a little more upset about having to block all the time, and never getting to receive a pass. Ballard caught his first pass against Purdue since week 2. He has all of three receptions on the year. He just seems frustrated.
"He can make big plays with his feet but he has to realize it's not high school, he can't make big plays every single time for 20 yards or more," Ballard said. "He's not always going to get big plays."
Not to mention that the longer Pryor is in the backfield with tailback Chris "Beanie" Wells, Ballard will be little more than an extra offensive lineman.
 
Linemen Splits

from Smart Football - Analysis and Strategy by Chris by Chris
This doesn't always come up, but one of the most interesting games within the game in football are the splits between the offensive linemen. Some teams use a lot of wide splits, with as much as three to even six feet between linemen, while others keep it closer to roughly a foot, or even toe-to-toe. But like everything else in football, what kind of splits you take is informed both by what the defense does and what your philosophy is.





To understand why splits matter, you need to understand how defensive fronts align. Typically, most defenses are taught to align on the basis of where the offensive guys align, which makes sense because those defenders are trying to get through or around the blockers to get to the running back or quarterback. So defensive linemen and linebackers were told from the earliest days of football to align "on the inside eye of the guard," "heads up the center," or "on the outside eye of the tackle." The linebackers had similar instructions, though they aligned behind the offensive line. Over time, defenses got better at mixing up these alignments, even before the snap. We've all seen linemen shift from the outside eye of the guard to the gap between the guard and center, or simply align late. All this is designed to confuse blocking schemes.

So as offenses became more complex, it became necessary to give linemen rules that would allow the run play to be blocked no matter what games the defense played, and to do that you needed a nomenclature that could be communicated via playbook as well as on the sideline (or at the line) in the heat of a game. This system became known as the assignment of defensive "techniques" to each defensive player. The credit for it is typically given to Alabam's legendary coach Bear Bryant, though he gives much of the credit to Bum Phillips. Below is an example of the numbering system.



Note that this is not the same as "hole numbering," because it is about where the defender aligns not where the run is designed to go. Although it looks a bit confusing, this system is used at literally every level of football, from pee wee football to the NFL. Below is another diagram with slightly different nomenclature, though it also specifies the "gaps." (Hat tip to the USC Trojan Football Analysis site for the image.)

So now that we know that defenses align based on where the offense aligns, and we know that offenses identify defenses based on the alignment, we can discuss splits. It's a bit of an oversimplification, but the choice is basically between tight or wide splits. I begin with tight splits.
Tight Splits
Tight splits are the most common. In fact, most people probably don't think of them as tight, but merely notice when they see "wide splits." Below is an example of a typical alignment.




The advantage of tight splits are easy to see: Linemen are close to each other so you can get good teamwork between them; there are few or at least narrow gaps between them; and the line is constricted to keep defenders away from outside runs and quick outside throws.

The teamwork part cannot be underemphasized. One reason that tight splits are so common is because zone running and slide protection is so popular today. Zone running requires linemen to step in a direction, double-team guys in their area, and then one of them works up to block the linebacker. If the linemen are too far apart, you cannot get a good double-team, and the play won't go. For slide protection, linemen slide into a gap, and work together to create a fence for the QB. Any unblocked rushers must come from the outside, as the priority is to prevent a blitzer or linemen up the middle.

The point about gaps is similar. But the point about constricting the line for outside plays is underemphasized. Most teams, when they want to run an outside option play or a sweep of some kind, will have their line condense in by cutting their splits. That way a fast runner can get outside quickly.

Wide Splits

Wide splits are more interesting. Traditionally, the teams with the widest splits were option running teams. That might sound surprising, but the reason was is that they used a lot of man blocking rules (i.e. block your man, rather than zone an area). More importantly though, by splitting out, because the defense aligned on the basis of where the offensive linemen were, the guy the QB was reading was split out. So if on the triple option you wanted your QB to first read the defensive tackle ("T") and then the defensive end ("E"), you'd split your linemen out to give him more time to make each successive read.


You also simply created wide running lanes inside by having your linemen split out so wide. If you watched the old Nebraska teams, while they didn't take enormous splits, they did have wide ones for both their inside option plays and inside man blocking runs.

But there's a new trend for wide splits, and that's with air-it-out passing teams like Texas Tech. Traditionally passing teams took very narrow splits to stop inside penetration, Texas Tech takes exceptionally large splits. Their rationale is a few-fold: (a) make the pass rushers come from farther away and enlarge the pocket, (b) open up throwing lanes for the quarterback, and (c) because they throw so much, all they need is a block or two to have an effective draw play -- the defensive ends aren't even really a factor. They can do this because they are almost exclusively a "man" pass protection team, just as the old Lavell Edwards BYU offenses were. (Indeed, Mike Leach's offense is a direct descendent from BYU's offense, he spent time there as an assistant, and many of his other coaches had experience at BYU as players or coaches when Edwards and Norm Chow were there.)

The obvious concerns are that if one guy gets beat in pass protection then there is no help, and also that there are wide gaps for linebackers to shoot through. For the latter, Tech feels like they can hurt that in other ways, through quick passes, screens, outside run plays, and traps. And they also feel that they can simply teach their linemen to be smart and reactive, and still stop that kind of penetration.

For the former problem though, the answer is simply that they have to have good blockers. They freely admit that they put their linemen one on one a great deal of the time, but their philosophy is that if someone gets to the quarterback, everyone knows who got beat. More and more teams have been adopting this strategy.

As a side note, I observe that Leach went to this trend after he got away from having a two-back formation as his primary one for passing downs. With a two-back offense you can stop a lot of overload passing threats to either side, but with a one-back formation -- Leach's current primary version -- the wide splits were necessary to take those extra rushers out of the play. For more on all this, see my old article here. And you can get a flavor for what Texas Tech does in the video below:


<embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/sHqPn-LEMDY&hl=en&fs=1" allowscriptaccess="never" wmode="transparent" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="425" height="344">Popout

Conclusion

So in sum, the choice of what splits a team uses will vary by play. Some will rely on teamwork and overwhelming force to overpower the defense, others will play games with varying them to set up the play they have called, and others, like Texas Tech, build it into their philosophy. As a final thought, many of you might think: Hey, if you always go tight splits for outside runs and wide for inside runs, won't the defense catch on? The response is the same one Bill Walsh would give when he heard this concern: If you have built a tendency (like running inside whenever you go wide splits), you simply self-scout, figure that out, and then confuse the defense by breaking your own tendency. Some of his biggest plays came when he broke his own tendencies.
 
ACC Championship Roulette: Time to bet the house on the Hokie stranglehold, right ... about ... now

from Dr. Saturday - NCAAF - Yahoo! Sports by Matt Hinton
ept_sports_ncaaf_experts-572240789-1224090663.jpg
If you want to be technical about it, the ACC is still wide, wide open, according to the standings. If you really want to think "anything can happen" in this picture, the ending is still in the air. Hey, maybe Duke will get the girl. The only unblemished conference records belong to Virginia Tech and Wake Forest, and they’re only a game up in their respective divisions with half a season to play. The Hokies, incredibly, aren’t even favored to win Saturday at Boston College, which has the distinction most recently of rallying in the fourth quarter to inch past foundering N.C. State. Officially, it’s anybody’s conference. Maybe Clemson’s talented roster will feel unburdened, rejuvenated under Dabo Swinney, and turn that thing around. Even Virginia has won two in a row.
I’m not sure I can keep up the ‘chaos’ meme, though, not when Virginia Tech is sitting there with its bicep around the Coastal Division’s throat. The Hokies are “only” 2-0 in an eight-game gauntlet, but those two wins are over otherwise undefeated Georgia Tech and North Carolina, surprise “eyeball test” leaders who nevertheless need Virginia Tech to lose twice to have any shot at the championship game. You may not know how it's going to get there, exactly, but you’ve seen this part before, and you know how it will end: with Frank Beamer lying on the floor next to a dead body, panting heavily, hardly able to believe he’s still alive.
Unlike virtually every other team in this conference, the Hokies don’t just lose at random: since they came into the ACC in 2004, four of their five regular season conference losses have come against teams with future top five draft picks on offense (Philip Rivers, Matt Ryan – twice – and Calvin Johnson). Other than Maryland's Darrius Heyward-Bey, I'm not sure any of the last six teams on Virginia Tech’s schedule have a future draft pick on offense, period. Not that the Hokies have much firepower, either, but until Tyrod Taylor implodes into an incurable turnover machine – he has two interceptions in five starts, both in the win over UNC -- nobody knows how to choke the life out of a conference race like Frank Beamer. They can’t protect the quarterback, the leading receiver has eight catches at midseason, they’re uncharacteristically middle of the pack on defense and aren’t even playing special teams all that well – but the only way the Hokies miss another ACC Championship game, realistically, is to lose to Virginia and/or Duke. You might as well call this one now for the tortoises.
Wake Forest is nearly the same position, only without the track record, and the Deacons were awfully sketchy in a lot of ways against very dead-looking Clemson Thursdsay. Even the oddsmakers have no idea what’s going to happen when they go to Maryland this weekend: Wake is a 1.5-two-point favorite, depending on who you ask, against a team last seen being shut out in a 31-point romp by Virginia. That Atlantic side of the table, for now, is still close to even odds until the Deacons get out of College Park alive.
 
Morning Coffee Checks In On The Gazelles

from Burnt Orange Nation by PB @ BON
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11-1=10 Greg Davis is properly receiving high praise for his game plan against Oklahoma, in which he took the unusual step of ditching what had worked to that point in the season to attack more lethally his next opponent. On Saturday, that meant replacing the 11 personnel package with a 10: 1 running back, 0 tight ends, 4 wideouts. As Big Roy noted yesterday, Kansas coach Mark Mangino was shocked by what he saw the Longhorns do:
"I thought Texas put a lot of new things on the field they had not showed. A lot," said Kansas' Mark Mangino, whose Jayhawks play Oklahoma this Saturday. "It's a little unusual, when you watch Texas over the years, and then you see their game plan (for OU)."
The hallmark of a great coach is his willingness and ability to adapt to new circumstances; Mack Brown and Greg Davis receive high A's for their performance to date in 2008.
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Moving on. For obvious reasons, so much of this week has been spent talking about last week, but Texas will have its hands full once again when Missouri comes to town. Tigers fans are sorting through the ashes of their home loss to Oklahoma State, but while Atomic Teeth suggests Missouri's inability to run the ball cost them the game, Rock M Nation gets into the nitty gritty of the play-by-play data and shows it was Missouri's poor performance on passing downs that was decisive.
In all probability, the two are related: Missouri's over-extension of the passing game handicapped what is normally the offense's strength. Bad news for MU: Rushing the football against Texas is a low yield proposition.
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"This isn't the NFL--yet." Pat Forde has a few choice words on the way Clemson has handled itself with regards to Tommy Bowden:
Clemson's move Monday to whack Tommy Bowden (5) 10 years to the month after his brother stepped down on The Plains is a monument to bad management. In firing Bowden less than a year after handing him a raise and a four-year contract extension to keep him from going to Arkansas, Clemson now is on the hook for a $3.5 million buyout to a coach it has never really loved. Good thing the IPTAY members have more money than sense.
The Dash won't cry many tears for Bowden, who did a spectacularly poor job preparing his team for this year and then threw senior quarterback Cullen Harper (6) under the bus after losing to Wake Forest, benching him in favor of freshman Willy Korn (7). But what does a midseason firing accomplish, beyond making a mockery of all the ideals college sports are supposed to enhance? What about the bromides about handling adversity with class and fostering team unity and building character? Do they apply only during winning seasons?
The hire-and-fire cycle in college football already has shortened to a dangerous degree. If midseason pink slips are going to become standard operating procedure, as well, the sport's tenuous moorings in higher education might as well slip free altogether. This isn't the NFL -- yet.
No, not quite the NFL, but close--certainly as big a business. One reason--among many--why you won't see much attention paid to Miles Brand's well-intentioned but ill-conceived graduation rate crusade.
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Gazelles host Missouri Friday night. Despite disappointing setbacks to Stanford and Nebraska, the 12-2 Gregory Gazelles find themselves ranked #3 nationally and, after a weeknight match up with A&M in College Station this evening, will host Missouri on Friday night at 6:30. If you're looking for a great way to kick off your MU weekend bonanza, head down to Gregory to support the Gazelles.
 
Four wideout-package was a big hit for UT against Sooners

Texas ditched a tight end against Oklahoma; it remains to be seen whether the Horns can do so against Missouri.

By Suzanne Halliburton
AMERICAN-STATESMAN STAFF
Wednesday, October 15, 2008
On the third play from scrimmage Saturday, Texas offered a glimpse of what its new base offense may look like for the rest of the regular season.
Offensive coordinator Greg Davis sent in the "10 personnel" package. That means one running back, no tight end and four receivers. The Longhorns hadn't dusted off the formation in six or seven seasons, not since Chris Simms was throwing to Roy Williams.
The formation immediately put Oklahoma's defense on its heels, as Texas used it to crisply march downfield for an opening field goal. And it was a big reason why flanker Jordan Shipley, lining up where a tight end normally would be, caught 11 passes for 112 yards.
At least one coach in the Big 12 Conference took note of the new-look Longhorn offense.
"I thought Texas put a lot of new things on the field they had not showed. A lot," said Kansas' Mark Mangino, whose Jayhawks play Oklahoma this Saturday. "It's a little unusual, when you watch Texas over the years, and then you see their game plan (for OU)."
Texas ran 70 offensive plays in its 45-35 upset of then top-ranked Oklahoma. Davis said the Longhorns used a tight end on only 33 snaps, which included short-yardage and goal-line plays when Texas went to its jumbo package.
"We're going to keep looking at it," Davis said. "The kids liked it."
Texas' favorite formation, dating back to the national championship season of 2005, has used a tight end with three receivers and a tailback. Davis could call a variety of plays from the formation, including going to an empty set, without relying on substitutions. That way, a defense also couldn't send in specific personnel for pass or run plays.
But things changed on Sept. 20, when the Longhorns lost starting tight end Blaine Irby for the season. Irby was the third UT tight end to suffer a significant injury, and the remaining scholarship tight ends — Greg Smith and Peter Ullman — were known mostly for their blocking skills.
The last pass quarterback Colt McCoy threw to a tight end came in the second half against Colorado on Oct. 4. That pass was deflected for one of McCoy's three interceptions for the year.
Longhorn coaches had hinted about using more receivers on the field since Irby's injury, but didn't do so until the Oklahoma game.
"We still will play some with the tight end," McCoy said, "but that formation set up really well against Oklahoma."
McCoy and his coaches believed they could attack the middle of the Sooners' defense. Plus, a four-receiver set, at least in theory, would widen the running lanes for Chris Ogbonnaya.
It also helped that Ogbonnaya is a receiving threat. The senior, who has cemented his claim on the starting tailback spot, has 341 yards of total offense in the past two games, including plays of 65, 62 and 51 yards.
"He allows you a lot of flexibility," Davis said.
It remains to be seen whether the Longhorns will rely so heavily on the package Saturday against Missouri. The Tigers rank 113th nationally in pass defense, allowing 271 yards per game. The Tigers also allow two passing touchdowns per contest.
The four-receiver set was an obvious hit with those Longhorns who catch the ball.
"As receivers," said Quan Cosby, who caught nine passes for 122 yards against the Sooners, "we love it."
 
Bored Blognerds and Downtrodden Football Teams Don't Mix

from Rocky Top Talk by hooper
One of the funny (funny strange, not funny ha-ha) things about cheering for a football team that's decidedly worse than you anticipated is that you find your expected weekly routine thrown all out of whack. Subconsciously, I had been looking forward to diving into the numbers to explain just how dominant the offense was, how Crompton was an unstoppable passing machine, how the rushing attack couldn't be stopped, and how the SEC sat back in fear and awe as the presumed heir-apparent to Fulmer ran roughshod over all opposition. (That heir-apparent would be Clawson, for those of you who don't remember that rhetoric during the offseason. My, how we jumped to conclusions.) Instead, being the eternal optimist and numbers-freak, my days devolved into something more like this:
...
hmm...
...
[peeks at rushing stats, blinks]
...
[peeks at passing stats, whimpers]
...
[peeks at defensive stats, mmmm.....Berry....]
...
[twiddles thumbs]
...
...
[peeks at special teams stats, cries]
...
...
[ ]
...
[peeks at Vandy stats, feels guilty for thoughts of infidelity]
...
[plays Hedgehog Launch]
Yeah, that's about it. It's not a lot of fun making grown men cry (much less myself), so I turn instead to some projects whirring in the back of my head. So, being waaaay more uncool in real life than my geeky internet self, I decide to play around with some of the features on Excel to see if I can create more pretty charts and graphs to learn more about the team than normally gets printed. You've seen some of the results in previous posts, but I've decided to use the blog as a forum to trial-run some other pet projects. The following charts are the first bits extracted from some data mining attempts I'm venturing into. Throughout the rest of the season, I'm hoping to work on these techniques and develop them to where I can spend the football offseason refinng them into something that's actually useful. (Hope that made sense, there.)
Aaaaanyway, here are some offensive trends across the SEC.
SEC_West_Offense_Averages_1_medium.JPG
You've seen similar charts before. Here, the yellow line represents the average gain per pass play; the blue line represents the average gain per rush play; and the green line represents the average gain for all plays. The red line in the Auburn graph represents the coaching change; in the upcoming Tennessee graph, it'll represent a QB change. The interpretation is pretty self-evident, but here are my bullet comments:

  • Alabama: The passing game is somewhat spastic. I haven't watched through a 'Bama game yet, so I don't know why it's so, but it's like they have a great game, get cocky, have a poor game, get screamed at, have a great game, etc. But the real strength is the rushing game; those are some very high rushing averages.
  • Arkansas: Once Arkansas played some actual football teams, their passing game became very pedestrian. Even against Auburn, the passing average was nothing special. The rushing game has improved, though, and will likely buoy this team in the second half of the season.
  • Auburn: Ugh. The rushing game has been consistently atrocious, and the passing game has been inconsistent. Not that you needed a reminder.
SEC_West_Offense_Averages_2_medium.JPG
Continuing with the bullets:

  • LSU: LSU's offensive performance has been very good. Rushing averages over 4 are the goal, and passing averages over 8 are good. Having a n00b QB may be the reason for the inconsistency in passing, but the real concern is the steady downward trend. A part of that is difficulty of opponents; still, LSU will want to get that corrected soon before it becomes a liability.
  • Mississippi: Oddly enough, Ole Miss's offense has been the model of consistency. They've maintained around 4 yards per rush and 8 yards per pass in every game, which is enough to be successful. They've also played some decent teams in there. Houston Nutt has had a very positive effect on this unit.
  • Mississippi State: MSU has been somewhat consistent as well, but not as good as Ole Miss. The rush game has been decent in some games, but the passing game just isn't there. If I were UT, I'd commit heavily against the run on Saturday.
Now for the East:
SEC_East_Offense_Averages_1_medium.JPG

  • Florida: Yikes. On the bright side, Florida's offense was worst against Teneessee (woo!). On the not-so-bright side, they appear to be improving from an already impressive mark. Their rushing average is nearly 6 yards per play, which is better than several teams' passing averages. Let that sink in.
  • Georgia: For all the hype over Knowshon, the Georgia rushing attack has been average at best against decent competition. Chalk a lot of that up to injuries. The passing game has been decent, though susceptible to an off day every now and then. But right now, the Georgia offense is running a little below acceptable (4 yards/rush and 8 yards/pass). Gee, if only an opposing offense were available to exploit that...
  • Kentucky: Ugh. That is one bad passing attack; they have yet to break 6 yards/pass in a game. The running game did well against two creampuffs, but has been absent otherwise. Kentucky is an improved team, but this level of offense is not sustainable in the long term.
And last but not least. (Or so we hope):
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  • South Carolina: Whoever has been handling the QB duties in the last two games should stay in. The passing game is meager, but beggars can't be chooser at this point. Unfortunately, the rushing game appears to be headed in the opposite direction. I would imagine our Gamecock brethren are as frustrated as we are right now.
  • Tennessee: Hey, at least the graph gets a pretty orange tint. The offense is all over the map, and not in a good way. Defenses have starting focusing on the rushing game to great effect. Had that game against Georgia been any worse, I would have to redo all the axis ranges to handle negative numbers. But hey, at least the passing has been serviceable over the last two games. Maybe it'll stick around when the running attack decides to come back.
  • Vanderbilt: Yes, that's Miami (Ohio) for the first opponent, not Miami (Florida). The QB injury might not be as significant of an injury as you'd expect for an offense; it's not like Vandy was tearing it up on the field in the first place. Overall, this offense is getting less productive, and we're to the point where their magnificent turnover ratio might not be able to make the difference. They'll get bowl eligible, but the second half of the season may not be as kind as the first half. But perhaps the MSU effort can be chalked up to post-Auburn fatigue. Hey, GameDay visits and you lose the next week. Yeah, that's why UT's avoiding GameDay. Yeah, yeah, that's the ticket.
Well, as I said before, this is the product of some experimentation on my part. If you see anything in the charts, please leave some feedback. I plan on posting up defensive charts next. The special teams charts may or may not happen; I haven't found a format for the data that I like yet.
 
Matador’s Week 8 Notebook

from underdogsofwar.com by Matador
I’ll add all the B.S. later. For now, this week’s picks…..
Money Lines:
Washington +575
Idaho +1000
UNT +750
More possibilities: TAMU, Baylor, Syracuse, UTEP, SDSU, Utah State
Point Spreads:
Wake Forest PK
Troy -7
Boston College -2
Memphis +9.5 (ML also)
Colorado State +21.5 (ML also)
Arkansas +9.5
Possibilities: Syracuse, Louisville, FAU, ULL, Marshall, Utah State, NMSU, Virginia, Wisconsin, Iowa State, Missouri, SDSU.
Totals:
GaTech @ Clemson Over 38
Purdue @ Northwestern Over 42.5
Miami OH @ Bowling Green Over 47
Western Michigan @ Central Michigan Over 54
Mississippi @ Alabama Under 50
Toledo @ N. Illinois Over 46
Oregon State @ Washington Under 62
Possibilities: I’ll be on the lookout for weather games.
Ask about any game you like……
 
Video: How to stop Chase Daniel and Missouri

from Bevo Sports by Brian
Great video analysis from ESPN of what Oklahoma State did defensively last Saturday in their upset win over Missouri. They look at how the defensive line did such a good job getting pressure on quarterback Chase Daniel and at how the OSU secondary took away Daniel’s options if he did have time. Watch:
With the athleticism of the Texas defensive tackles a similar strategy would be effective at getting to Daniel both up the middle and around the edge. It will be interesting to see what wrinkles Texas defensive coordinator Will Muschamp will use to shut down Mizzou’s high powered offense and if their coaches have any answers now that a team has them “figured out”. We’ll find out Saturday at 7pm.

Link for video: http://www.bevosports.com/2008/10/15/video-how-to-stop-chase-daniel-and-missouri/
 
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Wednesday Headlinin': Phil Fulmer thanks you for the vote of confidence

from Dr. Saturday - NCAAF - Yahoo! Sports by Matt Hinton
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Fulmer in winter? When you report regularly on a team whose coach is "on the hot seat," and a pair of beleaguered coaches in similar spots have already been axed halfway through the season, you’re obligated to ask the question. But I bet even the Knoxville News-Sentinel’s Dave Hooker was surprised when Tennessee athletic director Mike Hamilton said, yes, he might consider firing Phil Fulmer before the end of the year:
With Tennessee off to a 2-4 start and winless in three SEC games, athletic director Mike Hamilton refused to rule out a mid-season coaching change if UT’s football program doesn’t improve, but said he’d much prefer following his standard method of operations.
“Our traditional model at the University of Tennessee is that we evaluate these kinds of things on a year-end basis,” said Hamilton in an exclusive interview with the News Sentinel on Tuesday and his first public comments in weeks on the subject. "That doesn’t preclude you from doing something different."
Mid-season firings, as we’ve seen, are ugly, emergency actions, and this is only a story because Hamilton “refused to rule out” something no one really expects him to do anyway; usually, an A.D. would go ahead and rule out an early axe, even if he was planning to bring it down the next week – which could be the case, if you decide to read Hamilton as saying, “We’re cool for now, as long as he doesn’t get Croom’d this week.” We know how Vol fans feel about bringing Fulmer back, but if Fulmer can get out of the upcoming trifecta of Mississippi State, Alabama and South Carolina at 2-1, with a chance at seven wins down the stretch, he'll make it to December, at least.
Pirates don't need no stinkin' 'system.' Yar. Because every quarterback and half the receivers he's ever coached have shredded college record books, only to be ignored or quickly run out of the pros (Wes Welker notwithstanding), Mike Leach might be (and might like to be known as) the ultimate 'system' coach – except, wait, aren’t they all "system players"?
"But all of these people that aren't products of a system don't need to practice, they don't need to worry about that, they don't need to worry about watching film, and they don't need to worry about what their coaches say. Because if there's no system, if they're not doing things in a specified, choreographed way, then why do they need to aggravate themselves with all that? They just need to show up for games and go do it."
He’s right, of course, as only Mike Leach can be: in the most fundamental, literal, obvious terms possible. Thus pundits are skewered again by the haphazard tao of Leach, who’s off to rollerblade down the middle of the Interstate hooked to the back of Rylan Reed’s four-wheeler, if you're looking for him.
What exactly are you insinuating? Don’t mess with Troy quarterbacks, unless you want to mess with the Trojans’ media department, which was forced to apologize for its not-so-subtle digs at Florida Atlantic defensive end Robert St. Clair after last Tuesday’s win over the Owls:
While nominating quarterback Jamie Hampton for player-of-the-week honors, the Troy media relations department wrote that St. Clair "dove in late on a QB keeper and delivered a bulls-eye to Hampton's knee, tearing the ACL and MCL and ending his season."
The same nomination added:
"Ironically, St. Clair took out Troy center Danny Franks two plays later on a similar dive into the pile."
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Grammarians have demanded an apology for the improper use of 'ironic.' For what it’s worth, Troy players are still fumed about the hit, or, more precisely, about FAU’s reaction to the injury.
Quickly … Ohio State defensive end Lawrence Wilson is out for the season, yet another ACL victim. . . . The Big Ten better kick Michigan while it’s down, while there’s still a chance. . . . Joe Paterno is getting around with a cane and says his injury could be related to his hip, not his knee. . . . Two weeks after Mackenzi Adams was the toast of Nashville in the win over Auburn, Vanderbilt is swapping quarterbacks again. . . . Running back Delone Carter will be back in the lineup for Syracuse at South Florida, though Curtis Brinkley has put a stranglehold on that job. . . . Pete Carroll can relate to the problems at Washington State, in a roundabout way. Oh, the troubles in L.A.: the Trojans may be forced to sit Joe McKnight with a toe injury and are getting a little banged up at tight end. And Mark Sanchez thinks he played better in the loss to Oregon State than in the blowout win over Oregon. Geez, scoreboard, Mark. Who are you, Jeremiah Masoli?






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Huskies' Jake Locker likely done for season

If the Washington Huskies are to get any wins this season, sounds as if they might have to get them without Jake Locker. The sophomore quarterback was...
By Bob Condotta
Seattle Times staff reporter

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PREV of NEXT
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Huskies QB Jake Locker has a broken thumb.



Saturday Oregon State @ UW, 4 p.m., Versus TV

If the Washington Huskies are to get any wins this season, sounds as if they might have to get them without Jake Locker.
The sophomore quarterback was listed as out six to eight weeks after suffering a broken thumb against Stanford on Sept. 27, but offensive coordinator Tim Lappano said Tuesday he thought it was "highly unlikely" that Locker will play again this season.
Lappano said more will be known after Locker sees a hand specialist today. Locker broke the thumb on his throwing hand while attempting a block on a reverse in the second quarter against the Cardinal.
"Is he going to play this year before the season is over? Who knows," Lappano said. "It's highly unlikely, I would guess. But [today] we'll know more when they find out a little bit more about it."
Lappano said in an interview last week on KJR-AM that the injury "is a lot worse than people realized."
He said doctors inserted 12 pins into the hand and that one of the doctors said "it was one of the worst thumbs he had seen as far as how the bone was fractured." Lappano said Locker will need surgery again in a few weeks to take out a plate holding the thumb together. Officially, Locker was reported to have broken the first metacarpal, the bone which connects the thumb to the hand.
Tuesday, Lappano said that not only would the break in Locker's thumb need to heal before he could play again but he would also likely need some time to get back in playing form.
"I do think it's going to take some time to rehab it a little bit where you can squeeze and grab and feel the ball and get the strength back and all of that," Lappano said. "So I think it would be a tough call [that he could return this year]. I pray I'm wrong, but I don't know."
Lappano, however, said there is no fear that the injury will have long-term ramifications on Locker's career. Lappano said there has been no indication the injury would impact Locker's throwing motion once healed and that he should be fully recovered by next spring.
"He's not going to miss spring ball or anything like that," Lappano said.
Lappano said Locker now has the thumb in a hard cast and that, as of last week, he still felt throbbing at times in the thumb at night.
With Locker out, redshirt freshman Ronnie Fouch has taken over at QB and he will make his first Husky Stadium start Saturday against Oregon State. Walk-on Taylor Bean remains the backup.
When Locker was first injured, there was some speculation that he might play another position. But UW coaches and officials have indicated since then that it is highly unlikely that he will do that, especially as the extent of his thumb injury has become clearer.
NOTES
• Guard Casey Bulyca had arthroscopic surgery on his knee Tuesday and coaches held out hope that he could return this season, Lappano saying he could be back anywhere from "two to seven weeks" depending on what is found.
• Lappano said he doesn't expect David Freeman, struggling with sprains to both ankles, to play this week, leaving UW with three tailbacks — Willie Griffin, Terrance Dailey and Brandon Johnson. Griffin appeared to run with the first team during practice Tuesday.
• TE Kavario Middleton, who has been struggling with a knee injury suffered against BYU, was not in pads for Tuesday's practice.
 
Mistake costs Yeatman season

<!--END Headline--> <!--Extra Eyebrow Field--> ANALYSIS

<!--ArticleByline--> ERIC HANSEN
Tribune Staff Writer

<!--Extra Break if needed--> <!----> SOUTH BEND — For the past three weeks, Notre Dame tight end Will Yeatman has labored through football practice with a broken nose, a sore left shoulder and a heavy heart.

And now he doesn't even have that to look forward to.

Tuesday afternoon, the university's Office of Residence Life suspended the 20-year-old San Diego product from all football activities, including practice, for the remainder of the season, including any potential bowl game.

<!--START Inline Ad--> <table style="text-align: left; width: 321px; height: 270px;" align="left" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td style="vertical-align: top;"> <script language="JavaScript"> <!-- OAS_AD('Middle'); //--> artTitle="Mistake%20costs%20Yeatman%20season"; artTitle2="Mistake costs Yeatman season"; </script> </td> </tr> </tbody></table> <!--END Inline Ad--> Yeatman's father, Dennis, confirmed the punishment Tuesday night. Notre Dame coach Charlie Weis was unavailable for comment and isn't scheduled to speak to the media again until next Tuesday, due to ND's open week.

The Irish are 4-2, with their next game a road date Oct. 25 against former ND coach Tyrone Willingham and winless Washington (0-5).

The bold headlines that have branded Yeatman in the national spotlight over the past three weeks connect to a Sept. 21 arrest at an off-campus party in which Yeatman and 36 other Notre Dame students were arrested during an early-morning raid by several police agencies. He was originally charged with minor consumption of alcohol, resisting arrest and false informing. The latter two charges were eventually dropped. Quietly.

Issues over an alleged illegal entry into the house where the party was being held and other alleged improprieties by the police cloud the issue and aren't going away, as several of the students have hired private attorneys to look into the matter. The police agencies involved deny any wrongdoing.

It is Yeatman's second suspension from sports in the past year, the first coming on the heels of a Jan. 28 drunken driving arrest.

The biggest story moving forward is what Yeatman will do with all of this. And the most definitive statement about what he stands for, beyond the headlines, is that during his suspension Yeatman will not be shopping for a new school. Instead he will stay, face the punishment and try to fight his way back up the depth chart next spring. Also in the spring, he will be eligible to play lacrosse, a sport for which he figures to be named a preseason All-American.

There is an appeals process Yeatman could explore with Res Life, but given the fact it took him more than two weeks to have a hearing and another week for the Res Life board to render a decision, a reversal seems as unpromising as it seems unlikely. There are also legal repercussions that have yet to play out.

The last game Yeatman played for the Irish was the 23-7 loss to Michigan State on Sept. 20. In that game, he suffered a broken nose and a shoulder strain. The arrest came hours later. Weis held Yeatman out of competition until Res Life rendered its decision, but Yeatman would have been playing at less than 100 percent.

Not that it would have stopped him. And not that the suspension will either.

In a strange twist of fate, because Michigan State was the last game Yeatman played in and because he was injured in that game, he would likely be eligible for a fifth year in the NCAA's eyes as a medical hardship case. Whether the ND administrative powers-that-be want to go down that road after the 2009 season is another matter, but it is a possibility. Had Yeatman played the next week against Purdue, the year would have been burned.

Without Yeatman, the Irish are down to two healthy scholarship tight ends — both freshmen. Kyle Rudolph continues to play virtually every down of every game. Joseph Fauria, a wiry 6-foot-7, 245-pounder has been promoted from the scout team, but Weis ideally would like to preserve a year of eligibility with him as he develops physically.

Fullback Steve Paskorz, offensive guard Trevor Robinson and offensive tackle Matt Romine have been serving as makeshift tight ends in ND's occasional multiple-tight end sets.

Perhaps it would have been easier for Yeatman to walk away. He already served a semester-long suspension from football and lacrosse last spring for the January drunken driving arrest. This second suspension, harsher than what the 21 other athletes involved received because it is considered a second offense, was the penalty for a 0.02 blood-alcohol content or roughly the equivalent of one beer.

Does the punishment fit the crime?

Yeatman will decline to go down that road, instead becoming a 6-foot-6, 265-pound cheerleader for the Irish. He is determined to not let the Sept. 21 headlines and subsequent punishment define him. And he is willing to earn that.
 
Tale of the Tape: Pete Carroll can really relate to Paul Wulff's situation

from Dr. Saturday - NCAAF - Yahoo! Sports by Matt Hinton
Slow starts? Tell Pete Carroll about it. Carroll’s Trojans may be back in the championship hunt this week with last place, hopeless Washington State coming to the Coliseum, but don't forget: Pete's been there, man. He says he can relate to first-year Cougar coach Paul Wulff, because he’s seen it all before. Coaching USC may look easy, but believe Carroll when he says it’s been no picnic –- in fact, when you put them side by side, how could Pete Carroll not empathize with Paul Wulff? Looking back over the first two months of the season, it's like looking into a mirror:
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Sometimes Pete wishes he had a whole team full of really coachable, two-star guys nobody’s ever heard of, guys pulled out of the stands, guys who are hungry. Well, no. On second thought, he doesn’t really. But he can imagine what that's like, and he totally gets it. He really does.
 
I don't disagree with any of your plays so far ......

Are you going to make a bet this week ??? help a kid out.
 
Something's in the offense's water at UL-Lafayette

from Dr. Saturday - NCAAF - Yahoo! Sports by Matt Hinton
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By no stretch of the imagination should anyone describe Louisiana-Lafayette as a good team, in the broadest sense – the Cajuns, who aren't the least bit bothered to be classified by ethnicity as "Ragin'," are only 3-3 after six games, and 0-2 in a pair of relatively close losses to “Big Six” foes Illinois and Kansas State. On the surface, ULL has hardly transcended the murky obscurity of the Sun Belt. Offensively, however, a nondescript, slow-starting unit has morphed into a truly terrifying Swamp Thing over the last four games, the likes of which, statistically, must be seen to be believed. It's like Hurricane Gustav, which came crashing through Lafayette on Sept. 1, brought with it some kind of mutant touchdown fog that enveloped Aracadiana with heightened explosiveness. You have the more conventional eye-popping averages -- the Cajuns lead the nation in rushing, are fifth in total offense, and have averaged 623.5 yards and 46 points the last four weeks -- and then there are the big plays, as chronicled by Lafayette’s Daily Advertiser. In part (emphasis added):
During the last four games -- wins over Kent State, UL Monroe and North Texas sandwiched around a loss to Kansas State -- UL has struck for a national-best 11 touchdown plays of more than 50 yards.
Now the amazing part: Tied in second-place are Oklahoma and Heisman Trophy frontrunner Sam Bradford, and Juice Williams and Illinois -- with five. And that's for the season.
During this run, UL has five scores from scrimmage of 80 yards or more. The Associated Press Top 10 of Texas, Alabama, Penn State, Oklahoma, Florida, USC, Texas Tech, Oklahoma State, BYU and Georgia has one -- an 87-yard run by Bama -- in a combined 60 games.
Overall, the Cajuns have scored 25 touchdowns in the last month, covering an average distance of 43 yards. Included in that figure is a 97-yard kickoff return.
UL owns three of the country's top 10 running plays from scrimmage: [Tyrell] Fenroy (3rd, 89) and [Jason] Chery (5th, 87; 10th 81).
Two of the top 7 games for total offense also belong to the Cajuns: No. 2 with 728 vs. [Louisiana-Monroe] and No. 7 with 667 vs. Kent State.
UL has scored in 17 straight quarters -- the last six in double digits.
Now watch them get shut out Saturday against Arkansas State or something. The Sun Belt, and Western Louisiana in particular, are just weird like that, and ragin' or not, those kind of numbers can’t last forever. Not without somebody getting hired away by the SEC, anyway. I hear Auburn's in the market ...
 
2008 College GameDay Drinking Game

from CollegeGameBalls: College Football at its Finest by cgb
Last year my Notre Dame Drinking Game was a hit so I figured I would do another one…
2008 College GameDay Drinking Game Rules
You will need one large container to hold beer (or your alcoholic beverage of choice). Take turns pouring out your drink in said large drinking container every time you see a hat, sign, shirt, etc of a school other than the two playing in the GameDay game. The person who would overflow the large drinking container instead has to chug it all.
Take One Drink Any Time

  • Corso squelches, “Not so fast my friend!”
  • Corso gives a “Yo”
  • The countdown to kickoff clock is shown
  • There is a Chick-fil-A commercial
Anytime Desmod Howard starts talking immediately mute the television and start drinking. Un-mute the television and stop drinking when Desmond’s segment is over.
Take two drinks any time you see a sign swooning over Herbstreit’s sexiness or a sign with dudes name and an arrow pointing down at him.
Kill Half Your Drink when the “Head Coach Wired” segment starts
You may start a waterfall if Corso or Herbstreit puts your team on upset alert
If Corso or Herbstreit pick against your team you may order someone else to take a drink
When Todd McShay comes on for analysis toast a round of shots to Alicia Sacramone

Take a pity drink every time Chris Fowler becomes annoyed with Desmond’s, Corso’s or Herbstreit’s asinine analysis.
The final “Saturday Selections” segment is the big finale. Everyone makes a pick before Lee and Kirk and drinks three times whenever their picks are the same as either of theirs.
Leave any additional rules in the comments
 
Morning Coffee Goes Tiger Hunting

from Burnt Orange Nation by GhostofBigRoy
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Gregory Gazelles Gig Aggies. What, there are other sports going on right now besides football? What's that you say, baseball? Never heard of it. Oh, and volleyball, too? Wow. Quite an education I'm receiving here. Well, big ups to the Gregory Gazelles, the fine ladies of the Texas volleyball squad, who beat the Aggies in College Station last night, 3-1. The win pushes their record to 7-1 in Big 12 play and was highlighted by 20 kills from viciously swinging vixen Destinee Hooker and the absolutely perfect Lauren Paolini, who had an error-free performance for the fourth time on the season. You go girls.
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No "I" in team.
However, there is a "me" in team. Which has always make me hate that particular cliche. But hey, the bold leads in Morning Coffee are for cutesy cliches. Onward to the point: This iteration of Texas football is a team. I ended the last Morning Coffee by saying that it's time to believe. My reasoning? Like I said, this is a team, with everything that entails. Senior leaders like Brian Orakpo have pulled the team together and worked to foster camaraderie between upperclassmen and younger players.
Accountability became the buzzword leading up to the Holiday Bowl and during spring practice precisely because there hadn't been any in 2007. Orakpo recalls that the older players didn't identify with the younger ones, and what's worse, didn't try. Recalling as well the close-knit group in 2005, Orakpo and other seniors like Roy Miller demanded teamwork, taking it on themselves to police their teammates on and off the field. It wasn't all tough love, though, as seniors organized team social activities to foster team unity. The results are apparent on the football field, and even though the OU game is the only real adversity the team has faced this season, responding to every OU score with one of their own gives a serious glimpse into the inner workings of this team. It is one in every sense of the word.
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What if Daniel was one of us?
That's the game played by Columbia Tribune writer Dave Matter, who wonders what would have been had Chase Daniel de-committed from Missouri and come to Texas. I find that type of speculation irritating and pointless, particularly with the incredible play of Colt McCoy this year. Mack Brown talks about it a lot: With 350 Division I players coming out of Texas every year, the vast majority of them go to other schools. Some of them are mad at Texas because they weren't offered. Some of those mad players happen to be excellent football players. To channel my inner Donald Rumsfeld here (didn't know it existed), "You play with the football team that you have, not the football team that you wish you had, or the football team that you may have in the future."
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Offensive scheme against Missouri.
Perusing the team defensive rankings on cfbstats.com reveals some weaknesses in the Missouri defense. They rank 81st in the country in opponent third down conversions, allowing just over 40%. Even worse is the pass defense, ranking 114th, right behind (gasp) SMU and four spots lower than Texas. What does that mean for Texas? Well, the obvious answer is that Texas will likely come out throwing early and often, no real surprise since that's the offensive identity of this football team. It seems likely as well that the four wide receiver set will be the base formation moving forward.
Missouri has had major trouble with receivers running free deep down the sidelines (especially against Illinois), so look for more balls thrown down the field. How Missouri choses to defend the Texas passing attack will dictate where the ball goes, but it will be interesting to see if Colt is willing to stand in the pocket and look for the deep ball, since he has preferred the quick short passes he completes with such regularity, which allows for third and short opportunities that Missouri doesn't seem likely to be able to stop. If I called the plays, I would consistently send one wide receiver deep down the sideline and another deep down the seam on the same side and run crossing routes into that vacated space. I expect numerous explosive plays through the passing game.
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More Gideon love.
Tuesday's Morning Coffee noted that Mack Brown called Blake Gideon the "biggest surprise of the season." The Statesman followed that up with a feature article today chronicling Gideon's recovery from a broken back his sophomore year in high school (he played four games after breaking it). I watched the Rice game with some friends of friends from Leander, who characterized Gideon as being one hard hit from re-injuring his back, before I had heard anything about his old injury. Maybe someone who knows more about medicine than I can weigh in on the potential for re-injury. Whatever the case may be, I'm going to enjoy watching Blake Gideon play football and prove to recruiting services that he deserved more than two stars next to his name.
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Smaller, quicker beats bigger, slower. I told PB last week that I was concerned about the size of the OU offensive line and wondered how our undersized defensive tackles would handle their assignments. Consider my worries unfounded and chalk up a victory for PB there. I guess I should add doubting Muschamp even for a moment to the Tuesday night sin purging thread. Shame on me.
Tim Griffin chronicles the rise of the Texas defense, led by Brian Orakpo, on whom Morning Coffee has quite the man-crush. And why not? The man has 10 tfl, 7.5 sacks, 3 forced fumbles, and 2 passes broken up. Incredible numbers considering he could have nearly twice as many sacks if opposing offensive linemen weren't forced to hold him multiple times per game. Despite the gaudy sack numbers, Orakpo isn't just a rush end. The 10 tackles for loss are a testament to his ability to keep contain when necessary, with more than a couple of those being open field tackles on smaller, quicker players.
It isn't just Orakpo making the defensive line tick, as Lamarr Houston, Aaron Lewis, and particularly Roy Miller have clogged the middle, vaunting Texas to third in the country in rush defense at barely over 50 yards per game. With the young safety gaining experience by the minute, expect this defense to be even better when the bowl season rolls around.
 
Thursday Headlinin': Can't Wolverines just get along?

from Dr. Saturday - NCAAF - Yahoo! Sports by Matt Hinton
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Blue on Blue violence. A few hours after the start of puck season, Michigan hockey player Steve Kampfer sustained serious neck and skull injuries in the wee hours Saturday night/Sunday morning, in what the school initially described only as an "off-ice incident." The diligent student journalists at the Michigan Daily, not resting on that vague explanation, did a little digging, connected a few dots and uncovered the nasty truth: Kampfer was "body-slammed" on the sidewalk by a walk-on Wolverine running back, Mike Milano, in an early morning altercation:
University Police Lieutenant Robert Neumann said the victim was picked up and “body-slammed” to the ground by a man, who was accompanied by two other men. Neumann said police have a suspect, whom he described as a 22-year-old male University student from Ohio.
[...]
The witness said two of the men walked past Kampfer and his friend, shoving them aside, and then the third picked up Kampfer and slammed him into the sidewalk. Kampfer’s friend yelled at the group, but the men continued walking south on Church Street, the witness said.
He said Kampfer wasn't moving and appeared to be unconscious after the attack.
Another early salvo in the Michigan Fan Civil War? Alas, no: more likely, it was over a girl. Of course.
Hogan dropping Andre the Giant at WrestleMania III, this was not. Kampfer is listed at 5'11" and 195 pounds, and Milano, who even most Michigan football fans on either side of the Rodriguez divide have never heard of, is a relatively small guy by D-I gridiron standards at 5'7", 196. He did wrestle his first two years in Ann Arbor, although it was the "onesie, headgear and holds" sort of wrestling, not "I'm going to distract the dumbest referee in the world so you can hammer this guy with a folding chair" rasslin'. Maybe Milano has a future in the latter, if he doesn't follow his suspension from the team with an assault charge: Kampfer, a fourth pick of the Anaheim Ducks, is probably out for the season.
It's all good when you're 7-0, Joe. Joe Paterno doesn't have much time to deal with his lingering leg and/or hip injury during Penn State's surprising ascent in the polls, but he will have it taken care of at the end of the season. In the meantime, he's taken to sporting a cane in public for the first time:
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JoePa's looking all of his 81 years these days, but as long as the Lions are undefeated, the man's still a genius -- even it's only for knowing when to stay out of his perma-staff's way.
Even a little optimism would have been bad for us, anyway. If there was any hope at all left in Washington's flailing, coach-killing season after an 0-6 start, it was the potential return of quarterback Jake Locker, who is credibly the best player the Huskies could put on the field at something like 20 of 24 starting positions. Turns out even that slim ray of light is disappearing behind the clouds of misery:
The sophomore quarterback was listed as out six to eight weeks after suffering a broken thumb against Stanford on Sept. 27, but offensive coordinator Tim Lappano said Tuesday he thought it was "highly unlikely" that Locker will play again this season.
[...]
Lappano said in an interview last week on KJR-AM that the injury "is a lot worse than people realized."
This isn't an attempt to "save" Locker for another year -- he played in four games before his injury, one over the limit for a potential medical redshirt. The next time you see him on a field, it will probably be for a new head coach, who'll have two years to mold Locker into a credible passer who can keep the Huskies in shootouts before the natives get restless with him, too.
Quickly ... Mack Brown has a fan in ... Bill Cosby?And the Horns' four-receiver set was a big hit against Oklahoma. . . . West Virginia and LSU have agreed to a home and home in 2010 and 2011. . . . Phil Fulmer is a facing the coaching terminator in Sylvester Croom. . . . Florida's Chris Rainey expects to return with no ill effects from a separated shoulder. . . . Georgia's Kiante Tripp is moving back to tackle after a brief stint at tight end, and UGA linebacker Dannell Ellerbe is not likely to play against Vanderbilt. . . . And Nick Saban goes old, ooooold school on Ole Miss' "Wild Rebel" formation with the Birmingham News' Ian Rapoport. And, rumors of his demise notwithstanding, the Tide are still worried about Greg Hardy off the edge.
 
I've never seen a picks thread with 139 posts and no picks...:10_5_137:

Jesus. I've been slammed all week and haven't gotten em out. Looked at the card for like 20 minutes combined so far. Haven't even posted my updated record yet.

All the picks will come out in a bukake explosion of goodness soon.

Got at least one ready right now but it's too good for you, you Barack-lover.
 
I didn't know you were getting slammed...I was only kidding.

I'm no Barack lover; I just find your party disgusting.
 
good to see you back on your game; like the pick as well.

u must be gettin' on a plane soon
 
good to see you back on your game; like the pick as well.

u must be gettin' on a plane soon

Jamming away on shit. Gotta run right now to meet a potential assault and battery client.

Just been working away this week. Gotta knock out a few things today and then I'm running for the plane at about 2.

Gotta get some things in before Bob hits, though.
 
TCU takes BYU's exposure to heart

from Dr. Saturday - NCAAF - Yahoo! Sports by Matt Hinton
ept_sports_ncaaf_experts-872307827-1224213548.jpg
TCU 32, BYU 7. When I referred to BYU's inflated ranking, it was a reference to the Cougars' schedule through the first six games, not their actual abilities. I expected, right alongside the optimists who lifted the Y into the top 10 for trouncing UCLA and surviving Washington, that its first opportunity against a respectable outfit like TCU would be a validation, not an exposure.So much for "The Quest" and all that. Not only was TCU's legitimately killer defense validated at the Cougars' expense, but the nondescript Frog offense made BYU's heretofore solid D look slow and lost. That's an all-around butt-kicking. How many times can a wide receiver standing by himself in the shotgun, with basically no hope of attempting a successful pass downfield, take off for a first down? In Jerome Kerley's case, eight times, for 70 yards and a too-easy touchdown. Andy Dalton had his highest pass efficiency rating of the season against a team not named 'Stephen F. Austin.'
This is not exactly an upset -- TCU has made kind of a habit of big seasons under Gary Patterson and might have been a slight favorite at home, objectively. A rout, though, was not in the cards for BYU, in one of its two real chances (the other set up later against Utah, an intriguing rivalry game that just lost most of whatever sizzle it was generating) to make a move against another top 25 caliber outfit. Whatever the Cougars do from here on out to Colorado State and UNLV and the like, it ends in another Las Vegas Bowl (fourth in a row!), at best.
The 'BCS Buster' thing is Utah's scene now, or Boise State's, or maybe Ball State's, if the Utes and Broncos fall by the wayside. TCU is good enough, obviously, maybe the best of the bunch, but that'll teach 'em to schedule Oklahoma in September. Make that Kansas State instead, and the Frogs are looking into rooms in Tempe right now. Oh well -- they'll just have to settle for ending an 18-game conference win streak in dominant fashion, I guess.
 
Fozzy Whittaker Ready to Play

from Burnt Orange Nation by Atownatx
Bumped. Yeah, Fozzy. Beat Mizzou.

"Texas fans haven’t seen him in action since UTEP, but redshirt freshman tailback Fozzy Whittaker is “practicing to play,” Longhorn running backs coach Major Applewhite said Thursday.
“He’s doing well,” Applewhite told the Austin Longhorn Club. “He’s ready to go this week.”
Hampered by knee injuries, Whittaker has appeared in just one game, rushing for 72 yards on 12 carries against the Miners.
Even if he’s healthy, however, it’s unclear how much action Whittaker will see, especially with Chris Ogbonnaya’s emergence.
“We’re bringing him along to make sure he’s healthy,” Applewhite said of Whittaker, “and ready to contribute in the right way."
Source: Statesman
 
Record and picks will go here when my head stops hurting.

Picks

Ohio St -3 (-110)


Holy Crap !! a pick !!!
 
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